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Oct 26, 2017
20,440
Will be curious to see what Nintendo's Q2 lineup.

Still guessing that Fire Emblem gets delayed again to make the graphics Switch quality and to fix the framerate. But Fire Emblem is the only game scheduled for Q2 right now.
 

hiska-kun

Member
Oct 26, 2017
3,410
Been hearing from word of mouth on Twitter that Vesperia was understocked in some places. I could definitely see it hitting the average 100k to 200k LTD sales for a Tales of re-release if there is enough interest, and if the Switch version is able to offer some support. I feel like maybe we'll see a bit more Vesperia Switch sales later since New Super Mario Bros may have affected it's Week 1 sales.

At this rate, since no shipment arrived yet, sales for week 2 will drop like a rock.

Octopath Traveler ver. 2.
 

Deku

Member
Oct 25, 2017
242
Let's Go fell off a cliff as expected, by March it won't even chart probably.

Wanna see growth?

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Wonder if there's going to be a higher baseline this year. Last year was pretty static.
 

TheZjman

Banned
Nov 22, 2018
1,369
So Mario seems like a good candidate to be a million seller with that opening, but the surprise game of this year might actually be Fitness Boxing. Climbing slowly into the top 20 is impressive and word of mouth has taken effect. Its a really good fitness game so it could snowball into high numbers eventually. Really nice to see and might push Nintendo to bring back stuff like WiiFit if it ends up doing well.

Maybe derailing slightly, but i've seen next to nothing on Fitness Boxing and did wonder if it was a good fitness game. Has any of the game sites reported on it?
 

Deleted member 31092

User requested account closure
Banned
Nov 5, 2017
10,783
??./??. [NSW] Fitness Boxing <HOB> (Imagineer) {2018.12.20} (¥5.800) ??? / ???
35./??. [NSW] Fitness Boxing <HOB> (Imagineer) {2018.12.20} (¥5.800) ??? / ???
25./35. [NSW] Fitness Boxing <HOB> (Imagineer) {2018.12.20} (¥5.800) ??? / 10.177
20./25. [NSW] Fitness Boxing <HOB> (Imagineer) {2018.12.20} (¥5.800) - 3.024 / 13.201

Fitness Boxing is really surprising.
 

Lite_Agent

Member
Oct 26, 2017
4,572
Somewhere. I think.
At this rate, since no shipment arrived yet, sales for week 2 will drop like a rock.

Octopath Traveler ver. 2.

Ah, Bamco... they did well with their H2 2018 releases and shipped enough copies for each game, but they had to go back to their old habits for this one, huh... Though I'd be surprised if there really wasn't new shipments this week, I doubt their expectations were THAT low (it's not like the game set the charts on fire or anything).
 
OP
OP
Chris1964

Chris1964

SalesEra Genius
Member
Oct 25, 2017
11,155
02./00. [WIU] New Super Mario Bros. U <ACT> (Nintendo) {2012.12.08} (¥5.985) - 163.528 / NEW
01./00. [NSW] New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe <New Super Mario Bros. U \ New Super Luigi U> <ACT> (Nintendo) {2019.01.11} (¥5.980) - 166.303 / NEW

not bad
This is price with tax for Wii U. It was ¥5.700 without tax which was 5% then comparing to 8% today.
 

WestEgg

One Winged Slayer
Member
Oct 25, 2017
14,047
??./??. [NSW] Fitness Boxing <HOB> (Imagineer) {2018.12.20} (¥5.800) ??? / ???
35./??. [NSW] Fitness Boxing <HOB> (Imagineer) {2018.12.20} (¥5.800) ??? / ???
25./35. [NSW] Fitness Boxing <HOB> (Imagineer) {2018.12.20} (¥5.800) ??? / 10.177
20./25. [NSW] Fitness Boxing <HOB> (Imagineer) {2018.12.20} (¥5.800) - 3.024 / 13.201

Fitness Boxing is really surprising.
... is it fun? I'm getting a bit curious about this game now as time goes on.
 

K Samedi

Member
Oct 27, 2017
4,990
Maybe derailing slightly, but i've seen next to nothing on Fitness Boxing and did wonder if it was a good fitness game. Has any of the game sites reported on it?
Not seen anything yet but from my own experience with the game I can definitely say that its a genuinely good excersize and fun to play/unlock stuff. Thats why I thought this game might be a hit a few weeks ago when I bought it. There were literally no commercials or whatever where I live so it had to come from word of mouth.
 
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OP
Chris1964

Chris1964

SalesEra Genius
Member
Oct 25, 2017
11,155
Retailers were surprised with Vesperia performance on Switch, it's not entirely BN's fault there were supply problems at first week. We still talk for Tales that usually goes for 90% drop at second week, overstocking isn't an option for them.
 

Fisico

Member
Oct 27, 2017
2,106
Paris
Tales has the JRPG curse tho.
Is this the first battle between the JRPG curse vs "switch version outlegs PS4"?

Should be interesting to watch.

All of that will probably happen off the charts though, at least MC and Famitsu.


Retailers were surprised with Vesperia performance on Switch, it's not entirely BN's fault there were supply problems at first week. We still talk for Tales that usually goes for 90% drop at second week, overstocking isn't an option for them.

With Abyss performance on 3DS surely a ~40k shipment wouldn't have been that outrageous, guess they collectively went on the conservative estimate so that's on them, too bad.
 

dabbling

Member
Dec 3, 2018
413
So what do we think the Switch base line will be for this quarter?

Seen some people mentioning 60k. That would be an impressive increase off the back of the holiday titles.

It was so steady at 40k all last year that it's almost hard to believe it will change, hope it does though. Looking forward to seeing where it settles after the NSMB bump (however small that bump may be).
 

Gibordep

Member
Nov 1, 2017
1,282
That's a way better week 1 than i expected for Switch. NSBU also did very nice.

PS4 numbers uh

As said before the PS4 drop is expected. There is no reason for anyone who want a PS4 to buy it this week instead the previous one, when it cost less and had 2 games as offer.
IF Sony does not cut the price the baseline will be 20k <
 
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Chris1964

Chris1964

SalesEra Genius
Member
Oct 25, 2017
11,155
Fitness Boxing isn't a new IP. It's the sequel of Shape Boxing 1 and 2 that came out on Wii.
 

Oregano

One Winged Slayer
Member
Oct 25, 2017
22,878
Vesperia numbers are okay but could have been better combined, and on Switch individually. The combined total is less than Tales of the Abyss did on the 3DS in 2011.
 

Braaier

Banned
Oct 29, 2017
13,237
Got damn at that PS4 drop!!! Unbelievable!

I'm surprised to continue to see the PS4 version of games outsell the Switch version. Last was DQB2 and now Tales. The Switch version of DQB2 was able to outsell the PS4 version over time, but that doesn't look to be the case for Tales. Interesting.
 

Buzzman

Attempted to circumvent ban with alt account
Banned
Oct 25, 2017
1,549
Got damn at that PS4 drop!!! Unbelievable!

I'm surprised to continue to see the PS4 version of games outsell the Switch version. Last was DQB2 and now Tales. The Switch version of DQB2 was able to outsell the PS4 version over time, but that doesn't look to be the case for Tales. Interesting.
Based on...?
 

logash

Member
Oct 27, 2017
4,739
Well the PS4 sale looks to be over.
Yup. Although, it is also pretty apparent that PS4 is kind of hitting a ceiling in Japan. I am always surprised at the shock people get when PS4 numbers are so low. It is about to be in it's 6th year on the market in Japan so it's obvious that it's selling potential is what it is. No mega hit will really change that at this point. PS4 will continue to sell modestly until the PS5 releases and I think we can expect a downward trend with that too since Japan has been moving away from traditional console gaming.
 

kyo2004

One Winged Slayer
Member
Oct 25, 2017
2,582
Bogotá D.C.
Users Predictions: 8 Million war! Switch and PS4 in Japan



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ZanyMajesticCuckoo-size_restricted.gif


ElementaryPersonalIndianringneckparakeet-size_restricted.gif




Write yours predictions like this please :)
Your name: NSW - weeks - numbers
Your name: PS4 - weeks - numbers


THX :)



Source: gamedatalibrary

NDS: 77 weeks

3DS: 90 weeks

GBA: 96 weeks

PS2: 115 weeks

WII: 125 weeks

PS1: 147 weeks

PSP: 167 weeks

PS3: 289 weeks


NSW: 97 weeks - 7.115.244
PS4: 256 weeks - 7.684.080

kyo2004
NSW: 112 weeks - 8.024.000
PS4: 272 weeks - 8.009.500
 

Kriegshand

Member
Oct 28, 2017
516
Chris1964 said:
02./01. [NSW] Super Smash Bros. Ultimate # <FTG> (Nintendo) {2018.12.07} (¥7.200) - 62.580 / 2.676.740 (-76%)
06./02. [NSW] Super Mario Party # <ETC> (Nintendo) {2018.10.05} (¥5.980) - 19.054 / 955.194 (-80%)
08./03. [NSW] Pokemon: Let's Go, Pikachu! / Let's Go, Eevee! # <RPG> (Pokemon Co.) {2018.11.16} (¥5.980) - 15.353 / 1.414.948 (-78%)
09./04. [NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe <RCE> (Nintendo) {2017.04.28} (¥5.980) - 14.991 / 2.070.890 (-73%)
10./07. [NSW] Minecraft # <ADV> (Microsoft Game Studios) {2018.06.21} (¥3.600) - 12.590 / 562.344 (-71%)
11./06. [NSW] Splatoon 2 # <ACT> (Nintendo) {2017.07.21} (¥5.980) - 11.061 / 2.893.881 (-74%)
17./12. [NSW] Super Mario Odyssey # <ACT> (Nintendo) {2017.10.27} (¥5.980) - 4.134 / 1.935.809 (-76%)

The drop of Pokemon: Let's Go, Pikachu! / Let's Go, Eevee! seems to be consistent with the other switch evergreens. Only Zelda has a significantly lower drop compared to last week.

So this week is no indication that Pokemon will drop out of the charts in the near future or that sales will collapse.