- Oct 25, 2017
I constantly run into complete denial from peeps in the UK about brexit causing any issues at all. People seem to be unable to grasp simple concepts like 'extending article 50 requires unanimous approval from EU member nations' and 'article 50 can only be withdrawn if a majority in parliament vote for it'. To pin the combined chance of either May's deal being accepted or no deal somehow being prevented at 1 in 4... I'm struggling to see how that's an informed or educated opinion vs the same problem we saw in the Brexit betting markets in 2016.
edit: wait you have that wrong, it's the combined chances of May's deal being accepted and the UK leaving before the end of March OR there being no deal and the UK leaving before the end of March OR any other deal and the UK leaving before the end of March. Not no deal being prevented.