You think this is obtuse, wait till you follow japanese sales leakers.
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April 2019 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes Tuesday, May 14th
- Thread starter donny2112
- Start date
You think this is obtuse, wait till you follow japanese sales leakers.
Can't say I expected a lot of PS4's sold because Days Gone was so late, but I did expect a little bit higher. Wonder if this'll affect May.
Past couple of years have had limited time price cuts around the middle of June.
Yes, I remember the pro being $50 off last June and the gold PS4 slim $50 off in 2017. So probably that again for the steel gray slim PS4 next month.
I think he requested a ban/account closure, but I'm not sure why. Maybe the whole blow up regarding numbers being leaked?
Playstation is doing fine, and they still have exclusives well into 2020 to push the PS4. Xbox is heading into the end of its run this gen since the Xbox One is already very cheap and they lack a worldwide sales presence. Low sales in the NPD is more alarming for them than anyone else.
Why does npd so desperately not want discussion on this topic or any transparency about numbers. I just don't get it, all this seems to be doing is making some people's hobby less fun?
Switch continues to increase it's YTD lead over 2018 and we are really just starting to get into the strong part of the release schedule in June.
who knows and now media create in japan decided to do it as well
Yeah that's annoying too. But in japan at least we still have two other trackers providing extremely detailed information on a weekly basis, npd is a far far cry from that.
I wonder if specific developers have pressured npd into keeping numbers confidential.
He was here as a PR move/risk mitigation on the part of NPD. They clearly changed their strategy so he just up and left.
I could be wrong, but I believe it was said that Sony did not want their numbers available publicly like a decade ago so the NPD had (?) to just not make any of the numbers public.
I appreciated his participation, but that is my point of view as well.
I can say I really didn't like his thinly veiled threat at Aqua the moment he started showing up per example.
NPD clearly told him he was no longer needed here since they talked to the admins directly and now we get less info than ever
Yeah, was what that about? April wasn't exactly a tight race. Switch seems to be comfortable on top, if I interpret the Pokémon right.
I wouldn't be surprised it has been because he wants to keep it professional and certain member was starting to compromise that. Not a bad decision
OP
OP
Personally, I love the literature quotes. Haven't recognized any of the pieces, so far, but love the methodology. I'm guessing like Toumari, by the way. Will post the prediction results next week when the regular PR comes out so as to not draw so much attention to the numbers, too. (^_^)
Benji said that Switch hardware in early April was noticeably down compared to March. Later in the month, he noted that the momentum had picked right back up, so that his idea that maybe Switch was losing a bit of steam due to the empty release schedule from a first party perspective was put to rest right there (as he himself mentioned).
Switch looks to be 30% up YOY if I understand correctly (I don't own Finnegan's Wake), which is right in line with the rest of the year, so it's still doing great.
Someone on VGCGARTZ outright put the numbers out so that's that. Lol.
I'm confused now, what numbers are correct ?
Because there is a big difference with Swtich/Xbox numbers between the number posted here and on VGC forum (PS4 is almost the same)
Slow month but very good numbers for Switch. What a turnaround from Wii U, which was selling like 40k units at that point in lifetime, lol
Days of Play promotion has been confirmed to return this year, but the only thing we know so far is a limited edition PS4 Slim.
Based on previous couple of years we can assume PS4 Slim and/or Pro price cut too as part of the promotion.
Looking at YoY comparisons:
Switch had a greater increase YoY than in January - March (Jan was relatively flat)
XBOX actually with its lowest decline this year so far
PS4 [decline] is driven by [absence of] GoW, nothing else to say
EDIT - YTD comparison (approx.):
Switch had a greater increase YoY than in January - March (Jan was relatively flat)
XBOX actually with its lowest decline this year so far
PS4 [decline] is driven by [absence of] GoW, nothing else to say
EDIT - YTD comparison (approx.):
Code:
NSW | + 22%
XB1 | - 33%
PS4 | - 32%
Last edited:
Switch still going strong despite a fairly weak SW schedule. Only really one month left before the barrage of games start in June. Feeling even more confident that the switch will have a huge year and easily beat Nintendo's forecast.
I meant that its decline is driven by the absence of GoW. Thus its YoY decline is of course the highest for the year, but I think nobody expected otherwise.
Maybe the PS4 would have sold 400k if DG had an 99 score on Opencritic, we will never know ;-)
I got nothing against DG, I did not play it yet. (Many) people seem to enjoy it, that's what matters in the end.
I got nothing against DG, I did not play it yet. (Many) people seem to enjoy it, that's what matters in the end.
I mean regardless it didn't have much effect in the last week for hardware numbers.
I'm only here to post a quick correction.
What I said was in regards to March. I said as the month went on Switch was seeing larger percentage declines on a weekly basis as the month went on than say PS4 or Xbox One. And it would be interesting to see if that continued in April
My predictions, per my YouTube video posted a week ago were the following
Switch - 30% up YoY
PS4 - 50% down YoY
Xbox - 20% down YoY
I was 100% accurate as to the exact percentage increase and decrease for all 3 platforms. Congrats on the high ranking to everyone who utilized my predictions, you will place near the top of the leaderboard
Thanks
Thanks for popping in Benji, glad you're having fun with your YouTube channel!
Thanks Benji, without your video I would have been way too optimistic on all 3 platforms :-D
Days Gone didn't get an LE PS4 Pro like God of War did, for one thing. And when you factor that PS4's price didn't budge in a lower direction in quite some time, you can see how those numbers in one of the weakest sales months in the year should be expected given how late in the gen we are..
I do believe there are tons of people still interested in the PS4, but many think it is stupid to pay $299 for one at this stage of its life.
Thanks for chiming in buddy! Will be checking out your YT place. Wish you all the success with your platforms.
Come back permanently Benji!!! Your presence is greatly missed 😪😪