Of course it's pure speculation and only my opinion. Where did i stated it was a fact anyway? I also don't think you need a forecasting model to say that or prove me right because we can simply compare the numbers and the pt. But as i said, if you have a different opinion, you can share it with us and prove me wrong (along with a forecasting model because you said need that).
Ehm... Statistical inference is not "comparing numbers and points". Numbers and forecasting are not opinions. You wrote that COMG points give us a rough estimate of FW sales. To state that, you should need some data. Which data are you considering? You said "all games above 50 points" or something like that: do you have a list?
Also, to talk about "estimates" you must... estimate something otherwise. You're missing the obvious step to talk about estimates which is making inference using data. It's not that I have a different opinion: I just asked how you can back up your statement and to better specify what you were saying.
How does the "rough estimate" work? The "roughness" materializes as some confidence interval, I guess. How big the interval is?
You made a statement—I'm asking questions to back up what you said. Perfectly reasonable in my opinion as I'm a Metrics guy.
I... don't even know what you mean with the bolded. If we don't have data how can we know the numbers otherwise. What else should to back up my statement other than based on an accurate member that posted numbers in the past he said that the LTD of DQB was higher than both DQVII and DQVIII? I mean if
ZhugeEX doesn't want to share the numbers it's totally fine, i will just have to search for that post.
You wrote you knew "for a fact" something without bringing any fact. I asked to back up your statement and you couldn't. Perfectly fine, just admit you currently don't have any data to back up a statement about data.