With the holidays and the promotion ending, sales need to go down.I'm not gonna lie, going from 117k to sub 20k would be really disappointing especially with 3 good games coming in January. AC7, RE2 and KH3.
Promotion likely happened for PS4 hitting internal targets since sales had dropped to very low levels before December. If it did its work and from the moment it didn't had any serious impact at selling software there was no reason to continue.
Smash might run away with it this gen unless there's a last good Splatoon DLC that helps it maintain its top spot.
I'm not gonna lie, going from 117k to sub 20k would be really disappointing especially with 3 good games coming in January. AC7, RE2 and KH3.
I don't think there has ever been a doubt. Splatoon is big, sure, but it's a relatively new IP and has already achieved so much. Smash has been one of the biggest franchises in Japan since forever. In fact, it's more surprising that Splatoon is so high already and can even battle with Smash.
Numbers seem outdatedWii U
01. Splatoon <ACT> (Nintendo) {2015.05.28} - 1.536.642
02. Mario Kart 8 <RCE> (Nintendo) {2014.05.29} - 1.303.544
03. Super Mario Maker <ACT> (Nintendo) {2015.09.10} - 960.541
04. Super Smash Bros. for Wii U <FTG> (Nintendo) {2014.12.06} - 818.544
05. Super Mario 3D World <ACT> (Nintendo) {2013.11.21} - 742.024
06. New Super Mario Bros. U <ACT> (Nintendo) {2012.12.08} - 646.199
I'm sure it will be a big drop i'd just like to think there are more then 20k uniformed consumers out there.With the kind of deal they were running, I would be suprised if many people chose week 2 to pick up a PS4 without any deal, instead of week 1 with New Year's money and deal.
Next Switch comparison will be with PS2.
I will start it in March, until then I will keep Wii. It's not time for 3DS yet.
I don't necessarily mean KH3 since that's right around the corner. But for example, whatever FFXVI winds up being I think SE almost has no choice but to consider Switch in that equation. Capcom with Resident Evil 8, etc.
I doubt that.
ff16 might not even be this gen.
Even if it was, I'd put money on it not being on switch
I doubt that.
ff16 might not even be this gen.
Even if it was, I'd put money on it not being on switch
world of mouth, which is presumably carrying sales nearly 2 years after the fact, has to be quite good which means people like it.not everybody who bought BotW would like the game I assume.
so the sale of next entry of 3D Zelda (in Japan) is still unpredictable.
KH3 is gonna do like 10m worldwide so Square will probably ignore it fine.
You're talking about RE2 and KH3? I definitely see those two keep the PS4 ahead of Switch for a while. Maybe Switch will surpass it as we're near the holidays.
Regarding the Final Fantasy ports, Japan will be getting them slightly earlier, namely the Thursday before the Western release.
That's April 11 for X/X-2. and April 25 for The Zodiac Age.
Source: https://www.famitsu.com/news/201901/11170439.html
There's not enough time for another new 3D Zelda game (be it in the style of BOTW or the more traditional style) to be released during the Switch's life time (hell it basically skipped the Wii U entirely!)
The evil has been defeated in Japan.Super Smash Bros. Ultimate # <FTG> (Nintendo) {2018.12.07} - 2.614.160
Super Smash Bros. Brawl <FTG> (Nintendo) {2008.01.31} - 2.509.467
https://www.m-create.com/ranking/
M-Create updated with the ranking for sales between December 24th to December 30th, 2018 (Week 52).
... Except when you look at it and see it's actually the chart for Week 1, 2019
What? KH3 will not sell half of that. The series is just not nearly as big anymore than it was 2006, and even than it only managed to sell 4-5 million.
KH2 had even localized voices in europe, KH3 has only subtitles a big no-go for the kids audience this game is aimed at.
Doesn't say. But it seems the Switch versions are the only ones getting a physical release in Japan, with the Xbox version regulated to Download-only.
The X/X-2 pack is 6,800 yen for the physical, 6,080 for the download. The Zodiac Age is 5,800 yen for both physical and download.
I'm not sure I share your feeling, but I'd like your feeling to come true. We've waited so long for Kingdom Hearts 3. It'd be a shame if it ends up underperforming.This doesn't mean much to be honest, who thought that a Zelda game and a Monster Hunter game will outsell the first main Final Fantasy for a new generation by millions of units?
It is only a feeling, but I think Kingdom Hearts 3 is going to be a massive success worldwide. I think it will have a strong word of mouth and will sell very well.
and word of mouth is much more effective those days than PS2 days.
---------------------------------------------------------------
| |Total Software 2017 |Total Software 2018 | Difference |
| | (2017/01/02)~ | (2018/01/01)~ | |
| | ~(2017/12/31) | ~(2018/12/30) | |
|----|---------|----------|---------|----------|--------------|
|Week| Weekly | YTD | Weekly | YTD | YTD18 - YTD17|
|----|---------|----------|---------|----------|--------------|
| 43| 956.000|23.599.000| 420.000|20.030.000| -3.569.000|
| 44| 678.000|24.277.000| 276.000|20.306.000| -3.971.000|
| 45| 429.000|24.706.000| 259.000|20.565.000| -4.141.000|
| 46|1.345.000|26.051.000| 959.000|21.524.000| -4.527.000|
| 47| 616.000|26.667.000| 602.000|22.126.000| -4.541.000|
| 48| 692.000|27.359.000| 503.000|22.629.000| -4.730.000|
| 49| 974.000|28.333.000|1.731.000|24.360.000| -3.973.000|
| 50|1.205.000|29.538.000|1.364.000|25.724.000| -3.814.000|
| 51|1.761.000|31.299.000|1.703.000|27.427.000| -3.872.000|
| 52| 944.000|32.243.000|1.026.000|28.453.000| -3.790.000|
|----|---------|----------|---------|----------|--------------|
+-------+------------+------------+------------+------------+------------+-------------+
|System | This Month | Last Month | Last Year | YTD | Last YTD | LTD |
+-------+------------+------------+------------+------------+------------+-------------+
| NSW | 1.158.743 | 387.655 | 993.318 | 3.482.388 | 3.407.158 | 6.889.546 |
| PS4 # | 320.119 | 79.172 | 312.665 | 1.695.227 | 1.935.247 | 7.552.090 |
| 3DS # | 76.159 | 26.098 | 256.136 | 566.420 | 1.827.131 | 24.304.964 |
| PSV # | 12.696 | 7.143 | 45.655 | 181.728 | 396.207 | 5.825.354 |
| XB1 # | 1.708 | 1.582 | 6.069 | 15.339 | 14.644 | 102.931 |
+-------+------------+------------+------------+------------+------------+-------------+
| ALL | 1.569.425 | 501.650 | 1.614.400 | 5.943.106 | 7.618.598 | 47.978.444 |
+-------+------------+------------+------------+------------+------------+-------------+
| XB1 X | 1.321 | 1.417 | 497 | 11.153 | 2.303 | 13.456 |
| XB1 S | 387 | 165 | 5.572 | 4.186 | 7.559 | 17.473 |
|PS4 Pro| 80.644 | 36.698 | 94.959 | 457.646 | 397.894 | 972.590 |
| PS4 | 239.475 | 42.474 | 217.706 | 1.237.581 | 1.537.353 | 6.579.500 |
| PSV | 12.696 | 7.143 | 45.655 | 181.728 | 396.207 | 5.825.354 |
|n-2DSLL| 50.919 | 16.464 | 161.364 | 356.693 | 587.551 | 944.244 |
| 2DS | 1.882 | 1.017 | 10.227 | 21.928 | 265.543 | 584.618 |
| n-3DS | 23.358 | 8.617 | 84.545 | 187.799 | 974.037 | 5.855.825 |
+-------+------------+------------+------------+------------+------------+-------------+
This doesn't mean much to be honest, who thought that a Zelda game and a Monster Hunter game will outsell the first main Final Fantasy for a new generation by millions of units?
It is only a feeling, but I think Kingdom Hearts 3 is going to be a massive success worldwide. I think it will have a strong word of mouth and will sell very well.
and word of mouth is much more effective those days than PS2 days.
Breath of the Wild's retail price is well above ALBW's, especially in Japan and Europe; where it is significantly more expensive than any other Switch title (the US got the game for cheaper than any other region by quite a margin).
That no doubt helped with that breakeven point.
It also took around 5-6 years to make. There's not enough time for another new 3D Zelda game (be it in the style of BOTW or the more traditional style) to be released during the Switch's life time (hell it basically skipped the Wii U entirely!)
So there is certainly a cause for having a smaller scale title in the vein of ALBW on Switch.
I'm incredibly excited for KH3, been faunching at the bit for months now as the release date approaches. That said, I don't believe for a second that game is going to manage to tie everything up neatly in a bow. That's fine I suppose, I'm not expecting much closure from that story. I'm just here for the spectacle.But KH3 as the closing game to the current arc is bound to disappoint people.
It's not easy to tie down everything in the mess that is KH story.
While true. I do agree with the other poster that perhaps Mario Party could shift into a once a system title. They could support it with a year of paid DLC support, to help with legs as well as make more money off the title. It would likely have strong legs and sell similar to other Nintendo evergreens.Much better than what Super Mario Party is doing everywhere isn't possible.
It will be over 5m last quarter.
31./00. [NSW] 1-2-Switch <ETC> (Nintendo) {2017.03.03} (¥4.980)
37./00. [NSW] Arms <FTG> (Nintendo) {2017.06.16} (¥5.980)
47./00. [NSW] Donkey Kong Country: Tropical Freeze <ACT> (Nintendo) {2018.05.03} (¥5.980)
50./00. [NSW] Pokken Tournament DX <FTG> (Pokemon Co.) {2017.09.22} (¥5.980)
500k > 1, 2 Switch > ARMS > 400K1,2.. Switch should be above 500k. ARMS too (but we knew that IIRC).
What's annoying is saying theyre dumb for not putting ff16 or dmcV, etc on itI dunno why anyone thinks the Switch would be considered for those games. Is it delusion or just not paying attention?