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Media Create Sales: Week 2, 2019 (Jan 07 - Jan 13)
- Thread starter Chris1964
- Start date
It seems the Switch one was supply constrained, and if it's fixed by the time KH3 releases I think we could see a similar scenario to DQB2.
More specifically (Famitsu, via GameDataLibrary)
[WII] Shape Boxing: Enjoy the Diet on Wii! - 9.218 / 105.417 (Rocket Company) 30/10/2008
[WII] Shape Boxing 2: Enjoy the Diet on Wii! - ? / 41.674 (Rocket Company) 16/12/2010
Now I remember reading how FB was the "sequel" / "reboot" of the two Shape Boxing games, I really forgot about that.
Then, it seems being very leggy is part of the franchise's legacy somehow, even if Fitness Boxing might be even more surprising than the others (in terms of FW multiplier at least).
I think this is going to be the case. Even with some major surprises be Nintendo and Sony, the death of the 3DS and Vita are going to drag overall numbers way down. Based on Sony's cancellation of PSX and sitting out E3, it seems unlikely they have multiple games up their sleeve to stem the tide.
Of course, if we get to Switch revisions (pro and portable only) plus a permanent PS4 price cut, I think 2019 could be a strong year.
Yet we have seen with Octopath how jrpg can really suffer lost sales due to initial low shipments
Really a pity imho
Switch will have a price cut for sure.
If a new revision is coming out remains to be seen.
Switch will increase sales, but by how much and will that be enough to offset the decline of 3 other platforms?
Was to be expected, I heard Sony gave away two games with the system during the holidays, that's also why PS4 Software had it rough in the charts while the Switch reigned supreme...
Wii and DS era games had crazy legs. There are so many games who had really small FW sales and then legged out to respectable numbers.
I've seen this discussed in the Media Create threads many times, and is this a Japanese market rule or universal? I don't understand why potential customers interested in a game wouldn't just buy it digitally if physical was sold out. We wouldn't see these digital sales tracked, but potentially they didn't lose much.
What were the expectations ?
I mean let's not forget that the Japanese release is unique, because unlike the rest of the world Japan already got the definitive version a decade ago.
This isn't a remake, this isn't a "Deluxe", it's a simple port from the PS3 version without a single new feature for the Japanese audience (except perhaps 60 fps).
That's why I'm surprised the Switch didn't do better, because at least portability is "new".
The most "hardcore" will buy it digitally, most people will just wait and buy it on the second hand market, which is very strong in Japan, even more for this genre.
OP
OP
Not many things would change for PS4 sold software in holidays if there wasn't Sony's promotion. Those who bought the system for price cut and free games would likely not buy it at all if it was at full price.
Deleted member 59
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Looking at the race to 8m predictions from last week, ball park guesses seem to be around week 112 for Switch. That means selling around 900k in the next 13 weeks, what are people basing this on? That's an average of ~70k a week, are we expecting big bumps anytime soon?
Oh good point. KH3 is definitely gonna eat into sales of the PS4 version.
Well I made my prediction after seeing this week and assuming that nsmbud slightly increased hw
OP
OP
This is what Media Create has for Shape Boxing 1 and 2
[WII] Gold's Gym: Cardio Workout <HOB> (Rocket Company) {2008.10.30} (¥5.800) - 16.381 / 137.146 <41,45%>
[WII] Gold's Gym: Dance Workout <HOB> (Rocket Company) {2010.12.16} (¥5.800) - 3.904 / 49.951 <20,03%>
[WII] Gold's Gym: Cardio Workout <HOB> (Rocket Company) {2008.10.30} (¥5.800) - 16.381 / 137.146 <41,45%>
[WII] Gold's Gym: Dance Workout <HOB> (Rocket Company) {2010.12.16} (¥5.800) - 3.904 / 49.951 <20,03%>
It's 15 weeks from Week 97 (7.115.244) to 112 (~8.000.000). Thats ~59.000 per week, not 70k. Optimistic but doable.
OP
OP
Tales has an established fanbase on Sony consoles for years, this was the expected result from before.
Deleted member 59
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Hisas charts show this week as week 98, which would be 65k per week.
Edit - Ah, i see you're using famitsu numbers. Is that what the 'race' will use then?
02./01. [NSW] Super Smash Bros. Ultimate # <FTG> (Nintendo) {2018.12.07} (¥7.200) - 62.580 / 2.676.740
11./06. [NSW] Splatoon 2 # <ACT> (Nintendo) {2017.07.21} (¥5.980) - 11.061 / 2.893.881
So who's gonna be the first 3 million seller on Switch?
Smash seems pretty obvious but never understimate the legs of the squid!
11./06. [NSW] Splatoon 2 # <ACT> (Nintendo) {2017.07.21} (¥5.980) - 11.061 / 2.893.881
So who's gonna be the first 3 million seller on Switch?
Smash seems pretty obvious but never understimate the legs of the squid!
Why wouldnt it sell better FW on PS4 ? The Tales of games have been more or less Sony only for a decade.
F
Exactly, with the PS4 alone already having two mainline games in the series.
Didn't we already go over this? Old ports have just as much impact as new entries (in building a userbase). Plus, the Tales series started on the SNES, where else do you think those fans would have gone in just 23 years? :p
Married and working jobs with bad hours, their interest in games having disappeared 15 years in.
They weren't on SNES to begin with.
Tales of Phantasia sold 200k on SNES, its port on PS1 >600k.
Probably like many Switch/Playstation multiplatform games it sells initially better on PS4 and after a few weeks the Switch version overtake in sales.
I am looking forward to see Famitsu Top 100.
We had a mid-term ranking and unfortunately Bayonetta 2 was not counted with combined SKU. ( with climax edition )
So, i don't think, it will be in TOP 100.
Sales data from January 1st, 2018 to June 24th, 2018 , here :
https://www.resetera.com/threads/me...2018-jul-02-jul-08.54668/page-8#post-10330433
Wow, switch hardware massively impressed me this week, I was expecting 55-60k ish. Hope it's not just MC correcting their holiday sales. NSMBUDX significantly outperformed my expectations too, was thinking like 115k first week. I still don't think it will reach Wii u LTD though.
Poor PS4 :(
I have to say though, overall, software kinda underperformed. I think we were expecting slightly less severe of a drop for switch evergreens, with only Pokémon and smash having worse than 70% drops. Didn't see Mario party having an 80% drop for example.
Poor PS4 :(
I have to say though, overall, software kinda underperformed. I think we were expecting slightly less severe of a drop for switch evergreens, with only Pokémon and smash having worse than 70% drops. Didn't see Mario party having an 80% drop for example.
Minor nitpick but I would definitely not say it's the slowest week of the whole year imo. Week one always looks rough, but that's only because it is right after holiday weeks. Hardware performance especially can often be higher than many other slow weeks during summer or spring.
Dengeki hw numbers are craaaaazy these past weeks.
Switch is really starting 2019 on the right foot.
Switch is really starting 2019 on the right foot.
Dengeki also had much higher numbers than M Create and Famitsu this time last year (Week 52, Week 1, Week 2 vs Famitsu). The difference got smaller as the quarter goes on and on a cumulative full quarter basis all 3 end up pretty close to each other. Dengeki did have the highest cumulative Q1 last year.
Let's compare last quarter with Nintendo results.
Accumulated sell-through for Switch until the 30th of September 2018 was the following:
Media Create: 5.133.290
Famitsu: 5.169.675
Dengeki: 5.155.468
Nintendo shipments: 5.520.000
There was a difference between 350k to 390k from shipments. These are units on stores still not sold.
But the difference between sell-in and sell-through seems still too big for Japan.
This is because hardware sales coming from MyNintendoStore are not tracked by any tracker (just Nintendo). And these sales were quite important during the stock problems era, so there are significant sales coming from there.
Because of that it is a little difficult to know the exactly sell-through amount.
When was the last time a Kirby game sold 1M in Japan? Star Allies might hit that spot.