Why? Because of that single poll? Everything else so far rather points toward the Liberals winning... Ontario and Quebec still seem to heavily favor the LPC.
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Canadian Election 2019 |OT| One Long Year of Scheer Stupidity [Update: Liberal Minority Government]
- Thread starter Caz
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Why? Because of that single poll? Everything else so far rather points toward the Liberals winning... Ontario and Quebec still seem to heavily favor the LPC.
Seriously the CPC will probably collapse in Quebec based on info I have from people on the ground and graves hints and that will end the discussions of them winning this election.
There's no potential groundbreaking legislation on the horizon like electoral reform or marijuana in any of the platforms.
A bunch of small, important policies sure but there's nothing particularly inspiring.
It's just a "keep the fascists out of power" election, and outside of Ontario I don't think enough people know how bad the Conservatives are.
I hope I'm wrong of course.
Based on that poll and Scheer's ... "performance" in the debate? even if ever poll started to show them moving up I'd still find it hard to believe.
At least the debate gave some cheap laughs after the fact.
lol!
I don't really see why a lack of groundbreaking legislation would favour the Conservatives.
It's interesting that one of the Quebec NDP MPs with the best shot of hanging onto their seat is Ruth Ellen Brosseau, whose initial election in 2011 was treated as something of a jokey fluke. That's kind of a great story; if she was an American politician, her story would probably have been lifted for the basis of some inspirational movie by now.
I haven't been keeping up.
Anyone mention china? I assume its a parties stance to seem tough on china.
Anyone mention china? I assume its a parties stance to seem tough on china.
Voter turnout.
Conservatives would vote for a traffic cone as much as they would for Andrew Scheer.
Voted today. Won't matter at all but I still feel good about it. Candidate for my riding even called me asking about what concerns I have this election and thanked me for ongoing support. I can only imagine that means donations for that colour in this riding aren't common lol.
This thread very educational that way.
It's wild to me that there hasn't been any Vancouver Granville riding poll to clear the air considering all the drama and interest there.
IMO I'd vote for JWR over the Liberal candidate, but that's me. I think she has support. I like the NDP candidate (strong, young environmentalist) there as well, but JWR seems like the more popular choice.
But if there's a wilder, crazier traffic cone some might be enthusiastic about that. Especially if said pylon is the only leader with a real environmental plan lol.
I've seen quite a few PPC signs both in Edmonton and northern BC. And I certainly overhear enough bigotry and fake news to believe that the CPC isn't radically anti-immigrant for some of these people. Maybe PPC will play spoiler a bit.
There hasn't been any indication that the Conservatives have a big turnout/motivation advantage.
Their base is 65 year old concrete and racist losers with a lot of time on their hands. They're very dependable. Them winning requires a lack of enthusiasm from the left though.
At the same time there ground game in the GTA has been god awful all campaign long.
I'm just happy because now all the "Mulcair was the one true God" shit can stop. lol
Ive seen quite a few PPC signs in Richmond. I really shouldn't be surprised given how conservative the ridings are, but still.
great more vote splitting just fuck off and die ndp you're only helping the con
Dictators would love the SK/Manitoba polling numbers in that forum poll. Like 27/36 of the people polled in Saskatchewan and Manitoba support the CPC
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They know exactly what they're doing. People don't read past twitter headlines.
It's hard to see where this "Michigan moment" is located in the Forum poll to indicate a Liberal collapse. I could only think of CPC ridings that are now more than ever voting conservative. Skewing results even more.
++++++++++
This is going to happen after the election.
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Nanos nightly. I prefer poll watcher canada because they copy the graph to give you an idea of movement over time.
Singh's favourable's continue to climb at a snail's pace (positive slope). But he doesn't seem to be breaking through the way media portrays him.
Also,
Singh's favourable's continue to climb at a snail's pace (positive slope). But he doesn't seem to be breaking through the way media portrays him.
Also,
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338 Projections are still having Liberals at 161 seats.
Look, following these twitter accounts, I feel are useless. We need to take two major provinces, and look at how it turns out.
If the Liberals hold their ground in Ontario and win the Quebec seats and Atlantic Canada, and in both Quebec and Atlantic Canada they have a comfortable lead, the game is over. If some BC Seats switch to Liberals it becomes a majority government.
As it stands, from looking at the two major provinces May maybe right, its either going to be Liberal Minority or Majority.
Look, following these twitter accounts, I feel are useless. We need to take two major provinces, and look at how it turns out.
If the Liberals hold their ground in Ontario and win the Quebec seats and Atlantic Canada, and in both Quebec and Atlantic Canada they have a comfortable lead, the game is over. If some BC Seats switch to Liberals it becomes a majority government.
As it stands, from looking at the two major provinces May maybe right, its either going to be Liberal Minority or Majority.
Bloc is hurting the CPC more than the LPC
populate vote projection in Quebec
seat projection in Quebec
Unless things turn around in Ontario and Quebec I don't see it.
Maaaaybe if there's a sudden NDP surge and it creates a perfect vote split.
Bloc is hurting the CPC more than the LPC
populate vote projection in Quebec
seat projection in Quebec
The bloc at 21 seats i thought i'd never see this election.
Hopefully it's limited to CPC ridings.
To the detriment of the Conservatives.
I wanted the Bloc gone but now I see their usefulness
Bloc is hurting the CPC more than the LPC
populate vote projection in Quebec
seat projection in Quebec
That NDP seat count...oof.
Jack Layton rolling in his grave.
What, so they only polled the CPC provinces? Lol.
(Also, damnit BC being included in that haha)
Holy hell. Alberta and Saskatchewan need to get their shit together. I am going to assume that there is something in Saskatchewan that has to do with lots of small business as industry emissions are very low. But Alberta is way above average for small emitters and their industry is just getting worse.
Obviously Alberta has tied itself to Oil and that will make them resist any green initiatives, but those small emitters are outputting as much as Ontario with slightly less than 1/3 the population.
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