Interesting. Consider day one sales probably are going to turn out to be poor as well, it seems like the game is not going to hit its projected sales target from what we can tell.
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February 2019 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes Tuesday, March 12th
- Thread starter donny2112
- Start date
Looks like the digital only Xbox One S will launch in May. https://www.windowscentral.com/xbox...tw_card&utm_content=62966&utm_campaign=social
It's going to be interesting to see what kind of impact it has on sales.
It's going to be interesting to see what kind of impact it has on sales.
Generally less, but it's a big change from how things have worked for years. So people weren't changing their spending habits accordingly and still expected the bigger refunds.
How do the economics work out for retailers with this system? Consicering it would be digital only, won't that take away most of the income retailers can get from the system, that is, the sale of retail games? If so, wouldn't retailers be acting against their own interest in stocking this system?
Game Card sales at retail continue to break records, while sales of Accessories such as Headsets and Gamepads are also at record levels. Things are changing, but still lots of money to be made at retail.
If the reports are true, retailers could just select to not carry those SKUs, but run the risk of alienating customers that come in to pick one up. Each retailer will approach this differently of course, but the market is what it is.
usually well-informed sources reported that microsoft promised to retailers that the build quality for xbox acessories will be lowered drastically, so brick and mortar stores will be more than compensated for the loss in boxed game sales. it's a win-win situation. MS labs already hired engineers of leading washing machine and tumble dryer manufatures to benefit from their expertise.
Anthem being on top seems like a given to me, as I can't think of much else that came out in February that could challenge it, unless another older game just had really good legs.
We should have a NPD software predictions thread. Anyway, I'll just drop my top 10 here.
- Anthem
- Metro Exodus
- Crackdown 3
- Far Cry: New Dawn
- Call of Duty: Black Ops IIII
- Super Smash Bros. Ultimate
- Jump Force
- Red Dead Redemption II
- NBA 2K19
- Kingdom Hearts III
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We'll see. All of the 60-70 Metacritic Xbox exclusives have made it on the list so far. Maybe the competition this month tanked Crackdown 3, though.
Crackdown 3 will surprise with its ranking. Sea of Thieves and State of Decay 2 were supposed to be disappointments yet they were #2 and #1 in their launch months. Digital sales will carry Crackdown to a respectable launch, but March and after it'll disappear from the charts.
Anthem will be #1, and Far Cry and Crackdown should round out the top 3. Don't know which of those two will lead the other.
Anthem will be #1, and Far Cry and Crackdown should round out the top 3. Don't know which of those two will lead the other.
I have low expectations for CD3 but I suppose it could surprise with digital. US will be its biggest market by far, so it can be done.
Far Cry is 40$ so it is at disadvantage.
Plus don't forget Jump Force, I am expecting it to open very well.
I would not be surprised if Jump Force and Metro are #4 and #5.
I forgot Far Cry was $40, so maybe Crackdown will #2. Jump Force could even be #3 in that case.
Sounds more likely.
Jump Force ended being the 2nd most downloaded PS4 game in NA in February while Far Cry was 8th.
Weren't both SoT and SoD2 #1 in their respective launch month?
Barring a price drop from another system, the Switch will win almost every month this year.
In hindsight, I seriously lowballed Jump Force. I forgot Far Cry is $40, so it's probably a bit farther down, too.
Far Cry 5 was #1 in March 2018.
Crackdown can make up for that by being ahead of this year's Far Cry :p
But then be below Anthem anyway so it means nothing.
Crackdown would have a HUGE digital split to be in the top 3. Like 85% or higher. Retail has been terrible.
[NSW] 305K
[PS4] 250K
[XB1] 115K
Edit: All Xbox Game Pass Exclusives will be top 3 in launch month then dissapear from the face of the earth.
[PS4] 250K
[XB1] 115K
Edit: All Xbox Game Pass Exclusives will be top 3 in launch month then dissapear from the face of the earth.
Yeah, I wouldn't underestimate Jump Force.
Thanks for the info.
Xbox digital is strong but I don't think it will be that strong.
Thanks for the info.
Far Cry 5 was a good soldier for Ubisoft last year, but I don't think we can expect the same strong performance from New Dawn this year. New Dawn is $40, which puts it at a disadvantage in dollar sales rankings, and it didn't have that much hype ahead of release as Far Cry 5.
Eventually, but I think KH3 still has enough juice left to best Mario for one more month. Maybe I should have included one or two more Nintendo evergreens besides Smash and kicked out some of the leggier third-party games, though.
I mean it should chart at least in top ten since i don't think it did that horrible.
All of the 60 Metacritic Xbox exclusives people love to hate have charted on the NPDs during their launch month. Don't expect Crackdown 3 to be any different. Maybe Crackdown 3 could miss the top 5 because of heavy competition (I don't think that will happen), but it's definitely going to make the top 10.
