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SRG01

Member
Oct 25, 2017
7,014
I feel like there's enough Montreal-ERA in here for all of you to get together for a drink :D
 

Vamphuntr

Member
Oct 25, 2017
3,301


Mainstreet ON PC Polling by language

For English voters Elliot is ahead with 24,71 %
For Cantonese and Mandarin voters Ford is ahead with 52,38%
For Tamil, Punjabi and Urdu voters Brown is ahead with 57,89%
 

gutter_trash

Banned
Oct 26, 2017
17,124
Montreal
Oct 28, 2017
233
So how embarassing IS the Trudeau-India thing right now? Would it be enough for Scheer to take him down? I'm honestly worried about this lol
 

Deleted member 12950

User requested account closure
Banned
Oct 27, 2017
1,151
Canada
So how embarassing IS the Trudeau-India thing right now? Would it be enough for Scheer to take him down? I'm honestly worried about this lol

Nigel Wright writing a $90k cheque for Mike Duffy wasn't enough to "bring Harper down" (though it probably was a big factor in the election). Trudeau's almost completely safe until the next election.

With Scheer a replacement-level leader and it being doubtful the NDP will get the kind of momentum to win odds are there will be a Liberal government after the next election. (no Corbyn pun intended, Singh looks to be a more competent leader than Corbyn)

Atwal being invited to dinner, and getting through whatever vetting is in place for foreign dinner engagements, is a pretty stunning bit of incompetence. The government spin that it was the doing of people in the Indian government doesn't seem credible to me - even if they deliberately let him into the country while Trudeau's on the trip the Liberal MP who put him forward for an invitation would have to be in on it.

The trip outside of Atwal seems kind of aimless beyond photo ops to help the Liberals in their re-election campaign but that's basically what photo ops are anywhere.

At Issue on the India trip was pretty good last night:
 
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killerrin

Member
Oct 25, 2017
9,237
Toronto
It's gonna come down to Ford vs. Brown, isn't it. Someone hold me.
Trust me, it's going to be a lot easier to just come to terms with the fact that Ontario is beyond saving this cycle. OLP is too unpopular, OPC is flirting with all the worst ideologies and the ONDP train's broke down and still hasn't left 1990s Bob Rae Station. Now strap in because Doug Ford has hijacked this crazy train.
 

SRG01

Member
Oct 25, 2017
7,014
Trust me, it's going to be a lot easier to just come to terms with the fact that Ontario is beyond saving this cycle. OLP is too unpopular, OPC is flirting with all the worst ideologies and the ONDP train's broke down and still hasn't left 1990s Bob Rae Station. Now strap in because Doug Ford has hijacked this crazy train.

I can picture it now: Doug Ford wins the nom and the election, runs the province into the ground and resigns because of some huge scandal within two years, next leader calls a snap election and ushers in another 20+ years of OLP rule.
 
Oct 25, 2017
319
Ottawa, Canada
I honestly wonder how many East and South Asian OPC members there are though.

A huge number. They're what propelled him to such an enormous victory last time around. I posted this earlier in the thread, but I'll post it again now: Patrick Brown's friendship with Modi could reap rewards at the ballot box

Canada's Southeast Asian communities are a political force, and anyone who can tap into them has a big advantage. They helped Brown win, they helped Singh win the NDP leadership, and they're why I'm willing to bet that Trudeau doesn't mind some of the bad headlines he's currently getting in the mainstream media, because he's probably more than making up for it in ethnic media outlets. I'd be shocked if any of Brown's opponents have the same level of organization amongst those voters -- Ford might have a vague idea of the power of racialized voters thanks to his brother (who, as I understand it, was surprisingly popular in Toronto's Somali community), but even he probably doesn't have the same kind of machine backing him. Whether there are still as many members now as there were when Brown first won is the big question -- if there are, he probably wins easily.

So how embarassing IS the Trudeau-India thing right now? Would it be enough for Scheer to take him down? I'm honestly worried about this lol

Foreign policy is insanely far down on the list of voter concerns, so it won't have any discernible impact. The only people who are angry about it are the ones who weren't voting Liberal anyway, while on the flipside, he's strengthening Liberal support in the GTA and the Greater Vancouver Area, where they may be feeling a little more vulnerable because of Singh and the NDP.
 

Dekuman

Member
Oct 27, 2017
19,026
A huge number. They're what propelled him to such an enormous victory last time around. I posted this earlier in the thread, but I'll post it again now: Patrick Brown's friendship with Modi could reap rewards at the ballot box

Canada's Southeast Asian communities are a political force, and anyone who can tap into them has a big advantage. They helped Brown win, they helped Singh win the NDP leadership, and they're why I'm willing to bet that Trudeau doesn't mind some of the bad headlines he's currently getting in the mainstream media, because he's probably more than making up for it in ethnic media outlets. I'd be shocked if any of Brown's opponents have the same level of organization amongst those voters -- Ford might have a vague idea of the power of racialized voters thanks to his brother (who, as I understand it, was surprisingly popular in Toronto's Somali community), but even he probably doesn't have the same kind of machine backing him. Whether there are still as many members now as there were when Brown first won is the big question -- if there are, he probably wins easily.



Foreign policy is insanely far down on the list of voter concerns, so it won't have any discernible impact. The only people who are angry about it are the ones who weren't voting Liberal anyway, while on the flipside, he's strengthening Liberal support in the GTA and the Greater Vancouver Area, where they may be feeling a little more vulnerable because of Singh and the NDP.

You're probably treating the south asians as a monolithic block even though your comments already suggest they don't vote as such.

The Indian PM snubbed Trudeau precisely because of the number of alleged Sikh separatists in his cabinet and concerns over how strong his support is to a united India. The question on voter intention will come down to demographics of south Asians in a particular riding.
So Modi's support helping Brown would be important is the south asians identify in a particular way as opposed to identifying as Sikh, which may be more friendly to Trudeau's messaging, if your theory is correct.
 

gutter_trash

Banned
Oct 26, 2017
17,124
Montreal
i've noticed a number of successful Indian-American personalities being Trump supporters and get appointed by the Trump administration like Nikki Haley as UN Ambassador, the FCC Chair (Ajit Pai) and his Deputy Press Secretary (Raj Shah).

there is some brand of Conservatism that appeals to them (not all of them), but Modi has brewed a brand of Nationalism and Populism from the Right that is shared among many Indian-Canadians and Indian-Americans.

case point: Donald Trump
 
Oct 25, 2017
319
Ottawa, Canada
i've noticed a number of successful Indian-American personalities being Trump supporters and get appointed by the Trump administration like Nikki Haley as UN Ambassador, the FCC Chair (Ajit Pai) and his Deputy Press Secretary (Raj Shah).

there is some brand of Conservatism that appeals to them (not all of them), but Modi has brewed a brand of Nationalism and Populism from the Right that is shared among many Indian-Canadians and Indian-Americans.

case point: Donald Trump

There have been a number of fascinating articles (example, and another one) about how Trump is bizarrely huge amongst certain Indian voters.

You're probably treating the south asians as a monolithic block even though your comments already suggest they don't vote as such.

The Indian PM snubbed Trudeau precisely because of the number of alleged Sikh separatists in his cabinet and concerns over how strong his support is to a united India. The question on voter intention will come down to demographics of south Asians in a particular riding.
So Modi's support helping Brown would be important is the south asians identify in a particular way as opposed to identifying as Sikh, which may be more friendly to Trudeau's messaging, if your theory is correct.

Absolutely -- to be clear, there's no single South Asian voting bloc in Canada. In fact, there are even competing blocs within each party. But generally, it's always good to remember that it's a very politically engaged community (or group of communities) who mobilize extremely well.
 
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gutter_trash

Banned
Oct 26, 2017
17,124
Montreal
at the conclusion, the Indian trip will have cost Trudeau more votes than gains.

a) Non-Sikh Indian-Canadians will not forgive that dinner guest with dubious ties. those votes are lost and are now Conservative votes.

b) Okay, he wanted to compete with Jagmeet Singh with Sikh votes. But was it all worth it to piss off non-Sikh Indian-Canadian votes for?


For white people, it's another waste of tax payer dollars.

I see this from a Centrist lens. And I agree with the entire CBC At Issue Panel on this one.
 

S-Wind

Member
Nov 4, 2017
2,175
Absolutely -- to be clear, there's no single Southeast Asian voting bloc in Canada. In fact, there are even competing blocs within each party. But generally, it's always good to remember that it's a very politically engaged community (or group of communities) who mobilize extremely well.

You use the term "Southeast Asian" (Vietnamese, Thai, Laotian, Cambodian, Burmese, etc.) when from the rest of your text it sounds like you are actually referring to South Asian (Indian, Pakistani, Sri Lankan, etc.)
 
Oct 25, 2017
319
Ottawa, Canada
You use the term "Southeast Asian" (Vietnamese, Thai, Laotian, Cambodian, Burmese, etc.) when from the rest of your text it sounds like you are actually referring to South Asian (Indian, Pakistani, Sri Lankan, etc.)

Thanks for the correction -- you're right. Fixed!

And gutter_trash , I imagine that Trudeau will get a little more leeway than Singh. Isn't Singh banned from India for his support of the Khalistan independence movement?
 

gutter_trash

Banned
Oct 26, 2017
17,124
Montreal
If I cannot forgive the PQ for a speech made by Parizeau 23 years ago, I doubt that Trudeau will be forgiven among the Indian community for that dinner guest misstep.

Do not understatement this boobo. It is a longterm booboo among that voter base.

Conservatives are the benefactors from this bungled India trip. And it's Trudeau's hubris of trying too hard to pander to multiple groups at the same time.
 

firehawk12

Member
Oct 25, 2017
24,162
A huge number. They're what propelled him to such an enormous victory last time around. I posted this earlier in the thread, but I'll post it again now: Patrick Brown's friendship with Modi could reap rewards at the ballot box

Canada's Southeast Asian communities are a political force, and anyone who can tap into them has a big advantage. They helped Brown win, they helped Singh win the NDP leadership, and they're why I'm willing to bet that Trudeau doesn't mind some of the bad headlines he's currently getting in the mainstream media, because he's probably more than making up for it in ethnic media outlets. I'd be shocked if any of Brown's opponents have the same level of organization amongst those voters -- Ford might have a vague idea of the power of racialized voters thanks to his brother (who, as I understand it, was surprisingly popular in Toronto's Somali community), but even he probably doesn't have the same kind of machine backing him. Whether there are still as many members now as there were when Brown first won is the big question -- if there are, he probably wins easily.
It's interesting, because my parent's generation, people who came here in the 80s, are fairly disengaged. Like they vote and they follow the news, but they aren't party members and all that. I guess that's slowly changed with more recent immigrants to the country with better outreach programs.
 

Deleted member 12950

User requested account closure
Banned
Oct 27, 2017
1,151
Canada
Jen Gerson/Maclean's got their hands on a recording of the first Patrick Brown conference call after before CTV broke the story. I'm sure you'll find it amusing

The phone call that ended Patrick Brown's leadership

Brown makes his pitch: "I said if it's the will of the team then I'm prepared to resign. But can we please allow me to do this with some dignity to meet with you guys tomorrow. We have half a caucus on this call. I'm saying that I'm going to be a team player. I've been a Conservative all my life. I'm never going to put the party in a difficult position so we will decide what to do tomorrow. You've got my commitment that if I need to fall on my sword, even though and I stress this, they're complete bullshit lies. Even though they are, I will always do what's right for the party. Let's meet tomorrow, pick a time that works for everyone and I will be there and I'm willing to fall on the sword."
 
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Tiktaalik

Member
Oct 25, 2017
3,426
Foreign policy is insanely far down on the list of voter concerns, so it won't have any discernible impact. The only people who are angry about it are the ones who weren't voting Liberal anyway, while on the flipside, he's strengthening Liberal support in the GTA and the Greater Vancouver Area, where they may be feeling a little more vulnerable because of Singh and the NDP.

Is Trudeau actually strengthening Liberal support with South Asians in the GTA and Metro Vancouver from this trip? If Indians are laughing at Trudeau for his non-stop Mr. Dressup act, then I would think there would be a pretty good chance that Canadians of South Asian descent are also laughing and perhaps even feeling a bit embarrassed by him. It's pretty obvious that this trip is a big photo op to try to prop up his cred before a 2019 election against Singh. This is something I'd expect South Asian Canadian communities to see right through as well and not necessarily be impressed by.

Thanks for the correction -- you're right. Fixed!
And gutter_trash , I imagine that Trudeau will get a little more leeway than Singh. Isn't Singh banned from India for his support of the Khalistan independence movement?

Singh is banned from India due to saying that riots that resulted in the deaths of many Sikhs was state sponsored violence.

...
Sources say what triggered alarm bells in the Indian Home Ministry were statements Mr. Singh made at various public gatherings last year on the issue of the killing of Sikhs in New Delhi and elsewhere after the assassination of former prime minister Indira Gandhi on Oct. 31, 1984, by her own bodyguards.

In the riots that ensued, reports say, more than 3,000 people were killed.

The 34-year-old Mr. Singh, a litigation lawyer who was born and educated in Canada, has said that "the word 'riot' is a misnomer for what happened in November, 1984. I have been propagating the issue that these were not riots between the two [Hindu and Sikh] communities. Instead it was a state-sponsored massacre."

He has also reportedly used the word "genocide" to refer to the killings of Sikhs.
...

I heard an interesting CBC radio interview with Ujjal Dosanjh the other day, where he talked about how he felt that all Canadian political parties are guilty of playing footsie with Sikh separatists to win votes in certain ridings.
 

firehawk12

Member
Oct 25, 2017
24,162

Zip

Member
Oct 28, 2017
4,019
Oh FFS people of Ontario - don't massively fuck up by exposing yet more people to Ford family shit. Please. Come on.

Guy's brother was a disaster for the city? Oh, I know, let's put him in the running for leader of the province!

We already have a wonderful example of what promoting such idiots to high office does just by looking directly south of us. People better not be this dumb.
 

Fuzzy

Completely non-threatening
The Fallen
Oct 25, 2017
18,127
Toronto
Oh FFS people of Ontario - don't massively fuck up by exposing yet more people to Ford family shit. Please. Come on.

Guy's brother was a disaster for the city? Oh, I know, let's put him in the running for leader of the province!

We already have a wonderful example of what promoting such idiots to high office does just by looking directly south of us. People better not be this dumb.
If he wins the leadership the people are doubly dumb because they paid the party to do so.
 

djkimothy

Member
Oct 27, 2017
5,456
Lets throw some more spice into the mix!

White nationalist endorses Tanya Granic Allen's Tory leadership campaign
https://www.thestar.com/news/queens...a-granic-allens-tory-leadership-campaign.html
Fromm is director of the Canadian Association for Free Expression, which is "dedicated to free speech, immigration reform, and restoring political sanity," according to its website.

The Southern Poverty Law Center, an American civil rights organization that tracks hate groups, describes Fromm's association as working "against the Canadian Human Rights Commission to defend anti-Semites, racists and Holocaust deniers from persecution under hate crime and human rights legislation."

Fromm's teaching licence in Peel region was revoked in 2007 due to his participation in white supremacist groups and events.

"All of us have a right to participate in the political process," Fromm told the Star, and said he's looking to become a member of the PC party.

"I admire someone who comes more or less from the outside, who has taken a strong stand."

He said the PCs under Patrick Brown "have strayed far, far, far from the feelings of many people in the grassroots," mentioning among other things the support for "that ridiculous sex-ed program, which I think is offensive to all sorts of people," referring to the Liberal government's revamped sexual education curriculum introduced in 2015.

The gravy train ends here. All aboard the crazy train!
 

Gabbo

Member
Oct 25, 2017
7,565
Oh FFS people of Ontario - don't massively fuck up by exposing yet more people to Ford family shit. Please. Come on.

Guy's brother was a disaster for the city? Oh, I know, let's put him in the running for leader of the province!

We already have a wonderful example of what promoting such idiots to high office does just by looking directly south of us. People better not be this dumb.
Look, those of us not in the OPC have any say in it, he won't be anywhere near the Premiership
 

killerrin

Member
Oct 25, 2017
9,237
Toronto
Lets throw some more spice into the mix!

White nationalist endorses Tanya Granic Allen's Tory leadership campaign
https://www.thestar.com/news/queens...a-granic-allens-tory-leadership-campaign.html


The gravy train ends here. All aboard the crazy train!

Not a train, but...
FTAXJ3S.gif
 

Prax

Member
Oct 25, 2017
3,755
I'm very impressed by this US electrion part deux parody we got going on in Ontario. Unpopular woman on one hand, a buncha clowns wrassling in mud and flirting with the alt-right on the other..
 

djkimothy

Member
Oct 27, 2017
5,456
It looks like Tanya finally offered a response, in Trump style.



=================

In something i want to put to bed. Two different articles that puts PM's India trip into perspective and hopefully puts it to bed.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/india-trudeau-trip-wrap-up-1.4550703

And this one with the Independent.

http://www.independent.co.uk/voices...y-a8223641.html?amp&__twitter_impression=true

Even Alex Penetta admitted that he didn't know of certain items in the first article based on the weekly pile on.
 

Vamphuntr

Member
Oct 25, 2017
3,301
Just like the US, this kind of political circus is symptomatic of an increasingly dysfunctional society. As people get more and more unsatisfied with their current life they slowly turn to blaming the society as a whole for it and electing a populist that is "politically incorrect" thinking that finally one people like them has been enlightened by the truth.
 

mo60

Member
Oct 25, 2017
1,198
Edmonton, Alberta
Who is threatening him?
It's everyone connected to him being threatened supposedly like his friends and family. It's likely that all of the awful things brown did in the past plus his decision to fight for the leadership of the PC's again is causing some people that hate him to go after his famiy and friends.It does not help that he is getting a lot of media coverage right now. Brown and his family members do not deserve to be threatened for brown's poor behaviour.
 

killerrin

Member
Oct 25, 2017
9,237
Toronto
Dear Lord. I may not like the guy and seriously question his/his parties motives. But I would never wish threats on him or anyone he knows.

This entire lead up to the election has just been an absolute shit show.
 
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