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me and you, we should start to make bold predictions about 2021 Switch sales, so everything can come back to keikaku
Given how the Lite is positionned, and not counting improved specs/battery life which would happen down the line, the obvious way to improve its value is to drop its price/bundle a game with it.
Switch Lite is doing fine and any suggestions here (adding a docking function, make it bigger or redesign it) would make it a worse product than it is right now. It was never meant to sell more than the hybrid model.
Thinking about all the things said to me in 2020........ good times.
also it's MHR demo that's pushing sales! You need to believe in 5mil+
The last time state of emergency happened, it released bumped FF 7 Re and PS4 sales which released that week.
Does FFVII Part 3 refer to another week of monstrously high sales or does it refer to the stringent stock issues in FFVII's second week which caused numbers to fall by 90% (and hold with -7% the week after due to replenished stock) - and thus suggest lower expected numbers due to stock issues?
Even though I'm not disagreeing I also think the MHR demo is playing an effect
Demand was already settle back in Nov..... 😉
I do! I actually see it coming dangerously close to 6 million.
It's not just MHR demo. It's that plus RFA, ACNH, COVID state of emergency, lasting evergreen strength, and a strong Q1 lineup beyond MHR.
Yeah the fact that demand can again rise above supply in a random January week with no releases makes me think 2021 can definitely surprise people and wind up above 2020.
3DS in the fiscal year ending March 2014 (models: 3DS, 3DS XL, 2DS).
PSV sold in total just a bit over 10M therefore it's out of consideration.
EDIT:
The last time PSP sold > 10M units worldwide was in the fiscal year ending March 2009.
The last time DS sold > 10M units worldwide was in the fiscal year ending March 2011.
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Guys, my comments about KH remasters on Switch was an opinion of mine 😂 sorry if it was formulated to make it if I knew something.
oh I know lol. There is no doubt about it, i guess I'm trying to add on to the everlasting reasons why NSW is selling well.
I just hope shortages aren't to bad, and depending on what software lineup we know later and how much NSW does in the first half of 2021, I might have to get even crazier with another prediction....... but imma save that for when 2020 vs 2021 battle gets to about "50% chance of either side" lol
edit: also I'm slowing preparing Chris for MHR cuz I think he gonna faint with how many errors were said in 2020 😜
Actually should I do 2020 as well? Would be seeing a comparison since there was a much better split of games lol
I don't even think it's the Jan week with no releases, as stated games are over performing (evergreens).
It's like I said last year, a chance of demand not being settled (which could be right but it's still a maybe), better line up of Q1 and possibly Q2, and the momentum from 2020. Also I knew that W1 would be counted for NY sales so there is that, but 2021 also ends on Christmas Day this year too which has to take it into account.
😈
This is the most interesting quote from that 2019 article to me:
For western indie devs, this will probably prove true. For Japanese devs though? We'll have to see how that plays out, but several here are predicting a rough 2021/2022.
Ultimately, the question for Sony/consumers becomes "does it matter if the next Disgaea and Sakuna don't come out on PS5?" I think a lot of people (including Jim Ryan) would say "no."
Even for western indie devs it's not necessarily true. We've seen some reports of devs saying that PS4 was not a great platform for visibility. I also have to wonder how PS4 exclusives indie deals like Guacamelee 2 or Spelunky 2 did, since their reach seemed pretty limited (Spelunky 2 in particular got completely overshadowed by Hades, who had a... different release strategy).
Losing the AA and lower tier releases would definitely be an issue, no matter what Jim Ryan and cohorts might believe. To see how a platform with big tentpoles and nothing to fill the gaps between does look at N64 or Wii U.
PlayStation's success is predicated on having the widest and most diverse library of games. It's always been their chief advantage over Nintendo/Sega/Xbox (especially in Japan), that's not something they can really afford to lose now.
For sure, but I think there's a reasonable argument that they'll still publish on the PS5 if it has the biggest install base of next gen consoles. Devs complain about visibility on Steam as well, but they still publish because of the reach.
Western indie studios have been some of the 1st to move almost exclusively to switch and PC
I don't think anyone is cheering about stock issues. Rather, we're cheering the fact that demand is still quite high, higher than expected by both us and retailers.
Exactly this, it's not the same like ps5 where you can't get one/etc which stock problems are horrible. NSW stock problems show the fact there is still room to grow in both hw and sw sales
too early to tell. For all we know shortages could just be a one time thing right now. We will get answers in the next few weeks imo
That's sounds true to me, but has there ever been an example of a platform getting a lot of highly-regarded first party content and all of the major AAA games before? For my own personal taste I see the diverse library as a key feature, but I think Sony believes it's FIFA/Madden/CoD/GTA/AssCreed/Destiny/HZD/GoW that lead to 100m+ every gen.
I disagree...but I also never play CoD, don't like GTA, and don't like games like Destiny. I feel like I'm an outlier.
OP
OP
There was something special for last week you know, demand and supply were just fine before.
I can see it being less of an issue in the west although I'd also saying losing AA and lower support in the west is much less likely too for various reasons. The issue is really Japan and there Sony's 1st party isn't particularly well regarded either, it's really just the several 3rd party AAA in their pocket they've got going for them then this sort of scenario.
I would say a reduction in JP support can have global consequences too though. It's not talked about much but I'd credit some of 360's early success over PS3 to the massive inroads MS made with Japanese support. Likewise PS4's incredible Japanese support has been a key advantage and differentiator for many over Xbox One the entire gen, but now with Steam and Nintendo offering a potentially more lucrative (and supportive) market for Japanese games that may change. And a PlayStation with only the AAA from Japan starts to feel more like an Xbox itself really.
Week 3 top selling hardware (Famitsu - maybe data are not that precise for handhelds until 2000):
1997: PS1 - 93.555 (LTD: 4.759.361)
1998: PS1 - 113.077 (9.846.939)
1999: PS1 - 72.493 (14.016.722)
2000: GBC - 49.516 (3.221.483)
2001: PS2 - 23.966 (3.232.624)
2002: PS2 - 91.718 (6.867.542)
2003: PS2 - 68.252 (10.430.391)
2004: GBA - 51.977 (11.584.167)
2005: PSP - 57.383 (630.480)
2006: NDS - 64.515 (5.857.127)
2007: NDS - 127.770 (14.567.730)
2008: NDS - 88.575 (21.625.563)
2009: NDS - 81.334 (25.533.278)
2010: PSP - 52.122 (13.822.746)
2011: PSP - 31.551 (16.438.818)
2012: 3DS - 80.960 (4.704.569)
2013: 3DS - 81.855 (10.235.654)
2014: 3DS - 47.438 (14.948.066)
2015: 3DS - 44.229 (18.096.641)
2016: 3DS - 39.677 (20.331.655)
2017: PS4 - 36.413 (4.187.494)
2018: PS4 - 44.910 (6.045.922)
2019: NSW - 71.672 (7.270.052)
2020: NSW - 96.458 (11.881.017)
2021: NSW - 170.691 (17.990.782)
Only NDS came close to this year's Switch result (127.770 units in 2007).
1997: PS1 - 93.555 (LTD: 4.759.361)
1998: PS1 - 113.077 (9.846.939)
1999: PS1 - 72.493 (14.016.722)
2000: GBC - 49.516 (3.221.483)
2001: PS2 - 23.966 (3.232.624)
2002: PS2 - 91.718 (6.867.542)
2003: PS2 - 68.252 (10.430.391)
2004: GBA - 51.977 (11.584.167)
2005: PSP - 57.383 (630.480)
2006: NDS - 64.515 (5.857.127)
2007: NDS - 127.770 (14.567.730)
2008: NDS - 88.575 (21.625.563)
2009: NDS - 81.334 (25.533.278)
2010: PSP - 52.122 (13.822.746)
2011: PSP - 31.551 (16.438.818)
2012: 3DS - 80.960 (4.704.569)
2013: 3DS - 81.855 (10.235.654)
2014: 3DS - 47.438 (14.948.066)
2015: 3DS - 44.229 (18.096.641)
2016: 3DS - 39.677 (20.331.655)
2017: PS4 - 36.413 (4.187.494)
2018: PS4 - 44.910 (6.045.922)
2019: NSW - 71.672 (7.270.052)
2020: NSW - 96.458 (11.881.017)
2021: NSW - 170.691 (17.990.782)
Only NDS came close to this year's Switch result (127.770 units in 2007).
Of course, I'm not saying the demand happened for no reason. But I don't think new states of emergency were expected for 2021 even a month or so ago. Unexpected events driving demand still means higher demand than expected.
They tend to lead there (because that's frankly where the audience overwhelmingly is) but most indies still matriculate to PS and Xbox eventually (and also iOS/Android, Mac/Linux, Arcade, etc in some cases). It's usually a question of resources but indies tend to want to hit every consumer base they possibly can. PS5 and Xbox SX will probably bring some renewed energy too audience wise in the near term so they may get more priority again versus where PS4 and One sit.
Yeah. Start of the gen is probably like the best time for indies to shine on the platform. You have high spending customers (early adopters) with not much to play yet. Early PS4/XBO days were all about indies (and you saw this from marketing and how much Sony and MS promoted them in their conferences)
I do wonder if that might be more limited on the new consoles because of the bigger emphasis on backwards compatibility(probably moreso on Xbox?), the stores are already full of thousands of games.
Just to be sure: even if stock issues are more widespread, the system is still widely available right?