Yeah, I also expecting around 3.5m, but I dont see less than 3m in any case.
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May 2018 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes Tuesday, June 12th
- Thread starter donny2112
- Start date
Yeah, I also expecting around 3.5m, but I dont see less than 3m in any case.
Prices matters, it´s probably the most important issue when buying a gaming product especially for casuals.
I would say that price in a vacuum doesn't mean a lot. However the relative price of your product means a lot.
In Marketing they say that nobody wants to have a cheap product, but they all want a cheaper product.
Aren't you forgetting one or two little games releasing in october, that maybe, just maybe, can move a few more PS4s?
You guys are all stuck in past, instead of comparing unit sales you should be seeing which hardware had the highest revenue, the greatest engagement, how many hours where spent downloading updates and of course how much DLC was brought between 9pm and 11pm every evening.
These are the true indicators of a worthy console champion.
These are the true indicators of a worthy console champion.
The point was to stop the bleeding. Even with its launch and reinvigorated sells late last year they still had their lowest year yet. If the X wasn't released this year would probably be flat or down even more, possibly at sub 100k during slow months like it was so close to last year.
What are u talking about? I'm comparing switch sales to ps4 2nd year sales. Those ps4 sales arent this year.
Are those software sales just randomly listed, or based on units? The revenue chart is completely different. As it should be, just wondering.
Ohhhh, forgot about digital sales. That explains it. Thanks.
Does nintendo not always skew higher towards the holiday quarter than Sony/MS ?
Besides that, Nintendo clearly loaded Q3 with games, so their holiday will be up, as will their Q4.
Since Q3 is the bulk of their sales anyway, YoY increases there will be much more crucial to hitting 20m than anything in Q1/2.
Yes but not usually to the degree demanded here for that 20 million forecast to work. They would need higher growth for holiday quarter than with that Wii comparison and we are talking about the Wii.
if retail loses faith and nintendo kicks in with marketing around christmas, online retailers might be in for a treat.
Red dead redemption 2, not exclusive to PS4, but excluding Switch. But it will sell a lot of PS4 and Xbox one.
OP
OP
Not sure if Mat could respond, but as an educated guess, it could've been to give some separation between physical release and physcial+digital release like is seen in normal months.
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ResetERA Aggregate Predictions - May-2018
1. PS4 - 217K
2. NSW - 166K
3. XB1 - 139K
NPD Prediction Results - May 2018
Units
1. mejin - 20,000
2. Ryng Manuel Tolu - 22,000
3. Noobie - 23,000
4. AceofSpades - 25,000
4. Sangetsu-II - 25,000
6. Expy - 26,000
7. MrTired - 30,000
7. Phantom Thief - 30,000
7. Shakka43 - 30,000
10. freeradical - 31,000
11. Slarvax - 34,000
12. Astrogamer - 35,000
12. Elandyll - 35,000
12. Grads - 35,000
12. Jildo Fisterfilly - 35,000
12. Kaveri - 35,000
12. KillerMan91 - 35,000
12. Martl - 35,000
12. MasterChumly - 35,000
12. Rymuth - 35,000
12. pitseleh - 35,000
22. JSG87 - 37,000
22. Kyser73 - 37,000
24. Heartskips - 40,000
24. HighJump - 40,000
24. James - 40,000
24. RexNovis - 40,000
24. brykuhn91 - 40,000
24. gueras - 40,000
24. useyourloaf - 40,000
31. kowalski - 42,000
32. Zedark - 45,000
33. Bitch Pudding - 47,000
33. Stanng243 - 47,000
35. Myriotes - 48,000
36. Fdkn - 49,000
37. Corporate Clown - 50,000
37. John Bender - 50,000
37. Kill3r7 - 50,000
37. Wander_ - 50,000
37. rahzel - 50,000
42. Wandu - 51,000
43. allan-bh - 52,000
44. N.47H.4N - 53,000
45. LordZap - 55,000
45. Pachter - 55,000
45. ethomaz - 55,000
45. jroc74 - 55,000
49. Andromeda - 58,000
50. Peek-a-boo! - 59,000
51. Nocturnal - 60,000
51. Primethius - 60,000
51. Welfare - 60,000
51. slavesnyder - 60,000
55. CosmicBolt - 63,000
56. chroeser - 64,000
57. Darth Smurf X - 65,000
57. Harris Katz - 65,000
57. score01 - 65,000
60. cakely - 69,000
61. ConfusedGamer - 70,000
61. Omnislayer - 70,000
61. chobel - 70,000
64. Euler007 - 75,000
65. Pablo Mesa - 77,000
66. Hammer24 - 84,000
66. jayu26 - 84,000
68. darkside - 85,000
69. SaberX85 - 86,000
70. donny2112 - 95,000
71. gcwy - 100,000
72. ResetEraIsTheBestEra - 125,000
73. Renna Hazel - 130,000
74. Mr Swine - 135,000
75. phantomx - 153,000
Points
Code:
May 2018 Overall 2018 Top (4/5)
01. mejin 122.81 mejin 424.39
02. Ryng Manuel Tolu 118.57 freeradical 415.98
03. Noobie 116.61 Elandyll 412.01
04. Sangetsu-II 113.94 Ryng Manuel Tolu 407.16
05. AceofSpades 113.67 allan-bh 407.12
06. Expy 110.17 kowalski 403.52
07. Phantom Thief 108.61 Andromeda 402.59
08. MrTired 107.95 Welfare 400.25
09. Shakka43 107.79 CosmicBolt 399.66
10. freeradical 104.61 Limabean01 397.85
11. Kaveri 104.28 chroeser 397.54
12. MasterChumly 104.14 jroc74 397.36
13. Elandyll 104.14 Martl 395.45
14. Rymuth 104.14 RexNovis 394.48
15. Kyser73 103.84 MrTired 394.27
16. Astrogamer 103.60 Kaveri 389.82
17. Martl 103.32 useyourloaf 388.81
18. HighJump 103.13 Sangetsu-II 387.83
19. Grads 103.06 ResetEraIsTheBestEra 387.51
20. Slarvax 102.82 Fdkn 387.19
21. Heartskips 102.59 Expy 386.97
22. JSG87 102.56 Darth Smurf X 385.55
23. kowalski 102.18 Primethius 384.81
24. James 102.17 Hammer24 384.31
25. RexNovis 102.06 KillerMan91 383.49
26. gueras 101.91 cakely 382.36
27. brykuhn91 101.50 Corporate Clown 381.97
28. Bitch Pudding 101.38 Stanng243 381.79
29. Pachter 101.31 Nocturnal 381.68
30. Myriotes 101.23 Wandu 381.23
31. Corporate Clown 101.11 pitseleh 378.88
32. Zedark 101.02 Astrogamer 378.58
33. Kill3r7 100.83 Rymuth 377.29
34. rahzel 100.69 slavesnyder 376.95
35. Wandu 100.63 gueras 376.29
36. allan-bh 100.37 Astandahl 375.97
37. Stanng243 100.29 Kill3r7 374.06
38. LordZap 100.23 Grads 372.86
39. Primethius 100.02 chobel 372.78
40. Fdkn 99.97 Jildo Fisterfilly 372.63
41. jroc74 99.96 Zedark 372.59
42. Welfare 99.62 jayu26 372.43
43. slavesnyder 99.62 Bitch Pudding 372.09
44. ethomaz 99.56 Slarvax 371.23
45. Wander_ 99.37 donny2112 371.03
46. N.47H.4N 98.63 ConfusedGamer 369.89
47. Andromeda 98.37 Phantom Thief 368.76
48. Euler007 98.07 DanR93 367.44
49. Nocturnal 98.00 Majiebeast 367.05
50. Darth Smurf X 97.80 James 364.80Congratulations, mejin! :D
Fucking hell. My predictions are terrible this year.
But how many snacks got eaten? More than 6 million this time?
4th Place!! Highest I have ever ranked!
Should have had more faith on XB1, I would have been first.
Should have had more faith on XB1, I would have been first.
Hi.
The advisory for June 2018 sales data will release on Tuesday, August 7th.
We are undergoing a data migration to a new "Combined Global DecisionKey Dataset" which sounds neat when said but where the acronym leaves much to be desired.
The media advisory will continue to focus on the US market.
The advisory for June 2018 sales data will release on Tuesday, August 7th.
We are undergoing a data migration to a new "Combined Global DecisionKey Dataset" which sounds neat when said but where the acronym leaves much to be desired.
The media advisory will continue to focus on the US market.
Lol...was his post sarcasm? MS did a little extra spin, but the joke is getting old now. There was merit it analyzing the success of a console in other metrics besides hardware sold off shelves.
Next month. I think Switch wins with Fortnite. PS4 wins until October with Forza, and then Switch wins December again. All the predicting I'm doing lol
You need to get creative with acronyms.
How about something like Accumulated Global DecisionKey Original Dataset. AGDOD rolls off the tongue quite a bit better.
I'm super salty right now lmao, because tecnically with the estimate we got i should be first :P
PS4 223K / NSW 167K / XB1 145K, but instead we rounded estimate to 5K so with those adjustments i end up beinng second.
But i'm ok with this, what really matter is that i started the year very bad out of TOP 30 i think, but every months i got better results and now overall this year i'm #4.
That's very good, but not enought! I plan to be first this year, so watch out for the nexts NPD predictions. >:D
Yeah Horizon is coming in October. I think it sells very well and should be bigger because it has the X1X to push its graphical capabilities and increase appeal.Forza?
So long as it doesn't involve the changing of anyone's avatar... good luck
Yeah, Switch had a great December last year with nothing big except XC2 (is that even big?) since Odyssey in October.
Pokémon in Nov and Smash in Dec I don't see how it doesn't obliterate last years
Oddyssey carried Nintendo all october, November, December, january, February and March
With their line up this year I expect 4-4.5M during Fall
Dont forget Super Mario Party in October also, of course it's not nearly big game like Mario Odyssey last year, but definitely can keep up momentum.
MP might be and sleeping giant tho
1) Party type games seems to be working on Switch, I mean, Look a 1-2 Switch
2) MP was actually a 9M seller during Wii and DS era.