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May 2018 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes Tuesday, June 12th

Oct 28, 2017
226
As usual, just going to share a few numbers

The relative sales volumes of game hardware were approximately:

PS4: 1.33
Switch: 1
XBox One: 0.87
3DS: 0.4
YoY
PS4: +19%
Switch: +1%
XBox One: +33%
3DS: +17%
On the software side the best sellers were:
God of War, Donkey Kong Country: Tropical Freeze, Detroit: Become Human and Hyrule Warriors: Definitive Edition
 
Nov 23, 2017
6,845
so

[PS4] 221k
[NSW] 166k
[XB1] 144k

Dad of Boy is having good legs in USA, actually surprise HW made it to the list. even after a 33% increase YoY , Xbone still places 3rd, I hope they get thier game together for next gen
 
Oct 28, 2017
2,174
As usual, just going to share a few numbers

The relative sales volumes of game hardware were approximately:



YoY


On the software side the best sellers were:
Thanks MatP ;)

so

[PS4] 221k
[NSW] 166k
[XB1] 144k

Dad of Boy is having good legs in USA, actually surprise HW made it to the list. even after a 33% increase YoY , Xbone still places 3rd, I hope they get thier game together for next gen
Nintendo ain't on that 20 million shipped pace though?
 
Nov 23, 2017
6,845
Thanks MatP ;)


Nintendo ain't on that 20 million shipped pace though?
NA? Nah, Japan they are going up so maybe, if you are gonna try to guess their 20M mark from 1 region 2 months you will need some mad skill there.

My money still on they will reach it, FY Q1 will be above FY Q1 last year world wide
 
Oct 28, 2017
2,174
NA? Nah, Japan they are going up so maybe, if you are gonna try to guess their 20M mark from 1 region 2 months you will need some mad skill there
What about ZhugeEx saying that sell-through numbers have lower than expected. Surely some with access to NPD, GFK, MediaCritic and who work for Niko Partners has better insight than most?
 
Nov 5, 2017
3,863
For Switch so far the trend for this quarter seems similar in Japan and US: sensible drop in April, similar/slightly better in May. June in Japan is a huge improvement YoY, let's see in a month if it's true for the US too.
 
Nov 3, 2017
2,245
NA? Nah, Japan they are going up so maybe, if you are gonna try to guess their 20M mark from 1 region 2 months you will need some mad skill there.

My money still on they will reach it, FY Q1 will be above FY Q1 last year world wide
Aren’t they pretty much flat YoY in Japan?
 

TLZ

Banned
Member
Oct 27, 2017
1,332
NA? Nah, Japan they are going up so maybe, if you are gonna try to guess their 20M mark from 1 region 2 months you will need some mad skill there.

My money still on they will reach it, FY Q1 will be above FY Q1 last year world wide
Don't think so.
 
Oct 28, 2017
2,174
No major surprises so far.


actually....DK had a couple days to chart in April, so I thought Detroit would be above it.



no, his is retail for all of them I believe.
both non nintendo and nintendo alike.
Nintendo games doesn't include digital I think.
I ask because I'm pretty sure MatP said they delayed the reporting of the results so they get both retail and digital information.
 
Oct 27, 2017
7,042
NA? Nah, Japan they are going up so maybe, if you are gonna try to guess their 20M mark from 1 region 2 months you will need some mad skill there.

My money still on they will reach it, FY Q1 will be above FY Q1 last year world wide
Will it? I wonder how it will fair when last year had ARMS and Splatoon 2 to fill out those months. And the increase doesn't seem as if it's that much, so they're going to need a much bigger push if they plan to not just meet but surpass last year's sales.

EDIT: Forgot Splatoon was July which would be Q2.
 
Dec 7, 2017
3,261
I ask because I'm pretty sure MatP said they delayed the reporting of the results so they get both retail and digital information.
True that but I am pretty sure Nintendo digital figures haven't been included in the NPD report yet. Maybe MatP can clarify this.
 
Oct 29, 2017
1,842
Aren’t they pretty much flat YoY in Japan?
YoY 2018 is up with about 120k units or so.. Fiscal year it's pretty much flat, a 2-3k difference. With a good trend for 2018 compared to 2017 and it should continue to win every week with a good margin until Splatoon 2 week.
 
Oct 27, 2017
337
So XB1 continues its YOY growth without any major exclusive software being released. Wouldnt have thought a 1 week $50 price cut would increase hardware sales by that amount, but what do I know.
 
Oct 27, 2017
3,433
Think Nintendo is probably going to have to revise that 20 million forecast down a bit unless they are willing to price drop this year.

XBox One X I think is showing MS why they must have the better hardware versus Sony, it's given the platform a second wind in the US for sure.
 
Oct 28, 2017
2,174
So XB1 continues its YOY growth without any major exclusive software being released. Wouldnt have thought a 1 week $50 price cut would increase hardware sales by that amount, but what do I know.

What do you classify as a "major exclusive" and when was the last one released?
 
Nov 2, 2017
2,062
Italy
By the way, i think is interesting how PS4 is up YOY by a good margin in the US and even in Japan, while is down worldwide. Usually is the opposite, but i guess at this point of his life is hard be up YOY in places where it already sold a lot.
 
Nov 2, 2017
258
By the way, i think is interesting how PS4 is up YOY by a good margin in the US and even in Japan, while is down worldwide. Usually is the opposite, but i guess at this point of his life is hard be up YOY in places where it already sold a lot.
How do you know it is down worldwide ? I guess your are speaking about the Q1 numbers from Sony earnings, but it is shipped not sold.
 
Feb 26, 2018
1,143
By the way, i think is interesting how PS4 is up YOY by a good margin in the US and even in Japan, while is down worldwide. Usually is the opposite, but i guess at this point of his life is hard be up YOY in places where it already sold a lot.
Source? I thought we got concrete sales numbers only in like 2-3 markets.
 
Nov 2, 2017
2,062
Italy
Source? I thought we got concrete sales numbers only in like 2-3 markets.
How do you know it is down worldwide ? I guess your are speaking about the Q1 numbers from Sony earnings, but it is shipped not sold.
Have you got YoY WW numbers? Or a link pls.
PS4 sold 7 million units from January to half of June 2017.

By the end of 2017, PS4 was at 73.6 million sold, and Sony has not annunced that PS4 reached 80 million yet. They never missed a 10 million milestone, and i highly doubt they'll miss this one.
Because of that, PS4 has sold less than 6.4 million in 2018.

Now, it could be possible if they delayed the announcement for the E3, like they did last year, but E3 is over so if they didn't annunced it already, my guess is that PS4 is still under 80 million.

I think it's really close to that tho and is really a matter of days until Sony annunce it.
 
Nov 23, 2017
6,845
PS4 sold 7 million units from January to half of June 2017.

By the end of 2017, PS4 was at 73.6 million sold, and Sony has not annunced that PS4 reached 80 million yet. They never missed a 10 million milestone, and i highly doubt they'll miss this one.
Because of that, PS4 has sold less than 6.4 million in 2018.

Now, it could be possible if they delayed the announcement for the E3, like they did last year, but E3 is over so if they didn't annunced it already, my guess is that PS4 is still under 80 million.

I think it's really close to that tho and is really a matter of days until Sony annunce it.
im sure they said 79M last week on the statement about Fortenite Account locking debacle