Code:
Vettel's mistakes Cost wrt Hamilton
Baku lock-up - 20 point swing
France lock-up - 8 point swing
Austria impeding - 10 point swing
Germany slip-up - 32 point swing
Monza farce - 20 point swing
Japan crash - 7 point swing
USA red flags and crash - 16 point swing
That's 113 points difference down to Seb's fuck-ups*. That would have been enough for him to win the title in Mexico rather than Lewis.
*My methodology was to take the place Vettel would have finished driving optimally and adjust race standings to reflect that. So for example, if in reality Vettel crashed out of the lead and Hamilton went on to win, instead Seb gets the win and Lewis finishes second for a net change of 32 points.
Obviously it's not as simple as that, changes in circumstances lead to changes in approach, but as a counterfactual it
really shows just how much Vettel threw this season away.