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Australia 2019 Federal Election |OT| Scott Morrison shat his pants at Engadine Maccas in 1997 after the Sharks lost the Grand Final

Nov 14, 2017
945
#55
In absolute awe of the passion behind this grassroots opposition to Labor's repeal of the free money for retired investors scheme.

IMO they should have to say "Authorised by etc..." in the same voice as the ads after every chanted slogan too.
 
OP
OP
hidys

hidys

The Fallen
Oct 26, 2017
491
#56
We have an Ipsos poll.



For those who don't follow polling please note that Ipsos has an over inflated green vote.
 
Oct 27, 2017
1,046
#60
It really bothers me how close the polls are considering the utter shit show of the last six years. It really shows the power of the media to back the LNP. Also, I'll be glad to stop seeing those "Make Australia Great" Palmer billboards around Brisbane.
 
Oct 29, 2017
238
#61
It really bothers me how close the polls are considering the utter shit show of the last six years. It really shows the power of the media to back the LNP. Also, I'll be glad to stop seeing those "Make Australia Great" Palmer billboards around Brisbane.
Brisbane represent! Me too. I'm sick of seeing Clive Palmer billboards eveywhere. QLD would be crazy to vote for UAP since he fucked over people who worked for QLD Nickel. He's a dreadful person but people have amnesia I guess.


Also, speaking of the Newspoll, apparently it's closer to 52 - 48 than 51 - 49.

 
Oct 28, 2017
1,776
#62

Open Twitter thread to read David Pope dunk on this guy getting ratioed.

Also: cartoon highlights Finance Minister’s confusion over the concept of taxation.
 
Oct 27, 2017
1,046
#63
Judging by their campaign, the only thing the LNP have is the old usual, factually ridiculous scaremongering over a "weak economy" and "high taxes and debt" if Labor gets in. They really have nothing else, and it's kinda reassuring to see them believe the voters to be idiots. Now I just need that to be actually the case. I don't *think* it is for the most part.
 
Oct 29, 2017
4,829
Sydney
#64
We have an Ipsos poll.



For those who don't follow polling please note that Ipsos has an over inflated green vote.
Yeah Greens at 14 seem hard to believe.

Aka Libs am fucked?
Doesn't seem like very good news for them.

You never know honestly, but everything does seem to suggest people have made up their minds and tuned out, which seems to be supported by the truly massive numbers of pre-poll voting.
 
Oct 27, 2017
3,090
#65
Doesn't seem like very good news for them.
Can you clarify for me, I know it still shows the Libs slightly ahead, but Greens preferences (even with inflated numbers) put Labor in quite handily, yes?

Edit:
Also, speaking of the Newspoll, apparently it's closer to 52 - 48 than 51 - 49.

78-79 seats... how many are there in total? Is that enough for a clear majority?
 
Oct 29, 2017
4,829
Sydney
#66
Can you clarify for me, I know it still shows the Libs slightly ahead, but Greens preferences (even with inflated numbers) put Labor in quite handily, yes?
Yes. For some context in 2016, the Coalition got a 42% primary vote, which became 50.36 on a two party preferred basis and translated into 76 seats.
 
Oct 25, 2017
449
Blue Mountains
#67
Can you clarify for me, I know it still shows the Libs slightly ahead, but Greens preferences (even with inflated numbers) put Labor in quite handily, yes?

Edit:

78-79 seats... how many are there in total? Is that enough for a clear majority?
This Calculator lets you see what the swing should be based on %, also has recent polls so you can select one to see the effect. Not sure how accurate it is:- https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-04...ntony-green-house-of-reps-calculator/10872122
 
Oct 27, 2017
4,399
#68
Can you clarify for me, I know it still shows the Libs slightly ahead, but Greens preferences (even with inflated numbers) put Labor in quite handily, yes?

Edit:

78-79 seats... how many are there in total? Is that enough for a clear majority?
There will be 151 seats in the house of representatives after the election. So anything above 75 allows Labor to have a majority of seats and form government regardless of how other seats are distributed between other parties. Otherwise they need to have the plurality of seats.
 
Oct 28, 2017
1,776
#70
You never know honestly, but everything does seem to suggest people have made up their minds and tuned out, which seems to be supported by the truly massive numbers of pre-poll voting.
To put things into perspective, primary votes have not moved from the margin of error since the election has been called. The only changes to 2PP have been Newspoll fiddling with the numbers, which may or may not be warranted. And even then the primary vote is still in favour of Labor.


Andrew Bolt is going in early with his "fuck the voters".
 
Oct 8, 2018
1,368
Sydney
#71
Clive Palmers advertising campaign is getting really damn annoying.
I want to say "Lmao who would vote for this dunce." But after trump, I don't know anymore.
I'm seeing like multiple ads on youtube for Clive each day.
 
Oct 29, 2017
4,829
Sydney
#72
Incredible projection from Bolt there. Suppose he is pretty disappointed though since because of the Victorian State election and Christchurch the Liberal Party hasn't been able to go full race war like he'd probably wanted.
 
Oct 25, 2017
5,564
#73
Man, I'm getting UAP ads on this site, what's next, One Nation?

Andrew Bolt can also feel free to fuck right off.
 
Oct 25, 2017
13,519
#74
you can't move for UAP ads on facebook. to be fair i'm getting some lib and greens ones as well but they're more targetted because they actually mention my district (IP address I'm guessing)

ol Clive seems to be just going for blanket saturation for some stupid ass reason
 
Oct 29, 2017
4,829
Sydney
#75
He'd be better off focusing on Queensland since it's the only state where he'd be liable to get any Upper or Lower House seats.

Throwing millions into contests in NSW and Victoria is baffling.
 

Miso

Member
Nov 1, 2017
428
Northen Beaches
#77
Absolutely unsurprising. Abbott's campaign in Warringag is literally "BUT LABOR WASTE" and "BUT LABOR DISCORD". That's not a winning campaign.
It's worse than that - the Abbot volunteers are walking around with signs saying 'A vote for Steggall is a vote for Shorten'. It's outside his campaign office. It's on a back of a truck.

No policy. Nothing. Just that shit. Useless bastard.

I'm confident he's fucked. Even the Labor candidate was out and about on the weekend. They don't normally bother showing their faces in Warringah/Manly.
 
OP
OP
hidys

hidys

The Fallen
Oct 26, 2017
491
#79
Can you clarify for me, I know it still shows the Libs slightly ahead, but Greens preferences (even with inflated numbers) put Labor in quite handily, yes?

Edit:

78-79 seats... how many are there in total? Is that enough for a clear majority?
yeah but it is literally by 3-4 seats.
 
Oct 27, 2017
4,399
#92
Maybe too early to have this discussion but would the LNP really have performed worse under Turnbull's leadership?
 
Last edited:
Oct 25, 2017
953
#96
Maybe too early to have this discussion but would the LNP really have performed worse under Turnbull's leadership?
theyd probably fare far worse in regional areas with turnbull at the helm but now theyre facing a complete bloodbath in wet liberal seats
 
Oct 25, 2017
953
#98
Do we revise our view on Ipsos' 14% or is this just a blip? To be clear, not that I think the Greens are going to get 15% total first preferences or something, but maybe they stay comfortably above 10?
ipsos is wildly innacurate when it comes to pretty much all parties so i wouldn’t put much stock in it. i think 11-12% is the upper limit for the greens as theyve been stuck on 9-10% for ages now. guess it helps theyre not having a disaster of a campaign like victoria or a shithead buckingham wreckin the whole joint. i do think the record voter registration numbers (especially for the youth vote) will help em

should note essential’s greens numbers have been a tad more volatile since the election started so it could just be statistical noise
 
Oct 29, 2017
1,568
Wollongong
If Libs somehow scrape through at the last moment I think I'll have to take an angry shit in the Engadine Macca's in protest.

I'm looking forward to hearing the shit-fit some boomers are going to throw in response to the franking credit corrections.