Democratic Presidential Primaries & Caucuses |March OT| Last Tuesday was 1000 years ago, old news no one cares about (Discussion Guidelines in OP)

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coconut gun

Banned
Nov 1, 2017
682
If you're gonna insult me, pick an animal and spam that emoji. Thanks. That will really get me motivated to join your side.
if some people being mean online is enough to convince you that progressive policies aren't worth voting for then you're too far gone to care about.

you have no actual morals or any real beliefs and politics is more a less a formality for you.

so, once again little boy, get the fuck over yourself
 

mo60

Member
Oct 25, 2017
1,139
Edmonton, Alberta
I don't think red states/blue states matter much in the primary. It's who can appeal most to the democratic electorate. If sanders completely fails to appeal to democratic primary voters in the south he deserves to lose.
 

skeezx

Member
Oct 27, 2017
12,632
So what are Bernie's chances at winning the primary, at this point? All this sudden change and coalescing to Biden post-SC makes it feel like everythings up in the air at best; or that Biden is back to being the inevitable nominee again. 538's forecast seems to flip so much that it feels completely worthless to gague much of anything.

It seems wild that this all happened in a matter of a few days.
biden has the "momentum" but reading the tea leaves i'm not too sure much is different pre-south carolina and endorsements/dropouts. i think most primary voters are already set on bernie or "other", which is probs beneficial to bernie

but just armchair conjecture. see how tomorrow shakes out
 

lmcfigs

The Fallen
Oct 25, 2017
10,930
Imagine if this map holds somehow. It basically looks like the US Civil War map.

I mean basically. Biden does the best in states dems cannot win. But if it turns out that he’s (at least) competitive w/ Bernie everywhere else also, despite putting very little effort in those states - then I mean idk; all that work and money progressive voters put in seems incredibly meaningless.
 

soul creator

Member
Oct 27, 2017
287
my hot take, the fundamentals are still intact (Bernie has the more inspiring message, funding, grassroots energy, and organization on his side) giving him a victory in most of the super tuesday states. He wins Cali by 10 points, Texas by 5-10, gets a delegate lead, and loses some southern states, though not as much as in 2016 (and then people pretend like the only black voters that exist are in those states, lol)
 

Loan Wolf

Member
Nov 9, 2017
3,435
A lot of volatile doom and gloom over polls prior to Super Tuesday that haven't even tapped into the precincts yet.
 

jviggy43

Banned
Oct 28, 2017
18,184
I mean basically. Biden does the best in states dems cannot win. But if it turns out that he’s (at least) competitive w/ Bernie everywhere else also, despite putting very little effort in those states - then I mean idk; all that work and money progressive voters put in seems incredibly meaningless.
Its starting to feel like Bernie didn't do enough in the south, once again, to close the margins and make them more competitive. Which was arguably his most fatal mistake last time around.
 

Xaszatm

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
10,945
A lot of volatile doom and gloom over polls prior to Super Tuesday that haven't even tapped into the precincts yet.
It's like the eve before a Nintendo Direct. They hype, the fear, the rumors, the mad panic. Only thing missing is the rushing excitement followed by great depression by some and excitement for others. Who is the excited and who is the depressed? Find out next time on SUPER TUESDAY Z!
 

Psychoward

Banned
Nov 7, 2017
30,874
Its starting to feel like Bernie didn't do enough in the south, once again, to close the margins and make them more competitive. Which was arguably his most fatal mistake last time around.
Yeah I figured he was gonna lose to Biden because of this but I had hope after Biden floundered in the first 3 states more than anyone expected and Bernie won 3 in a row. :/
 

Deleted member 10551

User requested account closure
Banned
Oct 27, 2017
3,031
User Banned (1 month): racism
Its starting to feel like Bernie didn't do enough in the south, once again, to close the margins and make them more competitive. Which was arguably his most fatal mistake last time around.
Not much you can do vs Southern machine politics. The Democratic party is at its most corrupt in the South- this is why Bloomberg did so well for a bit- the money talked the most down in the South.

This is why part of me wonders if we'd actually be better off doing the work of starting over instead of trying to work within the Dems after 2020 if Trump wins.
 

Xaszatm

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
10,945
...Dear God the Election really is getting to me I just made a Dragon Ball Z reference without irony. What has become of me?
 

SmokeMaxX

Member
Oct 25, 2017
1,722
Youre right its much better to coalesce around the guy who fought against the civil rights, who continues touting the most racist piece of legislation in the 20th century as a good thing, the person who continually sexually assaults women and makes them feel uncomfortable, the person whose campaign manager was hired to defend weinstein to downplay his attacks.

Nah. You don't get to call yourselves allies, fighting for people and marginalized communities if you foresake the most progressive candidate in the race for those issues over him being mean by calling you out for the exact thing youre doing right now. Which is in the face of progress return the status quo killing millions of people.
And your solution is to push the candidate that lost to Hillary Clinton? The candidate who cares so much about people of color, that he literally skipped over the South in 2016 and just within the past week claimed that black people in South Carolina weren't REAL working class Americans? Give me a break. Sanders is an outsider fighting for the working class who is also a millionaire and has been in congress for decades. Yeah, he talks a good talk, but I have zero confidence that him being on the top of the ticket is a positive force. You honestly believe we have a chance of flipping red seats in the Senate with Fox News blasting SOCIALISM SOCIALISM SOCIALISM propaganda 24/7?
I'm sorry "being an asshole" matters to you more than tens of thousands of Americans dying from health insurance every year. I'm sorry people drowning in Student Loan debt with no jobs that will sufficiently pay them off are too angry for your ears. I'm sorry you find it "belittling" that people are screaming that they want to afford their insulin to live. I'm sorry, but I will scream it until the cows come home that our crisis is now.
Apology accepted. Your first mistake was thinking that you're the only people who care about the issues occurring in America. We can't even get Obamacare to stick and you think the country is just going to magically leapfrog it? That's not how the world works. You know what sucks more than incremental change? No change because the country rejects your platform. Sanders' platform is struggling to reach a majority in a contested primary but you think the whole country is just going to embrace it with open arms?
 

lmcfigs

The Fallen
Oct 25, 2017
10,930
Its starting to feel like Bernie didn't do enough in the south, once again, to close the margins and make them more competitive. Which was arguably his most fatal mistake last time around.
I think it’s true. It’s still possible that Bernie does really well tomorrow, but this is my take as well. I noticed this particularly when his Mississippi comments came out. Like why are you worried about white voters in a democratic primary in Mississippi? It just seems so out of touch. i get that he only has limited time to devote to each state, but not doing more in S.C. was a big mistake.
 

Snowy

Banned
Nov 11, 2017
1,399
Imagine being an asshole and trying to convince others who you're belittling to join your movement.

Noone wants to be an ally to people like this. That's why Bernie is proudly trotting out an anti-vaxxer as one of his endorsements.
I’m sorry, but this is ethically impoverished. If the self-evident moral clarity of the movement does not cancel out a mild to moderate amount of annoying snark, well, you’re not the target audience. You either accept that social democracy is a fight WORTH having, NECESSARY to have, or you settle for a slow drip of maybe 3-4%, if that, of what we really need to drip out of the spigot. If you genuinely believe the latter is the best we can possibly hope to achieve, then we hope you’ll vote for our movement if the opportunity comes, but you are not the core of it.
 

jviggy43

Banned
Oct 28, 2017
18,184
And your solution is to push the candidate that lost to Hillary Clinton? The candidate who cares so much about people of color, that he literally skipped over the South in 2016 and just within the past week claimed that black people in South Carolina weren't REAL working class Americans? Give me a break. Sanders is an outsider fighting for the working class who is also a millionaire and has been in congress for decades. Yeah, he talks a good talk, but I have zero confidence that him being on the top of the ticket is a positive force. You honestly believe we have a chance of flipping red seats in the Senate with Fox News blasting SOCIALISM SOCIALISM SOCIALISM propaganda 24/7?
You honestly believe we have a chance of winning the senate with hunter biden blasting 24/7, from the guy who won his first state in a primary in 30+ years just two days ago? And youre not going to win this argument against Bernie when the alternative is Joe Biden. Its hilarious that anyone would even try. Like one of these people is still saying the crime bill was a good thing in 2020. Its not even a contest.

And this is all really besides the point you made that, people feeling hurt about Bernie calling them out for years for not being real allies are proving him right by scheming to give it to creepy uncle joe biden.
 

lmcfigs

The Fallen
Oct 25, 2017
10,930
my hot take, the fundamentals are still intact (Bernie has the more inspiring message, funding, grassroots energy, and organization on his side) giving him a victory in most of the super tuesday states. He wins Cali by 10 points, Texas by 5-10, gets a delegate lead, and loses some southern states, though not as much as in 2016 (and then people pretend like the only black voters that exist are in those states, lol)
There is zero reason to think he won’t get blown out in the southern states. Meanwhile Biden looks like he’ll be viable in both Texas and California with minimal effort on his part. It’s a massive L for Bernie if it plays out like this.
 

SmokeMaxX

Member
Oct 25, 2017
1,722
if some people being mean online is enough to convince you that progressive policies aren't worth voting for then you're too far gone to care about.

you have no actual morals or any real beliefs and politics is more a less a formality for you.

so, once again little boy, get the fuck over yourself
Put the issues on the ballot and I'll vote for them. I vote for issues, not demagogues. If Sanders and his supporters don't want allies, congratulations. Make sure to spread the good word on Twitter and Reddit as well. Lmao at trying to build a coalition but shitting on everyone who doesn't fall in line. Who's taking voters for granted and who isn't?
 

tulpa

Member
Oct 28, 2017
3,870
Noone wants to be an ally to people like this
You're right. No one wants it. Clearly Sanders has zero support
The candidate who cares so much about people of color, that he literally skipped over the South in 2016 and just within the past week claimed that black people in South Carolina weren't REAL working class Americans
Are you gonna provide a source for that or are we just openly making things up now?
 

Mekanos

Member
Oct 17, 2018
29,018
Imagine being an asshole and trying to convince others who you're belittling to join your movement.

Noone wants to be an ally to people like this. That's why Bernie is proudly trotting out an anti-vaxxer as one of his endorsements.
Pretty privileged position to take to thumb your nose at people who are angry at how embarrassingly bad this country is.
 

Zed

Member
Oct 28, 2017
2,544
I think people are seriously underestimating how damaging the Hunter Biden scandal is going to be if Biden is the nominee.
 

Xaszatm

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
10,945
Apology accepted. Your first mistake was thinking that you're the only people who care about the issues occurring in America. We can't even get Obamacare to stick and you think the country is just going to magically leapfrog it? That's not how the world works. You know what sucks more than incremental change? No change because the country rejects your platform. Sanders' platform is struggling to reach a majority in a contested primary but you think the whole country is just going to embrace it with open arms?
For trying to paint every opponent as a troll, you're engaging in extremely trolly behavior. I do not think getting medicare for all will be easy. I think it will be exceptionally difficult. I think we will have to drag the country kicking and screaming to that position. I find Sanders victory merely a step 1.

And you know what I can't anymore. Last year I was dying from a failing liver at the age of 28. I had to get a transplant. If it wasn't for my extreme luck I had from being born with wealth I would have died last year. I cannot and will not allow a single second continue without fighting for medicare for all. I'm sorry that I refuse to let another person die if I can help it. I'm sorry that my possible death would have be too inconvenient to you on your timetable but I will not be silent for anyone else anymore. Fuck those who want to wait, people are dying now.
 

Codeblue

Member
Oct 25, 2017
1,653
Put the issues on the ballot and I'll vote for them. I vote for issues, not demagogues. If Sanders and his supporters don't want allies, congratulations. Make sure to spread the good word on Twitter and Reddit as well. Lmao at trying to build a coalition but shitting on everyone who doesn't fall in line. Who's taking voters for granted and who isn't?
Biden is literally out here aggressively telling people not to vote for him.
 

SmokeMaxX

Member
Oct 25, 2017
1,722
You honestly believe we have a chance of winning the senate with hunter biden blasting 24/7, from the guy who won his first state in a primary in 30+ years just two days ago?

And this is all really besides the point you made that, people feeling hurt about Bernie calling them out for years for not being real allies are proving him right by scheming to give it to creepy uncle joe biden.
Well first, if you think the Hunter Biden thing is bad, you haven't seen anything yet. Trump and the entire GOP have literally been pushing for Bernie to be the nominee (and reciting the "rigged" narrative) for the however many months. I'm going to guess they're not doing it because they want to reach across the aisle and vote for him.

Second, (and this one is really getting out of hand) - not everything is a conspiracy. Dropping out and endorsing is literally how politics works. They didn't have a path to become President and want to be a part of Biden's administration. Very similar to what Sanders' surrogate Marianne Williamson did.
 

sphagnum

Member
Oct 25, 2017
15,422
"The establishment is coalescing against me because the working class is on my side" does not mean "Black people who didn't vote for me aren't working class" Jesus lol
 

Snowy

Banned
Nov 11, 2017
1,399
I think people are seriously underestimating how damaging the Hunter Biden scandal is going to be if Biden is the nominee.
That people think Bernie being a socialist is going to be more damaging than months of Burisma chatter by the freshly-acquitted talk is a sign of how truly fucked this country is right now.
 

Rosé Fighter

Alt Account
Banned
Aug 23, 2019
839
How do you guys deal with the fact that the DNC is against Sanders? Im in a mental depressive pit because I feel theyre pushing Biden hard and honestly I just cant deal with another year where I have to hear about it if he gets nominated.
 

medinaria

Member
Oct 30, 2017
1,015
I think it’s true. It’s still possible that Bernie does really well tomorrow, but this is my take as well. I noticed this particularly when his Mississippi comments came out. Like why are you worried about white voters in a democratic primary in Mississippi? It just seems so out of touch. i get that he only has limited time to devote to each state, but not doing more in S.C. was a big mistake.
honestly, I disagree

everything's got a cost to it. if you run more in south carolina, you're not guaranteed to get anything more out of it - it's probably some of the least favorable territory for sanders' demographics in the entire country. and what do you lose? might be you lose delegates in the big states out west, or maybe you don't have time to hit up boston or something.

the issue in 2016 is that he didn't win the south but also didn't win a lot of the larger non-southern states. he didn't win illinois/ohio/pennsylvania/new york (all states that are much more favorable demographically for him), he didn't even win california! if you can perform better in those states (and it seems likely he will - he certainly is in california this year), losing the south is... less bad. still not great - you obviously want to win everywhere - but it's less bad.

at the end of the day, it seems at least plausible that he's got enough strength in other states to cancel out those losses this time, which he didn't have last time. can't see the future, no idea if it's actually true, but the possibility is at least there.
 

oofouchugh

Member
Oct 29, 2017
2,282
Night City
Not much you can do vs Southern machine politics. The Democratic party is at its most corrupt in the South- this is why Bloomberg did so well for a bit- the money talked the most down in the South.

This is why part of me wonders if we'd actually be better off doing the work of starting over instead of trying to work within the Dems after 2020 if Trump wins.
Democrats would probably want to compromise with us more if we were a separate party if history is any indicator.
 

tulpa

Member
Oct 28, 2017
3,870
The candidate who cares so much about people of color, that he literally skipped over the South in 2016 and just within the past week claimed that black people in South Carolina weren't REAL working class Americans
I'm gonna keep asking you to respond to this. Cite the source where Sanders said black people in South Carolina aren't real working class Americans.
 

Tamanon

Member
Oct 25, 2017
13,057
How do you guys deal with the fact that the DNC is against Sanders? Im in a mental depressive pit because I feel theyre pushing Biden hard and honestly I just cant deal with another year where I have to hear about it if he gets nominated.
At the end of the day, it’s the voters not the DNC. If you can’t convince your own party, how will you convince the rest of the nation?
 

lmcfigs

The Fallen
Oct 25, 2017
10,930
How do you guys deal with the fact that the DNC is against Sanders? Im in a mental depressive pit because I feel theyre pushing Biden hard and honestly I just cant deal with another year where I have to hear about it if he gets nominated.
It is almost irrelevant right now. The conservative Democrats who are endorsing Biden now have nothing to do with the DNC preferring Biden to Bernie (though they clearly do). The preoccupation with Bernie being cheated by the DNC is strange because Bernie is losing the popular vote to Biden right now; and may lose again tomorrow.
 

coconut gun

Banned
Nov 1, 2017
682
Put the issues on the ballot and I'll vote for them. I vote for issues, not demagogues. If Sanders and his supporters don't want allies, congratulations. Make sure to spread the good word on Twitter and Reddit as well. Lmao at trying to build a coalition but shitting on everyone who doesn't fall in line. Who's taking voters for granted and who isn't?
we live in a country where we elect officials to enact policy, so they are more or less on the ballot. this is why people like you are literally worthless. your head's too far up your own ass about what politics is or isn't.

grow up little guy
 

Mekanos

Member
Oct 17, 2018
29,018
How do you guys deal with the fact that the DNC is against Sanders? Im in a mental depressive pit because I feel theyre pushing Biden hard and honestly I just cant deal with another year where I have to hear about it if he gets nominated.
I'll resign myself to four more years of Trump if Biden is the nom. I won't canvass, I won't phonebank. I'll vote for him like a good little stooge and assume to wake up the next day to Trump's victory speech. Then I might turn in my Democrat party registration and go Independent. Fuck it.

Maybe I'll fuck around and get involved in some direct action.
 
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