[NSW] 360K
[PS4] 270K
[XB1] 210K
Hello! This wall of numbers will be comparing the weekly average of February. This is where comparing weekly averages is beneficial as March is a 5 week month while February is 4 weeks. I have gathered high selling software and any hardware deals for March to help show how the month might be impacted. You can go to previous prediction threads for the previous month's potential impacts.
Code:
2012
Xbox 360 February: 426K / 4 = 106,500
Xbox 360 March: 371K / 5 = 74,200
Weekly average -30%
PS3 February: 347K / 4 = 86,750
PS3 March: 337K / 5 = 67,400
Weekly average -28%
3DS February: 263K / 4 = 65,750
3DS March: 225K / 5 = 45,000
Weekly average -32%
Notable Events in March
Xbox 360
Mass Effect 3 [4 weeks] [943K]
Resident Evil: Operation Raccoon City [2 weeks]
SSX [5 weeks]
PS3
Mass Effect 3 [4 weeks] [237k]
MLB 12: The Show [4 weeks]
Resident Evil: Operation Raccoon City [2 weeks]
SSX [5 weeks]
3DS
Kid Icarus: Uprising [2 weeks] [135K]
Code:
2013
Xbox 360 February: 302K / 4 = 75,500
Xbox 360 March: 261K / 5 = 52,200
Weekly average -31%
PS3 February: 262K / 4 = 65,500
PS3 March: 211K / 5 = 42,200
Weekly average -36%
3DS February: 189K / 4 = 47,250
3DS March: 230K / 5 = 46,000
Weekly average -3%
Notable Events in March
Xbox 360
Gears of War: Judgement [3 weeks] [620K]
BioShock Infinite [2 weeks] [583K]
Tomb Raider [5 weeks] [346K]
The Walking Dead: Survival Instinct [3 weeks]
Naruto Shippuden: Ultimate Ninja Storm 3 [5 weeks]
PS3
God of War: Ascension + God of War Saga 500GB Garnet Red Bundle $349
God of War: Ascension [4 weeks] [633K w/bundles]
MLB 13: The Show [5 weeks]
Tomb Raider [5 weeks] [294K]
BioShock Infinite [2 weeks] [287K]
The Walking Dead: Survival Instinct [3 weeks]
Naruto Shippuden: Ultimate Ninja Storm 3 [5 weeks]
3DS
Pikachu Themed 3DS XL $199 [2 weeks]
Luigi's Mansion: Dark Moon [2 weeks] [415K with digital]
Pokémon Mystery Dungeon: Gates to Infinity [2 weeks] [145K with digital]
Code:
2014
Xbox One February: 258K / 4 = 64,500
Xbox One March: 311K / 5 = 62,200
Weekly average -4%
PS4 February: 269K / 4 = 67,250
PS4 March: 371K / 5 = 74,200
Weekly average +10%
3DS February: 153K / 4 = 38,250
3DS March: 159K / 5 = 31,800
Weekly average -17%
Xbox 360 February: 114K / 4 = 28,500
Xbox 360 March: 111K / 5 = 22,200
Weekly average -22%
PS3 February: 102K / 4 = 25,500
PS3 March: 67K / 5 = 13,400
Weekly average -47%
Notable Events in March
Xbox One
Titanfall 500GB Bundle $499 [4 weeks] [218K]
Titanfall [4 weeks] [865K]
PS4
Supply finally readily available
Infamous Second Son [3 weeks] [<500K]
Metal Gear Solid V: Ground Zeroes [3 weeks] [~150K]
3DS
Yoshi's New Island Special Themed Green + White XL $199 [4 weeks]
Yoshi's New Island [4 weeks] [<160K]
Xbox 360
South Park: The Stick of Truth [5 weeks] [<242K]
Dark Souls 2 [4 weeks] [<171.5K]
PS3
Final Fantasy X / X-2 HD Remaster [3 weeks] [208K]
South Park: The Stick of Truth [5 weeks] [<198K]
Dark Souls 2 [4 weeks] [<178.5K]
Code:
2015
Xbox One February: 276K / 4 = 69,000
Xbox One March: 229K / 5 = 45,800
Weekly average -34%
PS4 February: 342K / 4 = 85,500
PS4 March: 330K / 5 = 66,000
Weekly average -23%
3DS February: 395K / 4 = 98,750
3DS March: 265K / 5 = 53,000
Weekly average -46%
Notable Events in March
Xbox One
Halo: The Master Chief Collection 500GB bundle $349 [4 weeks]
Battlefield Hardline [3 weeks] [>430K]
PS4
Battlefield Hardline [3 weeks] [>400K]
Bloodborne [2 weeks] [387K]
MLB 15: The Show [1 week]
Final Fantasy Type O [3 weeks] [158K]
Code:
2016
Xbox One February: 248K / 4 = 62,000
Xbox One March: 242K / 5 = 48,400
Weekly average -22%
PS4 February: 405K / 4 = 101,250
PS4 March: 330K / 5 = 66,000
Weekly average -35%
3DS February: 176K / 4 = 44,000
3DS March: 171K / 5 = 34,200
Weekly average -22%
Notable Events in March
Xbox One
$50 price cut on all models March 22nd - April 30th (12 days in March NPD / 2 weeks)
The Division 1TB bundle $399 [4 weeks] [~20K]
The Division [4 weeks] [844K]
EA Sports UFC 2 [3 weeks]
PS4
The Division [4 weeks] [928K]
MLB 16: The Show [1 week] [<179K]
Code:
2017
Xbox One February: 215K / 4 = 53,750
Xbox One March: 244K / 5 = 48,800
Weekly average -9%
PS4 February: 398K / 4 = 99,500
PS4 March: 397K / 5 = 79,400
Weekly average -20%
Notable Events in March
Xbox One
Xbox One S Minecraft 500GB Bundle $249 March 12th - 18th [1 week]
Free game deal March 19th - 25th [1 week]
Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon Wildlands [4 weeks]
Mass Effect Andromeda [2 weeks]
PS4
Horizon Zero Dawn [5 weeks]
Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon Wildlands [4 weeks]
Mass Effect Andromeda [2 weeks]
MLB The Show 17 [1 week]
Code:
2018
Switch February: 279K / 4 = 69,750
Switch March: 310K / 5 = 62,000
Weekly average -11%
Xbox One February: 310K / 4 = 77,500
Xbox One March: 300K / 5 = 60,000
Weekly average -23%
PS4 February: 363K / 4 = 90,750
PS4 March: 355K / 5 = 71,000
Weekly average -22%
Notable Events in March
Nintendo Switch
Kirby Star Allies [4 weeks]
Xbox One
Price Cut $50 March 25th - March 31st [7 days] 500GB $229 / 1TB $249
Sea of Thieves with every Xbox One X March 18th - March 24th [7 days]
Any game with every Xbox One X March 25th - March 31st [7 days]
Sea of Thieves 1TB Bundle $299 [3 weeks]
Far Cry 5 [2 weeks]
Sea of Thieves [3 weeks]
PS4
Far Cry 5 [2 weeks]
MLB The Show 18 [2 weeks]
Code:
2019 February Weekly Averages
Switch: ~363K / 4 = ~90,750
PS4: ~283K / 4 = ~70,750
Xbox One: ~225K / 4 = ~56,250
Notable Events in March
Nintendo Switch
Switch + Choice of One Mario Game Bundled $329 [Super Mario Party/Super Mario Odyssey/Mario Kart 8 Deluxe/Mario Tennis Aces/New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe] [March 10 - 16]
Yoshi's Crafted World [2 weeks]
Super Dragon Ball Heroes World Mission [1 week]
Xbox One
Gamestop Deal - Trade in XB1, Switch, or PS4 and get up to $300 towards select Xbox One X Bundles (No Fallout 76) Offer valid 3/10 - 3/30
Continued Fallout 76 Xbox One X $399 deal [February 2 - June 30] *This was extended past the intended March 30 cutoff
Xbox One S 1TB Tom Clancy's The Division 2 Bundle $299 [4 weeks]
Xbox One X 1TB Tom Clancy's The Division 2 Bundle $499 [4 weeks]
Devil May Cry 5 [5 weeks]
Tom Clancy's The Division 2 [4 weeks]
Sekiro: Shadows Die Twice [3 weeks]
PS4
Devil May Cry 5 [5 weeks]
Tom Clancy's The Division 2 [4 weeks]
Sekiro: Shadows Die Twice [3 weeks]
MLB The Show 19 [2 weeks]
Notes
In terms of total sales, March is one of the bigger non holiday months of the year, but is also when sales start to slow down as we go into spring and summer. Even with an additional week, total month sales are almost always below February.
Xbox
The Xbox One always has something big in March, be it bundles or price drops (or both). The effect these have can range to pretty good at holding sales or no effect.
2014 had the Titanfall bundle at $499
2015 had the Halo MCC bundle at $349
2016 had the Division 1TB bundle at $399 and a $50 price cut
2017 had the Minecraft bundle at $249 for a week and a free game deal
2018 had the Sea of Thieves bundle at $299, 2 weeks of free games with the One X, and a $50 price cut on the One S
2019 has the continued, fairly drastic, price cut of the Fallout 76 Xbox One X Bundle to $399, two The Division 2 bundles, and a $300 trade in deal to most One X bundles at GameStop
Removing March 2014 as that year was doesn't wholly represent the whole generation, the Xbox One has so far averaged a decrease of -22%, with a minimum of -9% (2017) and a maximum of -34% (2015).
Playstation
PS4 has a pretty clear outlier in 2014 as there were stock shortages for holiday 2013 and early 2014. March 2014 is when PS4 got a hefty supply replenishment this month and was able to get supply over demand.
Besides that, it performs decent in March compared to February. Nothing major besides software releases for PS4 in March and 2019 is no different.
Removing 2014, the PS4 has so far averaged a decrease of -25%, with a minimum of -20% (2017) and a maximum of -35% (2016).
Nintendo
Removing 2015 as that was the launch of the New 3DS XL the 3DS averaged a decrease of -18%, with a minimum of -3% (2013) and a maximum of -32% (2012). With 2015, 3DS averages a -24%
Switch had a great week long sale that bundled a Mario game of your choice for $330. Yoshi is also there, but it should have a similar impact to what Kirby: Star Allies had.
Recap
March is down from February both in weekly sales average and total month sales (almost all of the time).
The biggest March ever recorded back in the 7th gen was the Wii with 721K back in 2008. Second biggest? Wii again with 601K in 2009.
The biggest March ever recorded in the 8th gen is the PS4 with 397K in 2017. Second biggest? PS4 again with 371K in 2014.
