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Who's Going to Win South Carolina?

  • Joe Biden

    Votes: 585 39.2%
  • Bernie Sanders

    Votes: 853 57.2%
  • Elizabeth Warren

    Votes: 24 1.6%
  • Pete Buttigieg

    Votes: 7 0.5%
  • THE KLOBBERER

    Votes: 16 1.1%
  • Tom Steyer

    Votes: 6 0.4%

  • Total voters
    1,491
  • Poll closed .
Status
Not open for further replies.

Volimar

volunteer forum janitor
Member
Oct 25, 2017
38,515
The "Russia" attack is underway. Not because he's being helped, but because he knew before Iowa. #bernieknew is trending on twitter. Don't bother reading the replies, they're garbage.

Was it a classified briefing?
 

Jiggy

Avenger
Oct 25, 2017
9,287
wherever
A nice history lesson on the 2016 Nevada caucus. Harry Reid is a massive power player in the state, and he went all in on securing it for Clinton. Thankfully, he's staying out of it this time. Kingmakers like Reid and Obama should not be getting involved in a primary.

Ultimately, what turned this race was Reid, who clearly came home to find that Clinton's insurmountable lead was being surmounted. Despite being furious with Team Clinton for its panic-stricken spin that Nevada was as white as Iowa and New Hampshire, undermining Reid's argument about why the state was given early-state status (and, you know, being false, too), the senator decided he would single-handedly save the state for Clinton.

In the middle of last week, Reid made a phone call, first reported by The New York Times' Amy Chozick, to D. Taylor, the head of the parent of the Culinary Workers Union local in Las Vegas. Before that call, the union, facing difficult contract negotiations and seeing no advantage in enmeshing itself in a bloody internecine fight, had declared it was more Swiss than Hispanic. With the culinary union not endorsing and unwilling to even engage in the caucuses, employee turnout at six casino sites on the Las Vegas Strip was forecast at a combined 100 or so. That is, insignificant.

But Reid did not stop there. He also called casino executives, Democratic insiders confirm, with a simple message: "Let your people go."

That is, he wanted to ensure the workers would be allowed time off from work to caucus. No one said no to Prince Harry.

Despite their common public neutrality, Taylor and Reid surely believe, as do most Democratic power brokers, that a Sanders nomination would be a disaster. Reid knew that Taylor would get his swarms of organizers to turn out mostly Latino workers, who would likely vote for Clinton.

On Saturday, Clinton won all six casino sites. And instead of an aggregate 100 or so employees, hundreds of workers showed up to caucus, thanks to Reid to Taylor to organizers. But those culinary workers at the Strip sites were not the only ones who caucused — some of those who were not working went to their home sites. And Reid also encouraged leaders of other unions, I'm told, to rally their members to juice Clark County for Clinton.

Clinton won Clark by 10 points, ensuring that Sanders would have to crush her in the north and rurals to win. He did not.
 

bricewgilbert

Banned
Oct 27, 2017
868
WA, USA
Thank you for your work and your insights.


great work! Sounds fulfilling

This is so awesome. Thank you so much for contributing to our struggle.

Thanks. I know every bit helps, but I have to mention a woman I met on my plane ride back who was there for a whole week canvassing all day and was even trying to stay longer. She was planning on going to South Carolina next too. It's funny cause we would have actually met her on our first canvas site at the campaign office (one of many offices), but we were 20 minutes late due to a Google Maps issue. Ended up switching our seats on the flight at the gate for various reasons and that put us in her row. Odd way to end my trip.

Man, reading stuff like this breaks my heart. Sad to see that people are so disillusioned over the process they won't even consider having hope.

Yeah when you see the area they live in it isn't too surprising to see why someone would be disillusioned. I should be clear that I would say the majority of people we spoke to were going to vote against Trump in the general, but as you can imagine deciding among the Democrats who to believe in or if it even made a difference wasn't on the top of their minds. That requires someone to be watching this dog and pony show for months. Like I said even though most explicit supporters were for Bernie it's tough for people to believe, even if they want to.
 

HipsterMorty

alt account
Banned
Jan 25, 2020
901
1. Its not a can't do attitude. Its basic fucking math. And housing isn't something you can force progress on despite shortfalls, unless you want to build a bunch of fire traps and/or house that fall over with the first strong wind.

This isn't even getting into utility taps, grid infrastructure not being up to these loads, the conflict between this and expanding high speed internet when more users equals less bandwitdh on existing backbones, or the massive surge you'd be dumping on WWTPs (single family homes use far more water and generate more waste water than equal numbers of residents in apartments, FYI).

2. We already incentivize the fuck out of the trades via huge salaries relative to education. But it still takes some non-trivial levels of education. This isn't like having a bad adminstrative clerk who misfiles billing that can be corrected at some point. Hire an unqualified plumber and your house will flood. Hire an unqualified electrician and hope that the worst that happens is a power surge that fries every electronic device plugged in (far more likely that it'll light your 90% wood house on fire though).

A good plumber makes a high five/low six figure income. Same for electricians. A finish carpenter with real skill can basically name their price and how many months they feel like working. A good equipment operator is, again, a high five/low six figure income in most of the places where these homes are needed.

I spend eight figures every year building shit for facilities that are, themselves, staffed with people who work within these same fields. I'm a scientist by education but routinely I'm showing actual tradespeople how to do plumbing, electrical, and structural work to code.

This is not a gap we fill in a year, three years, and probably not even in five years. It'll take a decade and you can't ask the industry to build 10 million new homes on the way there. A new house needs to last for 30-50 years, minimum. This is not a short term fix.

3. Likening this to single payer vs. a public option again shows a lack of understanding. Healthcare in this nation is legislated by the three branches in concert. Sanders has a scheme supposedly to try and do M4A via executive order I guess, but that won't work because a stay would be granted within 24 hours. Aiming high and compromising is a valid strategy when it comes to legislative goals.

Housing is not a legislative goal though. HUD is a part of the executive and staffed by a cabinet member. There is no need for a negotiation here. There is need for a realistic plan. The only element the POTUS can't do unilaterally would be funding, but seeings how we've had articles about the "housing crisis" for over a decade now declaring it a national emergency and reallocating funds based on that wouldn't really even qualify as a work around.

This is the problem with Sanders. Don't get me wrong, I'm 100% behind him at this point because I don't think anyone else can beat Trump and he was my second choice behind Warren as it was. But people should stop acting like his plans are the best plans around. They are, often, very flawed and not tied to what can actually be done. This is an area where Warren particularly shines, but she can't streamline or stop talking like a wonk long enough to get popular support behind her. The curse of always being the smartest person in the room.

Sanders' policies are still better than basically the rest of the field mind you. I just hope that should we see a Sanders nomination there is a reality check period where he adopts much of Warren's platform for how to utilize executive power in the first ~180 days. Better yet, give her a major cabinet position and let her execute it while he continues to drive engagement and rally support for the big ticket items, like M4A. That is a legislative lift and it'll get a lot easier if a President Sanders is chipping points off the polling numbers for GOP congressmen in swing states out of the gate. Reaching across the isle will happen when a GOP congressman sees Trump go down in November and their own poll numbers steadily drop climbing up on 2022.

That, and continuing to gain ground in governor's mansions and in state houses will pay off big following the 2020 census and redistricting.
Alright I'll concede that you are far more knowledgeable on this topic than I am. You bring up very good points that would make Sanders plan more aspirational than what is realistic. Since were being realistic here, I think the reality is that neither Sanders or Warren have taken into account the issues that you have brought up. Warrens bill for executing her plan is literally a page long. Warren hasn't explained how she's going to train the 1.5 million workers needed for her plan.

I support both Sanders and Warren in their plans. But I don't warren has a particularly unique ability in crafting policy that she gets praised for. If you compare Bernie's plan to Warren's, you'll notice they are more or less the same. Investing a ton of money money into the housing trust fund. Beyond that, Sanders actually identifies the need for housing that doesn't exist, which is 7.4 million homes. Warrens number in comparison seems arbitrary.

I think the truth is that people just like Warren because she goes into detail about causes and how her specific policies will work. Whereas Bernie just sticks with the high level details because the truth is the details bore people to death.

And I have to say that I like that Bernie actually identifies the need of 7.4 million affordable homes, and then overshoots! I'm sure 7.4 million is still unrealistic in 10 years. But it's worth trying and if we can allocate the funding for it then maybe it's something we can do over the next 20 years instead of 10.

And again, I'm not the expert that you are and maybe I'm completely off base here. But just comparing their plans as the non expert I am, I don't see that warrens plan is objectively better. And I think Sanders approach of identifying the need first is a better approach. We should always aim for perfection, even when we know it's unachievable.
 

SSF1991

Member
Jun 19, 2018
3,263
It really amazes me much some people really want to hate Bernie.

I can understand questioning the kind of people he hires or endorses. That, I feel, is a legitimate criticism that I have taken issue with as well. But ever since became the frontrunner, the media and anti-Bernie people have become absolutely unbearable.
 

HipsterMorty

alt account
Banned
Jan 25, 2020
901
Its a 'cant' do' attitude to now you cant universally double the workforce for a specialized part of the workforce?

Nothing you wrote counters his points about the logistical realities of this one-upmanship game. And your comparison to healthcare is so nonsensical, thats literally all you have "you are just a debbie downer like on healthcare". You are offering nothing but platitudes against someone that has a on-paper doable plan. It literally takes time to scale up proper construction if you want to build homes that people would want to live in long term.
Warrens bill is literally a page long. If you compare it to Sanders plan, they are practically the same - investing heavily in the housing trust fund. Neither of them have addressed how they are going to overcome the logistical obstacles of actually implementing their plans. On top of that, Sanders actually indicates in his plan that there is a need for 7.4 million affordable housing units. So no, I'm not going to say that the person who is shooting for half of what we need has the better plan.
 

Volimar

volunteer forum janitor
Member
Oct 25, 2017
38,515
It really amazes me much some people really want to hate Bernie.

I can understand questioning the kind of people he hires or endorses. That, I feel, is a legitimate criticism that I have taken issue with as well. But ever since became the frontrunner, the media and anti-Bernie people have become absolutely unbearable.


It's a primary. You have to remember he's not the choice for more people than he is the choice. He's also the frontrunner, so he's going to get a lot of shit.

There's no defending the media stuff though.
 

Rats

Member
Oct 25, 2017
8,112
It's a primary. You have to remember he's not the choice for more people than he is the choice. He's also the frontrunner, so he's going to get a lot of shit.

There's no defending the media stuff though.
This is all true, but there's a very particular hatred of Bernie that's been pervasive throughout the entire race, and even before it began. I know why it's there, a lot of people invested a lot of themselves in 2016 and need an outlet for their frustration, but that doesn't excuse it. I'm not really active on Twitter, but some of the vilest comments I've seen toward a candidate on this site have been made toward Bernie.
 

Volimar

volunteer forum janitor
Member
Oct 25, 2017
38,515
This is all true, but there's a very particular hatred of Bernie that's been pervasive throughout the entire race, and even before it began. I know why it's there, a lot of people invested a lot of themselves in 2016 and need an outlet, but that doesn't excuse it. I'm not really active on Twitter, but some of the vilest comments I've seen toward a candidate on this site have been made toward Bernie.

For sure there's still a lot of vitriol from that race.
 

Deleted member 11046

User requested account closure
Banned
Oct 27, 2017
942
This is all true, but there's a very particular hatred of Bernie that's been pervasive throughout the entire race, and even before it began. I know why it's there, a lot of people invested a lot of themselves in 2016 and need an outlet for their frustration, but that doesn't excuse it. I'm not really active on Twitter, but some of the vilest comments I've seen toward a candidate on this site have been made toward Bernie.
You can't name a candidate that hasn't had absolutely awful things said about them here. Bernie is no unique victim in this regard.
 

GoldenEye 007

Roll Tide, Y'all!
Banned
Oct 25, 2017
13,833
Texas
You can't name a candidate that hasn't had absolutely awful things said about them here. Bernie is no unique victim in this regard.
Eh.... I don't know about here, but the media has been especially harsh in a number of instances. I mean it has been suggested he'd start executing people in NYC. People on MSNBC basically foaming at the mouth.

Not everyone has gotten that level of.... discourse.
 

Rats

Member
Oct 25, 2017
8,112
You can't name a candidate that hasn't had absolutely awful things said about them here. Bernie is no unique victim in this regard.
I'm not saying that at all. It just seems to me like the nature of the hatred towards Bernie skews a little differently. Like he's pure fucking evil and his decades of public service have all been in pursuit of some nefarious goal.

EDIT: That's all I'll say on this matter, I don't want to derail into a metacommentary discussion and my feelings are a little too nebulous for me to articulate.
 

mutantmagnet

Member
Oct 28, 2017
12,401
Cold blooded... I just saw a picture of the lady at the podium, in it she was walking with a group throwing the middle finger. I guess if something happens like this again nothing can be done to stop it especially if people stick to the NDA. Sanders people can double check that they have the right papers, but they could think of something else to get them kicked out. The ball is in their court, they can write the rules on the fly. Democracy.

I hope everyone and their mom records this time. Get all angles, show that no one is throwing chairs and stuff, but it could still be said that "Bernie Bros" were violent, causing trouble, threatening people.

onlineharassmentdata.org

Is Social Media Empowering or Silencing Political Expression?

New poll reveals the impact of social media on the 2016 Presidential election.
R8O7LD9.jpg

Thanks for sharing that. I'm going to get a lot of mileage by quoting this website.
 

RDreamer

Member
Oct 25, 2017
14,106
This is all true, but there's a very particular hatred of Bernie that's been pervasive throughout the entire race, and even before it began. I know why it's there, a lot of people invested a lot of themselves in 2016 and need an outlet for their frustration, but that doesn't excuse it. I'm not really active on Twitter, but some of the vilest comments I've seen toward a candidate on this site have been made toward Bernie.
Interesting that's your experience because in my experience the hatred of Bernie has been nowhere near Obama or Clinton levels as of now. Like not even remotely in the ballpark as of this time. Kerry also got it worse from what I remember but that was in the general.
 

Deleted member 24149

Oct 29, 2017
2,150
Jason Johnson does not belong on MSNBC or any television news network period. AOC and squad need to address and signal boost this big time. MSNBC needs to be called out.
He also has a weekly column on The Root that continues to be very disappointing with some of his rankings.
 

peppermints

Member
Oct 25, 2017
4,656
I'm not saying that at all. It just seems to me like the nature of the hatred towards Bernie skews a little differently. Like he's pure fucking evil and his decades of public service have all been in pursuit of some nefarious goal.

EDIT: That's all I'll say on this matter, I don't want to derail into a metacommentary discussion and my feelings are a little too nebulous for me to articulate.
I think the hate towards Pete is the most vitriolic on here. I'm talking specifically this thread.

It's the nature of the beast though. People have favorites and not so favorites and every candidate is in our face 24/7 thanks to Twitter and general campaign nonsense.
 

fontguy

Avenger
Oct 8, 2018
16,154
I think the hate towards Pete is the most vitriolic on here. I'm talking specifically this thread.

It's the nature of the beast though. People have favorites and not so favorites and every candidate is in our face 24/7 thanks to Twitter and general campaign nonsense.
I mean, we're seeing Bernie get accused of commanding brown shirt death squads with the intent of carrying out executions in Central Park, on national TV.

Every candidate gets a lot of hate and venom, but the shit being said about Bernie on major platforms by supposedly reputable people is, I think, pretty unparalleled.
 

peppermints

Member
Oct 25, 2017
4,656
I mean, we're seeing Bernie get accused of commanding brown shirt death squads with the intent of carrying out executions in Central Park, on national TV.

Every candidate gets a lot of hate and venom, but the shit being said about Bernie on major platforms by supposedly reputable people is, I think, pretty unparalleled.
Right. I think the person I quoted was talking about this forum specifically though.
 

B-Dubs

That's some catch, that catch-22
On Break
Oct 25, 2017
32,776
I mean, we're seeing Bernie get accused of commanding brown shirt death squads with the intent of carrying out executions in Central Park, on national TV.

Every candidate gets a lot of hate and venom, but the shit being said about Bernie on major platforms by supposedly reputable people is, I think, pretty unparalleled.
We literally had people going full racist conspiracy theory about Obama and that was just a starting point.
 

SolarPowered

Member
Oct 28, 2017
2,211
Pete Buttigieg has no policy but to become president. He has been gearing up for this since high school, and is a poster child for empty suits. His campaign is really saying Bernie is gonna lose congress when this dude can't win anyone but rich whites? Sick of the platitudes.
It's such an outrageously deceitful argument, too. The guy is a three term mayor, eight term congressman and two term senator. You'd think he was talking about Andrew Yang or Marianne Williamson. This guy is a known and respected person in Washington. I can only imagine how disappointed Pete's younger self would be by the garbage he spews today. He knows better.
 

Azzanadra

Member
Oct 25, 2017
3,806
Canada
We literally had people going full racist conspiracy theory about Obama and that was just a starting point.

But those were right wingers (and mostly fringe) spouting that nonsense. Right now we have MSNBC, the supposed "left wing" mainstream news channel telling its (presumably) left-leaning viewers, that Bernie is a grotesque monster in the vein of Adolf Hitler and Joseph Stalin.

The point here is that even Liberals are engaging with the character assassination of Bernie and his supporters.
 

fontguy

Avenger
Oct 8, 2018
16,154
We literally had people going full racist conspiracy theory about Obama and that was just a starting point.

I meant specific to this race, but even then, that shit's proponents in the media were all solidly conservative outlets. It wasn't Tom Brokaw calling Barack and Michelle's fist bump a terrorist fist jab.

It would be comparable if these attacks were happening just in Murdoch Land, but here, we're seeing the "reasonable" media outlets peddling this trash just as fervently as their conservative counterparts.
 

SolarPowered

Member
Oct 28, 2017
2,211
The best part is that they're going put the blame for delays on Bernie for requiring them to release actual election data as is done in all other democratic countries on the planet.

Why do we believe these people are competent? Why?

This is not acceptable

NDAs, days long delays of election results and union fuckery misleading voters into thinking they they were voting for insurance instead of presidential nominee.

This is not going to be a clean or fun weekend and they wonder why American belief in Democracy is falling day by day.
 

Gully Bully

Member
Aug 19, 2019
145
#YoSoyUnBro

I unfortunately missed the majority of that last debate, in which Bloomberg makes his debut.

If it's true what they say that Klobuchar went at Buttigieg like Christie on Rubio, well then, shit... if she keeps that up and is still in the race by the time primaries get around to my state, she will have my vote.

#YoSoyUnBro
 

Balphon

Member
Oct 25, 2017
2,626
I'm not saying that at all. It just seems to me like the nature of the hatred towards Bernie skews a little differently. Like he's pure fucking evil and his decades of public service have all been in pursuit of some nefarious goal.

EDIT: That's all I'll say on this matter, I don't want to derail into a metacommentary discussion and my feelings are a little

Clinton and Obama had it way worse in '08 to say nothing of afterwards.
 

Chaosblade

Resettlement Advisor
Member
Oct 25, 2017
6,596
#YoSoyUnBro

I unfortunately missed the majority of that last debate, in which Bloomberg makes his debut.

If it's true what they say that Klobuchar went at Buttigieg like Christie on Rubio, well then, shit... if she keeps that up and is still in the race by the time primaries get around to my state, she will have my vote.

#YoSoyUnBro

Pete went pretty hard after everyone (except Bloomberg, who he only had minimal shots at oddly enough) but the Pete-Klob exchanges are probably what those two are going to carry with them from that debate.
 

IMCaprica

Member
Aug 1, 2019
9,433
Seeing the "BernieKnew" and "BernieIsARussianAssett" hashtags leads me to believe Russia got exactly what they wanted. If people would read the article it's actually explicit that this was a plot to help get Trump reelected, and they chose Sanders purely to make everyone question the validity of the elections. Of course no one's going to read the article, and the Russian government knows that. It just needed to get out.
 

Kayla

Member
Oct 28, 2017
2,316
great is the results may not be out by tomorrow. Who wants to bet Pete is going to claim victory again?
 
May 26, 2018
24,021
Seeing the "BernieKnew" and "BernieIsARussianAssett" hashtags leads me to believe Russia got exactly what they wanted. If people would read the article it's actually explicit that this was a plot to help get Trump reelected, and they chose Sanders purely to make everyone question the validity of the elections. Of course no one's going to read the article, and the Russian government knows that. It just needed to get out.

Been waiting for this shit to happen for a while now, whoever the candidate would be.
 

Seattle6418

Member
Oct 25, 2017
528
Brasília Brazil
Thanks. I know every bit helps, but I have to mention a woman I met on my plane ride back who was there for a whole week canvassing all day and was even trying to stay longer. She was planning on going to South Carolina next too. It's funny cause we would have actually met her on our first canvas site at the campaign office (one of many offices), but we were 20 minutes late due to a Google Maps issue. Ended up switching our seats on the flight at the gate for various reasons and that put us in her row. Odd way to end my trip.



Yeah when you see the area they live in it isn't too surprising to see why someone would be disillusioned. I should be clear that I would say the majority of people we spoke to were going to vote against Trump in the general, but as you can imagine deciding among the Democrats who to believe in or if it even made a difference wasn't on the top of their minds. That requires someone to be watching this dog and pony show for months. Like I said even though most explicit supporters were for Bernie it's tough for people to believe, even if they want to.

Stuff like this makes us feel better when there´s so much fuckery going on.

About what time tomorrow will we start to get results? Maddow just said it starts at 10am Nevada time.

Were lucky if we get anything before the SC debate. All masks are off and they won´t let him have his moment if the polls are indeed correct.
 

kcp12304

Member
Oct 27, 2017
2,978
But those were right wingers (and mostly fringe) spouting that nonsense. Right now we have MSNBC, the supposed "left wing" mainstream news channel telling its (presumably) left-leaning viewers, that Bernie is a grotesque monster in the vein of Adolf Hitler and Joseph Stalin.

The point here is that even Liberals are engaging with the character assassination of Bernie and his supporters.

Hillary Clinton insinuated Obama might be assassinated
 

SSF1991

Member
Jun 19, 2018
3,263
So uh, I just found this. From 8 years ago:

www.usjf.net

Why Putin Wants Obama to Win

The 2012 U.S. presidential election presents a contrast to the 2008 election in terms of their perceptions by the Russian elite. In 2008, then-President Dmitry Medvedev expressed a desire to work w…

Not sure if trustworthy, but...welp.

Apparently it's not the first itme they tried this shit either.
 

RockGun90

Member
Jul 28, 2018
438
I meant specific to this race, but even then, that shit's proponents in the media were all solidly conservative outlets. It wasn't Tom Brokaw calling Barack and Michelle's fist bump a terrorist fist jab.

It would be comparable if these attacks were happening just in Murdoch Land, but here, we're seeing the "reasonable" media outlets peddling this trash just as fervently as their conservative counterparts.
I mean, are we all just gonna pretend we didn't see Chris Matthews on live TV suggest Bernie was gonna execute him in Central Park?
 
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