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When will the first 'next gen' console arrive?

  • H2 2019

    Votes: 638 14.1%
  • H1 2020

    Votes: 724 16.0%
  • H2 2020

    Votes: 2,813 62.2%
  • H1 2021

    Votes: 141 3.1%
  • H2 2021

    Votes: 208 4.6%

  • Total voters
    4,524
  • Poll closed .

Radical_Ed

Member
Nov 1, 2017
174
PS5 releasing a year early is going to do serious damage. Remeber ps1 to ps2? I think the hype from ps4 to ps5 is going to be even crazier. The ps5 could be tens of millions ahead by the time xbox launches. Because of that I expect both to release the same year so 2020.
SO… since a 2019 launch could damage a lot the competition you expect Sony to have the fair play go wait until 2020. Am I understanding this correctly?
 

Deleted member 5764

User requested account closure
Banned
Oct 25, 2017
6,574
The prevailing hope is that you don't have to do cross gen anymore. You can build for the old console and it will "just work" with backwards compatibility. Moreover, with cross play, you can play with friends across platforms and generations.

I'm sure one or more of these will be restricted in order to sell new hardware, much to the ire of the consumer, and perhaps developer.

I was just about to say the same thing albeit with much less detail.
 

VallenValiant

Banned
Oct 27, 2017
1,598
This 2019 stint has been fun y'all, but it's time to get back to reality.
Yeah, I mean we all know Sony had paused announcing new games. The fact that they cancelled a game conference makes sense regardless of 2019 or 2020. Those in the 2019 camp is just reading too much into it.

What I was implying is that niether will let the other launch with a years advantage. I think they will want to launch same year.
And once again, I had to remind people that Console releases are too big to have its date moved forward without major consequences. ERA has a history of trivialising the task of picking release dates, but platform holders don't have that luxury.
 

Alandring

Banned
Feb 2, 2018
1,841
Switzerland
I don't see any conceivable way how Sony can get through the next 18-24 months with the handful of 1st Party exclusives we've know about for a very long time. At the very least Sony will need to talk about PS5 next year. You can be sure Microsoft will have all eyes on next-gen.
Yes, I think E3 2019 will be really boring for Sony, but not really more than this year.

With Days Gone, Dreams, Concrete Genie, Nioh 2, Medievil, The Last of Us Part II, Death Stranding and Ghost of Tsushima, Sony has enough exclusives for 2019 and 2020. And without Paris Games Week and PSX this year, they probably keep enough for one more E3.

MS is all about having games play across multiple gens though.
Backward compatibility isn't the same thing than cross-gen titles.
 

2Blackcats

Member
Oct 26, 2017
16,050
The prevailing hope is that you don't have to do cross gen anymore. You can build for the old console and it will "just work" with backwards compatibility. Moreover, with cross play, you can play with friends across platforms and generations.

I'm sure one or more of these will be restricted in order to sell new hardware, much to the ire of the consumer, and perhaps developer.

That's backwards compatibility though.

Even games that are just patched up with performance boosts is backwards compatibility.

Cross gen games would take advantage of both sets of hardware properly. Let's say extra a. I. characters in a scene or whatever, not just a performance difference.

I mean it only applies to games that are really trying to push the envelope obviously.
 

Deleted member 36493

User requested account closure
Member
Dec 19, 2017
4,982
Yes, I think E3 2019 will be really boring for Sony, but not really more than this year.
I wouldn't say "boring," but it'll be the last "calm" year. Also, I think that it will be dominated by 3rd-Party games like Star Wars: Jedi Fallen Order, Rocksteady's new game etc. 1st-Party comes in swinging E3 2020 for both Sony and MS.
 

DMVfan123

The Fallen
Oct 25, 2017
7,361
Virginia
I wouldn't say "boring," but it'll be the last "calm" year. Also, I think that it will be dominated by 3rd-Party games like Star Wars: Jedi Fallen Order, Rocksteady's new game etc. 1st-Party comes in swinging E3 2020 for both Sony and MS.
Think E3 2019 will be like E3 2014 where people are screaming at Sony about first parties being missing, like Guerrilla or SSM
 

Zukkoyaki

Member
Oct 25, 2017
11,255
If next gen is fall 2020, I'd say Sony should do what Nintendo did at E3 2016 with Zelda. Have a stream that gives real deep-dives into TLOU, Ghost of Tsushima and Death Stranding. Like, at least 30 minutes of gameplay and devs answering questions for each.

Ghost and Death Stranding are open-world games so there will naturally be a ton to talk about in regards to mechanics and progression. If they don't want to show too much of TLOU they can focus on the multiplayer component.
 

Deleted member 25128

user requested account closure
Banned
Oct 29, 2017
656
From a game point of view 2020 seems more realistic, from a business point of view 2019 seems like a better proposition imho.

If they release in 2019, MS cannot launch in that time. They'll have at least a year because MS cannot bring out a new console too early because of the XB1X. It also means Sony can Up-rez all their games to PS5 and not give MS's new studios time to be ready to promote their next console, because most of the new studios will only have been working on new games for about a year, if they launched in 2020, then Sony is giving them an extra year of free dev time.
 

BitsandBytes

Member
Dec 16, 2017
4,576
If both consoles really do come at the end of 2020 and it is true a number of big next-gen games have been in dev for a year or two already then launch will be a bloodbath of AAA games all vying for sales. That seems like a bad idea for these devs/publishers to me. Some could lose out badly.
 

Thorrgal

Member
Oct 26, 2017
12,281
Because it would be good for everyone if next gen begin in 2020 at the earliest.
  • For consumers, it means a better console or a better price. The least powerful console will be the limit for all third party games for many years.
  • It also means strong exclusives for the launch and the first year. The first half of 2014 was terrible, I really hope we won't live the same thing again.
  • For third party publishers, it means a stronger launch for next-gen, so better sales for their games (and next-gen only third party titles sooner).
  • Sony and Microsoft have no need to hurry. Both have strong exclusives coming to their consoles and these consoles still sell well.

I hope Sony and Microsoft will release their consoles at the same time, with strong exclusives (no cross-gen titles, or just for launch) and at the good price (400$). I don't think it's possible in 2019.

Mathematically, the shorter the period between launches the higher the average graphics quality/per year it would be.
 

SharpX68K

Member
Nov 10, 2017
10,510
Chicagoland
Assuming Horizon 2 and the like will be available at launch is dreaming. What were the PS4 first party launch titles? Let's see...

Knack, Killzone ShadowFall, and PlayRoom. That's it.

You forgot the Prince William-approved and free downloadable Resogun :)

ZIXponM.jpg
 

bsigg

Member
Oct 25, 2017
22,537
If both consoles really do come at the end of 2020 and it is true a number of big next-gen games have been in dev for a year or two already then launch will be a bloodbath of AAA games all vying for sales. That seems like a bad idea for these devs/publishers to me. Some could lose out badly.

Yep. It would be better to fill the launch window and spread releases out by a couple weeks
 

BitsandBytes

Member
Dec 16, 2017
4,576
Yep. It would be better to fill the launch window and spread releases out by a couple weeks

Yeah but the devs don't seem to do this. It is like the heard mentality when it comes to release dates. Look at the games that shifted after RDR2 release date was announced. Most picked Jan/Feb. It's like when you park in a otherwise empty 500 space car park and another car comes along and parks right next to you! Why have none picked March/April/May?
 
Jul 13, 2018
469
Cross-gen games were a terrible idea. In addition to selling poorly on last-gen systems, as people have mentioned over the past few pages in this thread, they put a massive amount of stress on development teams that have to double their SKUs.
Jason, would you say a release on current gen systems, with a definitive edition/remaster released on next-gen systems is a better alternative? I believe myself, along with several others, are under the assumption that many of Sony's E3 showings were possible cross-gen titles due to the lack of platform/release window announcements.

FYI, I'm in the Q4 2019/Q1 2020 crowd for next-gen consoles.
 

Alandring

Banned
Feb 2, 2018
1,841
Switzerland
If next gen is fall 2020, I'd say Sony should do what Nintendo did at E3 2016 with Zelda. Have a stream that gives real deep-dives into TLOU, Ghost of Tsushima and Death Stranding. Like, at least 30 minutes of gameplay and devs answering questions for each.
It can be a good idea, but in 2016, Nintendo didn't have a Nintendo Direct during E3. Sony can do the same thing: no showcase, but a daily event showing exclusives.

Yeah but the devs don't seem to do this. It is like the heard mentality when it comes to release dates. Look at the games that shifted after RDR2 release date was announced. Most picked Jan/Feb. It's like when you park in a otherwise empty 500 space car park and another car comes along and parks right next to you! Why have none picked March/April/May?
Someone said it earlier: we don't have any reason to thing these games release early 2019 because Red Dead 3 is in October 2018. Some examples:
- Sony release an exclusive in February every year.
- Last Resident Evil has been released in January.
- The Division has been released in March.

And we can continue for every game.
 

Jeffram

Member
Oct 29, 2017
3,924
Cross-gen games were a terrible idea. In addition to selling poorly on last-gen systems, as people have mentioned over the past few pages in this thread, they put a massive amount of stress on development teams that have to double their SKUs.
I think we have a very different scenario this transition. Both Xbox One and PS4 stand to have significant price drops and continuing sales, especially the PS4. This time around the cross-Gen games will all be on X86 which will significantly ease multi-sku development.
 

Deleted member 36493

User requested account closure
Member
Dec 19, 2017
4,982
Still 2019 (though 2020 wouldn't actually bother me) It is more a mystery to me right now that we are this close to 2019, with plenty in the know saying 2020 is far more likely/preferable, but at the same time aren't prepared to rule it out completely.

Why?
Just curious after Jason's comments. I feel that his statements are more "definite" for 2020 than Benji's or Matt's.
 

Deleted member 38397

User requested account closure
Banned
Jan 15, 2018
838
Yeah but the devs don't seem to do this. It is like the heard mentality when it comes to release dates. Look at the games that shifted after RDR2 release date was announced. Most picked Jan/Feb. ?

Another expectation that PS5 will be revealed in March! They want to make sure their games are sold before people start holding back for PS5...
 
Oct 25, 2017
17,897
Superheroes.....in a new IP?!?! If only....

But yeah, this game gonna look cool on that new PS5/X2 tech!

I did what I could to get back on topic :P
 

gundamkyoukai

Member
Oct 25, 2017
21,084
I think we have a very different scenario this transition. Both Xbox One and PS4 stand to have significant price drops and continuing sales, especially the PS4. This time around the cross-Gen games will all be on X86 which will significantly ease multi-sku development.

Same here .
It going to be much easier to port things for cross gen .
Most engines already for it among other factors.
 

BitsandBytes

Member
Dec 16, 2017
4,576
Just curious after Jason's comments. I feel that his statements are more "definite" for 2020 than Benji's or Matt's.

His posts are quite clearly not "definite" in ruling out 2019, same with his sources in April. It is why I have said what I did the last few posts about nobody being prepared to rule 2019 out. That wouldn't be the case if 2020 is definite.
 

Deleted member 36493

User requested account closure
Member
Dec 19, 2017
4,982
So we have 3 legitimate, but different viewpoints on PS5's launch:

1 thinks Late 2019 but doesn't rule out 2020, saying 2019 has been the plan for a while
1 thinks Early 2020 but doesn't rule out 2019, confirming 2019 has been the plan for a while
1 thinks Late 2020 but rules out 2019
 

anexanhume

Member
Oct 25, 2017
12,912
Maryland
So we have 3 legitimate, but different viewpoints on PS5's launch:

1 thinks Late 2019 but doesn't rule out 2020, saying 2019 has been the plan for a while
1 thinks Early 2020 but doesn't rule out 2019, confirming 2019 has been the plan for a while
1 thinks Late 2020 but rules out 2019
I feel like the only things we've truly learned are that Sony has moved on from green lighting new PS4 games and that Rocksteady is working on a game with more than one superhero character that has an online element.
 

BitterFig

Member
Oct 30, 2017
1,099
So we have 3 legitimate, but different viewpoints on PS5's launch:

1 thinks Late 2019 but doesn't rule out 2020, saying 2019 has been the plan for a while
1 thinks Early 2020 but doesn't rule out 2019, confirming 2019 has been the plan for a while
1 thinks Late 2020 but rules out 2019
That's a good summary but to me Jason's post reads more like personal speculation than insider info. A lot of 'it seems' and 'probably' and very little of 'a source at Sony told me'.
 

jroc74

Member
Oct 27, 2017
28,992
Thinking about it again. I think sony knows a 2019 release could be the best way to jump into next gen. A whole year before your comp allows them to build a base of 10s of millions.
2019 PS5
2020 Xbox One 2

Then throw in PS5 pro 1 or 2 years after xbox one 2.

With the recent things they've been fixing like cross play,progression and psn now downloads they want to kick start next gen with no negativity. All they need to do is ensure BC with atleast PS4 and they automatically lock in their base for PS5. No one is going to let go of their library so PS5 will be the natural upgrade bath for the 90 million ps4 owners.

If they don't have BC, welp. good luck.gif MS is going to all over you if you pull of that stupidity.

You made a good point with this.

Next gen is really going to be interesting for both Sony and MS.
 

Adookah

Member
Nov 1, 2017
5,720
Sarajevo
Which of Jason's posts? I think you need to explain a bit more.
"A lot of people are taking the cancellation of PSX as a sign that the PS5 is coming next year, but it seems like the exact opposite to me. Not really seeing much of a case for 2019."

Yesterday a lot of us made the conclusion that the cancellation of PSX this year is a sign that the PS5 is coming in 2019 with a PS meeting at the beginning of the year.
 

Kyoufu

Member
Oct 26, 2017
16,582
For me, what kills 2019 is the lack of leaks. We don't know shit about the specs, which is a big red flag imo.

Having said that, would that popular chat app really be in development right now for a system that isn't coming out until late 2020? Hmmm.
 

BitsandBytes

Member
Dec 16, 2017
4,576
"A lot of people are taking the cancellation of PSX as a sign that the PS5 is coming next year, but it seems like the exact opposite to me. Not really seeing much of a case for 2019."

Yesterday a lot of us made the conclusion that the cancellation of PSX this year is a sign that the PS5 is coming in 2019 with a PS meeting at the beginning of the year.

Well we'll see. I do find it weird they aren't doing it this year given it is a general PlayStation celebration event. It doesn't depend solely on new game announcements to work. Not doing PGW would be understandable if you have no new content.
 

BitsandBytes

Member
Dec 16, 2017
4,576
For me, what kills 2019 is the lack of leaks. We don't know shit about the specs, which is a big red flag imo.

Having said that, would that popular chat app really be in development right now for a system that isn't coming out until late 2020? Hmmm.

What app!? And I already told you the specs which I've honed over the last ~18 months....;)

ETA: Also previously I would agree the lack of leaks would've had me ruling 2019 out this late in the day except for what happened with Pro. Plus no one prepared to get off the fence and rule it out.