[NSW] 218K
[PS4] 155K
[XB1] 132K
Hello! This wall of numbers will be comparing the weekly average of March and April. This is when it is beneficial to compare weekly averages and not just simple month to month, because March is a 5 week month while April is only 4. I have gathered high selling software and any hardware deals for April to help show how the month might be impacted. You can go to previous prediction threads for the previous month's potential impacts
Code:
2012
Xbox 360 March: 371K / 5 = 74,200
Xbox 360 April: 236K / 4 = 59,000
Weekly average -20%
PS3 March: 337K / 5 = 67,400
PS3 April: 172K / 4 = 43,000
Weekly average -36%
3DS March: 225K / 5 = 45,000
3DS April: 128K / 4 = 32,000
Weekly average -29%
Notable Releases in April
Xbox 360
Kinect Star Wars 320GB Bundle $449
Code:
2013
Xbox 360 March: 261K / 5 = 52,200
Xbox 360 April: 130K / 4 = 32,500
Weekly average -38%
PS3 March: 211K / 5 = 42,200
PS3 April: 102K / 4 = 25,500
Weekly average -40%
3DS March: 230K / 5 = 46,000
3DS April: 114K / 4 = 28,500
Weekly average -38%
Notable Releases in April
Xbox 360
Injustice: Gods Among Us [4 weeks]
Dead Island: Riptide [2 weeks]
PS3
Injustice: Gods Among Us [4 weeks]
Dead Island: Riptide [2 weeks]
Code:
2014
Xbox One March: 311K / 5 = 62,200
Xbox One April: 115K / 4 = 28,750
Weekly average -54%
PS4 March: 371K / 5 = 74,200
PS4 April: 199K / 4 = 49,750
Weekly average -33%
3DS March: 159K / 5 = 31,800
3DS April: 106K / 4 = 26,500
Weekly average -17%
Xbox 360 March: 111K / 5 = 22,200
Xbox 360 April: 71K / 4 = 17,750
Weekly average -20%
PS3 March: 67K / 5 = 13,400
PS3 April: 35K / 4 = 8,750
Weekly average -35%
Notable Releases in April
3DS
Disney Magical World Special Themed Peach Pink 2DS $129 [4 weeks]
Xbox 360
Titanfall [483,000]
Code:
2015
Xbox One March: 229K / 5 = 45,800
Xbox One April: 187K / 4 = 46,750
Weekly average +2%
PS4 March: 330K / 5 = 66,000
PS4 April: 175K / 4 = 43,750
Weekly average -34%
3DS March: 265K / 5 = 53,000
3DS April: 116K / 4 = 29,000
Weekly average -45%
Notable Releases in April
Xbox One
Gamestop Deal - Trade in Last Gen console and get $125 towards Xbox One [3 weeks]
Best Buy Deal - Trade in Last Gen console and get $175 towards Xbox One [1 week]
Mortal Kombat X [>516k]
PS4
Best Buy Deal - Trade in Last Gen console and get $175 towards PS4 [1 week]
Mortal Kombat X [>734k]
Code:
2016
Xbox One March: 242K / 5 = 48,400
Xbox One April: 168K / 4 = 42,000
Weekly average -13%
PS4 March: 330K / 5 = 66,000
PS4 April: 175K / 4 = 43,750
Weekly average -34%
3DS March: 171K / 5 = 34,200
3DS April: 75K / 4 = 18,750
Weekly average -45%
Notable Releases in April
Xbox One
$50 price cut on all models March 22nd - April 30th (28 days in April NPD / 4 weeks)
Gamestop Deal - Trade in Last Gen console and get $100 towards Xbox One [3 weeks]
Quantum Break 500GB White Bundle $299
Dark Souls 3 [3 weeks] [151K]
Quantum Break [4 weeks] [109K]
PS4
Dark Souls 3 [3 weeks] [353K]
Ratchet & Clank [3 weeks] [207.5K - 237K]
Code:
2017
Xbox One March: 244K / 5 = 48,800
Xbox One April: 110K / 4 = 27,500
Weekly average -44%
PS4 March: 397K / 5 = 79,400
PS4 April: 206K / 4 = 51,500
Weekly average -35%
Notable Events in April
PS4
PS4 Slim 1TB $299 [2 weeks]
Persona 5 [4 weeks]
Code:
2018
Switch March: 310K / 5 = 62,000
Switch April: 170K / 4 = 42,500
Weekly average -31%
Xbox One March: 300K / 5 = 60,000
Xbox One April: 130K / 4 = 32,500
Weekly average -46%
PS4 March: 355K / 5 = 71,000
PS4 April: 325K / 4 = 81,250
Weekly average +14%
Notable Events in April
Switch
LABO Variety Kit $69 [3 weeks]
LABO Robot Kit $79 [3 weeks]
Donkey Kong Country Tropical Freeze [1 week]
Xbox One
Madden 18 free with Xbox One S and X April 22 - May 1 [GameStop] | 10 days
Madden 18 free with Xbox One S and X April 29 - May 5 [Best Buy] | 7 days
PS4
PS4 Pro God of War 4 1TB limited bundle $399 [3 weeks]
God of War 4 [3 weeks] [Can round to 1.9M with bundles and digital]
Code:
2019 March Weekly Average
Switch: 383K / 5 = 76,600
PS4: 253K / 5 = 50,600
Xbox One: 221K / 5 = 44,200
Notable Events in April
Switch
Mortal Kombat 11 [2 weeks]
Xbox One
Xbox One X $449 / Xbox One S $249 + Apex Legends Founders Pack [April 13 - April 27]
Mortal Kombat 11 [2 weeks]
PS4
Mortal Kombat 11 [2 weeks]
Days Gone [2 weeks]
Notes
Not much to say besides console sales continue to slow down from March, but at a faster rate.
Xbox
Xbox One has had plenty of deals sprinkled throughout the years and April has seen a couple of them. April 2015 saw massive trade in deals for the Xbox One at GameStop and Best Buy and April 2016 continued the $50 price drop from March. This helped sales stabilize from their previous March's. April 2014, April 2017, and April 2018 did not have significant deals and collapsed in sales. For context, the Xbox One always has a massive event happen in March so that is why April can either be a decent hold if it has another great deal or will slow massively if there isn't a deal that year.
April 2019 has a $50 price cut for 2 weeks, so 2016 would be a decent comparable. Actual weekly average won't be as close, but the price cut can help keep sales from falling to the over 40% drops of the past couple of years.
The Xbox One so far averages a decrease of -31%, with a rise of +2% (2015) and a maximum decrease of -46% (2014). Remove 2015 and the average drops to -39%.
Playstation
The PS4 had been very consistent in its drop from March to April before 2018. An average of -34%, with a minimum of -33% (2014) and maximum of -35% (2017).
God of War had different ideas and it brought PS4 sales to increase a massive +14% on top of an already great March. It was the best April of the generation and best since the Wii's 340K in
2009. Obviously this event is a massive outlier, but shows that such events are possible. You just need the biggest Playstation first party exclusive in the US to be an amazing 94 Metacritic GOTY.
2019 is pretty much like every other year. Nothing that will absolutely push sales in April.
Nintendo
The 3DS averages a decrease of -35%, with a minimum of -17% (2014) and a maximum of -55% (2015 and 2016).
Switch is currently selling incredibly well off the back of software released in 2018, but who's to say how long that can keep up, since we are now entering the slowest periods of the year.
Recap
April is a very clear drop from March.. Weekly average drop from March is ~30% or more.
The biggest April ever recorded back in the 7th gen was the Wii with 714K back in 2008. Second biggest? Wii again with 360K in 2007.
The biggest April ever recorded in the 8th gen is the PS4 with 325K in 2019. Second biggest? PS4 again with 206K in 2017.