Media Create Sales: Week 26, 2018 (Jun 25 - Jul 01)

Jraphics Horse · Jul 11, 2018

Limabean01 said:
I doubt it, most likely we will have one early September or late August at the earliest

I thought that thinking stemmed from expectation of when preorders for Pokémon and Smash were expected, now Chris is talking about preorders opening this week.
Edit: thought, thinking; expectation, expected, I could have probably phrased that better.

Zedark · Jul 11, 2018

*Guaraná said:
Guys, there's no new relevant release for Switch this week, no way it will keep around 50k.

Smells like a comment straight out of last week lol

Mbolibombo · Jul 11, 2018

Zedark said:
Smells like a comment straight out of last week lol

Or the week prior to Minecraft/Aces week... nothing fancy that week either. Still 48k.

DarkDetective · Jul 11, 2018

CeroMiedo said:
Black Ops IIII, Cold Steel IV and Yakuza 3 remastered imo.

Why would these games sell systems? Shouldn't the audiences for these series be on PS4 already? All three of these series have a PS4 exclusive installment. Maybe the PS4 Pro can benefit from a COD bundle or so, but that's about it.

KillerMan91 · Jul 11, 2018

CeroMiedo said:
Black Ops IIII, Cold Steel IV and Yakuza 3 remastered imo.

Also Red Dead Redemption 2 could sell well after insane success of GTA V. BF5 and Fallout 76 should do well too.

Jraphics Horse · Jul 11, 2018

I was thinking Red Dead Redemption 2 could potentially be bigger than any of those, but I'm not sure how anticipated it is in Japan.

Ryng™ · Jul 11, 2018

*Guaraná said:
Guys, there's no new relevant release for Switch this week, no way it will keep around 50k.

60k incoming

kvetcha · Jul 11, 2018

rip Pablo.

n1nt1nsu1t · Jul 11, 2018

hiska-kun said:
Code Vein delayed to 2019.

https://s.famitsu.com/news/201807/11160668.html

*cough* *cough* Switch version *cough* *cough*

i kid i kid : P

Deleted member 45614 · Jul 11, 2018

silpheed-mcd said:
Ok girls and guys, i heard you :p

OCTOPATH TRAVELER PREDICTIONS: FIRST WEEK SALES (closed on July 12)

Jamiem: 181,364

Deleted member 45614 · Jul 11, 2018

*Guaraná said:
Guys, there's no new relevant release for Switch this week, no way it will keep around 50k.

People going to buy a Switch when they go in to preorder Pokémon and Smash. Will probably be a small group of people but still maybe they can keep it flat or raise it a little.

Zedark · Jul 11, 2018

Jamiem said:
People going to buy a Switch when they go in to preorder Pokémon and Smash. Will probably be a small group of people but still maybe they can keep it flat or raise it a little.

We're talking about the numbers for the previous week (ended July 8th).

Sander VF · Jul 11, 2018

When's MC?

I thought it drops of Wednesdays.

Zedark · Jul 11, 2018

Sander VF said:
When's MC?

I thought it drops of Wednesdays.

91 minutes from now.

Xbro · Jul 11, 2018

Sander VF said:
When's MC?

I thought it drops of Wednesdays.

In a couple of hours

Sander VF · Jul 11, 2018

Thanks.

Might as well predict the Switch then.

~47k.

I'm gonna be conservative and say that lightning won't strike twice in a row. There's a chance it might drop to 45k as well.

Looking forward to getting reckt.

Zedark · Jul 11, 2018

Sander VF said:
Thanks.

Might as well predict the Switch then.

~47k.

I'm gonna be conservative and say that lightning won't strike twice in a row. There's a chance it might drop to 45k as well.

Looking forward to getting reckt.

Lightning's struck 7 times in a row, actually:

Joseki said:
NSW had a fantastic June in Japan.

Q1 is up by 58.104 units, +12% (correct me if my math is off)

I think we'll see 51k, a notch up from the week before.

ACL · Jul 11, 2018

The named games remind me of PS4s first years, when Western 3rd parties had basically a free path due to Japanese developers not beeing ready. Kind of a curios situation that a similar situation is happening in PS4s fith year this time due to games getting delayed.

Sander VF · Jul 11, 2018

Zedark said:
Lightning's struck 7 times in a row, actually:

I think we'll see 51k, a notch up from the week before.

Well, I did say I was looking forward to getting reckt.

Deleted member 45614 · Jul 11, 2018

Zedark said:
We're talking about the numbers for the previous week (ended July 8th).

Very true, I was wrong my apologies.

KillerMan91 · Jul 11, 2018

ACL said:
The named games remind me of PS4s first years, when Western 3rd parties had basically a free path due to Japanese developers not beeing ready. Kind of a curios situation that a similar situation is happening in PS4s fith year this time due to games getting delayed.

How this is different from pretty much any year? it has been like this since PS4 launched. Bigger Japanese games in Q1 and the usual western heavy hitters in holiday season. 2016 holiday season is pretty much sole exception with FF XV.

Lelouch0612 · Jul 11, 2018

KillerMan91 said:
How this is different from pretty much any year? it has been like this since PS4 launched. Bigger Japanese games in Q1 and the usual western heavy hitters in holiday season. 2016 holiday season is pretty much sole exception with FF XV.

A big part of the best selling Japanese games on PS4 released during Q3/Q4 (DQXI, Metal Gear Solid V, Persona 5, Yakuza 6 ...)

KillerMan91 · Jul 11, 2018

Lelouch0612 said:
A big part of the best selling Japanese games on PS4 released during Q3/Q4 (DQXI, Metal Gear Solid V, Persona 5, Yakuza 6 ...)

Fuck. I guess my memory is starting to play tricks on me (alarming as I am only 26 lol). Still it has been pretty much one bigger japanese game per last half of the year outside of 2016. Last year was pretty damn dry too after DQXI.

fiendcode · Jul 11, 2018

Lelouch0612 said:
A big part of the best selling Japanese games on PS4 released during Q3/Q4 (DQXI, Metal Gear Solid V, Persona 5, Yakuza 6 ...)

There's also "big" games that failed to perform. GT Sport being a good example.

CeroMiedo · Jul 11, 2018

fiendcode said:
There's also "big" games that failed to perform. GT Sport being a good example.

Never forget, GTS did ok :P

KillerMan91 · Jul 11, 2018

fiendcode said:
There's also "big" games that failed to perform. GT Sport being a good example.

After GT6 who really expected it to sell that well (in japan) ? In west GT6 had an excuse of generational transition and PS3 sw sales dropping off the cliff but in Japan PS3 still moved almost peak levels of sw in 2013 so GT6 bombing that way was pretty clear sign about the state of the franchise in Japan.

Cubo · Jul 11, 2018

Last week was pay day week, so I would say Switch will be a bit down, around 45k is my prediction. But in COMG it looked like it was up WoW (at least a lot of evergreens went up in sales), so maybe it does better.

ACL · Jul 11, 2018

KillerMan91 said:
How this is different from pretty much any year? it has been like this since PS4 launched. Bigger Japanese games in Q1 and the usual western heavy hitters in holiday season. 2016 holiday season is pretty much sole exception with FF XV.

I don't think it's a good idea to reduce the discussion to just two quarters. Last year for example PS4 had DQ11 in July and it would be silly to exclude important games just because it isn't a end of year holiday title. While games like Gran Turismo and Minna no Golf sold under expectations these games shouldn't be ignored, we also shouldn't act like there haven't been years with better lineup after the first quarter.

fiendcode · Jul 11, 2018

KillerMan91 said:
After GT6 who really expected it to sell that well (in japan) ? In west GT6 had an excuse of generational transition and PS3 sw sales dropping off the cliff but in Japan PS3 still moved almost peak levels of sw in 2013 so GT6 bombing that way was pretty clear sign about the state of the franchise in Japan.

2nd GTs per platform are always a drop in Japan and GT6 was actually a less severe drop that GT2 or GT4 were. GT6 sort of sold as expected in Japan, it was the west where it truly bombed.

I don't think anyone expected GTS to do amazing but I also don't think most expected it to undersell even GT6 by 150k. How badly it did was definitely a bit surprising and beforehand it was also usually listed as a notable platform tentpole.

Charamiwa · Jul 11, 2018

Thinking about H2 PS4 games, couldn't Spiderman be fairly big? Red Dead too, and of course CoD. Not sure if they're really system seller though.

Deleted member 31092 · Jul 11, 2018

45k<NSW<55k is an adequate range I think.

Lelouch0612 · Jul 11, 2018

So the Switch might have a better 3rd party line-up than the PS4 for the rest of the year and significantly better if we only take into account JP publishers.

Funny when we think about some discussions earlier this year.

cw_sasuke · Jul 11, 2018

Charamiwa said:
Thinking about H2 PS4 games, couldn't Spiderman be fairly big? Red Dead too, and of course CoD. Not sure if they're really system seller though.

No reason why these games - including Spiderman - wouldnt be relatively big ( for a western PS4 title).
They def. wont have much competition from jpn publishers looking at the release schedule.

KillerMan91 · Jul 11, 2018

fiendcode said:
2nd GTs per platform are always a drop in Japan and GT6 was actually a less severe drop that GT2 or GT4 were. GT6 sort of sold as expected in Japan, it was the west where it truly bombed.

I don't think anyone expected GTS to do amazing but I also don't think most expected it to undersell even GT6 by 150k. How badly it did was definitely a bit surprising and beforehand it was also usually listed as a notable platform tentpole.

Unit wise drop was smaller between GT5 and 6 than with 3 and 4 but percentage wise far bigger. Also GT5 already sold way less than GT4 so for me it wasn't that surprising that same trend continued with GT6 and Sport. Sim racers are simply dead in Japan and the little GT still sells is on the back of remaining brand power.

schuelma · Jul 11, 2018

Lelouch0612 said:
So the Switch might have a better 3rd party line-up than the PS4 for the rest of the year and significantly better if we only take into account JP publishers.
.

Yes- as far as Japan pubs, I think Switch clearly has the better lineup for the rest of the year.

Sander VF · Jul 11, 2018

schuelma said:
Yes- as far as Japan pubs, I think Switch clearly has the better lineup for the rest of the year.

What does it have that PS4 doesn't have?

Yokai Watch 4 is a big one, but anything else?

Deleted member 31092 · Jul 11, 2018

Zedark said:
Lightning's struck 7 times in a row, actually:

I think we'll see 51k, a notch up from the week before.

By the way no Q2 comparison today or tomorrow because I'm in hospital now. Nothing worrying tho, my stomach just decided that having to take a shit 15 times a day was okay.

KtSlime · Jul 11, 2018

Cubo said:
Last week was pay day week, so I would say Switch will be a bit down, around 45k is my prediction. But in COMG it looked like it was up WoW (at least a lot of evergreens went up in sales), so maybe it does better.

You are on a strange pay cycle. Most dispatch and baito employed people get paid on the 25th, and people with full time employment tend to get paid on the 15th. I get paid on the 15th, but since it is on a Sunday, I'm getting paid Friday. Just in time for Octopath (which I already paid for in advance)

schuelma · Jul 11, 2018

Sander VF said:
What does it have that PS4 doesn't have?

Yokai Watch 4 is a big one, but anything else?

Octopath and Taiko Drum Master in a few weeks.

Assuming Inazuma Eleven Ares comes out this year I would expect Switch version to sell more (same with Builders 2).

I would expect Orochi to sell better on PS4.

Deleted member 2791 · Jul 11, 2018

Sander VF said:
What does it have that PS4 doesn't have?

Yokai Watch 4 is a big one, but anything else?

Octopath Traveler, Taiko no Tatsujin, Teddy Together and Go Vacation comes to mind as potential 100k+ seller.

fiendcode · Jul 11, 2018

KillerMan91 said:
Unit wise drop was smaller between GT5 and 6 than with 3 and 4 but percentage wise far bigger. Also GT5 already sold way less than GT4 so for me it wasn't that surprising that same trend continued with GT6 and Sport. Sim racers are simply dead in Japan and the little GT still sells is on the back of remaining brand power.

This doesn't really change anything I said though. People still expected GTS to be a notable PS4 title and only really discounted it afterward when it failed to do as much as expected. It doing bad wasn't a surprise, just how badly it did wasn't what the expectation was though.

Although like GT6 it's the game's western sales that are the bigger issue. I sort of wonder what the future holds for PD all things considered.

Cubo · Jul 11, 2018

KtSlime said:
You are on a strange pay cycle. Most dispatch and baito employed people get paid on the 25th, and people with full time employment tend to get paid on the 15th. I get paid on the 15th, but since it is on a Sunday, I'm getting paid Friday. Just in time for Octopath (which I already paid for in advance)

Haha I surely get paid here around the 28th but I'm in Spain so no idea really, sorry! :P I just remember hiska-kun sayin it was pay day week and I think also some kind of Summer bonus, so that's why I made the observation.

schuelma · Jul 11, 2018

LordKano said:
Octopath Traveler, Taiko no Tatsujin, Teddy Together and Go Vacation comes to mind as potential 100k+ seller.

Also Fighters Z (I know its a late port of a 2018 PS4 game that already came out..but we are talking rest of the year lineups)

Deleted member 2791 · Jul 11, 2018

schuelma said:
Also Fighters Z (I know its a late port of a 2018 PS4 game that already came out..but we are talking rest of the year lineups)

That too. And the year is far from being over.

Skittzo · Jul 11, 2018

Dark Souls too, though that's not exactly something that the PS4 didn't get this year.

But it's something to add to the big pile of games still to come to Switch this year.

KtSlime · Jul 11, 2018

Cubo said:
Haha I surely get paid here around the 28th but I'm in Spain so no idea really, sorry! :P I just remember hiska-kun sayin it was pay day week and I think also some kind of Summer bonus, so that's why I made the observation.

No worries, thought you might be in Japan. Japan likes to pay on days ending in 5. It's weird. They also like to pay close to a month after you do the work. So your typical part timer will work say June 1st-30th, then the company calculates it all on July 15th, then they deposit it in your account or give you cash on the July 25th.

Lelouch0612 · Jul 11, 2018

We'll have a better idea after the Q3 Nintendo Direct. Bandai Namco might have one surprise or two for example.

Łazy · Jul 11, 2018

I want next week sales for Octopath and beginning of August for Scarlet Grace...

That Gamescom is gonna be fun for the Switch also.

Mory Dunz · Jul 11, 2018

I wouldn't add games that PS4 already got this year personally

but since you guys are, VC4.

test_account · Jul 11, 2018

fiendcode said:
This doesn't really change anything I said though. People still expected GTS to be a notable PS4 title and only really discounted it afterward when it failed to do as much as expected. It doing bad wasn't a surprise, just how badly it did wasn't what the expectation was though.

Although like GT6 it's the game's western sales that are the bigger issue. I sort of wonder what the future holds for PD all things considered.

Do you remember what the average prediction was for GT Sports compared to what it did?

As for the next GT game, i expect them to go the more traditional route and call it GT7, with more focus on single player/offline content.

Media Create Sales: Week 26, 2018 (Jun 25 - Jul 01)

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