Would you ever get to turn 5-6 with flik?
Like 9-0 against Pogo now with frost Nova.
9-0? Shouldn't you basically just lose going second? they push ahead by a couple points of damage while you're behind a half a card draw.
Pogo on 1 and you can respond by coining ping or saving to coin nova on 2 (coin ping gets you murdered)
pogo hits for 1, drop 2 more pogos forcing the nova, you coin nova
daggers you for 1 maybe drops another pogo, you nova again but can't ping
daggers you for 1 again, redaggers, now you are capable of nova pinging.
You wind up down 2.5 hp and ahead 0.5 in card draw. Your random cards really need to outperform his to overcome that deficit.
Edit: Actually even if you go first the pogo coin pogo line on 1 allows the rogue to push 3 or 4, whether pinging the pogo or face is right on 2 is probably solvable but it requires a lot more thinking than i want to do. You're better off in card draw but you wind up like 5 points of damage behind the rogue.
All this to say I think if both players play correctly I'm pretty sure the rogue is heavily favored.