Kirby, I think. It's fits best what the Lite brings: cheap price as to be an affordable option for kids, and no local co-op focus (which might deter Splatoon and MK players).
16M by the end of the 3rd year would still be excellent and I do admit 19 is a bit high. But with Pokemon and then Animal Crossing anything is possible. Thinking about the fact that the Lite doesn't have TV Mode, it dawned to me thag this decision makes a ton of sense for the Japanese market which is why I estimated so high. Switch Lite isn't going to curb the Switch Hybrid sales at all, just reinforce HW sales to 3DS levels if not more. Again, I feel the existing consumer base of ~8M will want to buy one for easy portability while any potential new customers will likely buy a Lite, love its catalogue of games and then buy a Hybrid later on to enjoy their games on the big screen. In other words eventually the sales will reflect that its both an afforadble portable option for the handheld leaning consumer base that wants a more portable option while also acting as an excellrnt entry point that will eventually translate to a 2nd purchase of the more expensive model if they grow to enjoy their product.
Firstly, I wouldn't agree that a price cut, at least a non-temporal one, is at all likely next year. Switch Lite represents that price cut, and it goes into effect this year.
The thing is though...
It's not, though. It actually rose WoW.
Actually sales of the OG Switch also increased from last month.
I don't think the MC mistake is what impacts the stock. It's that crazy Citi comment that Lite was below expectations of 300k that tanked the stock. I don't think MC need to be implied in some stock manipulation shenanigans.
It's hard to forecast. This week, Nintendo launched Link's Awakening, so it obviously help sales. In the coming weeks, with Dragon Quest XI, Luigi's Mansion 3 and Pokémon Sword & Shield, hardware sales will be up YOY, probably even for the normal Switch. But it doesn't mean Switch Lite don't impact sales of the normal Switch, just that sales of Switch will be absolutely crazy this year.
Eh honestly that's pretty minor, keep in mind in the EU and I believe Japan Nintendo used to sell 3D's without the bloody charger. So uniformed buyers would buy a glorified paperweight for a while if they didn't have a DS charger lying around that they may not even have known worked on the 3DS.
Meanwhile in the US...
Yeah, that makes sense (although holiday weeks should go well above 300k in some weeks). But the complementary nature of the two remains remarkable, and suggests some huge things for the average weekly performances.
My understanding is that the VAT comes into effect Oct. 1.
Don't forget that it was doing that during the Summer because both the Lite and the revised OG were announced. Since the revised OG launched it dit 90k, 75k, 52k and 62k in September (which is normally weaker than Summer for HW).
I'd be very surprised if it keeps that up against the Lite. It would point to really big things for X-Mas and beyond in Japan.
Citi put out a (ridiculous) prediction for 300k and Media-Create initially had a report that said it sold just 114k.
Is that for Dragon Quest XI? I would expect to see the OG Switch level out in October, not next week.
