January 2019 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes Tuesday, February 12th

[kyo2004]

[NSW] 280K
[PS4] 165K
[XB1] 105K

 

[DriftingSpirit]

Seeing the crazy numbers Apex Legends is pulling, do we think the game could have a similar effect to what Fortnite did last year and actually sell many consoles or it is mostly selling to the same crowd who already owns PS4/Xbox?

Click to shrink...

Probably the latter but maybe it can provide a slight uptick. It would really be something if it could essentially be Fortnite 2.0 for 2019 though.

 

[HighJump]

[NSW] 220K
[PS4] 165K
[XB1] 145K

 

[ThatRandomCliff]

[NSW] 280k
[PS4] 135k
[XB1] 98k

 

[Lelouch0612]

[NSW] 280k
[PS4] 170k
[X1] 115k

 

[DriftingSpirit]

So, Apex sitting at 25M players now. Any of the insider folk seeing any type of uptick with the consoles? I imagine if there is going to be some sort of movement, it would become more noticeable as we go along in the month though.

 

[ShellshockPrime]

[NSW] 250k
[PS4] 185k
[XB1] 120k

Nintendo will continue to ride high on Super Smash Bros. Ultimate and Pokemon Let's Go sales, with New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe doing really well. Playstation 4 and XBOX one gets Resident Evil 2 Remake and Kingdom Hearts III. While I don't expect either title to push systems, they will do really well, regardless.

 

[Nocturnal]

[NSW] 322k
[PS4] 155k
[XB1] 100k

 

[score01]

NSW] 210K
[PS4] 170K
[XB1] 145K

 

[Andromeda]

[NSW] 268K
[PS4] 193K
[XB1] 93K

 

[Darth Smurf X]

[NSW] 260K
[PS4] 160K
[XB1] 110K

I almost missed this thread somehow. Whoever bumped it, thank you.

 

[MasterChumly]

[NSW] 215K
[PS4] 165K
[XB1] 120K

 

[WestEgg]

[NSW] 245K
[PS4] 185K
[XB1] 115K

 

[MANUELF]

[NSW] 265K
[PS4] 155K
[XB1] 105K

 

[Toni]

[NSW] 230K
[PS4] 210K
[XB1] 130K

Confident PS4 will sustain itself well in January.

 

[Sterok]

[NSW] 230k
[PS4] 140k
[X1] 100k

Kingdom Hearts easily tops software.

 

[fiendcode]

[NSW] 222k
[PS4] 188k
[X1] 111k

 

[brykuhn91]

[NSW] 265K
[PS4] 175K
[XB1] 130K

 

[wilmbreak]

[NSW] 251K
[PS4] 192K
[XB1] 123K

 

[Mercenary09]

[NSW] 225K
[PS4] 170K
[XB1] 148K

 

[Corporate Clown]

[NSW] 250K
[PS4] 200K
[XB1] 150K

 

[Sangetsu-II]

[NSW] 270K
[PS4] 220K
[XB1] 160K

 

[TurnoftheCentury]

[NSW] 255K
[PS4] 190K
[XB1] 125K

 

[Kill3r7]

[NSW] 230K
[PS4] 180K
[XB1] 140K

 

[Quintus]

[NSW] 265K
[PS4] 165K
[XB1] 125K

 

[Saint-14]

So, Apex sitting at 25M players now. Any of the insider folk seeing any type of uptick with the consoles? I imagine if there is going to be some sort of movement, it would become more noticeable as we go along in the month though.

Click to shrink...

I don't think it will have an effect on consoles, Fortnite already brought new people in and it will be hard for a game in the same genre to do it again.

 

[Deleted member 4976]

[NSW] 245K
[PS4] 260K
[XB1] 180K

 

[plusaflag]

[NSW] 281K
[PS4] 135K
[XB1] 155K

Basically, I tool and tweaked December's results and scaled them down.

 

[Stanng243]

[NSW] 235K
[PS4] 270K
[XB1] 175K

 

[Expy]

[NSW] 270K
[PS4] 195K
[XB1] 105K

 

[Jeean]

[NSW] 262K
[PS4] 161K
[XB1] 121K

 

[Rouk']

[NSW] 258K
[PS4] 185K
[XB1] 123K

 

[KillerMan91]

[NSW] 253K
[PS4] 170K
[XB1] 120K

 

[Keith Stat]

[NSW] 235K
[PS4] 175K
[XB1] 120K

 

[Dougieflesh]

[NSW] 243k
[PS4] 186k
[XB1] 121k

 

[cakely]

[NSW] 248K
[PS4] 168K
[XB1] 132K

 

[JayBee]

[NSW] 280K
[PS4] 140K
[XB1] 110K

 

[pitseleh]

[NSW] 245k
[PS4] 185k
[XB1] 140k

 

[donny2112]

Just over 5 hours left to predict for January's numbers. (^_^)

 

[DanR93]

[NSW] 220K
[PS4] 190K
[XB1] 130K

 

[Sk17]

[NSW] 232K
[PS4] 192K
[XB1] 133K

 

[James]

[NSW] 255K
[PS4] 170K
[XB1] 170K

 

[Deleted member 2785]

Physical is delayed to Tuesday.

 

[donny2112]

Thanks for the update!

 

[kowalski]

I...forget about this!

 

[neroxyr]

With all the games and Direct, didn't know it's close to data release. Damn! Switch on top

 

[freeradical]

I...forget about this!

Click to shrink...

Argh, poop! So did I.
Not a great start for yearly. Need every month i can get.

And allan BH gone? Profile unavailable?

 

[Zedark]

Some expectations from Benji :

 

[Godsent]

Some expectations from Benji :

Click to shrink...

quiet month, quiet thread and unsurprising results.

can't wait to see SW numbers for Jan.

 

[donny2112]

ResetERA Aggregate Predictions - Jan-2019

1. NSW - 246K (stddev: 24K)
2. PS4 - 177K (stddev: 25K)
3. XB1 - 124K (stddev: 21K)