Analysts: Nintendo expected to hit their 20m Switch goal

[Deleted member 278]

Now this is before we actually get any official numbers, and is in no way any indication of the real results, but a lot people seem to think Nintendo's holiday quarter went exactly as needed to get there.

Also worth noting, their earnings guidance should go up due to explosive software sales over the holiday quarter.

Official results for Q3 of their fiscal year (October-December) will be posted on the 31st.

 

[Phendrift]

Interesting

💅

 

[Mr.Peanutbutter]

Oh wow! Great find!

 

[Abicus]

Software feels like the more impressive number all things considered. Those evergreens have never been greener.

 

[nightstalker962]

10 million for the quarter, that's phenomenal.

 

[gnilres]

There's about to be a crow shortage

 

[Hero of Legend]

The next financials are on the 31st right?

 

[VanDoughnut]

I got one, my brother got one, then my sister got one, then my niece got one.

So maybe.

 

[BlueManifest]

What were the numbers before oct-dec?

 

[Inugami]

Did we get any fun bets for all those people that claimed the 20 million wouldn't happen? I know it hasn't happened yet, but I'd LOVE to be confused by 3000 Switch Avatars.

 

[Piston]

I'm feeling pretty good about my stock situation right now. Thank you market uncertainty and uninformed market analysts for tanking the stock price for a bit!

 

[jack_package_200]

It was Smash and Pokemon

Of course they were gonna hit this.

 

[ccieag]

It's looking like it definitely is going to make it, which is pretty damned amazing

 

[nightstalker962]

What were the numbers before oct-dec?

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5.07

 

[Khanimus]

 

[BlueManifest]

5.07

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So that means they would have to sell 5 million Jan - March, don't see it happening it will be 18 - 19 million sold

Close enough to 20 million though

 

[Jaded Alyx]

*whistles*

 

[Deleted member 35598]

Jesus, those US numbers must have been huge in December.

Switch is gong to sell even better in 2019. 25 million incoming :)

 

[Fanuilos]

*snip*

 

[Pooroomoo]

"Holiday demand was unexpectedly good" - whether Nintendo will reach the 20 million goal is still not a certainty, but no, the holiday demand part was expected, except by some of those same "analysts"...

 

[NintendoMariah]

amazing news, always knew they could do it.

this thread though.....

 

[nightstalker962]

So that means they would have to sell 5 million Jan - March, don't see it happening it will be 18 - 19 million sold

Close enough to 20 million though

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It will be damn close I think especially with 2D Mario out.

 

[hibikase]

I never doubted it for a second. This forum's general negativity and cynicism always makes it wrong about those things.

 

[Vishmarx]

Friendship reignited with analysts?

 

[Jave]

This is great. The Switch deserves all the success it gets.

 

[Mory Dunz]

We're never gonna get a 3D Zelda outside a console launch again, are we?

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...what

 

[Cess007]

Friendship reignited with analysts?

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As long as they say the things people want to hear

 

[Stouffers]

It's like when Tess left Voyager and gave it a little "boost."

Iwata did the same for Nintendo on his way out.

 

[The Three]

So that means they would have to sell 5 million Jan - March, don't see it happening it will be 18 - 19 million sold

Close enough to 20 million though

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Possibly just under 4 million in Jan-March, as one firm has estimated last quarter to be 11M.

 

[Fanuilos]

...what

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I'm mostly joking, but holding a Zelda title for the launch of the Wii and Switch has worked out pretty well. Obviously not the only reason those consoles have done well.

 

[FiXalaS]

They're such a rollercoaster

 

[Hellsing321]

Thank you Ridley for saving Nintendo!

 

[tazmin]

There's gonna be a lot of "ofc they would reach it" from ppl who otherwise were vehemently saying they wouldn't 🤧

 

[Deleted member 28386]

Software feels like the more impressive number all things considered. Those evergreens have never been greener.

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I know we've been talking about that's 20M number for weeks and weeks now but the software has been so insane I actually just stopped caring about the HW numbers. But hitting 20M AND having those SW attach rates is just nanners. The industry is feeling so healthy right now.

 

[Baircade]

Poor Pachter :(

 

[Sebastopa]

It seems a certain poll thread will have to prepare a lot of crow pie, better start today!

Congratulation to Nintendo, Smash Ultimate and Switch!

 

[Datajoy]

We're never gonna get a 3D Zelda outside a console launch again, are we?

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Insider rumors hint at a new 3D Zelda in 2020

 

[Mory Dunz]

I'm mostly joking, but holding a Zelda title for the launch of the Wii and Switch has worked out pretty well. Obviously not the only reason those consoles have done well.

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oh.
if skyward sword was held for the wii U then yea. Need 3 for a c-c-combo

 

[The Adder]

If they hit 20 million it's going to be:

"Well they just barely hit it."

"Nintendo stuffed the channel."

"That's only for shipped, not sell through."

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[Andri]

There's about to be a crow shortage

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Nah, Crow will be affected by artificial scarcity, as all the people try to retcon their statements.

 

[Replicant]

We're never gonna get a 3D Zelda outside a console launch again, are we?

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Why do you say that? Skyward Sword and Breath of Wild technically debuted at the end of a consoles life. We might yet get another Zelda on switch, but I'm thinking it may be more DLC instead.

 

[Pooroomoo]

Friendship reignited with analysts?

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As long as they say the things people want to hear

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No, what they are doing now is a thing called damage control (before the actual holiday numbers, of which they now have an inkling, come out), and it doesn't change in any way some of the extremely stupid things some of these same people said just before December.

 

[BanGy]

Oh wow! Great find!

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Hmmmmmmmmm

 

[skullwaker]

So that means they would have to sell 5 million Jan - March, don't see it happening it will be 18 - 19 million sold

Close enough to 20 million though

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It did 2.93m Q4 last year, and if it does 11m this Q3 then it would need 3.93m for Q4. NSMBUDX + Yoshi are a better sell than Bayonetta + Kirby, plus the momentum from Smash and Pokemon is still in effect.

It'll be close regardless. Whether it's 18m, 19m or 20m it's still a success.

 

[SuperFakerBros]

Why do you say that? Skyward Sword and Breath of Wild technically debuted at the end of a consoles life. We might yet get another Zelda on switch, but I'm thinking it may be more DLC instead.

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The Season Pass should've been the end of DLC for BotW so I'm pretty sure they're already working on the next Zelda for the Switch

 

[hibikase]

I'm mostly joking, but holding a Zelda title for the launch of the Wii and Switch has worked out pretty well. Obviously not the only reason those consoles have done well.

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But Skyward Sword absolutely proved that pattern wrong.

 

[Kaz Mk II]

I just want this Era of shitflinging to end.

The will they or wont they hit their 20m goal debates have been annoying to witness tbh.

 

[Fanuilos]

Why do you say that? Skyward Sword and Breath of Wild technically debuted at the end of a consoles life. We might yet get another Zelda on switch, but I'm thinking it may be more DLC instead.

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It's my just my poor attempt at a joke that with the success of the Switch and Wii Nintendo has an incentive to hold Zelda titles for console launches.

 

[Andri]

We're never gonna get a 3D Zelda outside a console launch again, are we?

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What does that have to do with anything in this thread about reaching the sales goal of the second year of a console ?

 

[Fanuilos]

But Skyward Sword absolutely proved that pattern wrong.

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Skyward Sword wasn't held for a console launch.