In Queensland as well. I'd say that's a pretty damn good result with everything stacked against him.
This clip is the highlight. Bill had a few good moments during all Morrison's waffling.
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Australia 2019 Federal Election |OT| Scott Morrison shat his pants at Engadine Maccas in 1997 after the Sharks lost the Grand Final
- Thread starter hidys
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In Queensland as well. I'd say that's a pretty damn good result with everything stacked against him.
This clip is the highlight. Bill had a few good moments during all Morrison's waffling.
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https://thewest.com.au/politics/fed...-morrows-racist-rant-uncovered-ng-b881187561z
We have another one.
This time it's the Labor candidate for Durack having a go at asylum seekers.
We have another one.
This time it's the Labor candidate for Durack having a go at asylum seekers.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/fed...tony-abbott-in-warringah-20190504-p51k3q.html
56-44
If Abbott and Dutton lose their seats, the Liberal Party is going to try and murder GetUp
56-44
If Abbott and Dutton lose their seats, the Liberal Party is going to try and murder GetUp
Absolutely unsurprising. Abbott's campaign in Warringag is literally "BUT LABOR WASTE" and "BUT LABOR DISCORD". That's not a winning campaign.
In absolute awe of the passion behind this grassroots opposition to Labor's repeal of the free money for retired investors scheme.
IMO they should have to say "Authorised by etc..." in the same voice as the ads after every chanted slogan too.
IMO they should have to say "Authorised by etc..." in the same voice as the ads after every chanted slogan too.
This is why I vote Greens even though I might more closely align with Labor in general.
Brisbane represent! Me too. I'm sick of seeing Clive Palmer billboards eveywhere. QLD would be crazy to vote for UAP since he fucked over people who worked for QLD Nickel. He's a dreadful person but people have amnesia I guess.
Also, speaking of the Newspoll, apparently it's closer to 52 - 48 than 51 - 49.
Open Twitter thread to read David Pope dunk on this guy getting ratioed.
Also: cartoon highlights Finance Minister's confusion over the concept of taxation.
Judging by their campaign, the only thing the LNP have is the old usual, factually ridiculous scaremongering over a "weak economy" and "high taxes and debt" if Labor gets in. They really have nothing else, and it's kinda reassuring to see them believe the voters to be idiots. Now I just need that to be actually the case. I don't *think* it is for the most part.
Yeah Greens at 14 seem hard to believe.
Doesn't seem like very good news for them.
You never know honestly, but everything does seem to suggest people have made up their minds and tuned out, which seems to be supported by the truly massive numbers of pre-poll voting.
Can you clarify for me, I know it still shows the Libs slightly ahead, but Greens preferences (even with inflated numbers) put Labor in quite handily, yes?
Edit:
78-79 seats... how many are there in total? Is that enough for a clear majority?
Yes. For some context in 2016, the Coalition got a 42% primary vote, which became 50.36 on a two party preferred basis and translated into 76 seats.
This Calculator lets you see what the swing should be based on %, also has recent polls so you can select one to see the effect. Not sure how accurate it is:- https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-04...ntony-green-house-of-reps-calculator/10872122
There will be 151 seats in the house of representatives after the election. So anything above 75 allows Labor to have a majority of seats and form government regardless of how other seats are distributed between other parties. Otherwise they need to have the plurality of seats.
To put things into perspective, primary votes have not moved from the margin of error since the election has been called. The only changes to 2PP have been Newspoll fiddling with the numbers, which may or may not be warranted. And even then the primary vote is still in favour of Labor.
Andrew Bolt is going in early with his "fuck the voters".
Clive Palmers advertising campaign is getting really damn annoying.
I want to say "Lmao who would vote for this dunce." But after trump, I don't know anymore.
I'm seeing like multiple ads on youtube for Clive each day.
I want to say "Lmao who would vote for this dunce." But after trump, I don't know anymore.
I'm seeing like multiple ads on youtube for Clive each day.
you can't move for UAP ads on facebook. to be fair i'm getting some lib and greens ones as well but they're more targetted because they actually mention my district (IP address I'm guessing)
ol Clive seems to be just going for blanket saturation for some stupid ass reason
ol Clive seems to be just going for blanket saturation for some stupid ass reason
It's worse than that - the Abbot volunteers are walking around with signs saying 'A vote for Steggall is a vote for Shorten'. It's outside his campaign office. It's on a back of a truck.
No policy. Nothing. Just that shit. Useless bastard.
I'm confident he's fucked. Even the Labor candidate was out and about on the weekend. They don't normally bother showing their faces in Warringah/Manly.
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i once asked a friend who lives in Australia "whos your Prime Minister"
and he said "some cunt"
is this accurate?
and he said "some cunt"
is this accurate?
That is stupid. Not even 5 seconds in and a woman says "I'm from the Australian Government". Which is impossible, because we all know there are no women in the Australian Government.
If they're talking about Federal Labor, I don't like the little dig at the ALP at the end.
Rudd and Gillard actually tried to tax the miners and got hit with an unprecedented smear campaign.
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essential's usually bang-on accurate when it comes to the greens so thats a surprising bump
I think the question is, would it have performed way better under Bishop? Hell fucking yes it would.
Honestly I don't see how. They're facing a bloodbath in Victoria.
theyd probably fare far worse in regional areas with turnbull at the helm but now theyre facing a complete bloodbath in wet liberal seats
Do we revise our view on Ipsos' 14% or is this just a blip? To be clear, not that I think the Greens are going to get 15% total first preferences or something, but maybe they stay comfortably above 10?
ipsos is wildly innacurate when it comes to pretty much all parties so i wouldn't put much stock in it. i think 11-12% is the upper limit for the greens as theyve been stuck on 9-10% for ages now. guess it helps theyre not having a disaster of a campaign like victoria or a shithead buckingham wreckin the whole joint. i do think the record voter registration numbers (especially for the youth vote) will help em
should note essential's greens numbers have been a tad more volatile since the election started so it could just be statistical noise
Greens will poll 9-10% like always, a lot of polls have them at silly numbers like 14.5%! Shows the limitiations of polling as you approach 0.
If Libs somehow scrape through at the last moment I think I'll have to take an angry shit in the Engadine Macca's in protest.
I'm looking forward to hearing the shit-fit some boomers are going to throw in response to the franking credit corrections.
I'm looking forward to hearing the shit-fit some boomers are going to throw in response to the franking credit corrections.