No one knows, wish we could tell you. :pAmerican here: can anyone explain to me the thought process behind The Independent Group? Reading their ideology, they don't seem that different than what I understand as the LibDems's ideology? Especially in regards to Brexit? I'm also a little confused at why you'd start another centrist party in a FPTP system?
You covered most of the bases with your analysis, there is not a lot more to add.