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PR: Switch surpasses Wii in best-selling Nintendo console in US on BF+CM. +115% HW over 2017
- Thread starter Deleted member 2791
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We are talking LTD sales right now, so I don't think 700k is unreasonable
PS4 should be significantly down YOY and that isnt growth,so i dunno if one would call that an exceptional year based on the games they have had out and everything.
Xbox One and Switch should be significantly up, although there will be some people saying MS didnt do that well last year, its silly due to the amount of growth they will have.
They know. If they were #1, they would say it. These companies always twist whatever stats they can to make themselves be #1 in a given time period for some kind of metric. Microsoft has done some hilarious gymnastics to make themselves look better in PR during the lifetime of the Xbox One.
All that being said, "Sony sold more" doesn't really add much meaningful to the conversation in context of the statements Nintendo is making, so it definitely comes off as console warring, whether the poster meant it or not.
that seems really fucking high for canada. canada's usually doing about 10% of the us's business so hitting 20% is nuts.
i really wish we had accurate data and on a consistent basis.
'And that doesn't even take into account that one of the most anticipated video game events of the year is still to come: the Dec. 7 launch of the Super Smash Bros. Ultimate game. As previously announced, the game has become not only the most pre-sold Nintendo Switch game of all time, but also the most pre-sold Super Smash Bros. game ever in the series.'
Good grief! Are there any figures for this? I'd love to know what pre-order figures are looking like for Smash. Very surprised they're higher than Breath of the Wild and Mario Odyssey!
I love when Nintendo is doing well. Watching their performance is an absolute roller coaster - when they're doing well it makes me feel a bit giddy :@)
Good grief! Are there any figures for this? I'd love to know what pre-order figures are looking like for Smash. Very surprised they're higher than Breath of the Wild and Mario Odyssey!
I love when Nintendo is doing well. Watching their performance is an absolute roller coaster - when they're doing well it makes me feel a bit giddy :@)
This is my thoughts exactly. I even think US is doing more than it's fair share, but even still won't be able to make up for the slight underperformance in other regions, most notably japan.
Yeah, I completely misread both the poster I was responding to and the stat sheet - my bad!
You think it'll be up ~50% for the whole quarter there with the gap that'll open in December? I'm not necessarily doubting it, I just think that's a tall order for one month of sales.
I wasn't aware of that, UK sales seemed to be up but not by all that significant of a margin. And I don't remember hearing anything (positive or negative) about the rest of Europe this year. I would've thought if it was up heavily we would've heard some PR from the head of Nintendo France or something like that.
I still think they won't make it but they will be close or they might just stuff the channels but that will have an effect on Q2 shipments. The current Q1 line up is IMO very weak and I think Nintendo thought Labo would have bigger effect.
Pokemon and Smash are bigger in US than in other regions especially Smash. There still big in EU but not us big as in US.
That happens when the source is the NPD reports.
However they are using internal data so they won't know how much Sony sold.
I think 2019 has a better shot at the Dec NPD record but 2020 more likely for the peak overall sales. Breadth of 1st/2nd party library, more 3P titles, higher chance for followups of the EPD prestige twins (3D Zelda/Mario - I'd flip their launch frames this time), larger adoption time/rate for revision(s) (given a 2nd half 2019 launch), maybe another one of Nintendo's Labo-esque wonky initiatives actually pans out by then (if they've got more ideas in the pipeline), more competitive pricing throughout the full year, maybe a discount model launch if the 2019 revision is a "Pro" model (or vice-versa). Think the full 12 months (whether 2020 calendar for 2020 FY) will be more conducive to sustained sales.
I think they're targeting a DS-esque sales curve for this (not DS numbers but similar trend).
Japan is 6% behind compared with last year but this is not counting Smash yet, nor that Japan best seller month is December by a wide margin
Not sure really. I'd be surprised if it was quite 50% above last years numbers though I think the switch will be significantly up in Q4 as well.
Wait, the NPD numbers we get are only US sales, unless I misunderstood the conversation.
i have the LTD at 7.38M at October.
Me and many others are expecting Ultimate to have the highest opening month exclusive sales for a game ever in the US. Surpassing the record set by Halo 3 of 3.3M.
Nintendo will ride some SERIOUS momentum with TGA reveals + Smash in December, and NSMBD, Yoshi and Fire Emblem in Q1 next year.
Damn... These numbers are super impressive for US. Now we wait for the rest of November and December to see if Nintendo can replicate the same numbers in Japan and Europe.
I'm starting to think they will reach their 20M forecast. Smash is gonna be tremendous.
Damn... These numbers are super impressive for US. Now we wait for the rest of November and December to see if Nintendo can replicate the same numbers in Japan and Europe.
I'm starting to think they will reach their 20M forecast. Smash is gonna be tremendous.
I don't think it'll beat it. I just see it as the Switches best chance.
IMO 2019 will be Switch peak year mostly because competition will be gearing towards next gen and they will probably be a permanent price drop with the new model. In 2020 Nintendo will have huge competition in Holiday season coming for new consoles kinda like 3DS had back in the day.
Yeah the 4.8M from last year, which they say is the US, lines up with the full NPD estimate that I have. Hmmm, there's no way Switch only sold 800-900k in November, so something is off. I thought it was Canada not being included but this makes me unsure.
That's stranger because all signs point to it being up significantly. Hmm
The Spidey bundle was impossible to find but the impression I got was that was because it was a very limited edition designed to act as a Black Friday doorbuster. (And I'm sure very successful at selling more PS4's itself, I just don't think it's unavailability is indicative of massive sales by it's lonesome, though to be clear I'm sure all three systems had massive sales numbers)
That would mean through Cyber Monday they have sold ~800k in November, with another week of sales to go for the NPD tracking period.
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Can't wait for the NPD results for this month! They will be interesting.
I wonder if it will be a Switch month or an Everyone Won month.
I wonder if it will be a Switch month or an Everyone Won month.
Yeah but even if it wasn't, Wii still sold 800,000 on Black Friday week in 2008, which this seems to have beaten, Cyber Monday or no.
Which is a ridiculous number.
Something's not adding up though... this would mean around 800k for almost the entirety of November 2018, and we already know it's going to be higher than that.
I am confusion
I don't think we can say that with any certainty yet. No one knows how massive December is going to be.
How is this your takeaway from the OP? 20 million seems a lot more likely now than before BF.
Can you stop with derailing the thread like this? People here are trying to figure out how the numbers match up with the reliable insight we have received from Benji, no one is trying to justify the 20M number with this puzzle, like you are trying to make it seem.
Are we sure that Nintendo is talking in terms of revenue or unit sales? It could be with the higher Switch price they had more revenue than the Wii did in a Black Friday week... Not sure how to square these numbers up yet if they meant unit sales.
They sold an estimated 90k units during BF week this year. That's more than during its launch week in the UK.
We'll have (hopefully) some data for Spain the upcoming days and PR after Smash launch.
Actually is the opposite. 20 million demands insane levels considering what the Switch sold in the first half of the fiscal year.
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It's not the first time NoA reports lower than accurate numbers, so yeah doesn't surprise me.
Nintendi is typically conservative with their projections. If they say 20 million, there is a good chance they know what they're talking about.