January 2019 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes Tuesday, February 12th

Oct 25, 2017
11,262
Seeing the crazy numbers Apex Legends is pulling, do we think the game could have a similar effect to what Fortnite did last year and actually sell many consoles or it is mostly selling to the same crowd who already owns PS4/Xbox?
Probably the latter but maybe it can provide a slight uptick. It would really be something if it could essentially be Fortnite 2.0 for 2019 though.
 
Oct 25, 2017
11,262
So, Apex sitting at 25M players now. Any of the insider folk seeing any type of uptick with the consoles? I imagine if there is going to be some sort of movement, it would become more noticeable as we go along in the month though.
 
Oct 28, 2017
112
Bronx, NY
[NSW] 250k
[PS4] 185k
[XB1] 120k

Nintendo will continue to ride high on Super Smash Bros. Ultimate and Pokemon Let's Go sales, with New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe doing really well. Playstation 4 and XBOX one gets Resident Evil 2 Remake and Kingdom Hearts III. While I don't expect either title to push systems, they will do really well, regardless.
 

Saint-14

Member
Nov 2, 2017
11,567
So, Apex sitting at 25M players now. Any of the insider folk seeing any type of uptick with the consoles? I imagine if there is going to be some sort of movement, it would become more noticeable as we go along in the month though.
I don’t think it will have an effect on consoles, Fortnite already brought new people in and it will be hard for a game in the same genre to do it again.
 

plusaflag

Member
Jan 7, 2019
447
[NSW] 281K
[PS4] 135K
[XB1] 155K

Basically, I tool and tweaked December's results and scaled them down.
 

neroxyr

Member
Nov 14, 2018
50
With all the games and Direct, didn't know it's close to data release. Damn! Switch on top
 
OP
OP

donny2112

Member
Oct 27, 2017
343
ResetERA Aggregate Predictions - Jan-2019

1. NSW - 246K (stddev: 24K)
2. PS4 - 177K (stddev: 25K)
3. XB1 - 124K (stddev: 21K)