The switch library for the first half of the year may not be blockbuster but they have a library which picks up the slack. The evergreen titles sell hardware.
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January 2019 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes Tuesday, February 12th
- Thread starter donny2112
- Start date
Biggest difference from 2018 is that their lineup is packed starting Summer this year. Their Q2-Q3 sales will more than make up for Q1 of the 19/20 fiscal year.
Pertinent to Jan 2019 software figures coming shortly (focusing on Smash).
Switch has done really well and this is pretty much the year for it to shine before next gen consoles arrive.
PS4 did well as well considering the fact that it's still at 299$...same price since 2016? And almost flat compared to last year. I'd like to see PS4 and Pro at 199/299$ price points later this year just to see what kind of life this console still has in it, but the system is continuing to sell too well....
Xbox is in a bad spot. Continous promotions, the Xbox One X that is about to cost less than the Pro while being more powerful...and those sales. It will be hard for Microsoft to go on with this product until late 2020....unless there are surprises and new products are launched earlier than expected and no....not the Xbox One S without the disc drive, that is only going to devalue the product even further.
PS4 did well as well considering the fact that it's still at 299$...same price since 2016? And almost flat compared to last year. I'd like to see PS4 and Pro at 199/299$ price points later this year just to see what kind of life this console still has in it, but the system is continuing to sell too well....
Xbox is in a bad spot. Continous promotions, the Xbox One X that is about to cost less than the Pro while being more powerful...and those sales. It will be hard for Microsoft to go on with this product until late 2020....unless there are surprises and new products are launched earlier than expected and no....not the Xbox One S without the disc drive, that is only going to devalue the product even further.
Honestly we are getting to a point where even the $50-$100 off promos arent doing much to move the X1.
Honestly I don't think that would help them. They already have their consoles discounted all the time. The X is $399 right now for like 2 months. People just aren't drawn towards that brand as much as the others right now.
My switch prediction was very close, my ps4 guess was way off while my xb1 guess was pretty close. Might be my best prediction I have made in a npd thread. Not going to check however.
2020 is going to be a disaster
You are also going to start seeing "consoles are doomed" articles as early as this year. I fully expect PS4 and Xbox One down 8 or 10 months of the year
Switch's March and April will be driven by third party this year - and it should do pretty damned well considering that FFIX is the #1 game on eShop. Sill have FFVII, FFX, and FFXII in the pipeline from SE. Dragon's Dogma, and other games will release in the Spring
what? That can't be right.
**checks prices**
Shit, both are $399? How?
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Maybe things won't get so bad if we get some next gen talk .
Unlike last gen i would hope consoles doomed talk won't be as bad still there is streaming so maybe they will used that lol
Honestly though
The PS4 numbers are VERY solid this late in the generation while not having a price drop for a long time. It's down YoY but not by much. The fact they are able to keep this level of interest this late in the cycle while not decreasing price / revenue is fantastic
Xbox on the other hand. That's a major Yikes
The PS4 numbers are VERY solid this late in the generation while not having a price drop for a long time. It's down YoY but not by much. The fact they are able to keep this level of interest this late in the cycle while not decreasing price / revenue is fantastic
Xbox on the other hand. That's a major Yikes
All things considered, 2019 is looking to already be a disaster for Xbox One. 2020 is going to have it resting in a coffin most the year at this rate.
Let me keep echoing this, we are starting to see just how much selling power difference there is between the two platforms. I mean, the reason why Xbox hit about 100k is because it lacked the magical monthly price drop which makes it seem like the Xbox One sells almost as well as the PS4.
Like I said early last year, I have no clue how MS is going to ride out the rest of this gen because Xbox console sales are already looking very unhealthy in the first month of 2019. I think the PS4 will be selling stronger in January 2020 than the numbers Xbox is pulling right now.
Wouldn't surprise me if PS4 takes a couple months before June. Especially April, with Days Gone.
Once June rolls around though....woo boy
Once June rolls around though....woo boy
Seeing recent articles, I'm convinced this will happen towards the end of every gen from now on, lol.
Man, these releases get delayed more than rocket launches these days!
(Yes I'm exaggerating)
Yeah back half of 2019 we are going to see some truly crazy Switch months but there is definitely a chance PS4 could take a month or 2 prior to then
"Thing that sold 100 million times at ~$250 and made record profits confirmed to be failure!"
They've been behind at this point. 360 went on to sell over 80 million. Xbox One just recently got to over 40 million.
Yep
Unfortunately people love posting clickbait. They will see Xbox / PS4 down YoY a lot of months this year and start posting consoles are doomed
Even though we are VERY late in the cycle now and PS4 in particular is holding well
Depends if the last of us 2 or death strading comes in the 2 half of the year.
Honestly
I doubt either of those move much hardware. Certainly nothing on the scale Pokemon Gen 8 and Animal Crossing will
June will depend of the Days of Play deals. We could have another $199 PS4 with a game
Smash Ultimate over 5 million in 2 months is FUCKING INSANE. This absolutely destory every other exclusives.
Super Smash Bros Brawl in all 2008 (8 months) barely sold 4.17 million, and it was #4 in the 2008 software chart.
Super Smash Bros 4 (Wii U + 3DS) sold 3.3 million in 2014.
Super Smash Bros Brawl in all 2008 (8 months) barely sold 4.17 million, and it was #4 in the 2008 software chart.
Super Smash Bros 4 (Wii U + 3DS) sold 3.3 million in 2014.
Meh, it will be competing against Mario Maker 2 and also E3 hype. It's not clear cut even if Sony were to go $199 with a game.
All jokes aside, XBOX moving 101K in their strongest market is a problem.
They were $100 cheaper during December and only sold like 100k more that month while PS4 can't keep up with demand at $199.
They have to drop the price this year, right? Right? They'd be mad not to even if it's only slightly down yoy.
Yeah we'll have an MC Japan retail update tomorrow, - its behind NSMB Wii at retail (through the same weeks in 2010) but based on the sell-through figures Nintendo gave a few weeks back, I think its LTD was already ahead of where NSMBWii through week 7 after week 4, and that's with NSMBWii launching in November.
It is similarly outpacing NSMBWii's performance in the US as well, and its going to have DLC/support up until at least Feb 2020. And it launched in the 22nd month of the console's life-cycle, instead of the 37th. And that went on to sell >30M worldwide.
See, there are two possibilities (with a theoretical but hard to reach third): you either go up or you go down. And the first one never lasts.
Not surprisingly, magicpork would have already given the numbers if physical sales was out.
Like 2 years ago ? Because last year there was no price cuts on the slim and only a mere $50 price cut on the Pro during Days of Play.
I don't think people realize how well Sony is doing since early 2018. Since last December, Switch has more deals than PS4 in US.
We already know the numbers though, it's just a press release delay.
With these numbers I'm willing to bet Switch outsells Xbox One LTD by summer. It's only 9M behind and like 2017 and the S losing steam it looks like the X effect is losing steam big time.
Doesn't this mean they will look to launch next gen console ASAP...?