Unless both Chuggs and Aeleus are Town then we should be fine. If they are both Town then yeah, it's bad news.
^^^FoL: Even Night Faction Kills (likely now all Nights since Darkness is now gone)
Jedah: Doesn't have a Faction Kill untill Fol/FoD are dead
We have 9 Players with 2 Scum Players likely left. 1 we can assume is now a Neutral SK (Nat).
Therefore we have 6 Town, 1 FoL Scum, 1 Jedah Scum, and 1 Neutral.
Going forward let’s assume Nat kills only, Doc fails.
Day 10: Town mislunch + Town double NK
Day 11 we would have 3 Town, 1 FoL Scum, 1 Jedah Scum, and 1 Neutral. Let’s assume Town mislunch + Town double NK
Day 12 we would be at 1 FoL Scum, and 1 Jedah Scum. FoL wins.
Now let’s assume in this one Nat doesn’t kill and protects, Doc still misses.
Day 10: Town mislunch + Town NK (which Nat takes like a champ)
Day 11 we would have 5 Town, 1 FoL Scum, and 1 Jedah Scum. Mislunch + NK
Day 12: 3 Town, 1 FoL Scum, and 1 Jedah Scum. Mislunch + NK
Day 13: 1 Town, 1 FoL, and 1 Jedah Scum. Unless Town + jedah team up to stop FoL then the latter team wins. Town + Jedah combo means Jedah wins.
So we have potentially anywhere from 2 - 3 phases left. This includes our current phase. We gain 1 extra phase if Nat does not kill.
Now theoretically if we hit Scum today and Nat NKs the last one we may have enough to spare to let Nat win.
Day 10: Scum lunch + Scum NK + Town NK
Day 11: 5 Town, 1 Neutral. Town NK and Nat wins
Day 12: 4 Town. Town win.
Even pushing that back a Day (or getting a Doc save again) could still give Nat room for his victory. We’d just need to nail Scum sooner as opposed to later.
The fuck lol
But Aeleus basically cannot be FoL short of them having shot at Fran with Fran actually commuting N2.
I exit the game, the game does not end (unless I snipe a final scum on the way out though even then I assume it triggers the boss fight). This also assumes scum don't take the final pot shot at me and remove me from the board which is what I'm expecting - you don't make a concerted effort to remove my BP if you're not going to follow through on it.
It is. Obviously I get why people would be skeptical, but I've tried to be forthright and all of that would be pointless as hell if that wincon was a lie. There'd be absolutely no way I make it out alive - the lie would be exposed sooner rather than later.
It is possible, not denying that. I just want to find the FoL scum first and foremost, and I'm not sure they're MOST likely at this point for FoL. Subbing into this has been an emotional rollercoaster - I just don't want to lose in such a lame way because FoL scum decided to burn two kills on me when I'd be exiting the game soon anyways.
Well, if he isnt bullshitting, which would be an impressive feat in itself.
then why not chuggs? if anything his item would confirm another townie. if not then he's scum. win-win.
I gave more reasoning than that, but I just don't feel comfortable anymore given Muffin's hinting.