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Who's Going to Win South Carolina?

  • Joe Biden

    Votes: 585 39.2%
  • Bernie Sanders

    Votes: 853 57.2%
  • Elizabeth Warren

    Votes: 24 1.6%
  • Pete Buttigieg

    Votes: 7 0.5%
  • THE KLOBBERER

    Votes: 16 1.1%
  • Tom Steyer

    Votes: 6 0.4%

  • Total voters
    1,491
  • Poll closed .
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Deleted member 82

User requested account closure
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Oct 25, 2017
2,626
FWIW, was able to find some of the video of the CNN Power Rankings thing via a quick twitter search.


So much of this reads as confirmation bias to me though - Bernie supporters expect CNN to slight him and are letting that color something that is seemingly to me and very likely entirely harmless.


Thanks for the clip. Shame it's not the entire segment. That way I could have verified one of my hypotheses.

As it stands, it doesn't change what I've explained in excruciating detail in my previous post: the way the ranking is presented is very unusual and poor. Ranking order should always go from left to right, not right to left. It's either a really amateur mistake or a deliberately misleading presentation. And if there's malice at play, it doesn't even have to come from Cilliga. I don't know the guy, but he could be fair and neutral, or a Bernie supporter for that matter, and still have his ranking presented in a misleading way by whoever was tasked with making the visuals.

Here's a thought experiment for the skeptics: imagine you were asked to whip up a quick ranked list of, say, your 5 favorite video games, and you were asked to do that in, I don't know, PowerPoint, in horizontal order, on one row. Picture that scenario in your head. Picture yourself making that PowerPoint slide. Done? Right. I guarantee at least 90% of you naturally would have placed #1 in the very first spot on the left and gone from there. Now imagine if someone who regularly makes key visuals and graphs for a big news channel were asked the same. Yeah, no such professional would make such an amateur mistake, unless maybe they're a young intern and it's their first month on the job or something. Sorry, but channels like CNN and MSNBC don't get much benefit of the doubt in these matters at this point.

Let's forget this silly list for a second and think more broadly:

It's not an outlandish claim that there could be a bias against the only socialist, anti-establishment candidate for an election that will shape the country for the next 4-8 years, and potentially jeopardize powerful industries. You're only taken aback because Sanders is the first candidate in decades who's so overt, bold and uncompromising about his counter-current agenda, and successful at it to boot. Let's all come to terms with the fact that, no matter the country, media is not this bastion of perfect neutrality most of us would like to think it is. It's a general truth, but it's especially true when the topic is the political make-up of an entire country. A country that, for the past decades, has been scare-mongering its people not only about socialism, but about something as basic as free healthcare. A country where the left-wing party doesn't want to be called leftist (???).

Most of us outside the US see the farce of US media for what it is intuitively because our political landscapes and media tend to lean further left than the US's - though, let's not kid ourselves, we're still capitalistic social democracies at best. The US MSM is just that much more transparent to the outside world. But if you're American and you still can't bring yourself to acknowledge that news media has vested interests in keeping the political status quo and/or natural biases that keep it from thinking outside of a certain political frame, now is a good time to start considering it. It's already pretty blatant with Sanders, but if he doesn't get the nom or the presidency, and the next 4-8 years are spent under Trump, Bloomberg or some centrist dem, expect the cracks to show even more once AOC runs in 2028. Heck, the cracks might show even more as soon as 2021 if Sanders becomes president. I can empathize with you on some level; the idea that the supposed Fourth Estate isn't that independent or freethinking is scary. And when you've been fed one particular political ideology your whole life, it's hard to deprogram yourself and see through the bullshit. It's a pretty well-oiled Plato's Cave you got there.

This is not to say it's a uniquely American issue; many countries, including mine, have the exact same issue, only they start from a different place. And to be clear, I'm not talking about some grand conspiracy - leave that to would-be fascists. In many cases, it might simply be quasi-unconscious biases. When Chris Matthews is scared that the left is going to execute him in Central Park, he's being ridiculous... But I also think he's being genuine, sadly, and that worldview will undoubtedly taint his reporting. Most reporters, articles, op-eds and such will be a bit more subtle so as not to break the illusion of objectivity. It's all about plausible deniability, and that CNN Live segment with the right-to-left ranking might be one such example of very subtle, plausibly deniable bias. Or it might not, who cares; there are already enough examples of media bias out there. However, at some point... you gotta realize these things, as uncomfortable as that realization might make you. And now's the right time.
 

Deleted member 31817

Nov 7, 2017
30,876
Saw that Pressley fundraising bit on Bernie's email even if she didn't endorse him. Now that is class. I guess there are some things only oldies like Bernie might have learned over the decades he has been in politics. Warren and Pete could learn a thing or two.

I'll take it. Guy is a massive step up from Bloomberg and I still appreciate the moment in the first debate (I think?) when he made a passionate plea not to blame immigrants for America's ills. Better him than Buttigieg as far as mayors go.
Holy shit I completely forgot DiBlasio was in this race at the start lol
 

HipsterMorty

alt account
Banned
Jan 25, 2020
901
Likely a previous tie.

Not everything is a conspiracy against Bernie.
CNN having a bias against Bernie is not a conspiracy. They've had a lot of very oddly formatted poll graphics that were very obviously designed in a way to obfuscate the fact that Bernie is a front runner and a candidate with a lot of support. If this was a one off thing maybe I'd give them the benefit of the doubt, but I refuse to believe that they are incompetent at making poll graphics.
 

Deleted member 7572

User-requested account closure
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Oct 25, 2017
2,041
Daily Mail citing Drudge, so probably bullshit, but 😂😂😂:

Mod Edit: While Drudge does occasionally break legitimate news, please to not cite The Daily Mail.
 
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Exellus

Banned
Oct 30, 2017
2,348
A Trump 2nd term, kids in cages, and a bigger recession than 2008 are preferable to me than President Bloomberg.
 

Inuhanyou

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
14,214
New Jersey
Do y'all not know how power rankings work?

Like holy shit Bernie supporters are jumping at ghosts looking for something to be outraged about.

This isnt a valid claim to make based on what we know for a fact is a clear bias in the corporate media. Especially based on one example your attempting to dispute out of the many highlighted

A Trump 2nd term, kids in cages, and a bigger recession than 2008 are preferable to me than President Bloomberg.

Bloomberg already has plenty of kids in cages and would love to tax the poor a lot more than right now because he thinks it gives them 'better habits'

 
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Doran

Member
Jun 9, 2018
1,847
Daily Mail citing Drudge, so probably bullshit, but 😂😂😂:

Mod Edit: While Drudge does occasionally break legitimate news, please do not cite The Daily Mail.

IDK Drudge are the ones who broke the Clinton / Lewinsky scandal lol

Part of me wants to see that just to see the reactions.
 
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Inuhanyou

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
14,214
New Jersey


IIRC, Sanders has been in democratic leadership for 4 years and has caucused with dems for a majority of his time in Washington. Bloomberg has spent a majority of his life up to the last election cycle donating to the GOP

www.exposedbycmd.org

Democratic Presidential Candidate Michael Bloomberg Is a GOP Bankroller - EXPOSEDbyCMD

Over the last decade, the deep-pocketed former Republican used his wealth to help give control of the Senate to Republicans.
 
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jviggy43

Banned
Oct 28, 2017
18,184
EQxJUeQUcAAjLTp.jpg%3Alarge


Maybe people should stop defending Bloomberg even in a hypothetical, yeah?
 

Powdered Egg

Banned
Oct 27, 2017
17,070
If they didn't shoot the black president they're not shooting the socialist.
The black president didn't get shot. Bernie should be fine.
They didn't gun for the Black president because he didn't come after them. Obama was not a threat to wealthy people or the ruling class. If Obama had Bernie's politics or the zealous advocacy for Black people that heroes of decades past had, he would have been deceased for at least five years by now. He knew his lane and was not going to rock the boat.

See: The entire 60s and 70s Civil/Black Rights movement.

I support and root for the left-wing of the party but I am concerned for them at the same time.
 
Oct 25, 2017
13,126
They didn't gun for the Black president because he didn't come after them. Obama was not a threat to wealthy people or the ruling class. If Obama had Bernie's politics or the zealous advocacy for Black people that heroes of decades past had, he would have been deceased for at least five years by now. He knew his lane and was not going to rock the boat.

See: The entire 60s and 70s Civil/Black Rights movement.

I support and root for the left-wing of the party but I am concerned for them at the same time.
Did you see the fucking Tea Party rallies? Say what you want about Obama did but he made white people go fucking nuts.
 
May 30, 2018
1,255
They didn't gun for the Black president because he didn't come after them. Obama was not a threat to wealthy people or the ruling class. If Obama had Bernie's politics or the zealous advocacy for Black people that heroes of decades past had, he would have been deceased for at least five years by now. He knew his lane and was not going to rock the boat.

See: The entire 60s and 70s Civil/Black Rights movement.

I support and root for the left-wing of the party but I am concerned for them at the same time.

FBI kept tabs on Malcom 7 years before he rose to national prominence, if Obama had 1/100 the zeal of Malcolm he would never have made it to the Senate forget the WH lmao
 

Inuhanyou

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
14,214
New Jersey
Did you see the fucking Tea Party rallies? Say what you want about Obama did but he made white people go fucking nuts.

You can make white people go nuts...but dont threaten their money or the established POWER structure. As long as the white institution is preserved and you actively hold it up, you can cause a bit of social unrest just fine by existing as a different color.

This is what Cornel west was criticizing in his "obama is blackface" comments
 

Doran

Member
Jun 9, 2018
1,847
So Bloomberg is a Republican running as a Democrat because he hates Trump? Basically don't believe anything he says or his platform because old rich dudes don't change that much in 2-3 years.
 

Deleted member 10551

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Oct 27, 2017
3,031
If Sanders ends up with 35% delegates and Biden with less than a third that number you expect him to to give Biden the nomination and request someone very loosely associated with him to become the VP in turn? What kind of deal would that be? With a result like that I would expect Sanders to look for a canidate with 15% delegates who appears somewhat workable and offer him vice presidency.

If everyone else is determined to veto Bernie (and that would happen) , he won't get it. Better to get some of what you want, than nothing, especially when there's a chance it could end up Bloomberg. If you only end up with 35% of the delegates, you haven't necessarily won even if you have the most at the end.

The Republicans tried this strategy against Trump in 2016, it failed, but that was the idea- force a contested convention then veto Trump. If the Republicans had run under the Dem's 2020 rules, it would have succeeded.
 

gutter_trash

Banned
Oct 26, 2017
17,124
Montreal


IIRC, Sanders has been in democratic leadership for 4 years and has caucused with dems for a majority of his time in Washington. Bloomberg has spent a majority of his life up to the last election cycle donating to the GOP

www.exposedbycmd.org

Democratic Presidential Candidate Michael Bloomberg Is a GOP Bankroller - EXPOSEDbyCMD

Over the last decade, the deep-pocketed former Republican used his wealth to help give control of the Senate to Republicans.

CNN is so lazy,
Bloomberg is a Republican
 

Inuhanyou

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
14,214
New Jersey
If everyone else is determined to veto Bernie (and that would happen) , he won't get it. Better to get some of what you want, than nothing, especially when there's a chance it could end up Bloomberg. If you only end up with 35% of the delegates, you haven't necessarily won even if you have the most at the end.

The Republicans tried this strategy against Trump in 2016, it failed, but that was the idea- force a contested convention then veto Trump. If the Republicans had run under the Dem's 2020 rules, it would have succeeded.

Veoting Bernie who has a plurality of votes would destroy the Democratic party from the inside. Clear exodus of millions of people and creation of third party level. There is no way the Democratic party will outright take the nomination away from Sanders if he wins a plurality of votes. Any deal will be on Sanders terms outright if we get to a contested convention.
 

Deleted member 16657

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Oct 27, 2017
10,198
This won't happen. The one guarantee of a brokered convention is Bloomberg won't win. He's pissed off a lot of the institutionalist national Dems as well, because of his hurting of downballot Dems, who are all hurting for staff now.

The second reason is the cards Bernie can play. He'll have the most delegates, if they screw him totally, he can walk out, and Trump wins, and they know he might do it. The second reason is Bernie can split the centrist block , he would just need one to keep Bloomberg out.

An example deal he could make: he could talk to Biden, tell him that if he ratfucks the other centrists, his supporters will back Biden. The price: he has to agree to be a one-termer (which he already has hinted at), and he has to agree to a Bernie-approved VP, say either Ayanna Pressley or Julian Castro. Biden would take that deal, he wants to be president so bad, and there's not going to be a bust over Biden, especially if it's known that this was a deal Bernie did that would gave us a great chance in 2024.

If Bernie has 35% delegates, and Biden has about 10% (and he will, he's still at 20% in the South, that would be enough), they'd get the rest through Bernie+Biden superdelegates. I think it would be harder to make a deal with Pete, at a minimum Pete would be VP (which is a great spot for him, he can absorb Bernie's mantle in 8 years if he does the work- Bernie asks AOC to promise not to run after him, wait her turn a bit), and Bernie and Pete can become best buds like Obama and Biden.
For Bloomberg to win, Biden and Buttigieg would have to surrender to Bloomberg. I don't see that happening. Too much ego, and Biden probably is offended by Bloomberg's actions, as the strongest institutionalist. I don't see Biden bowing the knee to Bernie, but he won't do it to Bloomberg either.

If Bloomberg wins a majority of delegates, Bernie could never have won anyways, and so we're stuck with what we can get. I'll be utterly miserable, but the people would have spoken. The only way Bloomberg is the nominee is via the first ballot, after that, he will be screwed.

That said, if you hate Bloomberg, vote for Bernie- you may not win, but each Bernie delegate makes it harder for Bloomberg to steal the nomination. If Biden or Buttigieg are around 14% in your state though , a tactical vote their way won't hurt either, especially if you can't vote for Bernie. We can stop Trumpism in the Democratic party from Bloomberg before it starts.

Yeah you're right that Bernie will have a lot of power and moves to play, especially the "I'll run third party if you pick Bloomberg" nuclear option. I just can't help but worry when I see shit like this:

HOW TF does it keep getting worse!?




 

Surfinn

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
28,590
USA
Bloomberg should release all the dirt on himself.

Can't criticize me if you have nowhere to start

headpoint.gif
 

Surfinn

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
28,590
USA
www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/politics/michael-bloomberg-women/

Just a small snippet from the above NYT Bloomberg article on his misogyny/sexism/sexual harassment:
89. On April 11, 1995 at approximately 11:20 a.m., Bloomberg was having a photograph taken with two female Company salespeople and a group of N.Y.U. Business School students, in the company snack area. When Bloomberg noticed Garrison standing nearby, he asked, "Why didn't they ask you to be in the picture? I guess they saw your face." Continuing his penchant for ridiculing recently married women in his employ, Bloomberg asked plaintiff, "How's married life? You married?" Plaintiff responded that her marriage was great and was going to get better in a few months: that she was pregnant, and the baby was due the following September. He responded to her "Kill it!" Plaintiff asked Bloomberg to repeat himself, and again he said, "Kill it!" and muttered, "Great! Number 16!" suggesting to plaintiff his unhappiness that sixteen women in the Company had maternity-related status. Then he walked away.
 

Vector

Member
Feb 28, 2018
6,637
The fact that Trump can realistically hit Bloomberg from the left on a number of issues is mindblowing to me. How is this guy a Democrat again?
 

mutantmagnet

Member
Oct 28, 2017
12,401
HOW TF does it keep getting worse!?



Holy shit. This bankrolling occurred after the Flint water crisis was firmly understood.

With each bit of news I was regretting my decision to vote for Mike for his first tenure as mayor but with this I'll never consider voting for him in the general election.


The DNC better not help him to win through a brokered convention.
 
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