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December 2017 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes Tuesday, January 9th

Mpl90

Mpl90

Member
Oct 25, 2017
3,215
Welfare said:
https://venturebeat.com/2018/01/18/...ds-the-hardware-pack-in-a-3-29-billion-month/

  1. Call of Duty: WWII
  2. Star Wars: Battlefront II 2017*
  3. Super Mario Odyssey**
  4. NBA 2K18
  5. Mario Kart 8**
  6. Madden NFL 18
  7. PlayerUnknown's Battlegrounds*
  8. Assassin's Creed: Origins
  9. The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild**
  10. Grand Theft Auto V
  11. FIFA 18*
  12. Destiny 2*
  13. Lego Marvel Super Heroes 2
  14. Splatoon 2**
  15. Need for Speed: Payback*
  16. Xenoblade Chronicles 2**
  17. Just Dance 2018
  18. The Sims 4*
  19. Pokemon: Ultra Sun**
  20. Pokemon: Ultra Moon**
* No PC digital sales
** No digital sales

Xbox One

  1. Call of Duty: WWII
  2. PlayerUnknown's Battlegrounds
  3. Star Wars: Battlefront II 2017
  4. NBA 2K18
  5. Madden NFL 18
  6. Assassin's Creed: Origins
  7. Grand Theft Auto V
  8. FIFA 18
  9. Destiny 2
  10. Forza Motorsport 7
PlayStation 4

  1. Call of Duty: WWII
  2. Star Wars: Battlefront II 2017
  3. NBA 2K18
  4. Madden NFL 18
  5. Assassin's Creed: Origins
  6. Grand Theft Auto V
  7. FIFA 18
  8. Need for Speed: Payback
  9. Destiny 2
  10. Horizon Zero Dawn
Nintendo Switch**

  1. Super Mario Odyssey
  2. Mario Kart 8
  3. The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild
  4. Splatoon 2
  5. Xenoblade Chronicles 2
  6. Mario & Rabbids: Kingdom Battle
  7. Pokken Tournament DX
  8. Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim
  9. ARMS
  10. Just Dance 2018
Nintendo 3DS**

  1. Pokemon: Ultra Sun
  2. Pokemon: Ultra Moon
  3. Minecraft
  4. Mario Kart 7
  5. Mario Party: The Top 100
  6. Mario & Luigi: Superstar Saga + Bowser's Minions
  7. Super Smash Bros.
  8. Super Mario Maker
  9. Miitopia
  10. New Super Mario Bros. 2
Click to expand...
Click to shrink...

Thanks Welfare, Venturebeat still didn't show me the article in spite of repeated loading. Working on the OP for the new thread as we're speaking!
 
SharpX68K

SharpX68K

Member
Nov 10, 2017
10,518
Chicagoland
Welfare said:
https://venturebeat.com/2018/01/18/npd-2017-the-10-best-selling-games-of-the-year/

NPD's 10 best-selling games of 2017
  1. Call of Duty: WWII
  2. NBA 2K18
  3. Destiny 2**
  4. Madden NFL 18
  5. The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild*
  6. Grand Theft Auto V
  7. Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon: Wildlands
  8. Star Wars: Battlefront II**
  9. Super Mario Odyssey*
  10. Mario Kart 8*
* Digital sales not included
** PC digital sales not included
Click to expand...
Click to shrink...

GTAV still an absolutely BEAST, all this time after release.
 
Phendrift

Phendrift

Member
Oct 25, 2017
32,312
Fucking awesome result for Zelda on the year end chart. Among all of those multiplats, and without digital included.

Really impressive result for the series.
 
Zedark

Zedark

Member
Oct 25, 2017
14,719
The Netherlands
So Skyrim top 10 releases on Switch for the whole year, behind XBC2 at 9. Looks like good results, but we don't know a limit for those sales, so we can't really say. It looks promising at least.
 
Ryng™

Ryng™

Member
Nov 2, 2017
3,641
Italy
Welfare said:
https://venturebeat.com/2018/01/18/...ds-the-hardware-pack-in-a-3-29-billion-month/

  1. Call of Duty: WWII
  2. Star Wars: Battlefront II 2017*
  3. Super Mario Odyssey**
  4. NBA 2K18
  5. Mario Kart 8**
  6. Madden NFL 18
  7. PlayerUnknown's Battlegrounds*
  8. Assassin's Creed: Origins
  9. The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild**
  10. Grand Theft Auto V
  11. FIFA 18*
  12. Destiny 2*
  13. Lego Marvel Super Heroes 2
  14. Splatoon 2**
  15. Need for Speed: Payback*
  16. Xenoblade Chronicles 2**
  17. Just Dance 2018
  18. The Sims 4*
  19. Pokemon: Ultra Sun**
  20. Pokemon: Ultra Moon**
Click to expand...
Click to shrink...

7 NINTENDO GAMES! And they don't even include digital.

11 If we count multiplatforms. That's huuuuuuuuuuuuuuge
 
DecoReturns

DecoReturns

Member
Oct 27, 2017
22,003
Nintendo has 3 exclusive on the best selling of 2017. Pretty impressive, but perhaps somewhat expected after the Switch success leading to the holiday period?
 
Welfare

Welfare

Prophet of Truth - You’re my Numberwall
Member
Oct 26, 2017
5,917
Full Year 2017

Xbox One
  1. Call of Duty: WWII
  2. Destiny 2
  3. NBA 2K18
  4. Madden NFL 18
  5. Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon: Wildlands
  6. Star Wars: Battlefront II 2017
  7. Grand Theft Auto V
  8. Assassin's Creed: Origins
  9. For Honor
  10. Injustice 2
PlayStation 4
  1. Call of Duty: WWII
  2. NBA 2K18
  3. Destiny 2
  4. Madden NFL 18
  5. Horizon Zero Dawn
  6. Grand Theft Auto V
  7. Star Wars: Battlefront II 2017
  8. Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon: Wildlands
  9. FIFA 18
  10. MLB 17: The Show
Nintendo Switch**
  1. The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild
  2. Super Mario Odyssey
  3. Mario Kart 8
  4. Splatoon 2
  5. Mario & Rabbids: Kingdom Battle
  6. ARMS
  7. Pokken Tournament DX
  8. 1-2 Switch
  9. Xenoblade Chronicles 2
  10. Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim
Nintendo 3DS**
  1. Pokemon: Ultra Sun
  2. Pokemon: Ultra Moon
  3. Pokemon: Sun
  4. Pokemon: Moon
  5. Super Mario Maker
  6. Metroid: Samus Returns
  7. Fire Emblem Echoes: Shadows of Valentia
  8. Super Smash Bros.
  9. Mario Kart 7
  10. Poochy and Yoshi's Wooly World
 
Freddie13

Freddie13

Member
Nov 2, 2017
640
slavesnyder said:
a) because they wanted to sell less consoles in december after having wanted to sell more consoles in november
b) because they wanted to make more profit in december after having wanted to make less profit in november
c) because they wanted to win an imaginary unit selling contest over the arbitrary period of two months
d) they wanted to check if aaron greenberg has the capability to add and compare seven digit numbers
Click to expand...
Click to shrink...
Lol
 
DeuceGamer

DeuceGamer

Member
Oct 27, 2017
3,476
Really nice to hear that packaged retail sales were up in 2017. As someone that is also a collector it's nice to know we will continue getting retail releases for even smaller indie games as well
 
cid85

cid85

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
863
Switch selling over 7 million would make it the top selling console of the year? I don't get it, PS4 sold 20 million last year, are we expecting a massive drop or something?

Edit: Sorry ignore, I was thinking WW lol
 
OP
OP

donny2112

Member
Oct 27, 2017
620
Cool! Numbers for December! (^o^) Using the previously estimated 1.5m for NSW, 1.08m for PS4, and 1.365m for XB1 for the month here.

NPD Prediction Results - December 2017

Units

1. ConfusedGamer - 65,000
2. James - 205,000
2. chobel - 205,000
4. Braaier - 245,000
5. RexNovis - 270,000
6. Zedark - 285,000
6. score01 - 285,000
8. Nocturnal - 310,000
9. Shadowfrosty - 330,000
10. HighJump - 335,000
10. MasterChumly - 335,000
12. allan-bh - 345,000
13. Welfare - 363,000
14. jayu26 - 374,000
15. Lelouch0612 - 375,000
16. Primethius - 380,000
17. Kill3r7 - 385,000
17. LOCK - 385,000
17. Silencerx98 - 385,000
17. Wandu - 385,000
17. jroc74 - 385,000
22. Hammer24 - 392,000
23. Ryng Manuel Tolu - 395,000
23. panda-zebra - 395,000
25. cakely - 410,000
26. MrTired - 415,000
27. freeradical - 422,000
28. Sangetsu-II - 425,000
28. Tarrin - 425,000
30. Frobary - 435,000
30. HPH - 435,000
30. John Bender - 435,000
30. RailWays - 435,000
30. Revolsin - 435,000
30. Rymuth - 435,000
30. archnemesis - 435,000
37. The Last One - 445,000
38. chroeser - 450,000
39. Chris Walken - 455,000
39. Noobie - 455,000
41. Stanng243 - 460,000
42. fareastern - 461,000
43. Jade1962 - 467,000
44. Astrogamer - 475,000
45. 5Twist - 485,000
45. Charamiwa - 485,000
45. Corporate Clown - 485,000
45. DanR93 - 485,000
45. Elandyll - 485,000
45. Ferrasvansen - 485,000
45. Pooroomoo - 485,000
45. Raylan - 485,000
45. TurnoftheCentury - 485,000
45. kowalski - 485,000
45. ninjabat - 485,000
56. Sterok - 495,000
57. CosmicBolt - 505,000
57. NewGuy - 505,000
59. DeuceGamer - 510,000
59. skittzo0413 - 510,000
61. mejin - 515,000
62. Andromeda - 525,000
62. Paronth - 525,000
62. Peek-a-boo! - 525,000
62. useyourloaf - 525,000
66. isahn - 530,000
67. Apal_ytos - 535,000
67. Bitch Pudding - 535,000
67. Dougieflesh - 535,000
67. Limabean01 - 535,000
67. Meelow - 535,000
67. Omnislayer - 535,000
67. donny2112 - 535,000
67. gueras - 535,000
67. theprodigy - 535,000
76. Kaveri - 545,000
76. Psrock1 - 545,000
78. Fdkn - 552,000
79. AceofSpades - 555,000
80. Deku - 565,000
80. DomsPlaying - 565,000
82. Kayant - 570,000
83. Gulfwarvet - 581,000
84. Damian Mahadevan - 585,000
84. Darth Smurf X - 585,000
84. Jildo Fisterfilly - 585,000
84. Jraphics Horse - 585,000
84. Menx64 - 585,000
84. Minatozaki Sana - 585,000
84. StereoVSN - 585,000
84. Trixie Mattel - 585,000
84. bryanee - 585,000
84. ethomaz - 585,000
84. pitseleh - 585,000
84. pld - 585,000
96. Majiebeast - 589,000
97. phantomx - 605,000
98. Samanosuke Akechi - 615,000
98. WillySJ3 - 615,000
98. demigod - 615,000
98. xICHIGOx - 615,000
102. Jokegeta - 625,000
103. Maxina - 630,000
103. Slarvax - 630,000
105. v_iHuGi - 635,000
105. wilmbreak - 635,000
107. Imad issa - 655,000
107. ScopehJ - 655,000
109. Hyaku Shiki - 660,000
110. arnoldocastillo2003 - 673,000
111. Aokiji - 685,000
111. Bundy - 685,000
111. Heruderu - 685,000
111. SmittyWerbenManJensen - 685,000
111. jeromeSF - 685,000
116. Vickton Farway - 700,000
117. KillerMan91 - 715,000
118. Prototype Viktor - 717,000
119. Kyser73 - 735,000
119. Martl - 735,000
119. Metalgearmiyamoto - 735,000
119. Nightwing - 735,000
119. noctix - 735,000
124. Tmecha - 745,000
125. SinCItyAssassin - 760,000
126. slavesnyder - 775,000
127. UmbriaPauly - 785,000
128. Frankfurter - 805,000
129. Mr_F_Snowman - 815,000
130. GongagaSOLDIER - 835,000
131. HstrangeDreaMs - 845,000
132. Corrik - 885,000
133. Mr Swine - 984,000
134. Pachter - 1,005,000
135. ShellshockPrime - 1,010,000
136. Melkr_ - 1,017,000
137. Ge0force - 1,040,000
138. nickslucky - 1,065,000
139. spekkeh - 1,075,000
140. Edigar - 1,085,000
140. gcwy - 1,085,000
142. Canucked - 1,145,000
143. Ex-Actarus - 1,185,000
144. Mitchman - 1,285,000
144. samar11 - 1,285,000
146. TheKidObi - 1,891,000


Points
Code: 
     December 2017                   Overall 2017 Top (10/12)
01.  ConfusedGamer          125.26   Primethius               987.84
02.  James                  118.19   allan-bh                 983.44
03.  chobel                 117.59   Majiebeast               961.42
04.  Braaier                111.79   theprodigy               956.68
05.  RexNovis               109.78   Corporate Clown          955.53
06.  score01                108.13   ethomaz                  955.46
07.  Zedark                 107.38   Sterok                   952.54
08.  Nocturnal              104.98   Elandyll                 949.82
09.  Shadowfrosty           103.86   Welfare                  948.61
10.  NewGuy                  96.80   Kill3r7                  943.28
11.  Jildo Fisterfilly       95.50   Bitch Pudding            942.63
12.  MasterChumly            91.83   Sangetsu-II              942.27
13.  HighJump                90.76   mejin                    939.76
14.  allan-bh                89.86   jayu26                   934.16
15.  Lelouch0612             89.68   Hammer24                 931.82
16.  Kill3r7                 89.40   pitseleh                 928.11
17.  Revolsin                89.36   freeradical              927.80
18.  Welfare                 89.34   Darth Smurf X            927.35
19.  jayu26                  89.18   donny2112                924.76
20.  jroc74                  89.18   Nocturnal                924.03
21.  Primethius              89.08   Rymuth                   921.73
22.  panda-zebra             89.06   archnemesis              915.09
23.  cakely                  89.00   Pachter                  914.66
24.  LOCK                    88.97   HighJump                 907.04
25.  Ryng Manuel Tolu        88.90   KillerMan91              903.67
26.  Wandu                   88.86   Fdkn                     890.56
27.  Silencerx98             88.77   Gulfwarvet               890.04
28.  RailWays                88.71   Stanng243                881.80
29.  Rymuth                  88.50   noobie                   877.47
30.  Pooroomoo               88.25   wilmbreak                849.29
31.  archnemesis             88.11   jroc74                   832.03
32.  Tarrin                  88.06   Shizza                   814.39
33.  Hammer24                88.01   1993dan1                 777.41
34.  Frobary                 87.97   Zedark                   763.75
35.  John Bender             87.96   Kayant                   744.56
36.  MrTired                 87.93   astrogamer               721.90
37.  Sangetsu-II             87.93   slavesnyder              684.32
38.  freeradical             87.92   Trust me, I'm a PhD      660.31
39.  chroeser                87.71   Chobel                   643.69
40.  Charamiwa               87.60   kyser73                  636.02
41.  Ferrasvansen            87.49   Shock32                  623.87
42.  HPH                     87.42   WillySJ3                 587.82
43.  The Last One            87.35   sirronoh                 556.58
44.  5Twist                  87.28   Gaspard                  537.52
45.  Noobie                  87.21   Graphics Horse           511.47
46.  fareastern              87.20   vivekTO                  463.22
47.  Limabean01              87.03   Andy                     455.53
48.  Stanng243               86.98   Opt1kon_                 452.74
49.  Corporate Clown         86.85   harrisk954               429.63
50.  Raylan                  86.85   ThatRandomCliff          426.79

Congratulations, ConfusedGamer for the month and Primethius for the whole year! :D
 
Welfare

Welfare

Prophet of Truth - You’re my Numberwall
Member
Oct 26, 2017
5,917
Damn it should have put Xbox over PS4 :'( At least I'm in the top 10 of the year. Better placement than last year.

Congrats, ConfusedGamer and Primethius!
 
Welfare

Welfare

Prophet of Truth - You’re my Numberwall
Member
Oct 26, 2017
5,917
What I have rounded to the nearest 10K

PS4: 5460K
NSW: 4880K
XB1: 4280K
 
Ryng™

Ryng™

Member
Nov 2, 2017
3,641
Italy
donny2112 said:
Need someone (*raises Welfare signal*) to provide annual results based on estimated public figures. Otherwise, the results would have to be numberless, which isn't as fun. :)
Click to expand...
Click to shrink...

I have those numbers (rounded for 0.01m)

PS4 = 5.46m
NSW = 4.89m
XB1 = 4.28m

By the way, when will you post the 2018 annual prediction thread? :P

EDIT: Beated
 
OP
OP

donny2112

Member
Oct 27, 2017
620
HighJump

HighJump

Member
Oct 27, 2017
443
Alabama
donny2112 said:
Assigning point values based on % closeness to actual results is a way to normalize the value of months, so both December and July are potentially worth the same for predictions.
Click to expand...
Click to shrink...

Thanks! You know what...? That's in the OP. Been doing these for so long I just kinda forgot it was there...

Anyways. Top 25 for the year and top 15 for December. Not bad for half assin it.
 
Ryng™

Ryng™

Member
Nov 2, 2017
3,641
Italy
25 in 146 predictions for December, not bad, i'm cool with that.

But now for real, it's time to play seriusly.

In 2015, i was on GAF for only 4 months
In 2016, i got banned and i didn't predicted the last 3 months
In 2017, ERA happen and i had the chance to predict the last 3 months

I never had a chance to predict all 12 months of the year. No shit this time, i want to have a full year, and i want my results to be the best of the best.

I will be number 1 in 2018 predictions, you heard me!

giphy.gif
 
Last edited:
Benji

Benji

Self Requested Ban
Banned
Oct 25, 2017
8,114
Congrats everyone on your predictions and another year of fantastic sales discussion!

Looking forward to a great 2018 :-)
 
Benji

Benji

Self Requested Ban
Banned
Oct 25, 2017
8,114
Congrats everyone on your predictions and another year of fantastic sales discussion!

Looking forward to a great 2018 :-)

Edit oops sorry for the double post
 
Silencerx98

Silencerx98

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
1,289
#17, huh? Decent, but certainly I can do better than that :P

Congratulations, ConfusedGamer and Primethius!

Welfare said:
What I have rounded to the nearest 10K

PS4: 5460K
NSW: 4880K
XB1: 4280K
Click to expand...
Click to shrink...
Interesting. For 2017, the US contributed only 27% of PS4's global sales despite seeing some boosts over 2016. Wonder how the ratio will look like when the generation is over
 
RexNovis

RexNovis

Member
Oct 25, 2017
4,192
LOL @ Pachter being more than a million units off. Haha wow

Congrats Primethius

If I remember correctly I was in the top two for the year before my forced exit from the running. Have to wonder how's is stack up if I'd been able to participate for all the months.

slavesnyder said:
a) because they wanted to sell less consoles in december after having wanted to sell more consoles in november
b) because they wanted to make more profit in december after having wanted to make less profit in november
c) because they wanted to win an imaginary unit selling contest over the arbitrary period of two months
d) they wanted to check if aaron greenberg has the capability to add and compare seven digit numbers
Click to expand...
Click to shrink...

Haha! Oh man I haven't had a laugh at a post that hard in a while. D is too good. You're the best. <3
 
Last edited:
RexNovis

RexNovis

Member
Oct 25, 2017
4,192
MatPiscatella said:
Lots.
Click to expand...
Click to shrink...

Hey Mat I noticed you only list the top platforms for units and revenue in your YouTube video. Can you tell us which platforms come in #2 and #3 for December in both categories? I'm curious if the substantially higher price point for PS4 in December was enough to offset the sizable much more sizable unit gap between the two especially given the presence of the XB1X.

Cheers!

Edit: oops sorry for the double post. Didn't realize nobody had posted since my last comment
 
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