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THEVOID

Prophet of Regret
Member
Oct 27, 2017
22,841
That discussing is happening since gamepass started and never resulted in anything. We dont have the full numbers and probably never will. So at the end it goes nowwhere and the discussion becomes more "hostile"
Yet we forget the main stuff i posted above. As a gamer.


Yeah, and I prefer it this way. Those threads always lead to console wars, list wars, etc...

This business model is far more interesting for me. People get frustrated because it requires re-thinking everything. It's refreshing.
 

KORNdog

Banned
Oct 30, 2017
8,001
i played it...for a £1...kind of feels like piracy at that point. lol. i do struggle to see how those sort of earnings is sustainable. but MS must know what they're doing.
 

zedox

Member
Oct 28, 2017
5,215
This thread is discussing the topic at hand. It's something we've never seen before in the industry so obviously it stirs up some controversy.

But thanks for the inline advertorial, I guess?
Something we've never seen? As I recall, Sea of Thieves launched with 2 million players over its first week. State of Decays had over 1 million. Then Forza Horizon 4 had over 2 million. Crackdown 3 was a dud. Now we have Gears 5 with 3 million.

The fact of the matter is we are discussing the same thing that we have at those other launches. Before it was free trials, then it was gamesharing, and now it's $1/$2 deals. People keep coming in with stupid downplay arguments that don't reflect reality of the situation that all these accounts can't reuse those deals.

People know it's a long term investment and they know the model that Game Pass is taking. This isn't some sort of new model, it's aodel that has found success in other forms of media. The controversy comes from people thinking that gaming is somehow special and can't sustain this business model on top of the traditional one. That is more foolish to think that it won't be when it curbs the used sales market (as does digital gaming), and piracy. Those things still happen, just at a lesser degree.

Either way, this discussion has happened before and it will happen again when Halo Infinite comes out.
 

Golvellius

Banned
Dec 3, 2017
1,304
So

We got a great game
Lots of people played it already
MS is happy
We are happy because of a nice big userbase for MP matches
You can play how you want. Pay with Gamepass, buy a normal copy. Play on PC or Xbox.

But he lets bicker about the smallest things
Some people hate themselves, and this is a good way to spot them.
 

predrag

Member
Oct 27, 2017
519
I know people who will never play or buy Gears game, but they couldn't resist Game Pass offer, some bought Xbox One consoles others played on PCs. The first thing they did is playing all previous Gears games to get into Gears 5. Now they are discovering other games on Game Pass. Some of them will cancel subs, some will continue to pay monthly or use deals. The thing is, they got a good amount of players who weren't previously interested in platform or service.
 

Governergrimm

Member
Jun 25, 2019
6,537
I know people who will never play or buy Gears game, but they couldn't resist Game Pass offer, some bought Xbox One consoles others played on PCs. The first thing they did is playing all previous Gears games to get into Gears 5. Now they are discovering other games on Game Pass. Some of them will cancel subs, some will continue to pay monthly or use deals. The thing is, they got a good amount of players who weren't previously interested in platform or service.
No, no, no, no, no! EVERYONE who pays the $1/$2 deal WILL cancel their subscription when their month is up!
 

Prine

Attempted to circumvent ban with alt account
Banned
Oct 25, 2017
15,724
I know people who will never play or buy Gears game, but they couldn't resist Game Pass offer, some bought Xbox One consoles others played on PCs. The first thing they did is playing all previous Gears games to get into Gears 5. Now they are discovering other games on Game Pass. Some of them will cancel subs, some will continue to pay monthly or use deals. The thing is, they got a good amount of players who weren't previously interested in platform or service.

And this is a win for MS for this reason, because business as usual would've only attracted a small base of new gamers, Gamepass opens the flood gates to all, and those that stay, who can now play with thier mates who have Gamepass and can now multiplay together without synchronizing libraries is a huge deal for MS, something no one in the industry is offering, its a big reason to pick the Xbox ecosystem.
 

Deleted member 12635

User requested account closure
Banned
Oct 27, 2017
6,198
Germany
I post here just to put my foot print here. I also want to express my through and through satisfaction with Game Pass since I subscribed to it.

Games played: up
Money spent: down

I also played games I would have never played otherwise and enjoyed them

IMO the days of SKU sales/digital sales are over if more and more using subscriptions to retrieve their game content.
 

BradGrenz

Banned
Oct 27, 2017
1,507
Don't think Microsoft as a whole gives two shits if they loose money for the first 2-3 years. I mean, Spotify isn't making any money since inception ( except for Q3 and Q4 of 2018, but that had other reasons).

OK, but what happens after 2-3 years if GP was ultimately a moneypit with no signs of becoming profitable? MS isn't a startup built on spending venture capital, it's a successful business in its own right with shareholders who only have so much tolerance for losing ventures syphoning profits.

And this is a win for MS for this reason, because business as usual would've only attracted a small base of new gamers, Gamepass opens the flood gates to all, and those that stay, who can now play with thier mates who have Gamepass and can now multiplay together without synchronizing libraries is a huge deal for MS, something no one in the industry is offering, its a big reason to pick the Xbox ecosystem.

We're a long way away from there being enough results to determine if Gamepass is a "win".
 

ForgedByGeeks

Self-requested ban
Banned
Dec 1, 2017
601
Woodinville, WA
currently it is because most people did the $1 thing.

it seems to me ms doesn't really have an idea what they're doing. they're giving away the store free, with no guarantee those people will convert to paying gamepass customers years later (i probably wont...depending). and it wasn't even MS original plan! people discovered the glitch, and ms was like hey, i guess honor this and give everybody like, free games for 3 years (not that simple sure, but yeah). it's incredibly reacti
Something we've never seen? As I recall, Sea of Thieves launched with 2 million players over its first week. State of Decays had over 1 million. Then Forza Horizon 4 had over 2 million. Crackdown 3 was a dud. Now we have Gears 5 with 3 million.

The fact of the matter is we are discussing the same thing that we have at those other launches. Before it was free trials, then it was gamesharing, and now it's $1/$2 deals. People keep coming in with stupid downplay arguments that don't reflect reality of the situation that all these accounts can't reuse those deals.

People know it's a long term investment and they know the model that Game Pass is taking. This isn't some sort of new model, it's aodel that has found success in other forms of media. The controversy comes from people thinking that gaming is somehow special and can't sustain this business model on top of the traditional one. That is more foolish to think that it won't be when it curbs the used sales market (as does digital gaming), and piracy. Those things still happen, just at a lesser degree.

Either way, this discussion has happened before and it will happen again when Halo Infinite comes out.

Funny thing is, if other forms of media are used as an example, you can't support a subscription mode like this alongside a traditional direct sales model.

The subscription model almost always wins and direct sales plummet to the point that they are barely if even profitable.

GamePass and similar services are the future of gaming. A lot of comments here are going to struggle over the next decade during the transition of understanding that the old way is dying. It's like the people I knew that kept collecting Anime DVD box sets after 2012 or those who were still hoarding CDs after 2003 and insisting digital would never win that people preferred to "own" their content.
 

ForgedByGeeks

Self-requested ban
Banned
Dec 1, 2017
601
Woodinville, WA
OK, but what happens after 2-3 years if GP was ultimately a moneypit with no signs of becoming profitable? MS isn't a startup built on spending venture capital, it's a successful business in its own right with shareholders who only have so much tolerance for losing ventures syphoning profits.



We're a long way away from there being enough results to determine if Gamepass is a "win".

MS sunk $35 Billion USD into Bing before it became profitable.

By most accounts they sunk $4.5 to 7 Billion USD into Xbox before it became profitable.

GamePass would likely take a decade or longer of being a complete failure before they even approached those kinds of numbers.

I doubt people who like GamePass and are buying into it have anything to worry about.
 

zedox

Member
Oct 28, 2017
5,215
Funny thing is, if other forms of media are used as an example, you can't support a subscription mode like this alongside a traditional direct sales model.

The subscription model almost always wins and direct sales plummet to the point that they are barely if even profitable.

GamePass and similar services are the future of gaming. A lot of comments here are going to struggle over the next decade during the transition of understanding that the old way is dying. It's like the people I knew that kept collecting Anime DVD box sets after 2012 or those who were still hoarding CDs after 2003 and insisting digital would never win that people preferred to "own" their content.
I can still buy a DVD. I can still buy a CD. And I can buy them digitally. I can subscribe to music and I can subscribe to tv/movies.
 

ForgedByGeeks

Self-requested ban
Banned
Dec 1, 2017
601
Woodinville, WA
I can still buy a DVD. I can still buy a CD. And I can buy them digitally. I can subscribe to music and I can subscribe to tv/movies.

Yep and all those businesses are shrinking fast while services like Spotify, Apple Music, Netflix, Hulu, and others are growing fast.

Almost every retailer who specialized in music and or movie sales has died or diversified their businesses to the point that they no longer rely on those sales.

Others that had sales of Discs for movies and music as a part of their retail business have significantly shrunk the floor space or eliminated it like Frys, Best Buy, Sam Goody, and others.

In most businesses the writing is on the wall. Go digital and offer an amazing subscription package or start dying. I would bet that within 3-5 years this same trend becomes obvious in gaming. There is a reason everyone from Microsoft and Apple to EA and Ubisoft are launching gaming subscriptions.
 
Nov 8, 2017
13,097
OK, but what happens after 2-3 years if GP was ultimately a moneypit with no signs of becoming profitable? MS isn't a startup built on spending venture capital, it's a successful business in its own right with shareholders who only have so much tolerance for losing ventures syphoning profits.

We're a long way away from there being enough results to determine if Gamepass is a "win".

Nobody's asking you to lock in a permanent answer to whether or not it's going to be successful long, but this is a positive indicator. The profitability, even over a span of longer than 3 years, is irrelevant if they can continue to deliver good growth.

If in 3 years time Gamepass is stagnant or has declined in membership notably, that would be far more likely to result in its termination even if it is profitable. Conversely, if it's a billion dollars a year in the red but rapidly growing and emerging as a clear market leader, they are almost certain to continue it. Spencer did not get given a seat at the big table because they want to chase short term profitability, he's put there because they consider it a vital long term interest. They're also doing their best to decouple the success of Xbox as a platform from Xbox as hardware, because that way they are not limited in growth simply by the number of boxes they sell.
 

ForgedByGeeks

Self-requested ban
Banned
Dec 1, 2017
601
Woodinville, WA
Nobody's asking you to lock in a permanent answer to whether or not it's going to be successful long, but this is a positive indicator. The profitability, even over a span of longer than 3 years, is irrelevant if they can continue to deliver good growth.

If in 3 years time Gamepass is stagnant or has declined in membership notably, that would be far more likely to result in its termination even if it is profitable. Conversely, if it's a billion dollars a year in the red but rapidly growing and emerging as a clear market leader, they are almost certain to continue it. Spencer did not get given a seat at the big table because they want to chase short term profitability, he's put there because they consider it a vital long term interest. They're also doing their best to decouple the success of Xbox as a platform from Xbox as hardware, because that way they are not limited in growth simply by the number of boxes they sell.

That last point is a very good one a lot of people are overlooking when comparing success of games in this generation versus Xbox360.

Up until recently, MS was selling games on less than half the systems in market they had to sell them to compared to last Gen. Releasing on PC and a service like XCLOUD with something like GamePass behind it can completely change the market.

It also helps explain why Gears5 is doing so well now despite having around half the Xboxen in the market.
 

christocolus

Member
Oct 27, 2017
14,932
Nobody's asking you to lock in a permanent answer to whether or not it's going to be successful long, but this is a positive indicator. The profitability, even over a span of longer than 3 years, is irrelevant if they can continue to deliver good growth.

If in 3 years time Gamepass is stagnant or has declined in membership notably, that would be far more likely to result in its termination even if it is profitable. Conversely, if it's a billion dollars a year in the red but rapidly growing and emerging as a clear market leader, they are almost certain to continue it. Spencer did not get given a seat at the big table because they want to chase short term profitability, he's put there because they consider it a vital long term interest. They're also doing their best to decouple the success of Xbox as a platform from Xbox as hardware, because that way they are not limited in growth simply by the number of boxes they sell.
well said.
 

zedox

Member
Oct 28, 2017
5,215
Yep and all those businesses are shrinking fast while services like Spotify, Apple Music, Netflix, Hulu, and others are growing fast.

Almost every retailer who specialized in music and or movie sales has died or diversified their businesses to the point that they no longer rely on those sales.

Others that had sales of Discs for movies and music as a part of their retail business have significantly shrunk the floor space or eliminated it like Frys, Best Buy, Sam Goody, and others.

In most businesses the writing is on the wall. Go digital and offer an amazing subscription package or start dying. I would bet that within 3-5 years this same trend becomes obvious in gaming. There is a reason everyone from Microsoft and Apple to EA and Ubisoft are launching gaming subscriptions.
Note, I'm not refuting your words. I actually agree. I'm just saying that it will be a while before traditional goes away. Note vinyl is making a comeback ;).