They won't revel the new model (if it exists) too early because the moment they revel it, the sales of the current model will plumb.
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June 2019 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes Tuesday, July 16th
- Thread starter donny2112
- Start date
from experience, does anyone have some historical duration data between console update reveals and release?
iphones don't count.
For Nintendo handheld revisions it's usually around 6-8 weeks or so. I'm guessing it'll be closer to 6 this time.
Revisions that decrease the price of the console have a shorter time between announcement and release.
The PS4 Slim was announced 1 week before release. The PS4 Pro, which was announced at the same time, released 3 months after.
[NSW] 367K
[PS4] 256K
[XB1] 145K
Fix your formatting, you need the brackets around the platforms (and no colon).
[PS4] 256K
[XB1] 145K
Fix your formatting, you need the brackets around the platforms (and no colon).
cool. if they announce it tomorrow my problem might be fixed in time.
I landed into this thread, ran around desperately trying to find a sales figure, tried to melee someone and then died.
there are only two solutions for this dilemma.
either stubborn nintendo gives in to the npd's constant hitting-on or we can finally end net neutrality, so that bandwidth becomes a resource like any other and isn't wasted on common people downloading junk for their banal time-killing occupations like gaming.
[NSW] 329k
[PS4] 207k
[XB1] 102k
Soo... did something happen last thread after I stopped following lol
Why is everyone saying it's going to be even more of a ghost town than it already was :/
[PS4] 207k
[XB1] 102k
Soo... did something happen last thread after I stopped following lol
Why is everyone saying it's going to be even more of a ghost town than it already was :/
I think there is no particular reason for that sentiment (no further insider exodus), the two last months were just really low. Maybe it will get better now after the 'first halfyear lull' and E3. I think this thread is already more active (pre-deadline) than the last two months.
Yeah, that's what I thought (hoped?) was the case. We still have enough people around for some interesting discussions! Many of the notable regulars still seem to be posting at least.
Does a revision launch count? Sights would have been set for a close to record performance (this gen) with how strong the software momentum would be in September, launch of the Lite model could push it over the edge.
Switch might be kinda down in July-August following this announcement.. not too much though considering the revision targets an audience that isn't quite the same as that of the existing sku
Oh that revision will do something.
It actually kind of depends if Switch sales start to drop faster than expected between now and launch. If they do, Switch Lite can open to fantastic numbers and September sees a massive boost.
If Switch appears to hold between now and launch, it's possible Switch Lite launches lower than some would anticipate, but then it heavily makes up for it in the holidays. This would result in a lower than expected September, but better November and December sales.
Right now, my gut feeling is mixed. If people also treat the Switch Lite as a $100 price cut, then September could just well break the PS4 record. If there is some hesitation on it being handheld only, then overall sales could just miss it. It being late September also limits what it can sell in September. October will see a massive increase thanks to this.
Exciting times right now, and there is still a Pro version to be announced. If that launches in September, then yeah, Switch most likely breaks 500K going on 600K.
this sounds weird. as there was only one switch before, everyone who wanted to play nintendo games was the target. there was no alternative. now, this audience can be segmented into into those who want to have all the gimmicks and those who don't care too much. there's choice now.
of course, the group of potential buyers base is enlarged additionally by poor people, kids and curly-haired skater-dudes.
[NSW] 351K
[PS4] 257K
[XB1] 154K
Switch July 2018 was very strong, should be down YOY and flat in August. September/October will be up a lot
[PS4] 257K
[XB1] 154K
Switch July 2018 was very strong, should be down YOY and flat in August. September/October will be up a lot
Lot of untapped audience here (that could be adressed with the Lite)
That represents 20M players in the Americas alone.
That represents 20M players in the Americas alone.
July for Switch will be interesting.
Last year the most notable event was Amazon Prime Day, along with a heightened baseline thanks to Fortnite.
This year, July has the announcement of a model that will be $100 cheaper in September. This will go against Mario Maker 2 pushing consoles along with Fire Emblem. Prime Day is going to be interesting as Amazon could go all in on deals for the current Switch to move inventory ahead of the Lite.
August is going to be dead all around I think. Madden launches in the July period, so PS4/XB1 have literally nothing in August, and if a Switch Pro gets announced for this year, I think that'll happen in August. If not, sales will slow anyway for Switch in the lead up to the Lite where August also has nothing.
Last year the most notable event was Amazon Prime Day, along with a heightened baseline thanks to Fortnite.
This year, July has the announcement of a model that will be $100 cheaper in September. This will go against Mario Maker 2 pushing consoles along with Fire Emblem. Prime Day is going to be interesting as Amazon could go all in on deals for the current Switch to move inventory ahead of the Lite.
August is going to be dead all around I think. Madden launches in the July period, so PS4/XB1 have literally nothing in August, and if a Switch Pro gets announced for this year, I think that'll happen in August. If not, sales will slow anyway for Switch in the lead up to the Lite where August also has nothing.
Doug Bowser has confirmed no additional Switch models this year beyond the Lite. Switch Pro is 2020 at the earliest.
Edit - actually, I think he just said there's nothing more to announce currently, so who knows
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They can't really say anything else at this point. They'll be denying it right up until the announcement or really risk destroying HW sales.
How do we know the number of 3DS owners who are active? Maybe that info was included in the full report.
Normally I have seen other definition. The owner used the console in the period of the research/study at least once. Period could be last year, or 2019 Q1.
oldhand and the curious case of the invisible first estimates (exclusive on dark theme)
How did that even happen....!?
I had one job..... and I don't even know how I f***ked it up. Which teacher do I need to report to?
Please never stop being you.
Yeah, the idea that when asked about another Switch revision they'd say "Oh yeah we have another premium model that we're going to launch soon" is laughable.
Hoping (but not expecting) that we get splits for the Switch/Lite. Maybe the first month we get lucky and Nintendo will release PR.
This really needs to be a news segment on their YouTube channel or something.
OP
OP
Rumor from another thread is that Nintendo is doing a normal lifecycle change to the regular Switch to update the board and some internal components. Possibly to remove the known vulnerability in the current setup and maybe will fix the Joycon connection issue. This may or may not be the rumored "upgrade" to the Switch. Definitely not a Switch Pro, though.
Won't it seem odd that NPD will track switch lite as a console when its actually a handheld since it has no actual way to connect to the tv?