Good thing Smash has powerful legs. Sakurai knows to never skip leg day. Can carry for a long time without slowing down.
-
Ever wanted an RSS feed of all your favorite gaming news sites? Go check out our new Gaming Headlines feed! Read more about it here.
-
We have made minor adjustments to how the search bar works on ResetEra. You can read about the changes here.
Media Create Sales: Week 1, 2019 (Dec 31 - Jan 06)
- Thread starter Chris1964
- Start date
Good thing Smash has powerful legs. Sakurai knows to never skip leg day. Can carry for a long time without slowing down.
Its plenty crowded when a lot of these games are GaaS - and a lot of the audience pick one and play it basically all year. They can't all be a success. We have even see CoD Vs Battlefield result in one seriously under performing. Titanfall 2 completely bombed due to over crowding. Prey totally bombed because of overcrowding / saturation. Of course this is getting off topic anyway but I am still surprised that we haven't seen more of a shift from some studios. Maybe we will see that this year anyway now the Switch has had two + years of incredible sales
I am confused, isn't ps2 ltd like 22M? These yearly sales don't add up to that number.
Smash continuing its momentum.
Super Mario party getting ever closer to a million.
Dragon quest builders 2 charting well for both platforms.
Go vacation getting a nice bump, and evergreens filling out the rest of the chart.
Ps4 and switch hardware seeing a nice rise in sales from new years celebrations, and above the previous year is good to see.
Good week with healthy sales.
Super Mario party getting ever closer to a million.
Dragon quest builders 2 charting well for both platforms.
Go vacation getting a nice bump, and evergreens filling out the rest of the chart.
Ps4 and switch hardware seeing a nice rise in sales from new years celebrations, and above the previous year is good to see.
Good week with healthy sales.
I said way back when the DLC returned they could turn the Master Sword challenges into a sort of battle royale. I'm not sure how the engine would handle multiple human players, but it has all the mechanics for a BR gameif single player Zelda does this well, open world Zelda with multiplayer would do bonkers
Hardware Sales YTD vs Last Year YTD
Code:+----+-----------+-----------+-----------+-----------+-----------+ | | Switch 2017 | Switch 2018 | Difference| |Week| Weekly | YTD | Weekly | YTD |2018 - 2017| +----+-----------+-----------+-----------+-----------+-----------+ | 43 | 126.701 | 2.020.984 | 37.855 | 1.990.506 | -30.478 | | 44 | 64.387 | 2.085.371 | 43.747 | 2.034.253 | -51.118 | | 45 | 79.958 | 2.165.329 | 54.235 | 2.088.488 | -76.841 | | 46 | 86.999 | 2.252.328 | 200.850 | 2.289.338 | 37.010 | | 47 | 145.200 | 2.397.528 | 108.375 | 2.397.713 | 185 | | 48 | 124.770 | 2.522.298 | 120.546 | 2.518.259 | -4.039 | | 49 | 164.908 | 2.687.206 | 281.222 | 2.799.481 | 112.275 | | 50 | 221.210 | 2.908.416 | 281.213 | 3.080.694 | 172.278 | | 51 | 269.684 | 3.178.100 | 278.701 | 3.359.395 | 181.295 | | 52 | 134.519 | 3.312.619 | 174.770 | 3.534.165 | 221.546 | +----+-----------+-----------+-----------+-----------+-----------+
Code:+----+-----------+-----------+-----------+-----------+-----------+ | | PS4 2017 | PS4 2018 | Difference| |Week| Weekly | YTD | Weekly | YTD |2018 - 2017| +----+-----------+-----------+-----------+-----------+-----------+ | 43 | 24.653 | 1.384.697 | 20.639 | 1.325.534 | -59.163 | | 44 | 28.823 | 1.413.520 | 17.540 | 1.343.074 | -70.446 | | 45 | 26.058 | 1.439.578 | 16.081 | 1.359.155 | -80.423 | | 46 | 26.302 | 1.465.880 | 17.789 | 1.376.944 | -88.936 | | 47 | 26.909 | 1.492.789 | 24.364 | 1.401.308 | -91.481 | | 48 | 33.407 | 1.526.196 | 20.410 | 1.421.718 | -104.478 | | 49 | 85.687 | 1.611.883 | 74.496 | 1.496.214 | -115.669 | | 50 | 62.965 | 1.674.848 | 81.594 | 1.577.808 | -97.040 | | 51 | 67.257 | 1.742.105 | 75.793 | 1.653.601 | -88.504 | | 52 | 49.631 | 1.791.736 | 72.430 | 1.726.031 | -65.705 | +----+-----------+-----------+-----------+-----------+-----------+
Switch vs Wii
Weekly
Accumulated
Code:------------------------------------------------------------- | | Nintendo Wii | Nintendo Switch | Difference | | | (2006/12/02) | (2017/03/03) | | |----|---------|---------|---------|---------|--------------| |Week| Weekly | LTD | Weekly | LTD | NSW - Wii | |----|---------|---------|---------|---------|--------------| | 95 | 29.921|6.780.003| 278.701|6.672.014| -107.989| | 96 | 26.314|6.806.297| 174.770|6.846.784| 40.487| | 97 | 25.330|6.831.627| 199.982|7.046.766| 215.139| | 98 | 22.877|6.854.504| | | | | 99 | 26.024|6.880.528| | | | | 100| 24.292|6.904.820| | | | | 101| 23.123|6.927.943| | | | | 102| 24.726|6.952.669| | | | | 103| 26.787|6.979.456| | | | | 104| 35.298|7.014.754| | | | |----|---------|---------|---------|---------|--------------|
PS4 vs PS3
Code:------------------------------------------------------------- | | PlayStation 3 | PlayStation 4 | Difference | | | (2006/11/11) | (2014/02/22) | | |----|---------|---------|---------|---------|--------------| |Week| Weekly | LTD | Weekly | LTD | PS4 - PS3 | |----|---------|---------|---------|---------|--------------| | 253| 64.786|7.004.790| 75.793|7.546.004| 541.214| | 254| 36.061|7.040.851| 72.430|7.618.434| 577.583| | 255| 39.452|7.080.303| 117.182|7.735.616| 655.313| | 256| 30.362|7.110.665| | | | | 257| 29.435|7.140.100| | | | | 258| 28.596|7.168.696| | | | | 259| 23.897|7.192.593| | | | | 260| 25.217|7.217.810| | | | | 261| 26.966|7.244.776| | | | | 261| 22.919|7.267.695| | | | |----|---------|---------|---------|---------|--------------|
Super Smash Bros comparison
Code:+----+-----------+-----------+-----------+-----------+-----------+ | |Smash Bros For 3DS+WiiU| Smash Bros Ultimate | Difference| |Week| Weekly | YTD | Weekly | YTD | SSBU - For| +----+-----------+-----------+-----------+-----------+-----------+ | 1 | 1.172.171 | 1.172.171 | 1.220.535 | 1.220.535 | 48.364 | | 2 | 400.369 | 1.572.540 | 406.617 | 1.627.152 | 54.612 | | 3 | 188.738 | 1.761.278 | 452.617 | 2.079.769 | 318.491 | | 4 | 191.395 | 1.952.673 | 275.417 | 2.355.186 | 402.513 | | 5 | 134.400 | 2.087.073 | 258.974 | 2.614.160 | 527.087 | | 6 | 71.959 | 2.159.032 | | | | | 7 | 49.483 | 2.208.515 | | | | | 8 | 38.156 | 2.246.671 | | | | | 9 | 30.907 | 2.277.578 | | | | | 10 | 24.406 | 2.301.984 | | | | +----+-----------+-----------+-----------+-----------+-----------+
Mario Party comparison
Minecraft Switch vs Minecraft Vita Edition
Code:------------------------------------------------------------- | | Minecraft Vita | Minecraft Switch | Difference | | | [PSV] (2015/03/19)| [NSW] (2018/06/21)| | |----|---------|---------|---------|---------|--------------| |Week| Weekly | LTD | Weekly | LTD | Switch – Vita| |----|---------|---------|---------|---------|--------------| | 27 | 8.244| 332.663| 48.359| 479.769| 147.106| | 28 | 10.770| 343.434| 27.140| 506.909| 163.475| | 29 | 8.164| 351.598| 42.845| 549.754| 198.156| | 30 | 7.574| 359.173| | | | | 31 | 8.544| 367.716| | | | | 32 | 7.547| 375.264| | | | | 33 | 7.155| 382.419| | | | | 34 | 7.847| 390.266| | | | | 35 | 6.880| 397.146| | | | | 36 | 7.182| 404.329| | | | |----|---------|---------|---------|---------|--------------|
Call of Duty: Black Ops IIII vs World War II
As always, thanks for these! The Mario Party comparison graph is insane!
OP
OP
It's not possible shipments are so low, increase them by 50%.
No, they're also competing against RAinbow 6 Siege, Ghost Recon Wildlands, Battlefield V, Gears 4, BO4, Fortnite, PUBG, CS:GO, TF2 and so on.
I'd guess like 10-12 maybe. Us had over 3 Million in 11 days, should be somwhere around 5+ now, add Japan around 3 Million with digital (maybe slightly less) and you have 8 Million without 30-40% of the world counted.
I know that's probably the smart choice, but I'm not too enthusiastic about them ruining* Zelda.if single player Zelda does this well, open world Zelda with multiplayer would do bonkers
Single player games made into multiplayer are always weaker.
*hyperbole
Likelihood that these games are going to be PS5 exclusive is rather low considering the development costs and that they are already established as multiplattform franchises.
PC. PS5. Xbox are more or less a given and if the can make it somehow work on Switch Pro/Switch 2 or whatever will be current 3-4 years from now they will too - hell they are gonna jump on the streaming bandwagon if its the only way to these titles on Switch.
According to the historical data from Nintendo in the US and rest of the world the DS was selling better each year regarding the former year, until it peaked in 2010. Even in 2011 it was selling very good before the 3DS release, which is still impressive for a 7 year console.
maybe next year's Zelda is a stand-alone multiplayer game. it's not like they need more evidence that multi-only games can sell well
OP
OP
Week 2 estimates
New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe - 100-150k (closer to 150k?)
Super Smash Bros. Ultimate - 100-150k (closer to 100k)
Tales of Vesperia: Definitive Edition - 50-100k (closer to 100k)
Super Mario Party - 50-100k (closer to 50k)
New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe - 100-150k (closer to 150k?)
Super Smash Bros. Ultimate - 100-150k (closer to 100k)
Tales of Vesperia: Definitive Edition - 50-100k (closer to 100k)
Super Mario Party - 50-100k (closer to 50k)
Last edited:
I would just like to chime in to say that I think 2019 and 2020 will be huge years for Nintendo in Japan – bigger than what we have seen in 2017 or 2018.
Likely this year, Nintendo will move to offer a cheaper and more scalable (manufacturing cost/MSRP) alternative to its hardware. As in DS Lite.
Pokémon and Animal Crossing (and Yokai Watch + Dragon Quest XI S – to lesser degrees yet still very notable) are all announced and very likely to release this year to exactly the type of demographic that Nintendo historically has targeted with lower-priced hardware.
Young Switch owners will also be able to tap into a large back catalogue of high quality evergreen titles, which will increase the value proposition of the Switch.
The combination of being able to produce a larger amount of hardware units at a more affordable price to the company and its consumers, along with having the exact catalogue of titles that have vast appeal to the Game Boy/DS demographic, could lead to the most exciting year for the Switch yet.
We are also long overdue for a new Monster Hunter Portable, which has historically been a multimillion seller on Nintendo platforms.
As a nice bonus, it will have been 2 - 3 years since Koizumi san (Mario Odyssey producer), Konno san (Mario Kart producer), and Fujibayashi san (Zelda BoTW director) have been credited in major projects. Nogami san (Splatoon 2 producer) also has not been active other than overseeing Splatoon 2 DLC and content updates. It is highly likely that these names will be associated with some major upcoming titles – some of which could be announced this year.
I don't think we will again see DS numbers, but I do think Switch will reach beyond that of 3DS.
I'll be happy to eat crow come January 2020 and again in January 2021.
Likely this year, Nintendo will move to offer a cheaper and more scalable (manufacturing cost/MSRP) alternative to its hardware. As in DS Lite.
Pokémon and Animal Crossing (and Yokai Watch + Dragon Quest XI S – to lesser degrees yet still very notable) are all announced and very likely to release this year to exactly the type of demographic that Nintendo historically has targeted with lower-priced hardware.
Young Switch owners will also be able to tap into a large back catalogue of high quality evergreen titles, which will increase the value proposition of the Switch.
The combination of being able to produce a larger amount of hardware units at a more affordable price to the company and its consumers, along with having the exact catalogue of titles that have vast appeal to the Game Boy/DS demographic, could lead to the most exciting year for the Switch yet.
We are also long overdue for a new Monster Hunter Portable, which has historically been a multimillion seller on Nintendo platforms.
As a nice bonus, it will have been 2 - 3 years since Koizumi san (Mario Odyssey producer), Konno san (Mario Kart producer), and Fujibayashi san (Zelda BoTW director) have been credited in major projects. Nogami san (Splatoon 2 producer) also has not been active other than overseeing Splatoon 2 DLC and content updates. It is highly likely that these names will be associated with some major upcoming titles – some of which could be announced this year.
I don't think we will again see DS numbers, but I do think Switch will reach beyond that of 3DS.
I'll be happy to eat crow come January 2020 and again in January 2021.
While probably a bit of an undersell, it's fair to say that ALBW could have done better WW. If you compare it to OoT3D and MM3D, it sold significantly less than the former and slightly more than the latter. Probably not the best result for a new game.
OP
OP
None of those titles you mentioned will make even a small ripple in terms of sales.
I think it's more ridiculous that the game didn't sell 3M already, judging by its quality. But Japan has a taste of its own I guess.
3 discs!
Switch also costs twice as much as DS and 3DS. Comparisons must consider this aspect.
Also worth noticing that many people bought BOTH the 3DS and the Wii U version so Ultimate is really attracting a lot of customers.
Smash sales would be again pretty high.
Vesperia 30-35k Switch 60-65k PS4?
That would be fairly middle of the road for that side of the franchise, although I'm assuming this is a rhetorical question on your part. I don't think the result for ALBW was particularly disappointing, but perhaps the Nintendo may question why they are bothering with the top down entries at some point, particularly if the next entry doesn't see some significant growth. Clearly the 3D entries have a higher ceiling whether they be OoT or BotW styled games.
I don't even think they will release a 2D Zelda unless its a multiplayer game or a 3DS project that is moved to Switch.
3DS was also quite weird. The panic price drop make the sales.curve look more like a roller coaster with a steep climb and drop off. Rather than seeing high sales later in life it had it's best year early on
The Switch is not in the same trajectory and sales.will keep rising for a few more years as price comes down and more games are released.
The Switch is not in the same trajectory and sales.will keep rising for a few more years as price comes down and more games are released.
Yeah they might go back and forth for a bit before the Switch pulls ahead for good.
OP
OP
Looking ahead, the Switch should stay in the lead comfortably.
Sales trajectories are heavily affected by price. Cheaper platforms tend to peak earlier than more expensive platforms or, at least, to have a smoother sales distribution across years.
Then there are very peculiar cases like Game Boy, which sold a lot during the first years and then it had another boom mid-life thanks to Pokémon.
OP
OP
ALBW will top 4m, maybe it's already there since last update is from December 2017. Even if Switch entry remains at same levels these are sales that can't be ignored for something that has a small budget comparing to a 3d Zelda.
Those would be really nice week 2 sales. Smash in particular is impressive. SMP will be within spitting distance of 1M next week.
IIRC according to Nintendo break even sales levels for Breath of the Wild were around 2m.
Thanks for this! These numbers are super interesting to me!
Show's how much the market has contracted without one or two cheap successful handhelds.
And amazing how 2006-8 was with Wii, NDS, PSP, PS3 and PS2. Even the 360 sold more than the Vita now and half of where the 3DS is at this point in it's live.
Switch and I think PS4 are more expensive than their predecessors, but I doubt they can lift this heavy. Japan needs a shot in the arm and a successful new anything to complement the NSW and PS4.
Of course, I think that's completely true, and certainly I wouldn't be surprised if a Switch game sold even more than ALBW. I do wonder if they've considered, or experimented with, some kind of budget 3D entry though. Would be an interesting avenue for Grezzo, given their experience on the remakes.
That's a very good point ! So we should expect a pricecut this year in order to boost sales.
I won't be surprised we get a handheld sku at some point. It will be cheaper and Japan loves those handhelds.
Oh, the Wii's upcoming launch aligned holiday performance wasn't very strong then?
Awesome evergreens
So, how confident are we that Nintendo will meet their 30milli goal? They've got until the end of March right?
So, how confident are we that Nintendo will meet their 30milli goal? They've got until the end of March right?