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Quinnipiac poll finds Dems +9 in the GCB, finds a 33/34 pt gender gap in both GCB and VA-Sen races
- Thread starter Kirblar
- Start date
Nah. Just white women, 53% that went to Trump (which is absolutely shameful, mind). For all women overall, Hillary had more votes.
Everyone says that, but 2016 was even more lopsided for white male than white women. 62% of all white males voted Trump, while white women were 52%.
https://www.cnn.com/election/2016/results/exit-polls/national/president
No, she won the overall female vote. She did however, lose the white female vote.
Gender gap is completely understandable. On average mothers will have more empathy for the kids being split up with families, and the Supreme Court likely to be pro life is going to super energize women voters. November is going to be a red wedding for the GOP. Vote.
No no Trump was just so amazing he was going to buck trends and there wasn't going to be a swing year after the opposite party won the election.
Trump is so awful it's actually going to be amazing. I think we get the House and Senate, but vote vote vote.
Trump is so awful it's actually going to be amazing. I think we get the House and Senate, but vote vote vote.
Always a good reminder, but not the subject of what I was responding to.
Is it too early for think pieces about how the Democrats should do more outreach to the often ignored male demographic?
OP
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Already exist, there's stuff you can do on that axis (expand EITC to singles/non-custodial parents, legalize weed) that can be sold to various parts of it.
I was making fun of the commentary rush to hang the Dems regarding how they "ignored" poor white rural voters, but uh, I guess I don't disagree with anything you're saying.
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This is actually going the other direction because more slightly male babies are born naturally, and women have pulled ahead historically because they've out-Darwin'd men. But with less wars/accidents/violence men are now living past their 20s more often and it's started a slight trend in the other direction.More women than men in the population
Democrats up 8 in an IBD/TIPP poll.
A- rating on 538, usually with a slight Republican bias, so the weighted result is probably slightly better for us.
A- rating on 538, usually with a slight Republican bias, so the weighted result is probably slightly better for us.
I'd rather have positive complacency over the stupid defeatism from other threads.
That just makes me wonder: has anyone ever actually met a liberal incel?
I was thinking maybe one of those never take a shower hippies, but every single older hippie I have met is married or has a girlfriend/boyfriend.
We keep saying this (and we probably should), but at this point it's clear the government isn't going to let the general public become complacent with how dedicated they are to constantly finding a new low.
They also had Northam with a huge lead before the the elections last year and most didn't believe it but it turns out he won by 9 points and they were the closest one to the final result.
Right.
That very factor will likely make this year the midterm with the highest turnout in decades. You can't ignore this government, no matter how you try.
People are so comfortable in believing that Trump is gonna win no matter what. That Democrats will always be in disarray. I guess they say those things because it makes them feel better about being apathetic.
That's clearly not old white women. Young women and women of color at all ages, are on fire. The heroes we need. Saving America from itself.
It's hard to trust the media that analyzes the polls, not the polls. The ignoring of uncertainty in favor of comfy cofirmation bias was off the charts.
Please take an hour of time to read this series if you think 2016 was some massive hit to the credibility of the polls https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-real-story-of-2016/
Of course the usual suspects are nowhere to be found unless it's a "Dems in disarray!" thread
That's Autodidact's name for the phenomenon that the media has for only wanting approval from conservatives. Democrats can't even get interviews during a bunch of huge national stories; the media only wants to be patted by conservatives (Strong White Daddies)
That's Autodidact's name for the phenomenon that the media has for only wanting approval from conservatives. Democrats can't even get interviews during a bunch of huge national stories; the media only wants to be patted by conservatives (Strong White Daddies)
Yep. Republicans, whose base largely comprises white men, have an unearned reputation for competence. White men run everything, so they must be strong. Republicans could never be in disarray or be behind in the polls.
Democrats' base, meanwhile, comprises women and minorities, groups who've been denigrated, stereotyped, and dismissed. Those negative perceptions shape people's views of the party: they must be in disarray because how could a bunch of weak (women), whiny (gays), irresponsible (black) people ever hope to beat the strong white daddies?
When you see that political journalism is largely populated by straight white men, you understand why media portray the parties in the way they do.