ITT, predict for the NPD April 2018 retail period (April 8-May 5, 2018) for U.S. hardware sales.
What is NPD?: NPD is one of the main retail tracking firms in the U.S., and also about the only one who specifically goes into detail on video games sales. This thread is to predict what the NPD hardware sales will be for the most recent month. NPD months are defined by the National Retail Federation (find calendar links here).
What do I win?: Bragging rights. We also keep track of predictions over the year and have an annual contest using "points." Still just bragging rights, but SalesEra followers have fun seeing how well we can do with it. See here for details on the point calculations.
Why are there still predictions when official NPD numbers are not released?
Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 8 p.m. EDT on Tuesday, May 15th. Format use is required if you want your entry counted.
NPD Coverage: April 8-May 5, 2018 (4 weeks, March was 5 weeks)
NPD Physical Release: Thursday, May 17th @ 4 p.m. EDT (public thread with physical+digital posted 5 days later on May 22th ~6:30 p.m. EDT)
Format:
[NSW]
[PS4]
[XB1]
Good/Bad Formatting
Potential hardware impacting events in April:
General April slowing
Prediction Format: (repeating to emphasize to use this format)
[NSW]
[PS4]
[XB1]
February's results
March 2017 NPD thread
April 2017 NPD thread
NPD Prediction Thread Archive
What is NPD?: NPD is one of the main retail tracking firms in the U.S., and also about the only one who specifically goes into detail on video games sales. This thread is to predict what the NPD hardware sales will be for the most recent month. NPD months are defined by the National Retail Federation (find calendar links here).
What do I win?: Bragging rights. We also keep track of predictions over the year and have an annual contest using "points." Still just bragging rights, but SalesEra followers have fun seeing how well we can do with it. See here for details on the point calculations.
Why are there still predictions when official NPD numbers are not released?
Trust me said:To have fun? To share thoughts and speculation with a like mined group of people? To be able to communicate directly with individuals who study this industry for a living?
ethomaz said:Since 2010 I guess we don't get official numbers anymore... that doesn't mean we don't get the numbers.
The ranking and results are based in real numbers.
Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 8 p.m. EDT on Tuesday, May 15th. Format use is required if you want your entry counted.
NPD Coverage: April 8-May 5, 2018 (4 weeks, March was 5 weeks)
NPD Physical Release: Thursday, May 17th @ 4 p.m. EDT (public thread with physical+digital posted 5 days later on May 22th ~6:30 p.m. EDT)
Format:
[NSW]
[PS4]
[XB1]
Good/Bad Formatting
Code:
Good Bad
[XB1] 200K [XB1] 200 thousand
[XB1] 200,000 [XB1] 200.000
[XB1] 200000 [XB1] - 200000
Potential hardware impacting events in April:
General April slowing
Prediction Format: (repeating to emphasize to use this format)
[NSW]
[PS4]
[XB1]
February's results
66% drop means 34% of last year. not 44%
So
PS4: 354k
Switch: 308k
XBO: 299k
Edit. Corrected the numbers
So with rounding to nearest 5K, since these are rough estimates based off of % of last year sales, going with 355K, 310K, and 300K for PS4, NSW, and XB1. Thanks! (^_^)
March 2017 NPD thread
April 2017 NPD thread
NPD Prediction Thread Archive