With the news of the The Last of Us selling over 17 million copies, I decided to do a little bit of math to figure out where we could be sitting at with the Uncharted series.
In 2015, it was announced that Uncharted 1, 2, and 3
had sold a combined 21 million copies. This was after the announcement of the Uncharted Collection. Now looking at Gfk and NPD data for Uncharted, it's very unlikely the first entry sold above 5 million copies. We can use that as a maximum for it, which leaves us 16 million copies to divide between Uncharted 2 and Uncharted 3. However, looking at series sales before and after Uncharted 3, it's likely the split favors Uncharted 3. We do know that by December 2011, Uncharted 2 had sold more than 5 million copies. Uncharted 3, meanwhile, doubled Uncharted 2's sales at launch.
We can also assume that it's unlikely any significant sales were had by the PS3 entries after this point due to the impending collection, and because we were well into the PS4 generation.
The next series update came in May 2016 when Layden mentioned the
Uncharted series had sold more than 28 million copies. He didn't specify whether he was excluding the sales of Uncharted 4. The Uncharted collection had released at this stage, and Uncharted 4 was released right around the time this statement was made. So an initial shipment of UC4 had almost certainly gone out. No specification was given unfortunately, but there is a chance this figure includes at least some of the first day shipment of Uncharted 4.
Now, if we're going to be incredibly generous, we can give Uncharted: Golden Abyss an approximate figure of 2 million to make sure we cover it with no errors. That would leave you with around 4 million for the Uncharted collection (and potentially some of Uncharted 4) to cover the remaining figure to make the total of 27 million. I think we can assume comfortably that the PS3 entries weren't making any significant sales at this point and remove them from the equation.
We received an update of
Uncharted 4 sales in December 2016, and it was officially at 8.7 million copies.
The last update we have on the series sales was in
December 2017 where it was stated the series had sold 41.7 million copies. This came after the launch of The Lost Legacy, and includes all 4 mainline entries, the Vita title, and The Lost Legacy standalone expansion. We have no separate data for the expansion.
However, with the update of the Uncharted 4 sales, we have a rough idea of the remaining sales which amount to approximately 5 million. This 5 million would be between UC4 and The Lost Legacy most likely. It's unlikely the Uncharted Collection is selling significant amounts now.
With this, we have a baseline that we can assume for the titles in the series:
Uncharted 1 - 5 million or less.
Uncharted 2 & 3 - 16 million between them (Uncharted 2 at 5 million minimum, but the split likely favors Uncharted 3)
Uncharted: Golden Abyss - 2 million maximum
Uncharted Collection - 4 million
Uncharted 4 - 8.7 million copies
After this, you're left with 5 million between Uncharted 4 and The Lost Legacy. I'm gonna guess it's doubtful The Lost Legacy really sold as well as a mainline entry, but it's impossible to tell. Uncharted 4 seemed to show pretty good legs with its sales, and likely has a chunk of that 5 million regardless.
Whatever the case, I think it's pretty safe to say Uncharted 4 has passed 10 million because it only needed 1.3 million sales. And there are 5 million sales unaccounted for between it and The Lost Legacy.