US election poll: Trump BEATING Biden despite being hospitalised
DONALD TRUMP'S illness with coronavirus has not impacted his push to win a second term in the White House, an exclusive poll has revealed.
www.express.co.uk
The monthly Democracy Institute Sunday Express poll for the Presidential election shows that Mr Trump is still on course for victory with 46 percent of the popular support compared to his Democrat rival Joe Biden's 45 percent.
However, his overall lead has dropped by two points since the last poll in September.
The poll was completed after the news broke that President Trump and his wife Melania have been infected by Covid-19.
But 68 percent said the illness would not affect their vote while 19 percent said they were "more likely" to support Trump and only 13 percent "less likely".
Almost two thirds said they felt sympathy and concern for the President while 38 percent said him getting the disease was "karma" in an indication of the current divisive nature of US politics.
Crucially, Mr Trump's lead in key swing states including Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin remains at 4 percent by 47 percent 43 percent.
This gives a projected Electoral College split of 320 to Trump and 218 to Biden.
While other polls have Biden ahead, the Democracy Institute, which correctly predicted Brexit and Trump's win in 2016, only considers people who identify as "likely voters" rather than all registered voters and also asks about the so called shy vote.
This shows that 77 percent of Trump supporters would not admit it to friends or family members.
Enthusiasm Gap?
Q. "Are you strongly or very enthusiastic about your choice of candidate?"
- Trump voters = 83%
- Biden voters = 49%
Q "Could your vote change before Election Day?"
- Trump voters: Yes = 2%
- Biden voters: Yes = 7%
These guys and express.co.uk are obviously conservative/right wing and will shill hard to make that happen, but they were also one of the few to predict Trump winning in 2016 (they got the electoral college right, but the popular vote very wrong).
In comparison Trump got 304 electoral votes in 2016, to Hillary Clintons 227 while she won the popular vote by 2.9m (2.1%).
A lot more factors this time around including mail in ballots and whether they are counted or contested (or worse), whether young people will go and vote, how much more of an impact covid19 has on the administration, debates, the Senate, the supreme court hearings, the stimulus packages, and a million other things that will no doubt occur over the next 4 weeks.
Its still kinda scary that only 2% of Trump voters say there is any chance of them changing their vote.
