• Ever wanted an RSS feed of all your favorite gaming news sites? Go check out our new Gaming Headlines feed! Read more about it here.

Who's Going to Win South Carolina?

  • Joe Biden

    Votes: 585 39.2%
  • Bernie Sanders

    Votes: 853 57.2%
  • Elizabeth Warren

    Votes: 24 1.6%
  • Pete Buttigieg

    Votes: 7 0.5%
  • THE KLOBBERER

    Votes: 16 1.1%
  • Tom Steyer

    Votes: 6 0.4%

  • Total voters
    1,491
  • Poll closed .
Status
Not open for further replies.

Tiger Priest

Banned
Oct 24, 2017
1,120
New York, NY
Buttigieg has definitely come out the winner with regards to momentum from Iowa - his poll surge for NH is impressive. What should have been beneficial to Bernie as well has been clouded by the fuckery of it all.

I have a feeling NH is going to be closer than people expect.

It's worth noting that Pete once led in NH, so many of these voters may just be coming back to him now that they view him as viable.
 

Deleted member 3896

User requested account closure
Banned
Oct 25, 2017
5,815
When talking about the primary, I think it's important to remember how Gabbard, in part, came to have a following. Her history with Sanders and her status as a Sanders Institute fellow and that she's so tight with Sanders campaign co-chair is a real concern.

This moment could be a wonderful opportunity for the Sanders campaign to ask Gabbard to commit to supporting the Dem nominee and / or not run third party.
 

dots

Member
Oct 27, 2017
3,889
Tulsi deciding to not seek re-election in HI kinda gave away her 3rd party plan. Luckily if Bernie is the nom she can't do as much damage as 3rd parties did in 2016. It's funny how people ITT are desperate to make it Bernie's problem though, very transparent per the norm.
Why is Bernie more third-party proof than other candidates? The anti-war stuff?
 

Deleted member 28564

User-requested account closure
Banned
Oct 31, 2017
3,604
Why is Bernie more third-party proof than other candidates? The anti-war stuff?
Not necessarily all third parties. But Bernie is generally most popular among independents vs rivals (iirc) and he and Tulsi are friends. It also helps that Tulsi's 'popularity' stems from her connection to Bernie. So expect overlap between the two.
 

thoughthaver

Banned
Feb 6, 2020
434
Why is Bernie more third-party proof than other candidates? The anti-war stuff?
if bernie loses or they ratfuck him at the convention, plenty of his supporters are gonna stay home or vote third party. third parties will be there to catch all the frustrated bernie votes. if he's the nominee though then you don't have to worry about any of that.
 

bye

Avenger
Oct 25, 2017
8,419
Phoenix, AZ
Why is Bernie more third-party proof than other candidates? The anti-war stuff?

well for starters he's the most popular senator in the country, and has the best polling against Trump. He's much more likable than Hillary and has 10x as less baggage (ironically, most of the "baggage" is just smearing over little things from the Dems)

if tulsi is the 3rd party, she campaigned with him before and generally her base likes Bernie. There won't be many people voting Tulsi over Bernie. She was def banking on a Biden/Kamala/Pete establishment nom.
 

turtle553

Member
Oct 25, 2017
2,219


I don't think she can do that because of sore loser laws that prevent someone who lost in the primary running in the general:

In most states, these laws do not apply to presidential candidates. Many states accomplish the same requirement by having simultaneous registration dates for the primary and the general election. Only the states of Connecticut, Iowa, New York, and Vermont have neither a sore-loser law nor simultaneous registration deadlines.[2]
 

dots

Member
Oct 27, 2017
3,889
Not necessarily all third parties. But Bernie is generally most popular among independents vs rivals (iirc) and he and Tulsi are friends. It also helps that Tulsi's 'popularity' stems from her connection to Bernie. So expect overlap between the two.
if bernie loses or they ratfuck him at the convention, plenty of his supporters are gonna stay home or vote third party. third parties will be there to catch all the frustrated bernie votes. if he's the nominee though then you don't have to worry about any of that.
well for starters he's the most popular senator in the country, and has the best polling against Trump. He's much more likable than Hillary and has 10x as less baggage (ironically, most of the "baggage" is just smearing over little things from the Dems)

if tulsi is the 3rd party, she campaigned with him before and generally her base likes Bernie. There won't be many people voting Tulsi over Bernie. She was def banking on a Biden/Kamala/Pete establishment nom.
All of this assumes that there will be no centrist third party run if Bernie is the nominee which is kind of a big leap to make I guess.
 

CHC

Banned
Oct 27, 2017
10,246
Biden might actually be the worst campaigner of all time, insulting voters left and right and telling them to vote for someone else. It doesn't matter if its lighthearted, it's still horrible political instincts. Biden is blowing a massive national lead as we speak. Just terrible campaigning.

Yep, but better to do it now than later, at least we'll get him out of the way (please god I hope so)

Through and through, Biden has just made it so incredibly obvious he does not want the job. Even like a year into his campaign I have no idea why he wants to be President other than a vague sense of duty or entitlement.
 

Deleted member 28564

User-requested account closure
Banned
Oct 31, 2017
3,604
All of this assumes that there will be no centrist third party run if Bernie is the nominee which is kind of a big leap to make I guess.
There likely will be a few third party candidates running around. I suspect they will be less effective in disrupting the democrats this time around because of what's at stake, however.
 

Dahbomb

Community Resettler
Member
Oct 25, 2017
13,614
I'm not sure why Biden's team keeps putting him in front of people, it has not been working very well.
He got 4th place in Iowa because he wasn't on the ground interacting with people as much as the candidates who finished above himi. It's a catch 22, if you don't have him in front of people then people ask "where is Joe Biden?" but when you put him in front of people... they are like... "nah".
 

Mekanos

▲ Legend ▲
Member
Oct 17, 2018
44,120
He got 4th place in Iowa because he wasn't on the ground interacting with people as much as the candidates who finished above himi. It's a catch 22, if you don't have him in front of people then people ask "where is Joe Biden?" but when you put him in front of people... they are like... "nah".

Remember when Biden was the most electable candidate? Good times.
 

samoyed

Banned
Oct 26, 2017
15,191
Third party spoilers tends to be the "I say what the ESTABLISHMENT" doesn't say candidate. Ralph Nader, Ron Paul, etc. That candidate this cycle is Bernie. We'll probably see a new breed of ultracapitalist spoilers this time around like Bloomberg. Remember Schultz?

SALAAM ALAIKUM VP BIDEN
 

Steel

The Fallen
Oct 25, 2017
18,220
It's pretty normal. Like, let's put it this way. A lot of Bernie's current staffers were with Hillary/Obama, Bernie's Press Secretary in 2016 is a senior adviser in Biden's campaign now. 2016's DNC co-chair was working for Hillary at one point. It isn't exactly a huge pool of recruitment.
 

bye

Avenger
Oct 25, 2017
8,419
Phoenix, AZ
All of this assumes that there will be no centrist third party run if Bernie is the nominee which is kind of a big leap to make I guess.

If there is, I'd imagine they'd lean more Republican. I feel like centrist Dem voters are much more likely to vote for their party's leftist nominee over a centrist 3rd party (this obviously doesn't ring true for the opposite)
 

dots

Member
Oct 27, 2017
3,889
If there is, I'd imagine they'd lean more Republican. I feel like centrist Dem voters are much more likely to vote for their party's leftist nominee over a centrist 3rd party (this obviously doesn't ring true for the opposite)
I think you are 100% wrong and that Republicans will vote for Trump no matter what and that many Democrats are afraid of "socialist" Bernie Sanders.

Remember Chris Matthews talking about how Bernie is gonna line people up in the park and shoot them? People like him are staying home or going third party if Bernie gets the nom.
 

Kay

The Fallen
Oct 27, 2017
2,077
I can see Bloomberg going centrist 3rd party but I really do think it'll take one picture of him on stage between Bernie and Trump to kill it.
 

Volimar

volunteer forum janitor
Member
Oct 25, 2017
38,324
I'm going to preface this by saying that I'm for m4a.

Has Sanders said what he'd do if he can't get m4a done? Even if the Senate flips, there are plenty of moderates and corporate backed dems that it's very likely he won't get his brand of m4a passed. Has he said what he'd do then? I imagine there's some things he can do with EOs but what then? I'm not looking for opinions on what he'd do, I'm asking if he's said whether he has a fall back position to help people while he continues to push for m4a.
 

Aaron

I’m seeing double here!
Member
Oct 25, 2017
18,077
Minneapolis
I'm going to preface this by saying that I'm for m4a.

Has Sanders said what he'd do if he can't get m4a done? Even if the Senate flips, there are plenty of moderates and corporate backed dems that it's very likely he won't get his brand of m4a passed. Has he said what he'd do then? I imagine there's some things he can do with EOs but what then? I'm not looking for opinions on what he'd do, I'm asking if he's said whether he has a fall back position to help people while he continues to push for m4a.
His go-to talking point is he'd rally his supporters to put pressure on their Senators to pass M4A, but more likely he'd just settle for a lesser bill.

Bernie has supported a public option in the past. If that's the best he could do, he'd take it. Of course, if McConnell is still Majority Leader, forget about even that.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.