The fist "top candidate" dropping out at this point would probably be Beto.none of the top candidates are dropping out now. they would be dumb to hence any discussion about one of them dropping out is just absolutely worthless
there are more debates to be had and you can bet your ass unless something drastically changes biden, bernie, warren, and harris are going to be in the race for the first primary states
No, absolut no my policies and ideology ;)also can everyone please take a moment to appreciate that we have two candidates like bernie and warren polling where they are, having the debate presence that they have had, and basically dictating the primary narrative in regards to the debate around policy
Your own gender and identification doesn't really have a lot to do with what that poster brought up regarding your arguments thoLet's avoid putting words in the mouths of others. You know neither my gender self identification nor my sexuality nor my relationship to activism with regards to disenfranchised people. Have a nice night.
Hey, can you stop misusing the term bullying? thanks.
Bernie in second, Warren rising, and Harris falling are all positive signs. Now if Biden would just drop out that would be great.First fully after debate poll:
https://morningconsult.com/2019/08/02/detroit-debates-deliver-meager-returns-for-bidens-challengers/
For the record, Biden recovered his numbers entirely from last months debate. There was a dip, for about two weeks, before people flocked back to him. Harris was not "destroyed" by Gabbard in the polls, Bernie and Warren's zingers didn't change anyone's minds. On a side note, the eight in the graph are the only ones who qualify for the next debate atm.
Warren dropping out would give a bigger bump to Harris than Bernie.
Like... they should kick his ass?Biden isnt dropping out.. someone has to take him down. I feel Bernie and Warren may have to team up to do this. And a simple debate performance may not be enough.
No it's August polling so obvious we know now that Sanders is going to poll better than Warren and Kamala when it matters, so they both need to drop out now so BIden can be defeated!
I mean Bernie is my second choice, but come on now. If everybody drops out Bernie will win!
Bernie / Warren really aren't separated by much looking at the polls at aggregate - she also has a few polls above 15% within the past month or so. I don't see any reason Warren can't overtake him given the base he started with vs Warren building a national coalition from the ground up.Will Warren dropout though? Bernie is firmly in second place and MANY polls put him at double of her. And she has had two spectacular debates, yet it seems she has a very firm ceiling of 15% or 9% depending on the poll.
Warren isn't dropping out and Bernie fans who hope for one of the few viable women candidates to drop out....isn't the best look.
Warren isn't dropping out and Bernie fans who hope for one of the few viable women candidates to drop out....isn't the best look.
Some napkin theory.
If Biden drops out, Bernie's lead is cemented over Warren because the "old white guy can beat Trump" voters will go to Bernie.
If Warren drops out, her supporters will probably go to Bernie or Buttigieg/the rest. If the lower tiers also drop out it just might put Bernie over the edge over Biden.
If Bernie drops out, I feel like his support would split between Biden and Warren and I don't think Warren can take it over Biden then.
Bernie / Warren really aren't separated by much looking at the polls at aggregate - she also has a few polls above 15% within the past month or so. I don't see any reason Warren can't overtake him given the base he started with vs Warren building a national coalition from the ground up.
RealClearPolitics - Election 2020 - 2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination
RealClearPolitics - Election 2020 - 2020 Democratic Presidential Nominationwww.realclearpolitics.com
She also has a couple Economist polls at 18 and a NBC poll at 19 within the past month but if you want to pretend they don't exist, ok I guess? I'm not saying her support is that high, but there are plenty of indicators she is a real contender to Bernie/Biden.She literally just had one sketchy poll by YouGov (coastal bias) at 20%. The only poll keeping her in that average too. RCP are not including many polls were Bernie doubles Liz.
Lol many polls don't put Sanders way ahead of Warren. It's basically just the same pollster over and over (Morning Consult).
First fully after debate poll:
https://morningconsult.com/2019/08/02/detroit-debates-deliver-meager-returns-for-bidens-challengers/
For the record, Biden recovered his numbers entirely from last months debate. There was a dip, for about two weeks, before people flocked back to him. Harris was not "destroyed" by Gabbard in the polls, Bernie and Warren's zingers didn't change anyone's minds. On a side note, the eight in the graph are the only ones who qualify for the next debate atm.
Iowa is 6 months away.I am not well versed in politics but why does Biden still have such a strong lead? It's kinda disparaging...
Poll movement really won't start to happen significantly till after this year's elections. (barring like, someone being outted a la John Edwards as having a love child) Only the hardcore are paying much attention.I am not well versed in politics but why does Biden still have such a strong lead? It's kinda disparaging...
As an outsider not from the US who just follows the news a little , I watched the highlights of these debates recently and I don't really understand how the fuck Biden is that high. Hes unintelligible half the time he speaks and nothing much he says makes sense. Is it just me??
As an outsider not from the US who just follows the news a little , I watched the highlights of these debates recently and I don't really understand how the fuck Biden is that high. Hes unintelligible half the time he speaks and nothing much he says makes sense. Is it just me??
I like Sanders and Warrens policies more, but lean more towards Warren as the candidate who to me, has impressed me the most.
Anyones better than Trump I suppose though
"I want to give you free money"Someone explain to me how Andrew Yang is so close to Beto and Cory. Is he popular somewhere due to something?
Someone explain to me how Andrew Yang is so close to Beto and Cory. Is he popular somewhere due to something?
Someone explain to me how Andrew Yang is so close to Beto and Cory. Is he popular somewhere due to something?
Ehh, I feel like it should be explain to me how Booker is so close to Beto and Yang. The latter two have had a bigger online following for a little longer.Someone explain to me how Andrew Yang is so close to Beto and Cory. Is he popular somewhere due to something?
I am not well versed in politics but why does Biden still have such a strong lead? It's kinda disparaging...
its all name recognition
thats the only explanation im willing to accept
I don't think so. Pretty sure most of the top tier candidates have almost universal name recognition at this point.
i consider biden being our VP for 8 years a part of name recognition, i think thats part of it
They don't. Only Biden and Sanders do.I don't think so. Pretty sure most of the top tier candidates have almost or at least pretty darn close to universal name recognition at this point.
Yeah and a lot of voters really want to wave a magic wand to go back in time to the Obama years. Biden is selling them that fantasy as the main part of his platform.They don't. Only Biden and Sanders do.
Biden has 1) Obama-shield, 2) being a white man, 3) name recognition, and 4) being seen as electable, which is really just 2+3 anyway.
Yeah and a lot of voters really want to wave a magic wand to go back in time to the Obama years. Biden is selling them that fantasy as the main part of his platform.
About a quarter of people don't know who Harris is, or know enough to say they've got a favourable or unfavorable opinion. About a fifth for Warren. I wouldn't really call that universal compared to the 95% the two men have.
I don't think so. Pretty sure most of the top tier candidates have almost or at least pretty darn close to universal name recognition at this point.