No one here is under any allusions that the Senate will remove him. He will 100% be "cleared" there by the GOP.
I just can't wait to hear from the likes of Collins and other vulnerable Repubs what their justifications are. How are they going to explain to the American people and their constituents that they voted to make it perfectly okay for a POTUS to bribe a foreign country for political gain? They are giving every future president the greenlight to do so, Trump included.
They vote to clear him and there's literally nothing stopping Trump from calling his buddy Vlad or Kim or Erdogan or even one of our allies and asking for the same shit again.
The name of the game is what people will be thinking during the 2020 election. Republicans will run a sham trial in the senate filled with gaslighting and conspiracy theories; they are brazen in their lies and misdirection. I'm afraid they have a strong chance of deflecting away from this still, but we'll see. They will never remove him either way, but they can take the momentum away from the dems when this hits the senate.
The smartest move for the GOP would be to keep the trial fairly short, just long enough to plausibly say "see, we did our constitutional duty". The less justification they give for acquitting Trump, the better, for them. Their base doesn't care about justification. They only give the few, but crucial, undecided voters out there more chances to see their bullshit for what it is by speaking at any length.
So I hope they do speak at length. Even though hearing their verbal diarrhea is painful, it does them more harm than good.
That has been one goal of these public hearings: to show that the GOP has no real defense. The Senate trial, given its predetermined outcome, will hopefully do more of the same, while also potentially showing that the GOP is doing something they have repeatedly accused the Democrats of: bending the rules to benefit themselves.
The worst thing the GOP could do, which they reportedly are tempted to do, is refuse to have the trial, or have such a short one that it's obviously a sham. But they are reportedly only tempted, and are going to do as I said above: have a trial that's just long enough to seem real.