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January 2019 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes Tuesday, February 12th

Oct 25, 2017
10,164
#52
Seeing the crazy numbers Apex Legends is pulling, do we think the game could have a similar effect to what Fortnite did last year and actually sell many consoles or it is mostly selling to the same crowd who already owns PS4/Xbox?
Probably the latter but maybe it can provide a slight uptick. It would really be something if it could essentially be Fortnite 2.0 for 2019 though.
 
Oct 25, 2017
10,164
#56
So, Apex sitting at 25M players now. Any of the insider folk seeing any type of uptick with the consoles? I imagine if there is going to be some sort of movement, it would become more noticeable as we go along in the month though.
 
Oct 28, 2017
106
Bronx, NY
#57
[NSW] 250k
[PS4] 185k
[XB1] 120k

Nintendo will continue to ride high on Super Smash Bros. Ultimate and Pokemon Let's Go sales, with New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe doing really well. Playstation 4 and XBOX one gets Resident Evil 2 Remake and Kingdom Hearts III. While I don't expect either title to push systems, they will do really well, regardless.
 
Nov 2, 2017
10,854
#76
So, Apex sitting at 25M players now. Any of the insider folk seeing any type of uptick with the consoles? I imagine if there is going to be some sort of movement, it would become more noticeable as we go along in the month though.
I don’t think it will have an effect on consoles, Fortnite already brought new people in and it will be hard for a game in the same genre to do it again.
 
OP
OP
Oct 27, 2017
317
#99
ResetERA Aggregate Predictions - Jan-2019

1. NSW - 246K (stddev: 24K)
2. PS4 - 177K (stddev: 25K)
3. XB1 - 124K (stddev: 21K)