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Servbot24

The Fallen
Oct 25, 2017
43,196
As someone that has been following this for months, if you think this is a pump and dump, you are on extreme levels of copium right now.
You know what they say about people who project extreme confidence in a stock

(I actually don't know what they say but I'm assuming there's a saying)
 

fick

Alt-Account
Banned
Nov 24, 2018
2,261
Honestly wondering if this'll be looked at as market manipulation. I know the position of WSB is that it can't be since there's no central leadership directing it.

But I mean, come the fuck on, there's no way GameStop is worth this much even if they open the build a PC stores. This price is artificially inflated as fuck.
 

1.21Gigawatts

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
3,278
Munich
is this good for Gamestop longterm? or mixed?

This current development is caused by loads of people betting on Gamestop going bust over the past couple of years.
But initial physical/digital cut of next-gen looks quite good for physical and promising developments in Gamestops leadership created expectations of them turning the business around and finding a gaming e-commerce niche in which they will be able to work through physical-digital transformations in the market and stay relevant.

Basically, this current development just means that Gamestop isn't dead just yet and those who bet on it dying are getting fucked.
But it doesn't say much about Gamestop's future.
For that, we will need to wait for how Gamestop actually goes about restructuring its business. Personally, I think it is not unlikely that Gamestop will pull off a successful turnaround.

But the current stock price is just a result of the short positions being sqeezed. It doesn't reflect anything about Gamestop's current business or prospects.


Does anyone remember when VW went up to above 1000€ a share during the financial crisis?
This was also a short squeeze. Hedge funds had bet on VW going down when Porsche announced it would want to increase its stake to eventually a majority. Since 20% of VW are traditionally held by some german state government only a small percentage of shares were free and prices skyrocketed as hedge funds tried to cover their short positions. The prices went so high that Porsche was unable to raise enough capital to take over a majority stake in VW, though, and eventually, the thing normalized again.
Porsche shortly held a majority, but its own debt had increased to dangerous levels because of it, so they eventually backed down.

This was back in 2008 and I was in school back then and we did a virtual stock market game in our economics class.
We traded with virtual capital but real stocks for like a semester. Usually the winners (this was between many schools, so loads of participants) doubled their positions over the course of these few months.
But this year, because the market was so crazy, the luckiest groups increased their positions value 10 fold, even 20 fold.
But just the same, losses were by an order of magnitude more pronounced than in other years.


Short squeezes are once in decade opportunities and seem to become more likely in turbulent market situations.
It is hard to identify potential ones.
Basically, you need to find a company that is on a predictable downward trajectory and shorted to hell and back, while a turnaround approaches quickly and doesn't leave time for the holder of the short positions to get out or cover.

In Gamestop's case the turnaround came in the form of new leadership with robust e-commerce experience and a new console generation which provided initial assurance that physical sales might not be a thing of the past just yet.

That said, imagine last March, markets had just crashed, people were in quarantine, lockdowns with no end in sight. Massive capital injections by the central banks expected but not yet certain and even then, with uncertain effects.
Who would bet on a used physical games business in that time? Or rather, would get out of a bet against this business at that time.


This year on Christmas I visited my parents in my hometown. As is usual I contacted some old friends from school and went for a walk with one guy who works in investment banking.
We talked about all kinds of things, also finances and at some point, he told me about this thing he has going with Gamestop stock.
He probably didn't even expect me to know what Gamestop is, so when I showed some interest he told me, all giddy, about the potential short squeeze and the Chewy guy coming int etc.
He is in a really good mood now. The price hovered below 20$ at the time, he went in at below 10.
 
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Zachary_Games

Member
Jul 31, 2020
2,979
This is all fun and games until folks lose serious dough.

For those that are late to the party, stay away from this shit. If you yolo bought before the launch of next-gen, congrats. Sell now while you can, and put that money into real blue chippers.
 
Oct 30, 2017
8,706
As someone that has been following this for months, if you think this is a pump and dump, you are on extreme levels of copium right now.
What do you think the proper valuation is?

I recognized back in August that I thought they were undervalued. But to be trading at $150 a share? That's not a function of market fundamental analysis here.
 
OP
OP
faint

faint

Member
Oct 27, 2017
1,163
lol. I have no position either way, but I'm worried a lot of naïve investors are going to be suckered in. You aren't helping.

www.resetera.com

GameStop (GME) Stock Surges Amidst New Board, Short Squeeze [Read Threadmarks] News

With all the doom and gloom surrounding GameStop here over the last year or so, I figured I'd share this information. Key Takeaways: Ryan Cohen, owner of Chewy.com, had a substantial take in the company and was recently elected to the Board of Directors Massive short squeeze imminent...

You were saying?

You think now in this industry and retail environment a company like GameStop should be worth more than it has ever been? Why?

That's not what I'm saying. A year+ long time of people doing research and getting into GME early BEFORE anyone knew about a short squeeze is not a pump and dump. The guy considered to be one who started this play on WSB is still holding. He has held through days of severe losses. That's not a pump and dump.
 

1.21Gigawatts

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
3,278
Munich
Honestly wondering if this'll be looked at as market manipulation. I know the position of WSB is that it can't be since there's no central leadership directing it.

But I mean, come the fuck on, there's no way GameStop is worth this much even if they open the build a PC stores. This price is artificially inflated as fuck.

The price is so high because people want to cover their short positions and this demand drives up the price.

It may be artificially high right now, but that is not caused by WSB but by the shorters who need to cover.


But yeah, the 2008 VW short squeeze is still concerning courts to this day, but in the Gamestop case, I just don't see any behavior that might even resemble objectionable action.
People just found out an over shorted stock and shared that knowledge on reddit. That is not illegal.
 

Deleted member 2533

User requested account closure
Banned
Oct 25, 2017
8,325
That's not what I'm saying. A year+ long time of people doing research and getting into GME early BEFORE anyone knew about a short squeeze is not a pump and dump. The guy considered to be one who started this play on WSB is still holding. He has held through days of severe losses. That's not a pump and dump.

Can't it be both? Can't there be legitimate reasons to see growth in GME and then a bunch of internet memelords HODL the 🚀 4 lulz, and cause the stock to be pumped up?
 

Jakisthe

Member
Oct 25, 2017
5,604
I would be curious to see how the valuation is being calculated operationally for those who believe the stock should be higher than it is now.
 
OP
OP
faint

faint

Member
Oct 27, 2017
1,163
Can't it be both? Can't there be legitimate reasons to see growth in GME and then a bunch of internet memelords HODL the 🚀 4 lulz, and cause the stock to be pumped up?

Of course. Read the Bloomberg article posted right before this. The initial GME play was that it was good value + coming up on a console cycle. The short squeeze play (which is what this is) came much later. There is actual value in GME due to people like Ryan Cohen coming into play, but that's not what's driving the current price. Nobody knows what GME will be worth in a few years. It could go full e-commerce and prosper or it could continue to struggle. But the big takeaway here is that there isn't some scheme going on to manipulate the price. The price is skyrocketing because of the shorts. The only thing WSB is doing to "manipulate" this is telling shareholders not to sell. This is a case of big money vs. retail traders (WSB).
 
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HiLife

Avenger
Oct 25, 2017
39,700
I don't know how many comments on the subreddit are fake. It's sad and hilarious seeing so many people say they're dumping their savings into this. Thank god I can part with 60 bucks.
 

HiLife

Avenger
Oct 25, 2017
39,700
I understand it can change throughout the week, and even by the EOD but we're back to where I even bought the share for. We breaking even boys.
 

Deleted member 2533

User requested account closure
Banned
Oct 25, 2017
8,325
Of course. Read the Bloomberg article posted right before this. The initial GME play was that it was good value + coming up on a console cycle. The short squeeze play (which is what this is) came much later. There is actual value in GME due to people like Ryan Cohen coming into play, but that's not what's driving the current price. Nobody knows what GME will be worth in a few years. It could go full e-commerce and prosper or it could continue to struggle. But the big takeaway here is that there isn't some scheme going on to manipulate the price. The price is skyrocketing because of the shorts. The only thing WSB is doing to "manipulate" this is telling shareholders not to tell. This is a case of big money vs. retail traders (WSB).

I just read that article, and I am actually kind of impressed now. It seems like the short sellers on Wall Street were the ones manipulating, and WSB threw a spanner in their works. As much as it's artificially high now, it may have been artificially low then.
 

Chronos

Member
Oct 27, 2017
1,205
Yeah, this. Got to push the FOMO to keep the pump going.

this is not a pump, everyone who keeps saying that doesn't understand what is going on. The long term prospects of the company are still grim, what this is , is a short squeeze of a stock that was heavily sold short, there were more shorts than there were shares. So, even though everyone knows the writing is on the wall for the companies future, in the short term, the stock traders had gone way overboard. Now it is correcting, not the price to a fair market value, but correcting the huge short position.
 

djplaeskool

Member
Oct 26, 2017
19,792
GME hit ATHs that were nearly three times that of past peaks of both prior generations (In-stock console feeding frenzy of Holiday 2007 and the PS4/XBO launch in 2013). Wow.
 

MoogleMaestro

Member
Oct 25, 2017
1,115
could you elaborate? I'm clueless

He's saying that many investment companies shorted the stock (i.e. gambled that the company would lose value) which means that, when the stock jumped up 60%, they were forced to rebuy the stock on a higher price. Depending on how many shares they tried to short, it could have resulted in millions of dollars in loss potentially.
 

slothrop

▲ Legend ▲
Member
Aug 28, 2019
3,885
USA
As someone that has been following this for months, if you think this is a pump and dump, you are on extreme levels of copium right now.
Its not a pump and dump in the sense that someone will be fined by the SEC (I mean, as far as we know right now, could theoretically be an investigation behind the scenes based on nonpublic info). But look at all the people that literally don't even know how to buy a stock without asking for help on a video game forum and are trying to get on this train because they see numbers going up and are hyped. Thats very bad! They really really shouldn't do that.
 

FlashFlooder

Member
Oct 30, 2017
579
He's saying that many investment companies shorted the stock (i.e. gambled that the company would lose value) which means that, when the stock jumped up 60%, they were forced to rebuy the stock on a higher price. Depending on how many shares they tried to short, it could have resulted in millions of dollars in loss potentially.
or they just weathered the storm, knowing that a bunch of nerds on Reddit wouldn't have the intestinal fortitude for this kind of action when it turns against them.

These firms have been playing this game for a long time now, and often with much more sophisticated opponents...
 

slothrop

▲ Legend ▲
Member
Aug 28, 2019
3,885
USA
Firms aren't going to go under even losing hundreds of millions on this. its not like they only have exactly 1 position all short on GameStop lol (unlike all of the newbs jumping on the train this week :P)
 

FlashFlooder

Member
Oct 30, 2017
579
Firms aren't going to go under even losing hundreds of millions on this. its not like they only have exactly 1 position all short on GameStop lol (unlike all of the newbs jumping on the train this week :P)
Exactly right. Reading through that subreddit will quickly make you realize just how little experience these guys collectively have.
 

fick

Alt-Account
Banned
Nov 24, 2018
2,261
The price is so high because people want to cover their short positions and this demand drives up the price.

It may be artificially high right now, but that is not caused by WSB but by the shorters who need to cover.


But yeah, the 2008 VW short squeeze is still concerning courts to this day, but in the Gamestop case, I just don't see any behavior that might even resemble objectionable action.
People just found out an over shorted stock and shared that knowledge on reddit. That is not illegal.

yeah I don't think I thought it through before posting. Just weird that a company is gaining billions in value just because of dumb investors
 

Lamiafusion

Member
Nov 24, 2017
678
Its not a pump and dump in the sense that someone will be fined by the SEC (I mean, as far as we know right now, could theoretically be an investigation behind the scenes based on nonpublic info). But look at all the people that literally don't even know how to buy a stock without asking for help on a video game forum and are trying to get on this train because they see numbers going up and are hyped. Thats very bad! They really really shouldn't do that.

I've used the opportunity to learn about stocks. I put very little in but I have learned quite a bit in the last two days.
 
OP
OP
faint

faint

Member
Oct 27, 2017
1,163
Its not a pump and dump in the sense that someone will be fined by the SEC (I mean, as far as we know right now, could theoretically be an investigation behind the scenes based on nonpublic info). But look at all the people that literally don't even know how to buy a stock without asking for help on a video game forum and are trying to get on this train because they see numbers going up and are hyped. Thats very bad! They really really shouldn't do that.

FOMO will always exist and is on the individual to make wise choices based on their own situation and perceived value of risk/reward. If someone comes into this thread and throws money at GME without even looking at a day chart, that's on them. There's plenty of people in this thread explaining why this is happening and providing solid advice. If that advice is ignored, it's silly to focus on a handful of individuals willing to gamble their life away without understanding what they're doing. This applies to various things in life and is not limited to the stock market.
 

Cheezeman3000

One Winged Slayer
Member
Jan 5, 2018
1,092
This year on Christmas I visited my parents in my hometown. As is usual I contacted some old friends from school and went for a walk with one guy who works in investment banking.
We talked about all kinds of things, also finances and at some point, he told me about this thing he has going with Gamestop stock.
He probably didn't even expect me to know what Gamestop is, so when I showed some interest he told me, all giddy, about the potential short squeeze and the Chewy guy coming int etc.
He is in a really good mood now. The price hovered below 20$ at the time, he went in at below 10.
So did that friend of yours, um, happen to mention any other stocks? ;)