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ASarafanov

Banned
Oct 31, 2017
596
Japan
110K? Amazing. Bigger than Xenoblade 2.

Maybe close to 150K with digital + download cards? (game is supply constrained + staying at #1 on eShop).
 

Ikaruga

Member
Oct 27, 2017
1,055
Austria
It's funny, for all the campaigning of people like Jim Sterling that pre-order culture is anti-consumer and there's no advantage to doing so, if more people had pre-ordered Octopath then we might not be seeing these shortages/more people would have been able to get the game they wanted.
I preordered and even digitally, I got it for 43 Euro which is a real bargain, no need for a physical copy.

And yeah if i were Japanese I would have pre ordered a few months prior release, this game won't drop much in price anyway.
 
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Musouka

Member
Dec 31, 2017
505
Where are people getting the 110k number from?

I don't see anything in that link but a silly anecdote and a boatload of ads.
 

silpheed-mcd

Member
Oct 27, 2017
2,384
[UPDATE] Wii U vs NSW (famitsu)



[NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (Nintendo) {2017.04.28} – 1.583.781 + 99.373 digital = 1.683.154

[WIIU] Mario Kart 8 (Nintendo) {2014.05.29} - 1.310.444 + 45.723 digital = 1.356.167

[NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (Nintendo) {2017.03.03} – 996.248 + 72.803 digital = 1.069.051

[WIIU] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (Nintendo) {2017.03.03} - 117.352 + 8.563 digital = 125.915

[NSW] Pokken Tournament DX (Pokemon Co.) {2017.09.22} – 259.419 + 22.062 digital = 281.481
[WIIU] Pokken Tournament (Pokemon Co.) {2016.03.18} – 164.85 + 28.642 digital = 173.494

[WIIU] Minecraft: Wii U Edition (Microsoft) {2015.12.17} - 340.392 + 182.812 digital = 523.204
[NSW] Minecraft: Nintendo Switch Edition physical version (Microsoft Game Studios) {2018.06.28} + digital version (Microsoft Game Studios) {2017.05.12} – 118.878 + 248.713 digital = 367.591

[WIIU] Dragon Quest X: 5000-nen no Harukanaru Kokyou e Online (Square Enix) {2017.11.16} - 34.312 + 32.448 digital = 66.760
[NSW] Dragon Quest X: 5000-nen no Harukanaru Kokyou e Online (Square Enix) {2017.11.16} - 27.975 + 37.856 digital = 65.831

[WIIU] One Piece: Unlimited World Red (Bandai Namco Games) {2014.06.12} – 6.085
[NSW] One Piece: Unlimited World Red – Deluxe Edition (Bandai Namco Games) {2017.08.24} – 5.916

[NSW] Puyo Puyo Tetris S (SEGA) {2017.03.03} – 77.617 + 1.482 digital = 79.099
[WIIU] Puyo Puyo Tetris (SEGA) {2014.02.06} - 8.673

[WIIU] Resident Evil: Revelations (Capcom) {2013.05.23} - 26.233
[NSW] Resident Evil: Revelations (Capcom) {2017.11.30} - 2.747 + Resident Evil: Revelations Collection - 5.892 = 8.639

[WIIU] LEGO City Undercover (Nintendo) {2013.07.25} – 74.734
[NSW] LEGO City Undercover (Warner Entertainment Japan) {2017.06.29} – 8.312

[WIIU] Warriors Orochi 3: Hyper (Koei Tecmo) {2012.12.08} - 42.281
[NSW] Warriors Orochi 3: Ultimate (Koei Tecmo) {2017.11.09} - 2.307

[WIIU] Bayonetta 2 (Nintendo) - 48.462 + 2.899 digital = 51.361
[NSW] Bayonetta 2 (Nintendo) {2018.02.17} - 30.410 (13.250 Climax Edition) + 2.879 digital = 41.145

[WIIU] Rayman Legends (Nintendo) {2013.10.17} - 3.415
[NSW] Rayman Legends: Definitive Edition (Nintendo) {2018.02.22} -

[WIIU] Hyrule Warriors (Koei Tecmo) {2014.08.14} - 126.700 + 5.696 digital = 132.396
[NSW] Hyrule Warriors All Stars DX (Koei Tecmo) {2018.03.22} - 46.214 + 4.560 digital = 50.774

[NSW] Donkey Kong Country: Tropical Freeze (Nintendo) {2018.05.03} - 187.673 + 14.507 digital = 202.180
[WIIU] Donkey Kong Country: Tropical Freeze (Nintendo) {2014.02.13} - 118.774 + 1.312 digital = 120.086



WIIU: 9
NSW: 5


M-C:
07./00. [WIU] Captain Toad: Treasure Tracker <ADV> (Nintendo) {2014.11.13} (¥3.996) - 28.025 / NEW

FAM:
07./00. [WIU] Captain Toad: Treasure Tracker <ADV> (Nintendo) {2014.11.13} (¥3.996) - 29.985 / NEW <40-60%>

DGK:
08./00. [WIU] Captain Toad: Treasure Tracker (Nintendo) {2014.11.13} - 26.995 / NEW

[WIIU] Captain Toad: Treasure Tracker (Nintendo) {2014.11.13} - 162.093 + 5.915 digital = 168.008
[NSW] Captain Toad: Treasure Tracker (Nintendo) {2018.07.13} - ?
 
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duckroll

Member
Oct 25, 2017
11,157
Singapore
Never really understood why people thought they would have shipped under 100k. Even with Bravely Second's disappointment it sold over 100k first week. Just died after that.
 

silpheed-mcd

Member
Oct 27, 2017
2,384
Ok girls and guys, i heard you :p

OCTOPATH TRAVELER PREDICTIONS: FIRST WEEK SALES (closed on July 12)

DhOuCT2UYAAjQM_.jpg




<70k: 01
70k/79k: 05
80k/89k: 08
90k/99k: 11
100k/109k: 17
110k/119k: 13
120k/129k: 09
130k/139k: 01
<140k: 03
The Sammy's World: 02

_Dog: 75k
会津Aizuの復讐: 123.456
Almasy: 117k
Almaz_Hiro: 121k
Andri: 88k
Arynio: 86k
BishopLamont: 148.888
bxsonic: 93K
casiopao: 124k
ccc: 113k
Cinemikel: 8:p
Dardan Sandiego: 117.999
DarkDetective: 121.212
DaSorcerer7: 93k
DecoReturns: 108K
DeuceGamer: 102k
DrWong: 101K
Edigar: 120k
ggx2ac: 94.3k
Grads: 105k
Guaraná: 92k
Herb Alpert: 102.436
ILikeFeet: 88.888
James: 135K
jamesRainbowBoy: 125.000
Jamiem: 181.364
Jim_Cacher: 111k
Joseki: 109k
KaiPow: 87k
Kenzodielocke: 127.281
krlitros87: 118k
KtSlime: 122k
KuwabaraTheMan: 124k
Lichtsang: 102.000
Limabean01: 80k
LordKano: 99k
MANUELF: 115k
MegaXZero: 92k
Menx64: 150k
Mr Swine: 107k
Myriotes: 100,888
MysticGon: 79K
Nathan.exe: 90.000
Nemesis162: 105k
NiteJohn: 101k
Nocturnal: 113K
olobolger: 118.888
Pablo Mesa: 118K
Pooroomoo: 83.700
Radishhead: 78k
RailWays: 93k
Ryng_Tolu: 89.000
Sammysback: 88.888.888
schuelma: 97k
Shepherd: 103k
Sinonobu : 88k
Skullwaker: 98k
Slarvax: 111k
The Horror the Horror: 116k
Thoraxes: 74k
TwoDelay: 95k
umbrianpauly: 103K
Umibozu: 70k
unfashionable: 123.019 (rectified: 238k)
Welfare: 102k
WestEgg: 108k
Yep: 101.681
zakatana: 113.210
Zarckoh: 109k
Zedark: 118k

https://www.resetera.com/threads/me...018-jun-25-jul-01.53303/page-16#post-10182575
 
OP
OP
Chris1964

Chris1964

SalesEra Genius
Member
Oct 25, 2017
11,155
Sales were more or less expected for both games, no only the split between Switch/3DS for Captain Toad remains.
 

silpheed-mcd

Member
Oct 27, 2017
2,384
YSO predictions

01. [NSW] Octopath Traveler < 90k (average 80k) [week 1]
02. [NSW] Captain Toad: Treasure Tracker < 35k (average 30k) [week 1]
03. [NSW] Mario Tennis Aces < 25k (average 20k) [week 4]
03. [NSW] Splatoon 2 < 25k (average 20k) [week 52]
 
OP
OP
Chris1964

Chris1964

SalesEra Genius
Member
Oct 25, 2017
11,155
After anecdotal started coming out It was mentioned from before YSO might have underestimated everything for this week
 

byDoS

Member
Oct 25, 2017
4,192
Above 110k is waaay above my 75k prediction, and I'm super happy with that. SE apparently shipped more than I thought.

Captain Toad is around what I expected. Good numbers.
 

schuelma

Member
Oct 24, 2017
5,901
You have to cut YSO some slack. :)
After weeks of overestimating bomba new releases, they are probably more cautious in projecting FW sales.


I would also say its probably more difficult to make accurate projections for Switch software- I'm assuming a lot of their initial predictions rely on pre order numbers, etc. - which are typically not as relevant to the final first week number for Switch stuff.
 

Musouka

Member
Dec 31, 2017
505
bottom 6 ads are leak.
たこ(1st ad) = octopus > octopath
やまぎわじゅいち(2nd) > じゅういち = 十一(3rd) = 11 > 110k
キノ(4th)+ピノ(5th) > キノピオ = toad
ゴロー(6th) > 56 > 56k

slow_clap_citizen_kane.gif


That's an admirable effort. I guess I am not worthy to see all the same ads, as the first two are about some funk music and some gorilla dude. Gotta practice more and increase my chikara :)
 

Nocturnal

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
1,321
Not surprised at Octopath doing >100K, Captain Toad on the other hand opening with bigger numbers than the Wii U is a bit surprising - considering launch timing.

Is Splatoon 2 Bundle next week?
 

silpheed-mcd

Member
Oct 27, 2017
2,384
ComG! Week Sales, 2018 (Jul 09 - Jul 15)

01/ N [NSW] Octopath Traveler - 115 pt
02/ N [NSW] Captain Toad: Treasure Tracker - 62 pt
06/ N [3DS] Captain Toad: Treasure Tracker - 18 pt

https://www.resetera.com/threads/me...018-jul-02-jul-08.54668/page-16#post-10426234

Last day preorders

[NSW] Octopath Traveler - 51 pt
[NSW] Captain Toad: Treasure Tracker - 22 pt
[3DS] Captain Toad: Treasure Tracker - out of top 20


GEO preorders, last week

03/02 [NSW] Octopath Traveler - July 13
14/14 [NSW] Captain Toad: Treasure Tracker - July 13
14/14 [3DS] Captain Toad: Treasure Tracker - July 13
 
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Lite_Agent

Member
Oct 26, 2017
4,572
Somewhere. I think.
Taiko bad impressions are probably exagerated and the casual audience of this game will probably don't care.

That's what I think too (besides, it's already getting a Day 1 patch, it was released today in fact).

Not surprised at Octopath doing >100K, Captain Toad on the other hand opening with bigger numbers than the Wii U is a bit surprising - considering launch timing.

Is Splatoon 2 Bundle next week?

Nope, we're getting the numbers today (was """"released"""" on July 13th).