Most people are pointing to Bloomberg, which is a noted source. Do you think Bloomberg is a bad source?
No, because as I said straight off the bat I expect Dusk Golem's source is a (Japanese) developer/publisher and they are probably overestimating as they did with Switch.
Those things add $30-50 at most, not 150.I think both can be correct. BOM could be the stated 450 from Bloomberg, but that doesn't account for things like storage, production, logistics, unless I'm terribly wrong on what BOM means here.
Except that analysis is also supposition and not based in any secret knowledge.I'll trust this analysis way more than an off handed comment with nothing really backing it
Analysis : Why does Sony's Operating Profit forecast indicate PS5 will probably cost less than $499 ?
It will be a long read guys ;) Informations before we start : Q1 = April-June / Q2 = July-Sept / Q3 = Oct-Dec / Q4 = Jan-March PS5 = PS5 standard / PS5 DE = PS5 Digital Edition PS4 sold 4.5m units during Q3 FY13 (Oct-Dec) and 3.1m during Q4 FY13 (Jan-March 2014) PS4 BOM according to research...www.resetera.com
Not a chance that the base disc model costs a cent more than $499. Sony knows what an enormous factor price is in console launches and how it determines the trajectory of the entire generation. They will not allow Microsoft to beat them on price.
In the end it doesn't matter how expensive they are to make.
Sony won't sell the PS5 for more than $499.99
It seems Dusk Golem's reliability as an insider is directly related to whether or not what he says at any given time is what you want to hear.
I'm not saying he's right, or that his source's are right here but the attempts to discredit him wholesale are fucking embarassing.
But wait who is this Tidux guy?
Doubt
X
Not trusting a source that does things just to "even it up"
But in USD, it's $565?This has been discussed to death in the playstation OT
But he heard it yen and has converted it to $
60000yen to Euro is 477
Yea, good point about contracts. Wasn't thinking about them. Still though, there are still costs that won't be factored into contracts - transportation, labor, retrofitting, etc. Again, won't say that will make it to $600 by any means. But it's also not impossible in a world transformed b- eh, you all know.It kind of doesn't matter how old the article is. The contracts for the parts that go into these consoles were signed long ago, which would have included the price ranges for parts.
You don't sign that kind of contract and then leave the price you are paying for parts open-ended. Thus, logically thinking about it for more than 5 seconds, COVID was unlikely to have a giant impact on the price of parts given that Sony is trying to manufacture 10 million of these things - it means they did their mass ordering months ago.
WAS Japan taking Covid seriously in February? It was right as the cruise ships things were happening and as this article published, they were just expanding testing in anticipation of community spread. At this time, the work culture in Japan had not changed. The Japanese actually would come under scrutiny later on for the way that the culture didn't really adapt to the idea of social distancing. People were still expected to come into work and stay late hours together. That's neither here nor there. I just don't see how you think the overall cost of manufacturing is DOWN, when there is still chaos worldwide. Even if the Chinese factories are online, there's not a chance that product makers are like "great! Ramp up the lines EVEN FASTER than before!!" at this time. Maybe I'm stupid. Entirely probable.US may have acknowledged COVID in March but it was already a thing in China and Japan (where this article is from) in Feb. It even acknowledges the effect of pandemic on the cost and scarcity of material. This is obviously not the case anymore where these consoles are made since production was bumped from 5M to 10M. If anything that Bloomberg estimate is overly inflated now.
Well yea, but supply chains apply before production as well too, right? But depending on how much stuff was set in stone beforehand, you may be right that production costs are controlled (though, obviously I'm ultimately still skeptical given my above responses). It's all very opaque.Supply chains sure, wouldn't be surprised if it's a lot more expensive at the moment, but that wouldn't be production costs, if the PS5 cost 600 to just produce, it'd be more expensive for Sony by the time it's actually for sale, due to needing to actually ship out all over the world before then.
Microsoft's platform this is way stronger now then it was for the Xbox One. Anything higher than $499 would be bad judgement on Sony's end, regardless of the BOM they need to a absorb the differenceIn the end it doesn't matter how expensive they are to make.
Sony won't sell the PS5 for more than $499.99
But BOM does not equates to final costs, it's just how much the parts costs individually.
There's a difference between thinking it's wrong and implying or outright saying that he doesn't actually have inside info and he's making it up as many have done in this thread, even implying he's making it up to be specifically negative about Sony/PlayStation.
That's what market analysis is.... no one but Sony knows those costs and for a random dude to say that's the cost is speculative at best.Except that analysis is also supposition and not based in any secret knowledge.
Microsoft's platform this is way stronger now then it was for the Xbox One. Anything higher than $499 would be bad judgement on Sony's end, regardless of the BOM they need to a absorb the difference
Yes 150$ cooling sulotion, water cooling confirmed.
I don't think there is any scenerio where sony will not be the market leader for consumers due to the reasons you mentioned, they could lose market share in MS markets though.I don't think they will but they could probably get away with a higher price, especially if it was only $550. Sony has the momentum, they have both third party and first party exclusives and they have a more geographically diverse base. It would only hurt them in the US and UK really.
He will backtrack as usualSo with this speculation to him 399 DE is out of the picture is my guess?
You cartoon villian!I was sleeping and wondered why my tweets blew up.
All I'm going to say is people really are misreading me here, on almost every count. I didn't say this to be some leaking thing specifically for those who think I'm "covering all bases", I don't know the final price Sony will go with, I even state it in my tweet it's just my personal prediction. It's also why I didn't tweet it out to everyone, someone said something that was a bit amusing to me so I just responded with something I had heard. I did not hear 60000 yen specifically was the cost of production, I said the price range in Japan would be 60000-70000 yen from what I heard.
No one needs to believe me, the fun of both examples here is I didn't post either of these things specifically looking for attention. I am a talkative person, sometimes these things come up in convo and I don't mind talking it. But people try to spin it like I'm some cartoon villain or something, and start saying I'm saying things I'm really not.
Hopefully it's price well for everyone, that's the hope.
I think they'll do the digital version for$500 to say they hit that mark. Regular version will be $550... maybe $600In the end it doesn't matter how expensive they are to make.
Sony won't sell the PS5 for more than $499.99
I mean, we should know soon enough, hopefully this Wednesday. But I highly doubt they'll venture into the over $499 territory. Not during a pandemic especially.
What you think the price of the digital edition will be? Taking into account what your source or sources have told you.I was sleeping and wondered why my tweets blew up.
All I'm going to say is people really are misreading me here, on almost every count. I didn't say this to be some leaking thing specifically for those who think I'm "covering all bases", I don't know the final price Sony will go with, I even state it in my tweet it's just my personal prediction. It's also why I didn't tweet it out to everyone, someone said something that was a bit amusing to me so I just responded with something I had heard. I did not hear 60000 yen specifically was the cost of production, I said the price range in Japan would be 60000-70000 yen from what I heard.
No one needs to believe me, the fun of both examples here is I didn't post either of these things specifically looking for attention. I am a talkative person, sometimes these things come up in convo and I don't mind talking it. But people try to spin it like I'm some cartoon villain or something, and start saying I'm saying things I'm really not.
Hopefully it's price well for everyone, that's the hope.
Cool!I was sleeping and wondered why my tweets blew up.
All I'm going to say is people really are misreading me here, on almost every count. I didn't say this to be some leaking thing specifically for those who think I'm "covering all bases", I don't know the final price Sony will go with, I even state it in my tweet it's just my personal prediction. It's also why I didn't tweet it out to everyone, someone said something that was a bit amusing to me so I just responded with something I had heard. I did not hear 60000 yen specifically was the cost of production, I said the price range in Japan would be 60000-70000 yen from what I heard.
No one needs to believe me, I didn't say this for "leaker cred" or whatever people think I was doing, I was just responding to someone. The fun of both examples here is I didn't post either of these things specifically looking for attention. I am a talkative person, sometimes these things come up in convo and I don't mind talking about it. But people try to spin it like I'm some cartoon villain or something, and start saying I'm saying things I'm really not.
Hopefully it's price well for everyone, that's the hope.
Sure, but I doubt they'd be shipping the parts all over the world (most are probably made in the same place), like they will the actual console, certainly nowhere near as much anyway, so it'd be less of an impact on production costs vs the total costs.But in USD, it's $565?
Yea, good point about contracts. Wasn't thinking about them. Still though, there are still costs that won't be factored into contracts - transportation, labor, retrofitting, etc. Again, won't say that will make it to $600 by any means. But it's also not impossible in a world transformed b- eh, you all know.
WAS Japan taking Covid seriously in February? It was right as the cruise ships things were happening and as this article published, they were just expanding testing in anticipation of community spread. At this time, the work culture in Japan had not changed. The Japanese actually would come under scrutiny later on for the way that the culture didn't really adapt to the idea of social distancing. People were still expected to come into work and stay late hours together. That's neither here nor there. I just don't see how you think the overall cost of manufacturing is DOWN, when there is still chaos worldwide. Even if the Chinese factories are online, there's not a chance that product makers are like "great! Ramp up the lines EVEN FASTER than before!!" at this time. Maybe I'm stupid. Entirely probable.
Well yea, but supply chains apply before production as well too, right? But depending on how much stuff was set in stone beforehand, you may be right that production costs are controlled (though, obviously I'm ultimately still skeptical given my above responses). It's all very opaque.
Has Sony said anything about their global launch plans? Worldwide day 1?
I was sleeping and wondered why my tweets blew up.
All I'm going to say is people really are misreading me here, on almost every count. I didn't say this to be some leaking thing specifically for those who think I'm "covering all bases", I don't know the final price Sony will go with, I even state it in my tweet it's just my personal prediction. It's also why I didn't tweet it out to everyone, someone said something that was a bit amusing to me so I just responded with something I had heard. I did not hear 60000 yen specifically was the cost of production, I said the price range in Japan would be 60000-70000 yen from what I heard.
No one needs to believe me, I didn't say this for "leaker cred" or whatever people think I was doing, I was just responding to someone. The fun of both examples here is I didn't post either of these things specifically looking for attention. I am a talkative person, sometimes these things come up in convo and I don't mind talking about it. But people try to spin it like I'm some cartoon villain or something, and start saying I'm saying things I'm really not.
Hopefully it's price well for everyone, that's the hope.
I don't think there is any scenerio where sony will not be the market leader for consumers due to the reasons you mentioned, they could lose market share in MS markets though.
xCloud is another variable that we don't know how it will play out
You are helping spreading fud mate. It's not nice.I was sleeping and wondered why my tweets blew up.
All I'm going to say is people really are misreading me here, on almost every count. I didn't say this to be some leaking thing specifically for those who think I'm "covering all bases", I don't know the final price Sony will go with, I even state it in my tweet it's just my personal prediction. It's also why I didn't tweet it out to everyone, someone said something that was a bit amusing to me so I just responded with something I had heard. I did not hear 60000 yen specifically was the cost of production, I said the price range in Japan would be 60000-70000 yen from what I heard.
No one needs to believe me, I didn't say this for "leaker cred" or whatever people think I was doing, I was just responding to someone. The fun of both examples here is I didn't post either of these things specifically looking for attention. I am a talkative person, sometimes these things come up in convo and I don't mind talking about it. But people try to spin it like I'm some cartoon villain or something, and start saying I'm saying things I'm really not.
Hopefully it's priced well for everyone, that's the hope.
You're not crazy. I get you. You can be skeptical of info without questioning a person's integrity.There's a difference between thinking it's wrong and implying or outright saying that he doesn't actually have inside info and he's making it up as many have done in this thread, even implying he's making it up to be specifically negative about Sony/PlayStation.
Thanks for chiming in here lol. Good morning! Hahahaha. Price in Japan being 60k-70k yen is a lot different than estimating cost of production o.o. Well anyway. People are gonna believe that even less, I imagine XD.I was sleeping and wondered why my tweets blew up.
All I'm going to say is people really are misreading me here, on almost every count. I didn't say this to be some leaking thing specifically for those who think I'm "covering all bases", I don't know the final price Sony will go with, I even state it in my tweet it's just my personal prediction. It's also why I didn't tweet it out to everyone, someone said something that was a bit amusing to me so I just responded with something I had heard. I did not hear 60000 yen specifically was the cost of production, I said the price range in Japan would be 60000-70000 yen from what I heard.
No one needs to believe me, I didn't say this for "leaker cred" or whatever people think I was doing, I was just responding to someone. The fun of both examples here is I didn't post either of these things specifically looking for attention. I am a talkative person, sometimes these things come up in convo and I don't mind talking about it. But people try to spin it like I'm some cartoon villain or something, and start saying I'm saying things I'm really not.
Hopefully it's price well for everyone, that's the hope.
That's my expectation.Wouldn't be surprised if we see:
Disc version : $550
DE version: $450