I'm more than happy to revisit the subject again. I have a feeling it's going to be another bomba and apologists will be saying "oh just wait for (insert X holiday) it will surely take off!" Kind of like the Wii u and it's infamous chalkboard.
But why do you have that feeling? So far there is nothing to indicate that it will be anything like the WiiU. It was the No.1 product in it's first week and there have been no price drops that would indicate retailer nervousness about the products sales potential. Unless you have some further data you are holding back?
But yeah, if it sells like under 20k during the Golden Week sales period, or doesn't push through it's initial shipment without a price drop, I am not above admitting I'm wrong. I won't move goalposts.
Notice how I am also not saying it will be a sales success. This is because, as many people in this thread have been saying, it is
way to early to make definitive statements. All that you can go on right now are gut feelings and that is fine, but these feelings can't be presented as data.
My gut feeling (not based on data): I think it will do respectable. It is perfect thing for me as a dad to pick up and do with my kids over the Golden Week vacation (which starts May 3rd). I teach at an elementary school here in Japan and kids have been talking about Labo. Does that chatter present definitive data that Labo will be a huge hit? No, it is only an anecdote.
But yeah, let's come back to this in a few weeks.
But just to have a baseline. What would Labo need to do to be considered a success in your eyes? Or just not a flop? Give some numbers and we can have an interesting discussion in the future.