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Canada PoliERA |OT| Two Years of Sunny Days? That’s Scheer Madness!
- Thread starter Caz
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environmentalist activist Steven Guilbeault has won the Liberal nomination for my riding of Laurier-Ste-Marie.
I think this is the best shot for the Liberals to win this Lefty-Left Riding that was held by the NDP since 2011 and the Bloc Leader Gilles Duceuppe prior to that.
a generic Liberal was trailing NDP's Nima Machouf (wife of Amir Khadir) by a sliver. So now that Liberals have put a name on the candidate, I think that Liberals might have a chance to win in my riding
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"On Wednesday, Mr. Trudeau will attend the nomination meeting for Mr. Guilbeault, a prominent environmentalist in Quebec. While Mr. Guilbeault is opposed to the federal government's decision to reapprove the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion project, he is supportive of the Liberal government's overall environmental agenda."
Insert that "math is hard" gif here I guess?
Also there was a story about how Indigenous voters have lost faith in the Liberals on The National a few days ago:
I wonder if anyone has told them that by not voting Liberal, they're voting against their own interest?
Insert that "math is hard" gif here I guess?
Also there was a story about how Indigenous voters have lost faith in the Liberals on The National a few days ago:
I wonder if anyone has told them that by not voting Liberal, they're voting against their own interest?
I wonder if 40% in Ontario is enough for the Liberals to have a shot in my riding
Hmmm, maybe not since the Liberals got 44% in Ontario last time
Hmmm, maybe not since the Liberals got 44% in Ontario last time
Been a busy couple of days but the CPC's soft support slowly dropping is both welcome and expected, especially in Ontario where Doug Ford is on track to beat Mike Harris at being a despicable human being and Kathleen Wynne at being hated by anyone living here. That being said...
Even if it doesn't surpass the CPC in future elections, it siphoning enough support from the party may see them attempt to convert "People's" voters to their party; despite UKIP never becoming the dominant right-wing party in the UK, their gradual siphoning of Con voters led to Cameron campaigning on a referendum to leave/remain in the UK, a referendum both central to UKIP and whose results have/continue to dominate the conversation about UK politics despite a plethora of other issues affecting the country. While one can certainly point out the results were exacerbated by FPTP producing a massive error in the final seat counts compared to the votes the UK's con party earned, the fact of the matter is that a right-wing party like the CPC benefits the most under the current system due to not having to worry about any significant competition for right-wing voters at the moment due to the manner in which said system rewarding them electorally. Thus, they have an incentive to keep it that way a la Cameron's decision to adopt a UKIP policy. If it turns out that the PPC gets, say, 4% that turns itself into 1 or no seats but the CPC gets blown out of Quebec, Ontario and B.C. in some very close races, it's likely we'll see a similar attempt to convert PPC voters into CPC voters by shifting even further to the right than they already are i.e. drop the dog whistles they currently employ when it comes to say, immigration policy and say the things that Bernier's Bigoted Biker Bros. blurt out. With Canada's current electoral system and electoral reform abandoned (for the time being), that is incredibly dangerous in the long-run.
I've said it before and i'll say it again: While the 2019 election will be highly important, my greatest fear is the fallout, of what lessons the CPC in particular learns from it (or, more likely, does not).
I cannot express how much I've grown to hate seeing this sentiment. The PPC's mere presence as an official party is a bight on Canadian democracy and depending on the results come October, could be highly consequential for the future of the country. See: The Reform Party coming to dominate right-wing voter preferences in future elections and the eventual merger of it with the PCs to form the CPC who were and remain demonstrably further to the right than the former (firmly centre-right) PCs.It's funny that you mention the PPC... I took this picture because what it shows beggars belief.
This camper was spotted by myself while driving home from getting groceries. It was heading into Saskatoon from the highway heading eastbound.
I can't speak for anywhere else, but the PPC does offer an enticement to the biggest right-wing whackadoos in the prairies and might be able to split the vote in some ridings here. At least they're dissatisfied with the Tories enough to pay money to do this to a shitty RV.
Even if it doesn't surpass the CPC in future elections, it siphoning enough support from the party may see them attempt to convert "People's" voters to their party; despite UKIP never becoming the dominant right-wing party in the UK, their gradual siphoning of Con voters led to Cameron campaigning on a referendum to leave/remain in the UK, a referendum both central to UKIP and whose results have/continue to dominate the conversation about UK politics despite a plethora of other issues affecting the country. While one can certainly point out the results were exacerbated by FPTP producing a massive error in the final seat counts compared to the votes the UK's con party earned, the fact of the matter is that a right-wing party like the CPC benefits the most under the current system due to not having to worry about any significant competition for right-wing voters at the moment due to the manner in which said system rewarding them electorally. Thus, they have an incentive to keep it that way a la Cameron's decision to adopt a UKIP policy. If it turns out that the PPC gets, say, 4% that turns itself into 1 or no seats but the CPC gets blown out of Quebec, Ontario and B.C. in some very close races, it's likely we'll see a similar attempt to convert PPC voters into CPC voters by shifting even further to the right than they already are i.e. drop the dog whistles they currently employ when it comes to say, immigration policy and say the things that Bernier's Bigoted Biker Bros. blurt out. With Canada's current electoral system and electoral reform abandoned (for the time being), that is incredibly dangerous in the long-run.
I've said it before and i'll say it again: While the 2019 election will be highly important, my greatest fear is the fallout, of what lessons the CPC in particular learns from it (or, more likely, does not).
Yeah it could very well be the PPC become TeaParty Canada Version, steering conservative politics off a cliff and pulling centrists and some of the more suggestable left along with them. It's a monkey's paw wish in the end to hope they gain enough influence to spluit the vote on the right.
It's clear that traditional conservative parties around the world are veering off the deep end seems to be a global trend.
Boris Johnson will be Britain's next Prime Minister while the inept useless Jeremy Corbin will be enough to keep Boris Johnson re-elected.
Canada's last line of defence if a Centre to Centre-Left Liberal Party of Canada remaining strong coast to coast. Any veering off into polar extremes farther to the Far-Left would destroy this balance and gave way for the Far-Right to take over everything.
Boris Johnson will be Britain's next Prime Minister while the inept useless Jeremy Corbin will be enough to keep Boris Johnson re-elected.
Canada's last line of defence if a Centre to Centre-Left Liberal Party of Canada remaining strong coast to coast. Any veering off into polar extremes farther to the Far-Left would destroy this balance and gave way for the Far-Right to take over everything.
I know some of the more progressive leaning conservatives in Alberta don't even like what Kenney and the UCP are governing at the moment.Some of these conservatives do not like how the UCP are handling social issues.It's not a lot of people at the moment but there might be a movement to push the UCP to the left in a few years from now if things do not change to better fend off the ABNDP and the Alberta Party.
Your statement hides an important truth: the far right already heavily influences the CPC. It has since the Reform merger. Believing that the PPC will suddenly make things worse is a bit naive, when all it does is take the far-right voters that were already comfortably living inside the CPC's big tent. You need look no further than Scheer's mealymouthed response to banning conversion therapy that djkimothy just posted above, but there are numerous other examples that simply don't bear repeating.
The CPC is the party of people like Maurice Vellacott, the most loathesome MP I can think of at the moment from a long LONG list of dirtbag CPC MPs, and was already representative of the American-esque far-right politics you all fear all the way back in 1995 through to 2015 (when he thankfully lost the nomination when his riding boundary was redrawn).
It's also important to note that the UK is not Canada, not by a long shot. One notable example is comparing how Canada respects referenda results that are politically unfavourable versus the UK approach. (Note: Canada doesn't and sadly the UK does)
Additionally, there are not enough far-right voters in this country to abandon the appeal to centrists and reactionary white middle-class voters. If they didn't need them, Scheer wouldn't be constantly trying to reapply that veneer of respectability that he and his party depend on to get elected as though it were clown makeup applied with a trowel. Appealing too much to the far right is part of what got the party under Harper kicked to the curb in the first place.
"BubububuBUT FORD", I hear in inevitable retort. But doesn't mean much to me, since Ford took advantage of the same thing Harper did, and that's a weak and ineffectual Liberal Party. Thankfully, we don't have much to worry about there, it's seemingly the NDP's turn to wither and shrink into irrelevance this election, and Ford's time in office appears as though it will be short-lived and causing a disillusion with the CPC's veneer of respectability.
TL;DR - The PPC does not represent a growth of far-right ideology's influence on politics, just a potential redistribution of some of it under a new banner, which could be politically advantageous to the left and centre-left.
I'm not sure the PPC had an overall strategy in forming the party besides Bernier having a tantrum and breaking off to form his own.
Maybe there's some long game he's playing but he doesn't seem to be finding many good candidates.
Oh, I didn't suggest as such, Bernier is definitely flying by the seat of his pants based on a salty grudge. But it's quite clear what he wants his voter base to be, whether he admits it or not, since his exiting tantrum was ripe with "more-conservative-than-thou" overtures and hasn't attracted much in the way of voters outside of the far right voters who are uninterested in a party that they see as compromising what they want to appeal to centrists. It was a while ago, but I remember the 2018 CPC convention where people were leaving in a huff because the most right-wing agenda points were getting pushed aside by the absolute slimmest majority. In the past, they'd have to hold their noses and vote CPC anyways in the hopes of a majority that could revisit these issues (which they often do), but now they have a protest vote that didn't previously exist. We are unlikely to see a revisit of the Reform Party takeover of the right, since the CPC would need to engage in political suicide to the degree of Mulroney's GST and the formation of the Bloc under his watch, but the modern CPC is too craven for that to be likely.
If Bernier had any endgame, I imagine that it could be summed up as "punish the CPC". And he now has the means to do that if he plays his hand correctly.
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If Bernier was smarter, he would be siphoning more support away from the CPC.
But Bernier is not the brightest light-bulb in the box and it shows in his campaign strategy (I don't think he has a strategy)
But Bernier is not the brightest light-bulb in the box and it shows in his campaign strategy (I don't think he has a strategy)
That's straight up disqualifying imo, but of course not for the Conservative base.
CPC loses election and PPC proposes merger with Mad Max as leader?
Where would the Dairy Cartel go? LOL
That is the main factor why Scheer beat Bernier for the leadership
I doubt it's anything that ambitious, if only because anyone would be able to see the political realities that make this near-impossible. It's more just backing the CPC into a corner with a big persistent middle finger that may or may not outlive him.
As the meme says, some people just want to watch the world burn. In Bernier's case, it's the conservative world because he's bitter that his brand of conservatism was deemed unwelcome by the dominant Conservative party establishment. And so much the better for us. When conservative politicians make enemies of other conservative politicians, the left gains something from it In the end. US Republicans know this, which is why they rally behind their awful president, despite all the awful shit they've said about him in the past.
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can we all agree that John McCallum is fuckin' moron?
Unquestionably, yes. What a douche.
In fact, while I have discouraged your use of the phrase in the past, calling McCallum a traitor to the country seems more than appropriate.
He's fallen off the deep end. I haven't been following his story much but i have no idea what's happening to the guy.
I just saw the premier group photo and threw up in my mouth. What an embarrassing herd of useless, straight men.
Kind of a no brainer policy given that many municipalities are super into the concept of separated bike lanes but have no money. No real details but I assume the general thrust of the idea would be funding for bike lanes.
There's a tweet thread that suggests the Greens have brought Warren Kinsella into their war room.
But hey, they're a clear alternative right???
But hey, they're a clear alternative right???
This is a tremendous example of Conservative diversity. That one male caucasian may well be younger than 50, but he too can sit at the big table.
the Premier class of 2019 is so regressively babyboomery lame
it's really fucked up that Kenny is the youngest of the group
it's really fucked up that Kenny is the youngest of the group
You'll need to contextualize this response to that news for some of us in the back of the room who only remember Kinsella as the guy Chrétien hired to do the same thing for the Liberals in '93 and got name-dropped in the sponsorship scandal because he worked for them.
This is a tremendous example of Conservative diversity. That one male caucasian may well be younger than 50, but he too can sit at the big table.
The party exists to protect the hegemony of white men.
It's why men tend to vote for it.
This is definitely some of the context I required to understand this, so thanks for that. Seems the issue is that he's a political hitman with no true allegiances other than who writes his paycheque at any given moment. It's not a great look, I'll give you that, but one that can likely be easily ignored, depending on the tactics he suggests that the Greens employ. My main curiosity now is how the Greens can afford him, if he's accustomed to a Liberal Party pay grade.
Well, it seems we know why the Greens hired a sleazeball now: to ward off other sleazeballs.
The article says he was hired exclusively to defend May and the party, not to go on the offensive.
So he's basically the giant doberman, notorious around the neighborhood, that the Greens have chained up on the front lawn, from the sounds of it.
The article says he was hired exclusively to defend May and the party, not to go on the offensive.
So he's basically the giant doberman, notorious around the neighborhood, that the Greens have chained up on the front lawn, from the sounds of it.
This... is so weird. Like not only can I not imagine any other party making a statement like that, but I can't imagine anyone being afraid of Warren Kinsella.
after a decade, I still don't know what are the Greens policies are
too many lefties get suckered into voting Green thinking that they are as lefty as them, LOL but the Greens are not really Left
too many lefties get suckered into voting Green thinking that they are as lefty as them, LOL but the Greens are not really Left
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Can't blame them for taking a signature move from the Liberal playbook.
Well, I can understand it. Having watched May for over a decade, she and the Greens on the whole have never defended themselves from attacks, either because they're too high-minded to do it, simply unable to or a combination of both. It's by far their biggest blind spot. So if everyone knows it, saying it out in the open doesn't pose much of a political risk.
As for Kinsella, reputations matter. There's no shortage of instances where politicians have backed down from what we publicly consider toothless foes, decisions based entirely on history and reputation in Ottawa.
I can understand it. In politics now-a-days, you need an attack dog to protect yourself. Hell, It's the kind of role the NDP has needed for awhile. If the Ontario NDP had someone whose job it was to be the attack dog and protect Horwarth, she'd probably be the one running the province now. Politics has simply changed. This is how things operate in the end stages of an electoral system which gives out massive rewards for being mean and never cooperating.
Progressives in general just haven't caught up to the fact that if they want to win elections under our system, and if they want to be able to get their policy across and keep it in place, they need to be able to stoop to the level of everybody else and get their hands dirty. In the past the population cared about holding politicians to account, but today the citizenry couldn't give two shits as long as "MyTeamWins™ ". If you don't go on the attack, then you get taken advantage of and your willingness to do nothing in face of attacks means that you get a regressive like Doug Ford instead of a Progressive like Andrea Horwarth.
It sucks that this is the case. But thats the hand we are dealt. FPTP causes it. Our fundraising and campaigning laws cause it. The fact that we sit next to the USA causes it.
The Green party is more left than the Liberals. They've had Pharmacare, Preventative Dentalcare and a Negative Income Tax on their party platform for years now. On the Student Loan front, they want to work towards Abolishing Tuition and eliminating existing Student Debt through increased interest free periods.
Where is the Liberal positions on half of these items? Sure. The're not the NDP. But they're a hell of a lot more progressive than the LPC tries to claim itself to be.
Liberals need to ditch their stupid "democratic" nomination process for selecting candidates for their ridings.
Take charge, let the leadership pick their favorites, their stars.
The 26 year old school teacher who's father packed the auditorium in Saint-Laurent is proof that open nominations is a joke.
Take charge, let the leadership pick their favorites, their stars.
The 26 year old school teacher who's father packed the auditorium in Saint-Laurent is proof that open nominations is a joke.
Boomers not going for the worst option en masse. Kind of surprised it's that big a difference, honestly.
Okay, hold up a second here. Why is the Non-binary sex-polling leaning so heavily Conservative. Conservatives literally want them to not exist and actively write policies against them. It makes absolutely zero sense.
it took me 1 hour to figure out what non-binary meant, LOL
It just means that there are idiots out there. Like that one thread,
Trumper caught up by ICE, Mislabeled an Immigrant, Took Year to Prove Citizenship, Says No One Should Be Treated That Way, Is Voting Trump in 2020
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