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July 2018 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes Tuesday, August 14th
- Thread starter donny2112
- Start date
[NSW] 250k
[PS4] 245k
[XB1] 170k
PS4 has continued to overperform a lot of people's expectations but I feel like this is the first month in a while that Switch May edge it out. Still expecting a good month for all manufacturers in the end though.
[PS4] 245k
[XB1] 170k
PS4 has continued to overperform a lot of people's expectations but I feel like this is the first month in a while that Switch May edge it out. Still expecting a good month for all manufacturers in the end though.
I won't be surprised if Switch takes this month, but PS4's overperformance has really screwed me this year lol so I'm gonna roll the dice on Sony winning again. Of course, with how every system has performed this year I'm now expecting everything in the 300k range just to once again screw up my predictions haha.
XB1>PS4 this month, i'll go for that.
To be honest i think they'll be super close so i really won't be surprised whoever wins... but XB1 won't be just a "distant third", not this month at least imo.
To go from PS4 leading XB1 by >100K in June to XB1 ahead in July would be insane. Even a "small" gap is kind of out there.
Would require a massive drop for PS4 and an incredible hold for XB1, which I mean isn't impossible, just not something I see happening, even with Prime Day.
In the last 2 years, XB1 weekly avg was better in July compared to June thanks the prime day, so a good XB1 hold should be expected to me this month.
In 2016 even if June had really good deals, and the new XB1S model was coming in August, it was still flat / slighly up compared to June. Same in 2017, even with the annuncement of XB1X, it was still flat in weekly sales.
I expect a decrease of over 10% in weekly sales this year, so i'm not THAT optimist... As for PS4, we know it's been a while the console had stocks problems on Amazon, on a normal month that should not impact sales too much, but with prime day, the PS4 will miss a sales boost that will influence Switch and XB1 quite a bit... and also outside of Amazon, we know the whole PS4 PRO model had stock problems in some store. Plus, June had the days of play for 2 weeks, so that's another reason to expect a PS4 drop.
Like i said, i think they'll be close, between PS4/XB1 i really don't know who is gonna win. I'm just sure Switch will win by a good margin, the other 2 should be at least close...
But in August i think PS4 will beat XB1 by a good margin, so we'll see.
Damn still? I knew that was a thing for a while but figured it would be fixed by now
Well I tried to buy another one recently from amazon and it was sold out temporarily ps4 1 terabyte
I think the PSN card situation has been fixed.
Actual PS4 games are a SHIT SHOW. With a capital S.
Like, you can't buy Spiderman. (or preorder actually)
Not the console, the actual game. Biggest PS4 exclusive of the year.
Consoles are a real big hit or miss. They'll get in a console for a hot minute, then it becomes "temporarily unavailable".
i do believe 2016 and 2017 were special circumstances that lead to those better weekly averages. 2016 followed a massive price cut in mid June in addition to a $249 drop for the 500GB bundles.
2017 followed a massively weak June which had a one week price drop, so Prime Day could be seen as the equivalent of that.
2018 had a multi week long price drop on both the S and X. I would be very surprised if July is around June in weekly average.
I'm not expecting PS4 to be close to XB1 in July. Down YOY, sure.
PS4 wasn't sold on Amazon for awhile so it missed Prime Day.
That is crazy to me
Amazon in general doesn't have a huge share of new PS4 hardware sold anyways, but I'm surprised that they are that willing to just give up market share on it
True. Maybe I am putting too much faith in Spiderman in the gaming aspect. Regardless, it should do very well.
yeye hopefully it does well. i preordered.
It's just God of War literally had like the best npd month for playstation i think.
please be patient with the amazon stock situation. as sales experts you might know that large stock results in a huge capital tie-up. amazon might be short of liquidity, so they have to reduce investments. one of the main reasons for the online retailer is of course the rising prices for cardboard packaging for amazon parcels due to the huge success of labo, as already predicted months ago.
and as the ps4 is the most expensive console it's no wonder that they are reducing supply here.
and as the ps4 is the most expensive console it's no wonder that they are reducing supply here.
Lol
I thought they were releasing today they usually hit Thursday
OP
OP
Yep, that's all of ...
Hey ...
:lol:
ResetERA Aggregate Predictions - Jul-2018
1. NSW - 253K
2. PS4 - 244K
3. XB1 - 178K
magicpork
put some respect on the man's name
....but yeah i dunno.
OP
OP
Leakers tend to start off low-key. Those who follow the threads know them, and anticipate their posts. Then as more people find out about them, it starts becoming a thing to call them out. "where's so-and-so?" Names start to become known. Someone puts out a Youtube video that looks like a motion picture trailer advertising the existence of the leak. Then it all comes tumbling down.
/CircleOfLife
/CircleOfLife
