Media Create Sales: Week 13, 2019 (Mar 25 - Mar 31)

skullwaker · Apr 3, 2019

Denman said:
I feel like if Wooly World could do the ~4 million ltd. worldwide, Crafted World can atleast match that. There was less competition on Wii U though.

Where is that WW figure from?

Myriotes · Apr 3, 2019

skullwaker said:
Where is that WW figure from?

For the WiiU version, the only info I can find is 1.55 million for Woolly World as of December 2017, see Celine's thread. The WiiU version is also below Mario Party 10 (2.19 million) as of September 30, 2018.

On 3DS, it did not sell a million WW in the 1.5 months from release until the end of the FY ending 03/2017, see Nintendo IR.

GameDataLibrary has the following:

Code:

[3DS] 152    Poochy & Yoshi's Woolly World    52.758    149.758    144.755    5.003    19/01/2017
[WIU]  29    Yoshi's Woolly World             33.821    101.875     96.685    5.190    16/07/2015

The only possible explanation (I can think of) for his 4 million figure is that he assumed a similar WW-LTD multiplier for the 3DS version and thus ended up with 150 * (1550/100) ~ 2.325 million for it.

Gartooth · Apr 3, 2019

Yeah there's no way Woolly World hit ~4 million. The Wii U version is at 1.55m and the 3DS version was unlikely to outsell Yoshi's New Island which was just under 2m sales.

hiska-kun · Apr 3, 2019

The 3DS version is not in Celine's thread (that has all first party million sellers until December 2017), so it's safe to say it didn't sold 1 million worldwide. (Sales in 2018 are probably low).

Deleted member 42484 · Apr 3, 2019

skullwaker said:
Where is that WW figure from?

Wow, my bad I was way off, last reported sales was 1.3m WW.

skullwaker · Apr 3, 2019

I think combined the Wii U and 3DS versions of Woolly World sold roughly 2-2.5m.

I can see Crafted World surpassing that handily. Kirby has shown growth on Switch and I think Yoshi will follow the same pattern, even if its sales in Japan are under expectations (which we still have to see how its legs fare to determine that).

Deleted member 2793 · Apr 3, 2019

skullwaker said:
I think combined the Wii U and 3DS versions of Woolly World sold roughly 2-2.5m.

I can see Crafted World surpassing that handily. Kirby has shown growth on Switch and I think Yoshi will follow the same pattern, even if its sales in Japan are under expectations (which we still have to see how its legs fare to determine that).

I feel like next few weeks drops can be decent, but Mario Maker 2 will ruin its legs and that game is coming soon.

skullwaker · Apr 3, 2019

Heartskips said:
I feel like next few weeks drops can be decent, but Mario Maker 2 will ruin its legs and that game is coming soon.

People keep saying that Mario Maker 2 is going to ruin several games legs and really I don't see that happening. It's not like it's launching next week. It's at least two months away, and honestly by then I don't think it will matter that much. The games can sell in parallel, as will NSMBUDX.

Hero of Legend · Apr 3, 2019

https://www.famitsu.com/ranking/game-sales/

CeroMiedo · Apr 3, 2019

Hero of Legend said:
https://www.famitsu.com/ranking/game-sales/

Looking at that sell through ratio, no wonder why they wanted yoshi to be a long term player

Deleted member 2793 · Apr 3, 2019

Switch DIABOLIK LOVERS CHAOS LINEAGE 3,161

Is this the best debut for an otome game on Switch?

hiska-kun · Apr 4, 2019

Media Create Sales: Week 13, 2019 (Mar 25 - Mar 31)

01./00. [NSW] Yoshi's Crafted World <ACT> (Nintendo) {2019.03.29} (¥5.980) - 53.000 / NEW
02./01. [PS4] Sekiro: Shadows Die Twice <ADV> (From Software) {2019.03.22} (¥7.600) - 45.000 / 202.000
03./07. [NSW] Super Smash Bros. Ultimate # <FTG> (Nintendo) {2018.12.07} (¥7.200) - 20.000 / 2.994.000
04./08. [NSW] New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe <New Super Mario Bros. U \ New Super Luigi U> <ACT> (Nintendo) {2019.01.11} (¥5.980) - 17.000 / 548.000
05./00. [PS4] Winning Post 9 <SLG> (Koei Tecmo) {2019.03.28} (¥8.800) - 13.000 / NEW
06./12. [NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe <RCE> (Nintendo) {2017.04.28} (¥5.980) - 13.000 / 2.203.000
07./16. [NSW] Minecraft # <ADV> (Microsoft Game Studios) {2018.06.21} (¥3.600) - 10.000 / 660.000
08./02. [PS4] Super Robot Wars T # <SLG> (Bandai Namco Games) {2019.03.20} (¥8.600) - 10.000 / 98.000
09./14. [NSW] Pokemon: Let's Go, Pikachu! / Let's Go, Eevee! # <RPG> (Pokemon Co.) {2018.11.16} (¥5.980) - 10.000 / 1.557.000
10./15. [NSW] Super Mario Party # <ETC> (Nintendo) {2018.10.05} (¥5.980) - 10.000 / 1.074.000
11./18. [NSW] Splatoon 2 # <ACT> (Nintendo) {2017.07.21} (¥5.980)
12./09. [PS4] Devil May Cry 5 # <ACT> (Capcom) {2019.03.08} (¥6.990)
13./10. [PS4] Tom Clancy's The Division 2 # <RPG> (Ubisoft) {2019.03.15} (¥8.400)
14./17. [NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild # <ADV> (Nintendo) {2017.03.03} (¥6.980)
15./04. [NSW] Chocobo's Mystery Dungeon: Every Buddy! <RPG> (Square Enix) {2019.03.20} (¥4.800)
16./03. [NSW] Super Robot Wars T # <SLG> (Bandai Namco Games) {2019.03.20} (¥8.600)
17./00. [NSW] Winning Post 9 <SLG> (Koei Tecmo) {2019.03.28} (¥8.800)
18./04. [NSW] Chocobo's Mystery Dungeon: Every Buddy! <RPG> (Square Enix) {2019.03.20} (¥4.800)
19./21. [PS4] Kingdom Hearts III # <RPG> (Square Enix) {2019.01.25} (¥8.800)
20./00. [PS4] Call of Cthulhu <RPG> (Oizumi Amuzio) {2019.03.28} (¥7.400)
21./05. [PS4] Atelier Lulua: The Scion of Arland # <RPG> (Koei Tecmo) {2019.03.20} (¥7.800)
22./19. [PS4] One Piece: World Seeker <ADV> (Bandai Namco Games) {2019.03.14} (¥7.600)
23./22. [NSW] Kirby Star Allies <ACT> (Nintendo) {2018.03.16} (¥5.980)
24./23. [NSW] Super Mario Odyssey # <ACT> (Nintendo) {2017.10.27} (¥5.980)
25./24. [NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin: Drum 'n' Fun! <ACT> (Bandai Namco Games) {2018.07.19} (¥6.100)
26./25. [NSW] Dragon Quest Builders 2 <ADV> (Square Enix) {2018.12.20} (¥7.800)
27./33. [PS4] Anthem # <RPG> (Electronic Arts) {2019.02.22} (¥7.800)
28./13. [NSW] Atelier Lulua: The Scion of Arland # <RPG> (Koei Tecmo) {2019.03.20} (¥7.800)
29./28. [PS4] Battlefield V <ACT> (Electronic Arts) {2018.11.20} (¥7.800)
30./26. [3DS] Kirby's Extra Epic Yarn <ACT> (Nintendo) {2019.03.07} (¥4.980)

Top 30

NSW - 18
PS4 - 11
3DS - 1

https://www.gamer.ne.jp/news/201904040003/

Deleted member 2793 · Apr 4, 2019

MC with numbers a bit better. A bit sad no HW data.

MysticGon · Apr 4, 2019

Not bad for Sekiro. Hopefully legs stick around for 300k +.

Cantaim · Apr 4, 2019

Good enough week for software I guess. won't expect anything too grand till GW.

Chris1964 · Apr 4, 2019

Famitsu Sales: Week 13, 2019 (Mar 25 - Mar 31)

01./00. [NSW] Yoshi's Crafted World <ACT> (Nintendo) {2019.03.29} (¥5.980) - 50.007 / NEW <40-60%>
02./01. [PS4] Sekiro: Shadows Die Twice <ADV> (From Software) {2019.03.22} (¥7.600) - 44.139 / 194.860 <80-100%> (-71%)
03./07. [NSW] Super Smash Bros. Ultimate # <FTG> (Nintendo) {2018.12.07} (¥7.200) - 19.349 / 2.992.376 <80-100%> (-5%)
04./09. [NSW] New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe <New Super Mario Bros. U \ New Super Luigi U> <ACT> (Nintendo) {2019.01.11} (¥5.980) - 15.238 / 547.987 <80-100%> (-1%)
05./10. [NSW] Minecraft # <ADV> (Microsoft Game Studios) {2018.06.21} (¥3.600) - 13.667 / 707.567 <80-100%> (+9%)
06./00. [PS4] Winning Post 9 <SLG> (Koei Tecmo) {2019.03.28} (¥8.800) - 12.130 / NEW <60-80%>
07./13. [NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe <RCE> (Nintendo) {2017.04.28} (¥5.980) - 10.889 / 2.236.865 <80-100%> (+4%)
08./02. [PS4] Super Robot Wars T # <SLG> (Bandai Namco Games) {2019.03.20} (¥8.600) - 9.750 / 90.978 <80-100%> (-88%)
09./14. [NSW] Pokemon: Let's Go, Pikachu! / Let's Go, Eevee! # <RPG> (Pokemon Co.) {2018.11.16} (¥5.980) - 9.227 / 1.479.158 <80-100%> (-5%)
10./17. [NSW] Splatoon 2 # <ACT> (Nintendo) {2017.07.21} (¥5.980) - 8.706 / 3.020.833 <80-100%> (+14%)
11./08. [PS4] Tom Clancy's The Division 2 # <RPG> (Ubisoft) {2019.03.15} (¥8.400) - 8.213 / 89.011 <80-100%> (-47%)
12./18. [NSW] Super Mario Party # <ETC> (Nintendo) {2018.10.05} (¥5.980) - 7.598 / 985.245 <80-100%> (+14%)
13./11. [PS4] Devil May Cry 5 # <ACT> (Capcom) {2019.03.08} (¥6.990) - 6.533 / 169.353 <80-100%> (-40%)
14./19. [NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild # <ADV> (Nintendo) {2017.03.03} (¥6.980) - 5.740 / 1.275.039 <80-100%> (+0%)
15./04. [NSW] Chocobo's Mystery Dungeon: Every Buddy! <RPG> (Square Enix) {2019.03.20} (¥4.800) - 5.408 / 32.898 <80-100%> (-80%)
16./00. [NSW] Winning Post 9 <SLG> (Koei Tecmo) {2019.03.28} (¥8.800) - 5.171 / NEW <40-60%>
17./03. [NSW] Super Robot Wars T # <SLG> (Bandai Namco Games) {2019.03.20} (¥8.600) - 5.020 / 43.238 <80-100%> (-87%)
18./21. [PS4] Kingdom Hearts III # <RPG> (Square Enix) {2019.01.25} (¥8.800) - 4.684 / 809.824 <80-100%> (+13%)
19./06. [PS4] Chocobo's Mystery Dungeon: Every Buddy! <RPG> (Square Enix) {2019.03.20} (¥4.800) - 4.232 / 24.882 <80-100%> (-80%)
20./16. [PS4] One Piece: World Seeker <ADV> (Bandai Namco Games) {2019.03.14} (¥7.600) - 4.115 / 61.215 <80-100%> (-55%)
21./00. [PS4] Call of Cthulhu <ADV> (Oizumi Amuzio) {2019.03.28} (¥7.400) - 3.343 / NEW <60-80%>
22./00. [NSW] Diabolik Lovers: Chaos Lineage # <ADV> (Idea Factory) {2019.03.28} (¥6.300) - 3.161 / NEW <60-80%>
23./05. [PS4] Atelier Lulua: The Scion of Arland # <RPG> (Koei Tecmo) {2019.03.20} (¥7.800) - 3.090 / 25.268 <80-100%> (-86%)
24./25. [NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin: Drum 'n' Fun! <ACT> (Bandai Namco Games) {2018.07.19} (¥6.100) - 2.847 / 318.830 <80-100%> (+9%)
25./24. [NSW] Dragon Quest Builders 2 <ADV> (Square Enix) {2018.12.20} (¥7.800) - 2.688 / 262.479 <80-100%> (+1%)
26./22. [NSW] Super Mario Odyssey # <ACT> (Nintendo) {2017.10.27} (¥5.980) - 2.684 / 1.953.430 <80-100%> (-2%)
27./23. [NSW] Kirby Star Allies <ACT> (Nintendo) {2018.03.16} (¥5.980) - 2.654 / 707.928 <80-100%> (-1%)
28./27. [PS4] Battlefield V <ACT> (Electronic Arts) {2018.11.20} (¥7.800) - 2.269 / 170.202 <60-80%> (+10%)
29./00. [PS4] Memories Off: Innocent Fille for Dearest # <ADV> (5pb.) {2019.03.28} (¥7.800) - 2.094 / NEW <60-80%>
30./26. [3DS] Kirby's Extra Epic Yarn <ACT> (Nintendo) {2019.03.07} (¥4.980) - 1.952 / 16.503 <40-60%> (-11%)

Top 30

NSW - 17
PS4 - 12
3DS - 1

Mory Dunz · Apr 4, 2019

KH3 survive

SinCityAssassin · Apr 4, 2019

No hardware from MC eh? Goddamn it.

mariodk18 · Apr 4, 2019

Zalman said:
As much as I like Yoshi's Crafted World, I hope we see something completely different from Good-Feel next time.

Both HAL and Good Feel need to do anything but a 2D platformer. Switch has enough of those and won't need them much after MM2. They should honestly work together and either make the first 3D Kirby or do something completely new.

mariodk18 · Apr 4, 2019

Seems like all of Nintendo subsidiary partners or "2nd parties" have had only "decent" to "good" games on Switch. I was hoping they would follow in Nintendo's path and make the best game in their series, but that hasn't really been the case so far. Xenoblade 2, Mario Tennis Aces, Kirby Star Allies, etc. Hope their second outings can be great and not just fine, OK, or "good but with some flaws".

Deleted member 2793 · Apr 4, 2019

mariodk18 said:
Both HAL and Good Feel need to do anything but a 2D platformer. Switch has enough of those and won't need them much after MM2. They should honestly work together and either make the first 3D Kirby or do something completely new.

You can't just bruteforce two devs together without experience in 3D games and make one. They're both private companies not owned by Nintendo at all too.

HAL probably will make a Kirby game closer to the 3DS entries next and Good-Feel, I have no idea, but considering their experience with Castlevania, Goemon and Wario, could go for a more Metroidvania-like 2D game next. Always assumed they were a good fit for Metroid, but guess that's not going away from Mercury Steam.

mariodk18 · Apr 4, 2019

Heartskips said:
You can't just bruteforce two devs together without experience in 3D games and make one. They're both private companies not owned by Nintendo at all too.

HAL probably will make a Kirby game closer to the 3DS entries next and Good-Feel, I have no idea, but considering their experience with Castlevania, Goemon and Wario, could go for a more Metroidvania-like 2D game next. Always assumed they were a good fit for Metroid, but guess that's not going away from Mercury Steam.

Hopefully Good Feel can make a game that is challenging. The biggest complaints for their games seem to be a lack of difficulty, at least ever since Epic Yarn.

sfortunato · Apr 4, 2019

Nice to see Switch evergreens rising. Taiko is really performing well in the long run.

Chris1964 said:
14./19. [NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild # <ADV> (Nintendo) {2017.03.03} (¥6.980) - 5.740 / 1.275.039 <80-100%> (+0%)

Do we have an image when sales are literally flat? Because we have Link climbing (increasing sales) and gliding (slowly decreasing sales).

Nocturnal · Apr 4, 2019

TOP 10 2019 Switch Famitsu Q1:

Smash Ultimate - 631.721
New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe - 547.987
Pokemon: Let's Go, Pikachu! / Let's Go, Eevee! - 225.481
Super Mario Party - 220.392
Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 206.568
Minecraft - 182.522
Splatoon 2 - 146.463
Dragon Quest Builders 2 - 97.061
The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild - 95.347
Super Mario Odyssey - 53.224

TOTAL: 2.406.766

TOP 10 2018 Switch Famitsu Q1:

Splatoon 2 - 417.920
Kirby Star Allies- 372.882
Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 305.204
Super Mario Odyssey - 297.817
Zelda:Breath of the Wild - 192.209
Mario + Rabbids - 187.675
1-2 Switch - 71.591
Arms - 68.842
Dragon Ball: Xenoverse 2 for Nintendo Switch - 48.010
Dragon Quest Builders - 47.101

TOTAL: 2.009.251

Switch's top performing software is up around 20% Year over Year
NSMBUD is the only 2019 game to break 100K sales, last year two games Kirby & Mario+Rabbids were able to break this barrier but combined they sold just a little more than NSMBUD
I'd say that the real story is below the top 10, where we are likely looking at around 30% growth
Yoshi's opening is underwhelming but it should have no problem crawling to 200K and escaping niche status
There won't be anything performing as well as Labo Variety pack during Golden Week
The big games launched last year during Calendar Q2 were Labo Variety and Mario Tennis Aces
- Mario Tennis Aces <SPT> (Nintendo) {2018.06.22} (¥5.980) - 177.234
- Nintendo Labo Toy-Con 01: Variety Kit <EDU> (Nintendo) {2018.04.20} (¥6.980) - 177.194

JC317 · Apr 4, 2019

Nocturnal said:
NSMBUD is the only 2019 game to break 100K sales, last year two games Kirby & Mario+Rabbids were able to break this barrier but combined they sold less than NSMBUD

According to your numbers, Kirby & Mario+Rabbids (560,557) actually just barely outsold NSMBUD (547,987), or are you including some other version of NSMBUD?

Kerotan · Apr 4, 2019

fiendcode said:
Sales discussion continued from the other needlessly necroed thread.

These predictions aren't based on nothing. They're based on actual sales, trends and historical comparisons. As are most predictions in sales threads on this forum, I don't see much issue with that at all?

Although it's interesting you don't appear to take this position when it comes to Nintendo.

Is PS4 keeping up with PSP though? It's difficult finding exact data but PSP HW+SW grew over 35% YOY in FY2011 for example while PS4 is looking at a roughly 10% software decline already a year earlier aligned.

PS4 seems to be most closely aigning with PS3, even if slightly ahead. Digital sales are a good point but unfortunately we have no real credible insight into any degree of growth there. PS4 may not match PSP even with digital, we just don't know.

Hiska-kun had been doing a ps3 vs ps4 hardware comparison ever week in this thread. The ps4 was ahead by around 600k aligned 2 weeks ago. Ps4 is entering holiday season though and should cut the gap to about 350k. I'd imagine it will stay around there until the ps4 increases the gap again next holiday. It's going to beat the ps3 to 9m pretty easily.

Zedark · Apr 4, 2019

ShinobiBk said:
What's everyone estimate for Mario Maker?
I say 1mil FW is a guarantee. Especially if one or both of the revisions release alongside it. HW numbers will be insane

Bold prediction. SMM WiiU debuted at 143k and SMM 3DS at 160k. A 6x increase seems a bit too much. Maybe it can touch 500k FW if it does really well? Of course, it will have strong legs after that.

Nocturnal · Apr 4, 2019

Jason Chow said:
According to your numbers, Kirby & Mario+Rabbids (560,557) actually just barely outsold NSMBUD (547,987), or are you including some other version of NSMBUD?

I really shouldn't do math before I inject coffee into my system, you are totally right

Charamiwa · Apr 4, 2019

hiska-kun said:
Media Create Sales: Week 13, 2019 (Mar 25 - Mar 31)

01./00. [NSW] Yoshi's Crafted World <ACT> (Nintendo) {2019.03.29} (¥5.980) - 53.000 / NEW
02./01. [PS4] Sekiro: Shadows Die Twice <ADV> (From Software) {2019.03.22} (¥7.600) - 45.000 / 202.000
03./07. [NSW] Super Smash Bros. Ultimate # <FTG> (Nintendo) {2018.12.07} (¥7.200) - 20.000 / 2.994.000
04./08. [NSW] New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe <New Super Mario Bros. U \ New Super Luigi U> <ACT> (Nintendo) {2019.01.11} (¥5.980) - 17.000 / 548.000
05./00. [PS4] Winning Post 9 <SLG> (Koei Tecmo) {2019.03.28} (¥8.800) - 13.000 / NEW
06./12. [NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe <RCE> (Nintendo) {2017.04.28} (¥5.980) - 13.000 / 2.203.000
07./16. [NSW] Minecraft # <ADV> (Microsoft Game Studios) {2018.06.21} (¥3.600) - 10.000 / 660.000
08./02. [PS4] Super Robot Wars T # <SLG> (Bandai Namco Games) {2019.03.20} (¥8.600) - 10.000 / 98.000
09./14. [NSW] Pokemon: Let's Go, Pikachu! / Let's Go, Eevee! # <RPG> (Pokemon Co.) {2018.11.16} (¥5.980) - 10.000 / 1.557.000
10./15. [NSW] Super Mario Party # <ETC> (Nintendo) {2018.10.05} (¥5.980) - 10.000 / 1.074.000
11./18. [NSW] Splatoon 2 # <ACT> (Nintendo) {2017.07.21} (¥5.980)
12./09. [PS4] Devil May Cry 5 # <ACT> (Capcom) {2019.03.08} (¥6.990)
13./10. [PS4] Tom Clancy's The Division 2 # <RPG> (Ubisoft) {2019.03.15} (¥8.400)
14./17. [NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild # <ADV> (Nintendo) {2017.03.03} (¥6.980)
15./04. [NSW] Chocobo's Mystery Dungeon: Every Buddy! <RPG> (Square Enix) {2019.03.20} (¥4.800)
16./03. [NSW] Super Robot Wars T # <SLG> (Bandai Namco Games) {2019.03.20} (¥8.600)
17./00. [NSW] Winning Post 9 <SLG> (Koei Tecmo) {2019.03.28} (¥8.800)
18./04. [NSW] Chocobo's Mystery Dungeon: Every Buddy! <RPG> (Square Enix) {2019.03.20} (¥4.800)
19./21. [PS4] Kingdom Hearts III # <RPG> (Square Enix) {2019.01.25} (¥8.800)
20./00. [PS4] Call of Cthulhu <RPG> (Oizumi Amuzio) {2019.03.28} (¥7.400)
21./05. [PS4] Atelier Lulua: The Scion of Arland # <RPG> (Koei Tecmo) {2019.03.20} (¥7.800)
22./19. [PS4] One Piece: World Seeker <ADV> (Bandai Namco Games) {2019.03.14} (¥7.600)
23./22. [NSW] Kirby Star Allies <ACT> (Nintendo) {2018.03.16} (¥5.980)
24./23. [NSW] Super Mario Odyssey # <ACT> (Nintendo) {2017.10.27} (¥5.980)
25./24. [NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin: Drum 'n' Fun! <ACT> (Bandai Namco Games) {2018.07.19} (¥6.100)
26./25. [NSW] Dragon Quest Builders 2 <ADV> (Square Enix) {2018.12.20} (¥7.800)
27./33. [PS4] Anthem # <RPG> (Electronic Arts) {2019.02.22} (¥7.800)
28./13. [NSW] Atelier Lulua: The Scion of Arland # <RPG> (Koei Tecmo) {2019.03.20} (¥7.800)
29./28. [PS4] Battlefield V <ACT> (Electronic Arts) {2018.11.20} (¥7.800)
30./26. [3DS] Kirby's Extra Epic Yarn <ACT> (Nintendo) {2019.03.07} (¥4.980)

Top 30

NSW - 18
PS4 - 11
3DS - 1

https://www.gamer.ne.jp/news/201904040003/

Lite_Agent · Apr 4, 2019

SinCItyAssassin said:
No hardware from MC eh? Goddamn it.

Different source. Last batch of HW data will come from MC website tomorrow.

DarkDetective · Apr 4, 2019

Zedark said:
Bold prediction. SMM WiiU debuted at 143k and SMM 3DS at 160k. A 6x increase seems a bit too much. Maybe it can touch 500k FW if it does really well? Of course, it will have strong legs after that.

I personally expect the usual Nintendo curve for Super Mario Maker 2: a relatively low percentage of the lifetime sales will be made in the first week.
Even if SMM2 sells 'only' 200k copies FW, it'll still grow over the summer and beyond to 1M+ or perhaps even higher.

Lite_Agent · Apr 4, 2019

Dengeki report 55k for Yoshi, with 45% sell-through.

http://dengekionline.com/elem/000/001/905/1905283/

Memories Off Dearest actually sold the most on Switch, though by a few hundred copies.

Other games all sold poorly, but that was expected.

Mpl90 · Apr 4, 2019

http://dengekionline.com/elem/000/001/905/1905283/

Dengeki's Top 50 is now live.

Deleted member 37917 · Apr 4, 2019

Historically, which one is the most accurate between famitsu and dengeki?

DarkDetective · Apr 4, 2019

June 13 - Doraemon: Nobita no Bokujou Monogatari (Doraemon x Story of Seasons) (Bandai Namco Entertainment)
June 27 - La-Mulana 2 (Active Gaming Media)

* The otome visual novel Kaeru Batake DE Tsukamaete was announced by Takuyo for a 11 July release, but I'm not sure if this game will receive a physical retail release.

SWITCH: PHYSICAL GAMES

2019 (89 games)

JANUARY (8 games)
January 11 - New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe (Nintendo)
January 11 - Tales of Vesperia: Definitive Edition (Bandai Namco)
January 31 - Dragon Marked For Death (Inti Creates)
January 31 - Fate/EXTELLA LINK (Marvelous)
January 31 - Nelke & the Legendary Alchemists: Ateliers of the New World (Koei Temco)
January 31 - OPUS Collection (Flyhigh Works)
January 31 - ROBOTICS;NOTES DaSH (5pb.)
January 31 - Stardew Valley Collector's Edition (Oizumi Amuzio)

FEBRUARY (15 games)
February 07 - Blazblue Central Fiction Special Edition (Arc System Works)
February 14 - Kin'iro no Corda: Octave (Koei Tecmo)
February 14 - Nobunaga's Ambition: Taishi with Power-Up Kit (Koei Tecmo)
February 14 - Victor Vran Overkill Edition (3goo)
February 21 - Girls und Panzer: Dream Team Match DX (Bandai Namco)
February 21 - Gyakuten Saiban 123: Naruhodo Selection (Capcom)
February 28 - Darius: Cozmic Collection (Taito)
February 28 - Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of the Moon Exploration (FuRyu)
February 28 - Judgement 7: Our World is Ended (5pb.)
February 28 - My Girlfriend is a Mermaid!? (Cosen)
February 28 - Nora to Oujo to Noraneko Heart 2 (Piacci)
February 28 - Trials Rising (Ubisoft)
February 28 - Wizard's Symphony (Arc System Works)
February 28 - Yunohana SpRING! Mellow Times for Nintendo Switch (Idea Factory)
February 28 - Zoids Wild: King of Blast (Takara Tomy)

MARCH (17 games)
March 14 - Blade Arcus Rebellion from Shining (SEGA)
March 14 - Caligula Overdose (FuRyu)
March 14 - DESTINY CONNECT (Nippon Ichi Software)
March 14 - Harukanaru Toki no Naka de 6 DX (Koei Tecmo)
March 14 - Kono Yo no Hate de Koi wo Utau Shoujo YU-NO (5pb.)
March 14 - Samurai Warriors 4 DX (Koei Tecmo)
March 20 - Atelier Lulua: The Alchemist of Arland 4 (Koei Tecmo)
March 20 - Chocobo's Mystery Dungeon: Every Buddy! (Square Enix)
March 20 - Dead or Alive Xtreme 3: Scarlet (Koei Temco)
March 20 - Steins;Gate: Divergencies Assort (5pb.)
March 20 - Super Robot Taisen T (Bandai Namco)
March 28 - Diabolik Lovers: Chaos Lineage (Idea Factory)
March 28 - Memories Off: Innocent File for Dearest (5pb.)
March 28 - RemiLore (Pikii)
March 28 - The LEGO Movie 2 Videogame (WB Games)
March 28 - Winning Post 9 (Koei Tecmo)
March 29 - Yoshi's Crafted World (Nintendo)

APRIL (18 games)
April 04 - Super Dragon Ball Heroes: World Mission (Bandai Namco)
April 11 - Final Fantasy X/X-2 HD Remaster (Square Enix)
April 11 - THE Taikan! Sports Pack (D3 Publisher)
April 11 - THE Variety Game Daishuugou (D3 Publisher)
April 11 - V-Rally 4 (Oizumi Amuzio)
April 12 - Nintendo Labo Toy-Con 04: VR Kit (Nintendo)
April 18 - Langrisser I & II (Kadokawa Games)
April 18 - Taishou x Alice: All in One (Prototype)
April 25 - Cytus Alpha (Flyhigh Works)
April 25 - Dragon's Dogma: Dark Arisen (Capcom)
April 25 - Final Fantasy XII: The Zodiac Age (Square Enix)
April 25 - Murder Detective Jack the Ripper (Nippon Ichi Software)
April 25 - Piczle Puzzle Pack 3-in-1 (Rainy Frog)
April 25 - Project Highrise: Architect Edition (H2 Interactive)
April 25 - Reine des Fleurs for Nintendo Switch (Idea Factory)
April 25 - Starlink: Battle for Atlas (Ubisoft)
April 25 - Sword Art Online: Hollow Realization Deluxe Edition (Bandai Namco)
April 25 - Umihara Kawase Fresh! (Success)

MAY (11 games)
May 16 - Guilty Gear 20th Anniversary Pack (Arc System Works)
May 16 - Hanayaka Kana, Wa ga Ichizoku: Modern Nostalgie for Nintendo Switch (Idea Factory)
May 16 - RollerCoaster Tycoon Adventures (Oizumi Amuzio)
May 21 - Team Sonic Racing (SEGA)
May 23 - Assassin's Creed III Remastered (Ubisoft)
May 23 - Minna no Doubutsu Shogi (SilverStar Japan)
May 23 - Private Bellbara Academy: Rose of Versailles Re*imagination (Idea Factory)
May 23 - Resident Evil: Origins Collection (Capcom)
May 30 - Moujuutsukai to Ouji-sama: Flower & Snow for Nintendo Switch (Idea Factory)
May 30 - To All Of Mankind (Nippon Ichi Software)
May 30 - VA-11 Hall-A (Playism)

JUNE (8 games)
June 06 - Youkai Watch 4: Bokura wa Onaji Sora wo Miageteiru (Level-5)
June 13 - Doraemon: Nobita no Bokujou Monogatari (Doraemon x Story of Seasons) (Bandai Namco Entertainment)
June 20 - Hanayaka Kana, Wa ga Ichizoku: Gentou Nostalgie for Nintendo Switch (Idea Factory)
June 20 - Summer Pockets (Prototype)
June 27 - Clock Zero: Shuuen no Ichibyou Devote (Idea Factory)
June 27 - Jikkyou Powerful Pro Yakyuu (Konami)
June 27 - La-Mulana 2 (Active Gaming Media)
TBA - Super Mario Maker (Nintendo)

JULY (9 games)
July 04 - Attack on Titan 2: Final Battle (Koei Tecmo)
July 04 - Clannad (Prototype)
July 11 - Puru-Chara Friends: Hoppe-chan to Sanrio Characters (Neos)
July 18 - Tlicolity Eyes: Twinkle Showtime (Idea Factory)
July 18 - Touhou Genso Wanderer: Lotus Labyrinth (Unties)
July 25 - AI: The Somnium Files (Spike Chunsoft)
July 25 - Kill la Kill: IF (Arc System Works)
July 25 - Rune Factory 4 Special (Marvelous)
July 26 - Fire Emblem: Three Houses (Nintendo)

AUGUST (2 games)
August 22 - Katakoi Contrast: Collection of Branch (Idea Factory)
August 30 - Astral Chain (Nintendo)

SEPTEMBER (1 games)
September 19 - Jakou no Lyla: Trap of Musk (Idea Factory)

OCTOBER (0 games)

NOVEMBER (0 games)

DECEMBER (0 games)

Announced but not dated yet (may not be complete)

SPRING WINDOW
Spring 2019 - Ninjala (GungHo Online Entertainment)

SUMMER WINDOW
Summer 2019 - Daimon x Machina (Nintendo)
Summer 2019 - Marvel Ultimate Alliance 3: The Black Order (Nintendo)
Summer 2019 - Olympic Games Tokyo 2020 - The Official Video Game (SEGA)
Summer 2019 - PixArk (Spike Chunsoft)
Summer 2019 - Sword Art Online: Fatal Bullet Complete Edition (Bandai Namco Entertainment)

FALL WINDOW
Fall 2019 - Cardfight!! Vanguard EX (FuRyu)
Fall 2019 - Dragon Quest XI S: Echoes of an Elusive Age (Square Enix)
Fall 2019 - Pokémon Sword / Shield (The Pokémon Company)
Fall 2019 - The Alliance Alive HD Remaster (FuRyu)

WINTER WINDOW
Winter 2019 - Mario & Sonic at the Olympic Games Tokyo 2020 (SEGA)
Winter 2019 - Samurai Shodown (SNK)

TBA 2019 WINDOW
TBA 2019 - Animal Crossing (tentative title) (Nintendo)
TBA 2019 - Digimon Survive (Bandai Namco Entertainment)
TBA 2019 - Final Fantasy Crystal Chronicles Remastered (Square Enix)
TBA 2019 - Gensou Kissa Enchante (Idea Factory)
TBA 2019 - Inazuma Eleven: Ares no Tenbin (Level-5)
TBA 2019 - Luigi's Mansion 3 (tentative title) (Nintendo)
TBA 2019 - Omega Labyrinth Life (D3 Publisher)
TBA 2019 - Romancing SaGa 3 (Square Enix)
TBA 2019 - SD Gundam Generation Cross Rays (Bandai Namco Entertainment)
TBA 2019 - The Legend of Zelda: Link's Awakening (Nintendo)

TBA 2020 WINDOW
TBA 2020 - N1RV Ann-A (Playism)
TBA 2020 - Rune Factory 5 (Marvelous)
TBA 2020 - Shironeko New Project (tentative title) (Colopl)

TBA WINDOW
TBA - Amnesia for Nintendo Switch (Idea Factory)
TBA - Anonymous;Code (5pb.)
TBA - Bayonetta 3 (Nintendo)
TBA - Birushanah Senki: Genpeiden (Idea Factory)
TBA - Derby Stallion (tentative title) (Kadokawa Games)
TBA - Hakuoki Shinkai: Gekikage no Shou / Ginsei no Shou (Idea Factory)
TBA - Hyper Sports R (Konami)
TBA - LoverPretend (Idea Factory)
TBA - Mary Skelter 2 (Compile Heart)
TBA - Metroid Prime 4 (Nintendo)
TBA - Nil Admirari no Tenbin: Olympia Soiree (Idea Factory)
TBA - Ninja Box (Bandai Namco Entertainment)
TBA - Piofiore no Banchou: Ricordo (Idea Factory)
TBA - Sengoku Night Blood (Idea Factory)
TBA - Shin Megami Tensei V (Atlus)
TBA - Ushiro (Level-5)

Hero of Legend · Apr 4, 2019

Zoids Wild: King of Blast (Dengeki)

06./00. [NSW] Zoids Wild: King of Blast (Takara Tomy) {2019.02.28} - 10,763 / NEW
19./06. [NSW] Zoids Wild: King of Blast (Takara Tomy) {2019.02.28} - 2,688 / 13,451
39./19. [NSW] Zoids Wild: King of Blast (Takara Tomy) {2019.02.28} - 1,428 / 14,879
50./39. [NSW] Zoids Wild: King of Blast (Takara Tomy) {2019.02.28} - 1,012 / 15,891
44./50. [NSW] Zoids Wild: King of Blast (Takara Tomy) {2019.02.28} - 1,300 / 17,191

Not too shabby. It got a decent boost this week.

Arynio · Apr 4, 2019

Is Fitness Boxing out of the Top 50?

hiska-kun · Apr 4, 2019

So, do you think Yoshi managed to at least ship one million worldwide in its first week so it will appear in the Nintendo financials, or it will fail to archive it?

Limabean01 · Apr 4, 2019

In the past, Yoshi games have been weaker in japan, but then slightly more popular worldwide. Kirby managed over a million with a bit more time, I think Yoshi would hav a good chance to with shipments

DarkDetective · Apr 4, 2019

hiska-kun said:
So, do you think Yoshi managed to at least ship one million worldwide in its first week so it will appear in the Nintendo financials, or it will fail to archive it?

We'll get Spanish retail numbers tomorrow (Friday afternoon local time), which may give us a bit more information on what to expect from southern European countries, but right now, I'm leaning towards a no. I think it needs more time for that.

hiska-kun · Apr 4, 2019

DarkDetective said:
We'll get Spanish retail numbers tomorrow (Friday afternoon local time), which may give us a bit more information on what to expect from southern European countries, but right now, I'm leaning towards a no. I think it needs more time for that.

If it fails, then we might not have updated numbers for this game for a while, since a doubt it will ship an extra million the next FY either.

DarkDetective · Apr 4, 2019

hiska-kun said:
If it fails, then we might not have updated numbers for this game for a while, since a doubt it will ship an extra million the next FY either.

Well, I don't know how many weeks the first shipment from Nintendo usually covers, but I think Yoshi didn't have a lot of first week momentum and will continue to sell steadily over the coming months instead. There hasn't been a lot of marketing to focus on huge sales right out of the gate. If their initial shipment was 1M+, they've got at least the first half of April covered as well. But I have no real good idea how long those shipments usually take to sell out.

Gotdatmoney · Apr 4, 2019

hiska-kun said:
So, do you think Yoshi managed to at least ship one million worldwide in its first week so it will appear in the Nintendo financials, or it will fail to archive it?

Ship 1m?

Probably. The game will be a slow burner but the shipment will likely be pretty big.

Chris1964 · Apr 4, 2019

Yoshi is 50/50 for being a million seller from its first week. Japan will account for less than 15% of worldwide shipment if that happens.

Kresnik · Apr 4, 2019

Heartskips said:
Switch DIABOLIK LOVERS CHAOS LINEAGE 3,161

Is this the best debut for an otome game on Switch?

I think so. Moving in the right direction, although Diabolik Lovers has always been oddly popular.

Rand a. Thor · Apr 4, 2019

Sucks I wasn't around for the last HW numbers, but I'm glad that Famitsu is still releasing their numbers at the moment. Switch going sub 50k is fine for now, its still gonna stay above 40k for the rest of the year. Its Q4 growth was insane, and next years Q4 is gonna be even crazier after the release of Pokemon and the 2 rumored revisions.

llehuty · Apr 4, 2019

sfortunato said:
Do we have an image when sales are literally flat? Because we have Link climbing (increasing sales) and gliding (slowly decreasing sales).

link-game-nintendo-the-legend-of-zelda-breath-of-the-wild.jpg

WestEgg · Apr 4, 2019

Chris1964 said:
14./19. [NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild # <ADV> (Nintendo) {2017.03.03} (¥6.980) - 5.740 / 1.275.039 <80-100%> (+0%)

sfortunato said:
Do we have an image when sales are literally flat? Because we have Link climbing (increasing sales) and gliding (slowly decreasing sales).

Link on a horse?

Gartooth · Apr 4, 2019

My gut is that Yoshi wouldn't have shipped 1m in its first week. I hope it does though since we may not know how well it did for a long time otherwise.

ZSaberLink · Apr 4, 2019

Dengeki Online Sales: Week 13, 2019 (Mar 25 - Mar 31)

01./00. [NSW] Yoshi's Crafted World (Nintendo) {2019.03.29} - 55,215 / NEW
02./01. [PS4] Sekiro: Shadows Die Twice (From Software) {2019.03.22} - 47,234 / 208,994
03./06. [NSW] Super Smash Bros. Ultimate (Nintendo) {2018.12.07} - 19,522 / 3,050,239
04./09. [NSW] New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe (Nintendo) {2019.01.11} - 16,600 / 561,552
05./00. [PS4] Winning Post 9 (Koei Tecmo) {2019.03.28} - 13,862 / NEW
06./10. [NSW] Minecraft (Microsoft Game Studios) {2018.06.21} - 13,111 / 740,363
07./02. [PS4] Super Robot Wars T (Bandai Namco Games) {2019.03.20} - 10,825 / 95,587
08./15. [NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (Nintendo) {2017.04.28} - 9,572 / 2,105,246
09./08. [PS4] Tom Clancy's The Division 2 (Ubisoft) {2019.03.15} - 8,366 / 88,490
10./17. [NSW] Super Mario Party (Nintendo) {2018.10.05} - 7,639 / 993,080
11./16. [NSW] Splatoon 2 (Nintendo) {2017.07.21} - 7,622 / 2,967,324
12./19. [NSW] Pokemon: Let's Go, Pikachu! (Pokemon Co.) {2018.11.16} - 6,772 / 816,748
13./11. [PS4] Devil May Cry 5 (Capcom) {2019.03.08} - 6,567 / 177,684
14./03. [NSW] Super Robot Wars T (Bandai Namco Games) {2019.03.20} - 5,871 / 45,477
15./00. [NSW] Winning Post 9 (Koei Tecmo) {2019.03.28} - 5,557 / NEW
16./05. [NSW] Chocobo's Mystery Dungeon: Every Buddy! (Square Enix) {2019.03.20} - 5,244 / 28,838
17./07. [PS4] Chocobo's Mystery Dungeon: Every Buddy! (Square Enix) {2019.03.20} - 4,722 / 25,591
18./20. [NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (Nintendo) {2017.03.03} - 4,533 / 983,983
19./14. [PS4] One Piece: World Seeker (Bandai Namco Games) {2019.03.14} - 4,500 / 64,392
20./21. [NSW] Pokemon: Let's Go, Eevee! (Pokemon Co.) {2018.11.16} - 4,450 / 652,370
21./22. [PS4] Kingdom Hearts III (Square Enix) {2019.01.25} - 4,200 / 729,717
22./00. [PS4] Call of Cthulhu (Oizumi Amuzio) {2019.03.28} - 3,933 / NEW
23./04. [PS4] Atelier Lulua: The Scion of Arland (Koei Tecmo) {2019.03.20} - 3,853 / 29,113
24./28. [NSW] Dragon Quest Builders 2 (Square Enix) {2018.12.20} - 3,739 / 237,734
25./00. [NSW] Diabolik Lovers: Chaos Lineage (Idea Factory) {2019.03.28} - 3,357 / NEW
26./23. [NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin: Drum 'n' Fun! (Bandai Namco Games) {2018.07.19} - 2,900 / 332,998
27./24. [NSW] Kirby Star Allies (Nintendo) {2018.03.16} - 2,450 / 740,296
28./00. [NSW] Memories Off: Innocent Fille for Dearest (5pb.) {2019.03.28} - 2,290 / NEW
29./36. [PS4] Battlefield V (Electronic Arts) {2018.11.20} - 2,280 / 175,260
30./12. [NSW] Atelier Lulua: The Scion of Arland (Koei Tecmo) {2019.03.20} - 2,267 / 14,200
31./00. [PS4] Memories Off: Innocent Fille for Dearest (5pb.) {2019.03.28} - 2,064 / NEW
32./25. [3DS] Kirby's Extra Epic Yarn (Nintendo) {2019.03.07} - 1,878 / 16,438
33./26. [NSW] Super Mario Odyssey (Nintendo) {2017.10.27} - 1,811 / 1,820,136
34./00. [PS4] Street Fighter V [Best Price] (Capcom) {2019.03.28} - 1,537 / NEW
35./41. [PS4] Monster Hunter: World [Best Price] (Capcom) {2018.08.02} - 1,506 / 35,087
36./27. [PS4] Resident Evil 2 (Capcom) {2019.01.25} - 1,483 / 358,602
37./00. [NSW] RemiLore: Lost Girl in the Lands of Lore (Pikii) {2019.03.28} - 1,431 / NEW
38./35. [NSW] Mario Tennis Aces (Nintendo) {2018.06.22} - 1,422 / 423,897
39./32. [PS4] Minecraft: Playstation 4 Edition (Sony Interactive Entertainment) {2015.12.03} - 1,389 / 369,092
40./30. [PS4] NieR: Automata - Game of the YoRHa Edition (Square Enix) {2019.02.21} - 1,375 / 29,617
41./42. [PS4] Winning Eleven 2019 (Konami) {2018.08.30} - 1,333 / 170,289
42./48. [3DS] Animal Crossing: New Leaf - Welcome amiibo (Nintendo) {2016.11.23} - 1,317 / 417,391
43./00. [NSW] The LEGO Movie 2 Videogame (Warner Entertainment Japan) {2019.03.28} - 1,313 / NEW
44./50. [NSW] Zoids Wild: King of Blast (Takara Tomy) {2019.02.28} - 1,300 / 17,191
45./43. [PS4] Marvel's Spider-Man [Value Selection] (Sony Interactive Entertainment) {2019.03.20} - 1,275 / 2,453
46./00. [PSV] Memories Off: Innocent Fille for Dearest (5pb.) {2019.03.28} - 1,207 / NEW
47./29. [PS4] Jump Force (Bandai Namco Games) {2019.02.14} - 1,194 / 112,878
48./37. [NSW] Doraemon: Nobita no Getsumen Tansaki (FuRyu) {2019.02.28} - 1,167 / 10,146
49./00. [PS4] RemiLore: Lost Girl in the Lands of Lore (Pikii) {2019.03.28} - 1,154 / NEW
50./40. [PS4] Kingdom Hearts HD I.5 + II.5 ReMIX (Square Enix) {2017.03.09} - 1,111 / 270,088

SOFTWARE

Code:

--------------------------------------------------------
| Model | This Week | Week(%)  | FY 2018     | FY(%)   |
--------------------------------------------------------
| Switch| 219,571   | 51.9%    | 14,182,340  | 52.4%   |
| PS4   | 172,265   | 40.7%    | 9,873,048   | 36.5%   |
| 3DS   | 22,169    | 5.2%     | 2,140,468   | 7.9%    |
| Vita  | 8,398     | 2.0%     | 795,416     | 2.9%    |
| ETC   | 974       | 0.2%     | 94,824      | 0.4%    |
--------------------------------------------------------
| Total | 423,377   | 100.0%   | 27,086,096  | 100.0%  |
--------------------------------------------------------

HARDWARE

Code:

--------------------------------------------------------
| Model | This Week | Week(%)  | FY 2018     | FY(%)   |
--------------------------------------------------------
| Switch| 48,025    | 62.0%    | 3,934,274   | 66.2%   |
| PS4   | 23,315    | 30.1%    | 1,453,716   | 24.4%   |
| 3DS   | 5,402     | 7.0%     | 426,934     | 7.2%    |
| Vita  | 638       | 0.8%     | 123,402     | 2.1%    |
| ETC   | 29        | 0.0%     | 9,091       | 0.2%    |
--------------------------------------------------------
| Total | 77,409    | 100.0%   | 5,947,417   | 100.0%  |
--------------------------------------------------------

Dengeki Online Sales: Week 12, 2019 (Mar 18 - Mar 24)

Media Create Sales: Week 13, 2019 (Mar 25 - Mar 31)

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