December 2018 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes Tuesday, January 15th

DMVfan123

The Fallen
Oct 25, 2017
5,530
Virginia
Smash is both the best-selling exclusive in a month in NPD history and outgained both Spider-Man and God of War in dollar sales for the whole year
WOWWOWOWOWOW
 

Falconbox

Banned
Oct 27, 2017
4,600
Buffalo, NY
Happy to see Red Dead Redemption 2 pass Black Ops 4 as the best selling game in the US.

It seems CoD wins every year, unless a Rockstar game comes out.
 

Calamari41

Member
Oct 25, 2017
2,522
Benji, glad to see your intel held up

Well these are dollar sales. Spider-Man had plenty of holiday deals not to mention it was part of that $199 PS4 holiday bundle in November. Of course still smashing success from Smash.
The lack of digital numbers included from Smash blows away any extenuating circumstances, like a sale, from something like Spider-Man imo
 

KennyX

Member
Nov 21, 2018
1,225
Seems they did sell more than RDR2, RDR2 was higher in total revenue.
Yes. This was at least true for retail. So i assume it's similar for digital, too.
Also no PC sales for CoD in the rankings. So when Activision publishes there next quarterly report, they will most definitely brag about having the #1 selling game of the year again.
 

Falconbox

Banned
Oct 27, 2017
4,600
Buffalo, NY
Also, those Smash numbers, damn.

Switch owners were hungry for a big game in 2018. Mario Party, Mario Tennis, and a Pokemon spinoff wasn't going to cut it I guess.
 

KillerMan91

Member
Oct 25, 2017
2,062
The lack of digital numbers included from Smash blows away any extenuating circumstances, like a sale, from something like Spider-Man imo
Spider-Man also had 4 full months on the market and with tracked digital sales.
Those are good points too of course.

Yes. This was at least true for retail. So i assume it's similar for digital, too.
Also no PC sales for CoD in the rankings. So when Activision publishes there next quarterly report, they will most definitely brag about having the #1 selling game of the year again.
I mean in US that is possible. Globally? nah. All numbers we have from European markets show RDRII outselling BO4 to pretty large degree so I am not sure does Activision want to change their bragging from best selling console game globally to best selling console game in US as that sounds worse.
 

KennyX

Member
Nov 21, 2018
1,225
Those are good points too of course.



I mean in US that is possible. Globally? nah. All numbers we have from European markets show RDRII outselling BO4 to pretty large degree so I am not sure does Activision want to change their bragging from best selling console game globally to best selling console game in US as that sounds worse.
Sure, talking about US sales here.
 

HeroR

Member
Dec 10, 2017
4,406
Cool to see Let’s Go Pikachu make the top 20 of 2018. Can imagine it would have been higher if the units were combined.
 

Shizza

Member
Oct 27, 2017
92
Thanks I appreciate you so much

I gotta go to bed now everyone

Thanks for all the kind words! It means so much to me.

Tomorrow I'll come back by to say my goodbyes and then I'm off for a long break
Sorry to hear people are harassing you. I always appreciate all the insight you (and all the other members) contribute.
 

slavesnyder

Member
Oct 26, 2017
735
SlaveSnyder Media Corp.
Has anyone contacted the mods about Benji's request? I see he still has the tag, so it's probable that mods haven't seen the post where he requests it's removal.
removing a sales expert's tag is not such an easy task. it demands a 2/3 majority on the next resetera shareholder conference, as a loss of an official, prominent and highly attractive expert has direct influence on era's media coverage, advertising prices and stock market value.
please be patient.
 

nickslucky

Member
Dec 13, 2017
12
Donny2112 - I'm sure at the beginning of the year, you asked for 2018 total unit sales predictions for each of the three platforms. Do you have those results please?
Top 3 best selling titles in UK, units, in 2018:
FIFA 19
RDR2
COD: Black OPS 4
...and PS4 was the best selling console.
 
Feb 9, 2018
36
January to October 2017

PS4: 2.72M
XB1: 1.56M

January to October 2018

PS4: 3.05M (+12%)
XB1: 2.08M (+33%)

YTD 2017

PS4: 5.43M
XB1: 4.29M

YTD 2018

PS4: 5.33M (-2%)
XB1: 4.34M (+1%)
Well, at first I was wondering how the 2017 yearly figures I had for the PS4 were way short, then it seems clear that the numbers I catalogued for November must be way off. All the numbers I catalogued from Jan.-Oct. 2017 weren't too far off the mark combined (the numbers I recorded were short of your above figure by 1.1% for the period). The PS4 sold 1050k in Dec. 2017, so that means November results had to have been ~1.66M. Would that be about correct? If so, that would account for nearly all the discrepancy in the 2017 YTD figure I had.
 

KennyX

Member
Nov 21, 2018
1,225

Welfare

Member
Oct 26, 2017
1,521
Well, at first I was wondering how the 2017 yearly figures I had for the PS4 were way short, then it seems clear that the numbers I catalogued for November must be way off. All the numbers I catalogued from Jan.-Oct. 2017 weren't too far off the mark combined (the numbers I recorded were short of your above figure by 1.1% for the period). The PS4 sold 1050k in Dec. 2017, so that means November results had to have been ~1.66M. Would that be about correct? If so, that would account for nearly all the discrepancy in the 2017 YTD figure I had.
I have 1.69M

Oh, I'm an idiot. PS4 should be 5.46M. I had it right the first time.

I was doing all of that by memory, thought I didn't correct for the new December number.
 

rebelcrusader

Member
Oct 25, 2017
935
So for comparison -
Xbox One is at around 41-42 million
And at same time (six years in) xbox 360 was "over 50 million"

So now we see where the divergence was (kinect)